Flash Flood Warning 43, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 100321
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1014 PM CDT THU JUN 9 2005

MOC105-100745-
LACLEDE MO-
1014 PM CDT THU JUN 9 2005

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR LACLEDE COUNTY UNTIL 245 AM
CDT...

AT 1010 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THAT NEARLY FOUR INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN EXTREME NORTHEAST LACLEDE 
COUNTY NEAR STOUTLAND AND SLEEPER...ESPECIALLY ALONG JORDAN 
CREEK...SANDY CREEK...AND DRY AUGLAIZE CREEK ALONG THE 
CAMDEN...LACLEDE COUNTY LINE. ALL OF THE WATER FLOWS INTO CAMDEN 
COUNTY...BUT SEVERAL LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE AFFECTED BY THE 
HEAVY RAINFALL OVERNIGHT.

SOME OF THE AFFECTED LOW WATER CROSSINGS ARE...

ROUTE BB...ALONG THE AUGLAIZE CREEK.
AND ROUTE FF...ALONG BEAR CREEK.

&&

DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE POWER OF FLOOD WATERS. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF
RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER CAN QUICKLY CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE.

$$

JLT

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 100553
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1245 AM CDT FRI JUN 10 2005

MOC105-100603-
LACLEDE MO-
1245 AM CDT FRI JUN 10 2005

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR LACLEDE COUNTY HAS
BEEN CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL BE REPLACED WITH A FLOOD WARNING. 

ALTHOUGH RUNOFF FROM THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL HAS ENDED...AND THE 
THREAT OF RAPID WATER LEVEL RISES HAS SUBSIDED...FLOODING WILL 
LIKELY CONTINUE ALONG SOME SMALL CREEKS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS.

IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL 
LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

$$

FOSTER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
249 PM CDT THU JUN 9 2005

.DISCUSSION...

AIRMASS OVER MOST OF THE CWA HAS STABILIZED IN THE WAKE OF OUTFLOW
FROM AN OVERNIGHT MCS THAT BROUGHT ANOTHER ROUND OF WELCOMED
RAINFALL TO THE REGION. DEWPOINTS HAVE DROPPED MIDDLE 60S OVER ALL
BUT FAR SOUTHERN MISSOURI WITH A CU-LESS SKY NOTED ON VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGERY. A DIFFERENT STORY TOWARD THE AR BORDER WHERE A
HUMID AND INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS REMAINED IN THE VICINITY OF
THE OLD GUST FRONT. SOUTHERLY WINDS WERE ADVECTING 70F DEWPOINTS
BACK INTO THE AREA WITH A VIGOROUS CU FIELD AND EVEN A FEW CELLS
BEGINNING TO DEVELOP. SLOW MOVING PULSE STORMS WILL BE THE
CONVECTIVE MODE WITH ANY ACTIVITY THAT DOES MANAGE TO OVERCOME THE
OVERALL LACK OF FORCING IN THE AREA. FOR THIS EVENING...WILL GO WITH
A 30 POP BASED ON SCATTERED COVERAGE GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF
I-44 (FIGURING NORTHWARD ADVECTION OF HIGHER THETA-E IS LIKELY GIVEN
15-20 KNOTS OF SOUTHERLY FLOW THIS AFTERNOON). ANY STORMS SHOULD
GRADUALLY DISSIPATE BY MID EVENING.

BROAD SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW WILL CONTINUE A VERY DIFFICULT
FORECAST ON THE MESOSCALE OVER THE NEXT 72 HOURS AS SUBTLE
SHORTWAVES IN THE SOUTHERN STREAM PROVIDE THE IMPETUS FOR
STRONGER/SEVERE CONVECTION WITH FOCI BEING AN UNKNOWN NUMBER AND
LAYOUT OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM PRIOR CONVECTION. WITH THAT
SAID...LOW CHANCE POPS (HIGHEST AFTERNOON/EVENING) CERTAINLY
WARRANTED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS GIVEN UNCERTAINTY AND LARGE
MODEL DISPARITY WITH SURFACE AND UPPER LEVEL MASS FIELDS. AT THIS
TIME...SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING APPEARS TO BE THE BEST SHOT OF
SEVERE WEATHER OF WRN MO/SE KS AS A FAIRLY POTENT NEGATIVE TILT
UPPER TROUGH IS PROGGED TO SWING ACROSS THE PLAINS.

STILL EXPECTING T.S. ARLENES PRESENCE TO ALTER THE SCENARIO AS WE
HEAD INTO NEXT WEEK...AND WILL MAINTAIN YESTERDAYS THINKING THAT
MOST LIKELY TRACK WOULD RESULT IN LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE OVER THE
REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK.

NEGLECTING MESOSCALE EFFECTS ON PRECIP/CLOUD COVER...HIGHS IN THE
MID-UPPER 80S AND LOWS IN THE MID-UPPER 60S GENERALLY LOOK ON TRACK
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP ALONG
AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ALONG THE ARKANSAS BORDER...BUT EXPECT THIS
ACTIVITY TO REMAIN SOUTH OF JOPLIN AND SPRINGFIELD FOR NOW.
SCATTERED CUMULUS OF 3000 TO 4000 FEET WILL SLOWLY ADVECT BACK INTO
THE KSGF TERMINAL AREA AFTER 21Z THROUGH SUNSET...WITH VFR
CONDITIONS PREVAILING. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 15 KNOTS WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.MO...NONE.
.KS...NONE.

BOOKBINDER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
450 PM CDT THU JUN 9 2005

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-101800-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
450 PM CDT THU JUN 9 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. SOME STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING:
    FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
    HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS.
    WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.
    AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

  THE GREATEST THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING WILL BE
  ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI...GENERALLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM JOPLIN
  TO OSAGE BEACH.

  DISCUSSION:

  THE AIRMASS HAD BECOME INCREASINGLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE ACROSS
  SOUTHERN MISSOURI LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THIS INSTABILITY WILL
  INTERACT WITH OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES PUSHING NORTH OF OUT ARKANSAS TO
  PRODUCE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. A FEW OF THESE STORMS
  WILL BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE WITH HAIL AND DAMAGING DOWNBURST
  WINDS POSSIBLE. THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER SHOULD DIMINISH AFTER
  SUNSET.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

  BROAD SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL
  DISTURBANCES ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY.
  INCREASING TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL ALLOW FOR STRONG TO
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...WITH THE GREATEST THREAT
  AT THIS TIME EXPECTED OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK
  AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  DUE TO THE ISOLATED NATURE OF THE SEVERE WEATHER...SPOTTER
  ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

BOOKBINDER/FOSTER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
700 PM CDT THU JUN 9 2005

MOZ058-071-100100-
MARIES-PHELPS-
700 PM CDT THU JUN 9 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN MARIES AND PHELPS
COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM CDT...

AT 656 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES EAST OF
VIENNA TO 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF DOOLITTLE TO NEWBURG...OR ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 15 MILES NORTH OF ROLLA TO 12 MILES NORTHWEST OF ROLLA
TO 12 MILES WEST OF ROLLA. THESE STORMS WERE NEARLY STATIONARY.

THESE STORMS WILL BE...
  5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF VIENNA BY 725 PM CDT.

PEOPLE IN CENTRAL MARIES AND CENTRAL PHELPS COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
CITIES OF NEWBURG AND DOOLITTLE...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER
SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO
TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE
STORMS.

IF YOU SEE THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHING...SEEK SHELTER INDOORS
AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IZZI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
746 PM CDT THU JUN 09 2005

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0721 PM     HAIL             FLEMINGTON              37.80N 93.52W
06/09/2005  1.00 INCH        POLK               MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0736 PM     TSTM WND GST     8 E STOCKTON            37.70N 93.66W
06/09/2005  60 MPH           CEDAR              MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            60 MPH THUNDERSTORM GUST AND PEA SIZE HAIL.

0738 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BRINKTOWN               38.13N 92.08W
06/09/2005                   MARIES             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN.

BOOKBINDER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
746 PM CDT THU JUN 9 2005

MOZ068-100145-
HICKORY-
746 PM CDT THU JUN 9 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HICKORY COUNTY UNTIL 845 PM
CDT...

AT 742 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTH OF
URBANA TO WEAUBLEAU...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 22 MILES WEST OF
CAMDENTON TO 17 MILES NORTHWEST OF BOLIVAR...AND MOVING NORTH AT 10
MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE
STORMS.

IZZI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
750 PM CDT THU JUN 9 2005

MOZ066-100145-
VERNON-
750 PM CDT THU JUN 9 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR VERNON COUNTY UNTIL 845 PM CDT...

AT 747 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS FROM WEAKENING THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES NORTH OF EL DORADO SPRINGS TO 5 MILES NORTH
OF ARCADIA...AND MOVING NORTHWEST AT 35 MPH.

WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS OUTFLOW BOUNDARY.

IZZI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
815 PM CDT THU JUN 9 2005

MOZ055-100215-
BENTON-
815 PM CDT THU JUN 9 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BENTON COUNTY UNTIL 915 PM CDT...

AT 812 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTH OF
WHEATLAND TO 11 MILES NORTH OF HERMITAGE TO 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF
MACKS CREEK...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

SMALL HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

IZZI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
823 PM CDT THU JUN 09 2005

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 PM     HEAVY RAIN       8 E STOCKTON            37.70N 93.66W
06/09/2005  2.50 INCH        CEDAR              MO   BROADCAST MEDIA

            2.50 INCHES OF RAIN IN ONE HOUR.

0814 PM     HAIL             5 NW WARSAW             38.30N 93.44W
06/09/2005  0.88 INCH        BENTON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

BOOKBINDER