Flash Flood Warning 8, NWS Raleigh, NC

000 
WGUS72 KRAH 281916
FFSRAH

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
310 PM EDT TUE JUN 28 2005

NCC065-282030-
EDGECOMBE NC-
310 PM EDT TUE JUN 28 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 430 PM EDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
EDGECOMBE COUNTY...

AT 304 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN AND THE POTENTIAL FOR 
FLASH FLOODING OVER THE WARNED AREA.

RADAR INDICATES 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN MAY HAVE FALLEN OVER PORTIONS 
OF SOUTHEAST EDGECOMBE COUNTY AND ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WITH 
RAINFALL RATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES AN HOUR ARE MOVING ACROSS THE SAME 
AREA FROM THE SOUTH.

TOWN CREEK AND OTTER CREEK EAST OF PINETOPS ARE ESPECIALLY 
VULNERABLE TO FLOODING FROM THESE HEAVY RAINS.

COMMUNITIES IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO FOUNTAIN 
FORK...PRINCEVILLE...PINETOPS...CONETOE...SPEED AND TARBORO.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE 
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS 
SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY. 
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 3569 7767 3583 7738 3590 7735 3600 7739
      3593 7768

$$

RFG

000 
WGUS72 KRAH 282004
FFSRAH

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
359 PM EDT TUE JUN 28 2005

NCC065-282009-
EDGECOMBE NC-
359 PM EDT TUE JUN 28 2005

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN EDGECOMBE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY OVER EDGECOMBE 
COUNTY SINCE 330 PM THIS AFTERNOON AND HAVE ALLOWED RUNOFF TO SLOW 
AND REDUCE THE CHANCE OF FLOODING ON AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS.  RAIN 
WILL CONTINUE...HOWEVER...AND WATER ON HIGHWAYS MAY STILL CAUSE 
HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.  CAUTION IS ADVISED DURING THE EVENING 
COMMUTE AND TRAFFIC DELAYS CAN BE EXPECTED.

LAT...LON 3569 7767 3583 7738 3590 7735 3600 7739
      3593 7768

$$

RFG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
200 PM EDT TUE JUN 28 2005

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...
DEEP FEED OF TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PRECIP WILL BE SUSTAINED OVERNIGHT BY
UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE CONVERGENCE. KRAX
HAS BEEN SWITCHED TO TROPICAL Z-R RELATIONSHIP AS STORMS WILL BE
EFFICIENT RAIN PRODUCERS. A FLOOD WATCH WILL BE ISSUED FOR THE
ENTIRE AREA THROUGH 5 AM. THE FLOOD THREAT COULD CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AIR MASS...BUT WILL LET THE MID
SHIFT EXTEND IT IF NECESSARY.

UPPER DIVERGENCE WEAKENS ON WEDNESDAY BUT BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE REMAINS HIGH...SO CATEGORICAL POPS WILL BE CONTINUED.
DRYING BEGINS ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE ATLANTIC RIDGE MOVES FARTHER
EAST...ALLOWING THE TROUGH OVER THE TN VALLEY TO PROGRESS EAST AS
WELL. THIS GIVES A MORE WESTERLY WIND COMPONENT ALOFT...CUTTING OFF
THE DEEP MOISTURE FEED AND DECREASING POPS FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH
THURSDAY. HOWEVER WITH MORE SUN WE WILL ALSO SEE MORE INSTABILITY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...SO WILL HAVE POPS AS HIGH CHANCE WEST/LIKELY
EAST.

A CLOSED LOW CROSSING ONTARIO WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE OHIO
VALLEY ON FRIDAY AND ACROSS THE CAROLINAS ON FRIDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF
THE FRONT THE AIR MASS WILL BE UNSTABLE WITH PLENTY OF HEATING
(LOWER/MID 90S) AND RESUIDAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE (DEWPOINTS AROUND
70). WITH STEEPENING LAPSE RATES ALOFT THERE WILL BE A GOOD CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE. THE FRONT PASSES
THORUGH ON FRIDAY NIGHT AND SHOULD BE THROUGH THE AREA BY 10Z
SATURDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THIS PERIOD...SHOWING HIGH PRESSURE
FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST BUILDING OVER THE STATE AND THE COLD FRONT
SETTLING ACROSS UPSTATE SC. THIS BRINGS LOWER DEWPOINTS AND SLIGHTLY
COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND...LOWS MID/UPPER 60S AND HIGHS
MID/UPPER 80S. MORE SURFACE BASED STABILITY AND BUILDING HEIGHTS
ALOFT WILL REDUCE PRECIP CHANCES TO LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGY. ON MONDAY
AND TUESDAY THE FLOW BECOMES MORE SOUTHERLY AND A WARMING TREND
BEGINS. SHOULD STILL REMAIN DRY WITH A WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AND THE
UPPER RIDGE ACROSS THE GULF COAST.

&&

.AVIATION...
CONDITIONS VARYING BETWEEN MVFR TO LIFR ACROSS CENTRAL NC THROUGH
04Z DUE TO SCATTERED/NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND T-STORMS. AREAS OF
SHOWERS/ISOLATED T-STORMS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH
CEILINGS MAINLY IN THE LIFR CATEGORY EXPECTED AFTER 04Z AND
PERSISTING THROUGH 14Z WED.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FLOOD WATCH FOR ENTIRE CWA TO 5
AM.
&&

SHORT TERM/LONG TERM...DGS
AVIATION...WSS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
234 PM EDT TUE JUN 28 2005

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-290900-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-
WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-
ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
234 PM EDT TUE JUN 28 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT FROM SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE IN EFFECT THROUGH 5 AM
WEDNESDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR CONTINUED HEAVY RAIN FROM SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH
MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED.

AFTER WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH DAY SEVEN... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER
IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE NEEDED. HOWEVER...ANY
REPORTS OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER SHOULD BE RELAYED PROMPTLY TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

RFG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1030 AM EDT TUE JUN 28 2005

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-282100-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-
WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-
ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON...
WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...
HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...
NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO...
RALEIGH...SMITHFIELD...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY...
SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...
ROCKINGHAM...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON
1030 AM EDT TUE JUN 28 2005

...HEAVY RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...

OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. THE STORMS WILL PRODUCE
VERY HEAVY RAIN AND MAY MOVE REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREAS.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD REACH BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES IN AN HOUR.
THIS COULD RESULT IN SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN
AREAS.

AREA RESIDENTS SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST WEATHER CONDITIONS. IF
HEAVY RAINS OR FLOODING ARE OBSERVED OR A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS
ISSUED...BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

DGS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1033 AM EDT TUE JUN 28 2005

NCZ073-074-083-084-281630-
ANSON-MONTGOMERY-RICHMOND-STANLY-
1033 AM EDT TUE JUN 28 2005

...AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL MOVE ACROSS RICHMOND...
MONTGOMERY...STANLY AND ANSON COUNTIES THROUGH 1230 PM EDT...

AT 1028 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN PIEDMONT OF CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA FROM SOUTH CAROLINA. THE SHOWERS AND STORMS WERE MOVING
NORTH AT 15 MPH.

THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL OVERSPREAD SECTIONS OF ANSON AND
RICHMOND COUNTIES BETWEEN 11 AM AND 12 NOON...AND PARTS OF STANLY
AND MONTGOMERY COUNTIES BETWEEN 12 NOON AND 1 PM. SINCE THE AIRMASS
IS VERY MOIST...THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL PRODUCE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS AROUND AN INCH IN LESS THAN AN HOUR. THIS WILL RESULT IN
EXTENSIVE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS...AND POSSIBLY LOCALIZED
FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS.

IF YOU SEE LIGHTNING OR HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE AT RISK OF BEING
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. DONT TAKE ANY CHANCES....TAKE SHELTER
IMMEDIATELY.

WSS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
209 PM EDT TUE JUN 28 2005

NCZ007>010-023>026-040-041-075>077-084>086-088-282015-
ALAMANCE-CHATHAM-CUMBERLAND-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-GRANVILLE-HARNETT-HOKE-
LEE-MOORE-ORANGE-PERSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-VANCE-WAKE-WARREN-
209 PM EDT TUE JUN 28 2005

...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL DRIFT NORTH ACROSS
SECTIONS OF THE SANDHILLS AND NORTHEAST PIEDMONT THROUGH THROUGH
415 PM EDT...

AT 209 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN ABOUT 20 MILES EITHER
SIDE OF HIGHWAY 1. THE SHOWERS AND STORMS WERE DRIFTING SLOWLY TO
THE NORTH NORTHEAST. DUE TO THE SHOWERS AND STORMS SLOW MOVEMENT AND
THE VERY  MOIST AIRMASS IN PLACE...THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL
PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNT BETWEEN AN INCH TO AN INCH AND A HALF IN
LESS THAN AN HOUR. THE HEAVIER SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY PRODUCE
BETWEEN 2 AND 3 INCHES IN 60 MINUTES.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS
INCLUDE...SOUTHERN PINES... CARTHAGE... RAEFORD... LILLINGTON...
SANFORD... PITTSBORO...RALEIGH... DURHAM... HENDERSON...OXFORD AND
WARRENTON.

DONT WAIT UNTIL YOU SEE THE FIRST LIGHTNING FLASH BEFORE HEADING TO
SAFETY. INSTEAD...MOVE INDOORS AT THE FIRST SIGN OF THREATENING SKIES
OR THE FIRST SOUND OF THUNDER. MAKE SURE THAT LIGHTNING IS WELL AWAY
FROM YOUR LOCATION BEFORE RESUMING OUTDOOR ACTIVITY.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS EXCEEDING ONE INCH IS EXPECTED
IN MOST AREAS THROUGH 4 PM. MOTORISTS SHOULD DRIVE WITH CAUTION TO
AVOID HYDROPLANING. MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS... CREEKS...
STREAMS AND SOME ROADS CAN BE EXPECTED.

WSS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
218 PM EDT TUE JUN 28 2005

NCZ028-043-078-281930-
EDGECOMBE NC-WAYNE NC-WILSON NC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GOLDSBORO...MOUNT OLIVE...
TARBORO AND WILSON
218 PM EDT TUE JUN 28 2005

A RAGGED LINE OF SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE SLOWLY WEST INTO
MOUNT OLIVE...GOLDSBORO...TARBORO...AND INTO EASTERN WILSON COUNTY
AROUND STANTONSBURG AND SARATOGE BY 230 PM. THESE STORMS
WILL PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS RANGING UP TO 2
INCHES AS THEY PASS. MINOR FLOODING ON ROADS AND LOW LYING AREAS IS
POSSIBLE. SOME ROADS WHICH MAY EXPERIENCE SOME FLOODING INCLUDE THE
CORRIDORS OF ROUTES 111 AND 117 IN WAYNE COUNTY AND ALONG ROUTE 258
IN EDGECOMBE COUNTY.

PEOPLE LIVING IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER
AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT LIVES AND PROPERTY. DRIVERS
SHOULD BE ALERT FOR WATER ON THE ROADS AND REDUCE SPEEDS TO AVOID
HYDROPLANING.