Severe Thunderstorm Warning 91, NWS Pueblo, CO

000 
WWUS55 KPUB 252137
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
337 PM MDT SAT JUN 25 2005

COC011-252245-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0091.000000T0000Z-050625T2245Z/
BENT CO-
337 PM MDT SAT JUN 25 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR EASTERN BENT COUNTY 
UNTIL 445 PM MDT...

AT 332 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
SHOW A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL. 
THIS STORM WAS CENTERED NEAR HASTY...OR ABOUT 21 MILES WEST OF
LAMAR...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
NORTHEASTERN BENT COUNTY...INCLUDING CADDOA AND HASTY.

IF POSSIBLE...WITHOUT RISKING YOUR SAFETY...PROTECT PROPERTY BEFORE
THE WEATHER HITS. GET IN A STURDY STRUCTURE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR...OR A BASEMENT CAN OFFER THE BEST
PROTECTION.

HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE HIGH WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS AND POSSIBLE
FLASH FLOODS. IF WATER IS ACROSS YOUR PATH...DO NOT CROSS IT. THE
PATH OR ROAD MAY BE WASHED OUT...AND THEREFORE THE WATER WILL BE MUCH
DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.

LAT...LON 3793 10318 3785 10298 3824 10273 3824 10299

$$

000 
WWUS55 KPUB 252149
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
349 PM MDT SAT JUN 25 2005

COC011-252245-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0091.000000T0000Z-050625T2245Z/
BENT CO-
349 PM MDT SAT JUN 25 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR EASTERN BENT COUNTY 
UNTIL 445 PM MDT...

AT 346 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
SHOW A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL. 
THIS STORM WAS CENTERED NEAR HASTY...OR ABOUT 18 MILES WEST OF
LAMAR...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
NORTHEASTERN BENT COUNTY...INCLUDING HASTY.

IF POSSIBLE...WITHOUT RISKING YOUR SAFETY...PROTECT PROPERTY BEFORE
THE WEATHER HITS. GET IN A STURDY STRUCTURE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR...OR A BASEMENT CAN OFFER THE BEST
PROTECTION.

HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE HIGH WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS AND POSSIBLE
FLASH FLOODS. IF WATER IS ACROSS YOUR PATH...DO NOT CROSS IT. THE
PATH OR ROAD MAY BE WASHED OUT...AND THEREFORE THE WATER WILL BE MUCH
DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.

LAT...LON 3793 10318 3785 10298 3824 10273 3824 10299

$$

000 
WWUS55 KPUB 252201
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
401 PM MDT SAT JUN 25 2005

COC011-252245-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0091.000000T0000Z-050625T2245Z/
BENT CO-
401 PM MDT SAT JUN 25 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR EASTERN BENT
COUNTY UNTIL 445 PM MDT...

AT 359 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
SHOW A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL. 
THIS STORM WAS CENTERED NEAR HASTY...OR ABOUT 21 MILES WEST OF
LAMAR...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
EASTERN BENT COUNTY...INCLUDING HASTY.

IF POSSIBLE...WITHOUT RISKING YOUR SAFETY...PROTECT PROPERTY BEFORE
THE WEATHER HITS. GET IN A STURDY STRUCTURE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR...OR A BASEMENT CAN OFFER THE BEST
PROTECTION.

HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE HIGH WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS AND POSSIBLE
FLASH FLOODS. IF WATER IS ACROSS YOUR PATH...DO NOT CROSS IT. THE
PATH OR ROAD MAY BE WASHED OUT...AND THEREFORE THE WATER WILL BE MUCH
DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.

LAT...LON 3793 10318 3785 10298 3824 10273 3824 10299

$$

000 
WWUS55 KPUB 252213
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
413 PM MDT SAT JUN 25 2005

COC011-252245-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0091.000000T0000Z-050625T2245Z/
BENT CO-
413 PM MDT SAT JUN 25 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR EASTERN BENT COUNTY 
UNTIL 445 PM MDT...

AT 408 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
SHOW A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL. 
THIS STORM WAS CENTERED NEAR HASTY...OR ABOUT 20 MILES WEST OF
LAMAR...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
EASTERN BENT COUNTY...INCLUDING HASTY.

IF POSSIBLE...WITHOUT RISKING YOUR SAFETY...PROTECT PROPERTY BEFORE
THE WEATHER HITS. GET IN A STURDY STRUCTURE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR...OR A BASEMENT CAN OFFER THE BEST
PROTECTION.

HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE HIGH WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS AND POSSIBLE
FLASH FLOODS. IF WATER IS ACROSS YOUR PATH...DO NOT CROSS IT. THE
PATH OR ROAD MAY BE WASHED OUT...AND THEREFORE THE WATER WILL BE MUCH
DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.

LAT...LON 3793 10318 3785 10298 3824 10273 3824 10299

$$

000 
WWUS55 KPUB 252226
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
425 PM MDT SAT JUN 25 2005

COC011-252245-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0091.000000T0000Z-050625T2245Z/
BENT CO-
425 PM MDT SAT JUN 25 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR EASTERN BENT COUNTY 
UNTIL 445 PM MDT...

AT 421 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
SHOW A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL. 
THIS STORM WAS CENTERED NEAR JOHN MARTIN RESERVOIR...OR ABOUT 25
MILES WEST OF LAMAR...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...
  OVER JOHN MARTIN RESERVOIR BY 430 PM MDT.
  OVER HASTY BY 445 PM MDT.

CADDOA IS ALSO IN THE PATH OF THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.

IF POSSIBLE...WITHOUT RISKING YOUR SAFETY...PROTECT PROPERTY BEFORE
THE WEATHER HITS. GET IN A STURDY STRUCTURE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR...OR A BASEMENT CAN OFFER THE BEST
PROTECTION.

HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE HIGH WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS AND POSSIBLE
FLASH FLOODS. IF WATER IS ACROSS YOUR PATH...DO NOT CROSS IT. THE
PATH OR ROAD MAY BE WASHED OUT...AND THEREFORE THE WATER WILL BE MUCH
DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.

LAT...LON 3793 10318 3785 10298 3824 10273 3824 10299

$$

000 
WWUS55 KPUB 252239
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
438 PM MDT SAT JUN 25 2005

COC011-252248-
/O.CAN.KPUB.SV.W.0091.000000T0000Z-050625T2245Z/
BENT CO-
438 PM MDT SAT JUN 25 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN BENT COUNTY HAS
BEEN CANCELED...

AT 438 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THAT...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF 
LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN...THE WEATHER NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE 
THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY IN THIS AREA.

LAT...LON 3793 10318 3785 10298 3824 10273 3824 10299

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
157 PM MDT SAT JUN 25 2005

.SHORT TERM...
(TONIGHT AND SUNDAY)

CURRENTLY...THE COMBINATION OF THE DAILY HEATING CYCLE...ABUNDANT
ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE AND AN APPROACHING SHORT WAVE OVER NORTHERN NEW
MEXICO IS ALLOWING ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO BE
NOTED ACROSS THE CWA TODAY.

EXPECT THAT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED OR GREATER COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD CONTINUE WELL INTO TONIGHT...WITH THE MAIN
THREAT FROM THE STRONGER STORMS BEING LOCALLY VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...
DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS AND POSSIBLY SOME
SEVERE SIZE HAIL STONES.

BY SUNDAY...EXPECT A LESS ACTIVE DAY AS ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE LEVELS
BEGIN TO DROP WHILE THE UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO REBUILD TO OUR SOUTH.
WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED POPS...BUT OVERALL I AM
NOT EXPECTING AS MUCH COVERAGE OR INTENSITY AS EXPECTING TODAY.
MINIMUM AND MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RUN AT TO SLIGHTLY
ABOVE CLIMATOLOGICAL AVERAGES TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

.LONG TERM...
(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)

MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGES FOR NEXT WEEK WILL BE THE POTENTIAL
FOR TSTM DEVELOPMENT GIVEN THE POSSIBLE WEATHER PATTERN.

MON THROUGH SAT...MODELS ARE ALL SUGGESTING THE NRN STREAM JET
WILL TAKE HOLD OF THE NORTHERN US WITH THE HOT MID/UPPER HIGH
RE-ESTABLISHING ITSELF JUST TO OUR SOUTH OVER NM AND OLD MEXICO.
THE WEAKER SRN STREAM JET WILL LIKELY BE DIRECTLY OVER THE CNTRL
ROCKIES THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. TEMPS IN AND AROUND THE
MID/UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM ARE PROJECTED TO BE PRETTY
HOT....H7 +16C TO +20C. THE PLACEMENT OF THIS MID/UPPER LEVEL
HIGH DOES SUGGEST THE FLOW TO BE MORE SW-WLY...BUT THE BIGGEST
QUESTION IS THE AVAILABLE MOISTURE FOR TSTM DEVELOPMENT. THE GFS80
CONTINUES TO BE SOMEWHAT STINGY WITH ITS QPF...WHILE THE 06Z/25
DGEX CONTINUES TO DEVELOP...OR IN SOME CASES BLOW UP...SHRA/TSRA
OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND ERN CO EACH DAY. LOOKING AT THE 12Z/25
GFS80 MODEL SOUNDINGS...JUST ABOUT EVERY DAY THERE IS A MOISTURE
LAYER BETWEEN H6 AND H4/H3. THIS IS CERTAINLY ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR
SHRA/TSRA TO FORM OVER THE MOUNTAINS GIVEN THE LACK OF ANY
CAPPING INVERSION. GFS80 H7-H5 LAPSE RATES ARE MODERATE-
STRONG...7.5-9.5 C/KM...EACH AFTN/EVE. THE POTENTIAL POSITION OF
THE MID/UPPER HIGH OR RIDGE WOULD SUPPORT MINOR SHORTWAVE TROUGHS
RIPPLING THROUGH THE SRN STREAM FLOW. MEANWHILE GIVEN THE
POTENTIAL SYNOPTIC PATTERN...THERE COULD BE A LOWER TROP/SFC
FRONTAL BOUNDARY LURKING NEAR ERN CO AND CNTRL PLAINS. IF ALL OF
THESE PARAMETERS COME INTO PLACE...THE CONCEPTUALLY THE NERN QUAD
OF THE MID/UPPER HIGH WOULD BE THE ZONE OF MCS ACTIVITY...MAINLY
EVERY AFTN/EVE FOR ERN CO. ISOLD-SCT TSTM FORM OVER THE HIGH
COUNTRY AND THEN EVOLVE INTO A MCS ACROSS ERN CO AND CNTRL PLAINS
AS THE LLJ CRANKS UP. THIS WOULD RESULT IN LOW LEVEL BOUNDARY
SURGES IN AND OUT OF ERN CO IN RESPONSE TO THE MESOSCALE OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES. SO...WITH ALL OF THIS IN MIND...WILL MAINTAIN LOW TO
VERY LOW POPS FOR MUCH OF THE CWA...ESPECIALLY GIVEN IT IS LATE
JUNE/EARLY JULY. TEMPS SHOULD REMAIN AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE
READINGS.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

77/17

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
700 AM MDT SAT JUN 25 2005

COZ058>089-093>099-261300-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7500 FT-CROWLEY COUNTY-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW 7500 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN 7500
AND 11000 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
700 AM MDT SAT JUN 25 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

ONE OR TWO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY...MAINLY NORTH AND
EAST OF A LINE FROM COLORADO SPRINGS...TO LA JUNTA...TO SPRINGFIELD.
THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER
AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

OVER THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED. THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP OVER THE MOUNTAINS BY LATE MORNING...AND WILL MOVE EAST OUT
ONTO THE PLAINS BY MID AFTERNOON. THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ON THE
PLAINS SHOULD END BY LATE EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY...THEN WILL BECOME MORE ISOLATED
IN NATURE FOR MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...BRIEF
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL...WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH AND HAIL AROUND
1/2 INCH IN DIAMETER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS...MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF A
LINE FROM COLORADO SPRINGS...TO LA JUNTA...TO SPRINGFIELD
...AFTER 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON.