Flash Flood Warning 74, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 222024
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
324 PM CDT MON AUG 22 2005

MOC131-141-230130-
MORGAN MO-MILLER MO-
324 PM CDT MON AUG 22 2005

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR MILLER AND MORGAN COUNTIES UNTIL
830 PM CDT...

AT 320 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. 
DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED IN EXCESS OF TWO INCHES HAD FALLEN THE PAST 
HOUR TO HOUR AND A HALF ACROSS MUCH OF MORGAN COUNTY AND PARTS OF 
MILLER COUNTY.

SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS ARE PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE
WARNED AREA. RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH
FLOODING TO OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING
INCLUDE...ELDON...IBERIA...ST. ELIZABETH...STOVER...TUSCUMBIA...
VERSAILLES...AURORA SPRINGS...BAGNELL...BARNETT...BRUMLEY...
FLORENCE...GRAVOIS MILLS...ROCKY MOUNT...SAINT ELIZABETH AND ULMAN.

BECAUSE OF THE HILLY TERRAIN OF THE OZARKS...THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF
LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO
NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT
ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES
AWAY.

LAT...LON 3832 9253 3825 9223 3802 9221 3804 9244
      3807 9254 3821 9262 3823 9272 3822 9288
      3824 9294 3823 9305 3859 9306 3858 9295
      3855 9282 3837 9257

$$

SAW

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 222128
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
427 PM CDT MON AUG 22 2005

MOC131-141-230130-
MORGAN MO-MILLER MO-
427 PM CDT MON AUG 22 2005

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR MILLER AND MORGAN COUNTIES UNTIL
830 PM CDT...

WHILE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL HAS ENDED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA.  
RUNOFF FROM EARLIER RAINS IN EXCESS OF TWO INCHES WILL CONTINUE 
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.  THIS RUNOFF WILL LIKELY CONTINUE 
FLOODING OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS THIS 
EVENING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

LAT...LON 3832 9253 3825 9223 3802 9221 3804 9244
      3807 9254 3821 9262 3823 9272 3822 9288
      3824 9294 3823 9305 3859 9306 3858 9295
      3855 9282 3837 9257

$$

SAW

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 230127
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
827 PM CDT MON AUG 22 2005

MOC131-141-230135-
MORGAN MO-MILLER MO-
827 PM CDT MON AUG 22 2005

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR MILLER AND MORGAN
COUNTIES HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE...

EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. STREAMS
AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA HAVE RECEDED OR WERE BEGINNING TO
RECEDE...ENDING THE FLOOD THREAT. IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...
PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

LAT...LON 3832 9253 3825 9223 3802 9221 3804 9244
      3807 9254 3821 9262 3823 9272 3822 9288
      3824 9294 3823 9305 3859 9306 3858 9295
      3855 9282 3837 9257

$$

SAW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1210 PM CDT MON AUG 22 2005

...MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION...
WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORING AREAS OF CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL
MISSOURI FOR ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.  DEEP
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ASSOCIATED WITH A STALLED OUT COLD FRONT
POSITIONED ALONG A LINE FROM FORT SCOTT KANSAS TO EMINENCE MISSOURI
WILL AID IN AFTERNOON CONVECTION.  DESPITE THE CLOUD COVER...THIS
AREA HAS SOMEWHAT DESTABILIZED WITH LAPS 100 ML CAPES NOW
APPROACHING 1500 J/KG EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.  THIS AREA IS ALSO
EXPERIENCING WEAK LIFT FROM BEING POSITIONED UNDER THE RIGHT
ENTRANCE REGION OF A 200 MB SPEED MAX.  RUC AND MESO ETA POINT
FORECAST SOUNDINGS OVER WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI SHOW HIGH FREEZING AND
WET BULB ZERO LEVELS...THEREFORE HAIL POTENTIAL IS LIMITED.  STRONG
WIND GUSTS AND MINOR FLOODING WOULD BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.

.DISCUSSION...
A COMPLEX WEATHER SCENARIO HAS SET UP ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS AND
MISSOURI OZARK REGION TODAY.  SEVERAL MINOR LIFTING MECHANISMS COULD
POTENTIALLY DEVELOP SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON.  THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED OVER EAST CENTRAL
KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...WHERE SURFACE CONVERGENCE IS
OCCURRING ALONG A COLD FRONT STALLED OUT ACROSS THIS AREA.

ALSO...UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATED A 200 MB SPEED MAX OVER MUCH OF
THE CORN BELT...WITH EAST CENTRAL KANSAS/WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI UNDER
THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF THE SPEED MAX.  RUC ANALYSIS SUPPORTS
WEAK UPPER LIFT...SUGGESTING A DIVERGENCE BULLSEYE IN THE AREA WHERE
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED.  ALSO TO NOTE...700MB RAOB ANALYSIS
INDICATED A MINOR SHORTWAVE ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS THAT COULD BE
AIDING IN LIFT.  WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ON THE ORDER OF
1.80...ANY MINOR SOURCE OF LIFT WILL LIKELY DEVELOP A SHOWER
TODAY...THEREFORE...WENT AHEAD AND RECONFIGURED THIS AFTERNOONS POPS
TO WEIGHT HIGHEST POPS OVER WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI AND SE KANSAS.
LEFT CHANCE POPS IN FOR THE REST OF THE CWA.

TWEAKED TEMPERATURES DOWN A COUPLE DEGREES GIVEN THE CLOUD COVER AND
PRECIP.  SAT TRENDS SUGGEST THAT THE ENTIRE CWA SHOULD CONTINUE TO
OBSERVED CONSIDERABLE CLOUDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON LIMITING
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 80S.

&&

.AVIATION...
THE COMBINATION OF A COLD FRONT AND A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
WILL CAUSE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE ACROSS
MUCH OF EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND THE MISSOURI OZARKS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  IF JOPLIN OR SPRINGFIELD AIRPORTS ARE
DIRECTLY IMPACTED BY A STORM...THEN FLIGHT CONDITIONS COULD FALL
WITHIN THE IFR CATEGORY.  ALL TWEB ROUTES WILL BE AFFECTED BY
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS WELL.

LOOK FOR CEILINGS TO FALL INTO THE MVFR TO IFR RANGE AS THE FRONT
SHIFTS SOUTH INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

&&

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.MO...NONE.
.KS...NONE.

CRAMER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1248 PM CDT MON AUG 22 2005

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-231800-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
1248 PM CDT MON AUG 22 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

 THUNDERSTORMS CONTAINING MARGINALLY SEVERE WIND GUSTS... FREQUENT
 CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

 MARGINALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING
 ALONG AND 25 MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM NEVADA TO SALEM
 MISSOURI.

  DISCUSSION:

 A STALLED OUT COLD FRONT THE EXTENDS FROM EAST CENTRAL KANSAS TO
 CENTRAL MISSOURI WILL BE A FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
 THROUGH THIS EVENING. MOISTURE POOLING ALONG THIS FEATURE HAS
 CREATED A MARGINALLY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE NEAR THE FRONT.  A FEW
 STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE CONTAINING DAMAGING WINDS IN
 EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

 ALSO...THE COMBINATION OF HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT IN THE ATMOSPHERE
 AND THE EXPECTED SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE STORMS MAY CAUSE AREAS OF FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

 AS THE COLD FRONT SHIFTS INTO ARKANSAS BY TUESDAY MORNING...THE
 AIRMASS OVER SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS WILL REMAIN
 SATURATED WITH HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT. AREAS THAT EXPERIENCE
 BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS WILL BECOME SUFFICIENTLY UNSTABLE FOR
 SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

CRAMER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1132 AM CDT MON AUG 22 2005

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     TSTM WND DMG     DIGGINS                 37.17N 92.87W
08/21/2005                   WEBSTER            MO   PUBLIC

            LARGE TREE BLOWN DOWN

0530 PM     HAIL             5 SW BRANSON            36.60N 93.28W
08/21/2005  1.00 INCH        TANEY              MO   PUBLIC

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT TABLE ROCK LAKE

0659 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BENNETT SPRINGS         37.73N 92.87W
08/21/2005                   LACLEDE            MO   UTILITY COMPANY

            TREE BLOWN INTO POWER LINE

0730 PM     TSTM WND DMG     VANZANT                 36.97N 92.32W
08/21/2005                   DOUGLAS            MO   PUBLIC

            2 BARNS SUSTAINED MAJOR ROOF DAMAGE ROOF AND SIDING
            BLOWN OFF.

0852 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NW ROVER              36.73N 91.63W
08/21/2005                   OREGON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE BLOWN DOWN BLOCKING HIGHWAY 160 ALONG OREGON-HOWELL
            COUNTY LINE

0900 PM     TSTM WND DMG     PEACE VLY               36.83N 91.77W
08/21/2005                   HOWELL             MO   UTILITY COMPANY

            2 POWERPOLES BLOWN DOWN

SCHULTZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1139 AM CDT MON AUG 22 2005

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0640 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LONG LANE               37.62N 92.92W
08/21/2005                   DALLAS             MO   UTILITY COMPANY

            TREE BLOWN INTO POWERLINE

0735 PM     TSTM WND DMG     PHILLIPSBURG            37.55N 92.80W
08/21/2005                   LACLEDE            MO   UTILITY COMPANY

            PARTIAL ROOF OF HOUSE BLOWN INTO POWERLINE

SCHULTZ