Alert archive / Colorado / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 102, NWS Pueblo, CO

June 30, 2005Bent County, Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 30, 2005, 9:14 PM MDT for Bent County, Colorado. It was in force for 48 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 30, 2005, 9:14 PM MDT (03:14 UTC)
Expired: Jun 30, 2005, 10:02 PM MDT
In force: 48 min
Issued by: NWS Pueblo, CO
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Bent County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 127 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 00:00Z, 3.2 hours before the alert went out and 223 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 676 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -16 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2843 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -18 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: -20 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: -0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS55 KPUB 010314
SVRPUB
COC011-010415-
/O.NEW.KPUB.SV.W.0102.050701T0314Z-050701T0415Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
914 PM MDT THU JUN 30 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN BENT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

* UNTIL 1015 PM MDT.

* AT 910 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS CENTERED NEAR
  JOHN MARTIN RESERVOIR...OR 23 MILES WEST OF LAMAR...AND WAS MOVING
  SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
  SOUTHEASTERN BENT COUNTY.

IF POSSIBLE...WITHOUT RISKING YOUR SAFETY...PROTECT PROPERTY BEFORE
THE WEATHER HITS. GET IN A STURDY STRUCTURE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR...OR A BASEMENT CAN OFFER THE BEST
PROTECTION.

LAT...LON 3806 10297 3794 10318 3765 10302 3765 10274
      3791 10274

$$

2 follow-up statements

000 
WWUS55 KPUB 010338
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
938 PM MDT THU JUN 30 2005

COC011-010415-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0102.000000T0000Z-050701T0415Z/
BENT CO-
938 PM MDT THU JUN 30 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR SOUTHEASTERN BENT
COUNTY UNTIL 1015 PM MDT...

AT 937 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
SHOW A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HALF DOLLAR SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
CENTERED 20 MILES SOUTHEAST OF JOHN MARTIN RESERVOIR...OR ABOUT 20
MILES SOUTHWEST OF LAMAR...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
SOUTHEASTERN BENT COUNTY.

LAT...LON 3806 10297 3794 10318 3765 10302 3765 10274
      3791 10274

$$

000 
WWUS55 KPUB 010402
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1003 PM MDT THU JUN 30 2005

COC011-010413-
/O.CAN.KPUB.SV.W.0102.000000T0000Z-050701T0415Z/
BENT CO-
1003 PM MDT THU JUN 30 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN BENT COUNTY HAS
BEEN CANCELED...

AT 959 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THAT THE SEVERE WEATHER HAS
MOVED OUT OF THIS AREA AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO
LIFE OR PROPERTY.

LAT...LON 3806 10297 3794 10318 3765 10302 3765 10274
      3791 10274

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 30, 2:45 PM MDT, 6 hours 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 30, 2:45 PM MDT, 6 hours 29 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
245 PM MDT THU JUN 30 2005

.SHORT TERM...
(TONIGHT AND FRIDAY)

MAIN CONCERN IS PCPN COVERAGE. DEW POINTS ACRS THE SERN PLAINS THIS
AFTERNOON RANGE FROM AROUND 40 NR THE MTS TO THE LOWER 50S NR THE
KS BORDER.  DRIER AIR REMAIN OVR THE WRN AREAS WHERE DEW POINTS ARE
IN THE UPR TEENS TO MID 20S. CU IS CURRENTLY OVR AND NR THE MTS...
BUT SO FAR ONLY A FEW SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED. VWP OFF KPUX SHOWS
SERLY UPSLOPE UP TO ABOUT 10000 FT MSL AND THIS IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THRU THE EVENING HOURS. EARLY THIS EVENING CAPE VALUES ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 500-1000 J/KG NR THE ERN MTS TO AROUND 2000
J/KG OVR BACA COUNTY...AND THE 0-6KM BULK SHEARS SHOULD BE 40-50KT.
THUS THERE IS STILL THE POTENTIAL FOR A COUPLE STORMS TO BECOME
SEVERE. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP OVR THE
ERN MTS AND THEN SPREAD EWRD...WL GO WITH JUST ISOLD COVERAGE. WL
ALSO INCREASE PCPN COVERAGE OVR THE NRN SAN LUIS VALLEY.  MODELS
INDICATE SOME PCPN CONTINUING INTO THE LATE NIGHT HOURS OVR THE FAR
SERN PLAINS. CURRENT GRIDS ALREADY HAVE THIS COVERED. LATE TONIGHT
LOW LVL RH VALUES OVR PORTIONS OF THE SERN PLAINS HINT AT LOW CLOUD
DEVELOPMENT.

ON FRIDAY LOOKS AS THOUGH MSTR WL BE SOMEWHAT LIMITED AND THE LOW LVL
UPSLOPE DOES NOT LOOK AS DEEP OR STRONG.  HOWEVER WE SHOULD AGAIN
SEE SOME ISOLD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON
HOURS...MAINLY OVR THE ERN MTS AND PLAINS.  CAPE VALUES ARE FORECAST
TO RANGE FROM 500-1000 J/KG NR THE ERN MTS TO AROUND 2500 J/KG OVR
BACA AND PROWERS COUNTIES.  0-6KM BULK SHEAR SHOULD BE A LITTLE
WEAKER AT 35-40 KTS. CANNOT RULE OUT THE POSSIBILITY OF ONE OR TWO
SEVERE STORMS.

DRY AND WARM WEATHER OVR WRN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA REMAINS
A CONCERN WITH RESPECT TO FIRE WEATHER.  HOWEVER...WITH WINDS BELOW
CRITERIA AND A LACK OF EXPECTED THUNDERSTORMS HIGHLIGHTS STILL NOT
NECESSARY.

.LONG TERM...
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)

METEOROLOGICAL ISSUES IN THE LONG TERM APPEARS TO BE TIMING OF
PROJECTED FRONTAL PASSAGE SUNDAY NIGHT AND HOW ACTIVE OF A PATTERN IS
IN STORE FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO NEXT WEEK.

LATEST LONGER TERM MODELS INDICATE THAT UPPER HIGH WILL BE CENTERED
OVER NORTHWEST OLD MEXICO SATURDAY INTO MONDAY BEFORE MAKING ITS WAY
EAST INTO THE SOUTHERN ARIZONA/SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO REGION FROM LATER
MONDAY INTO NEXT THURSDAY.

AT THE SURFACE...A RELATIVELY HEALTHY NORTHERLY SURGE IS STILL
EXPECTED TO PUSH ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY EVENING SETTING REGION UP...
ESPECIALLY EASTERN SECTIONS...WITH DAILY MOIST LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE
FLOW COMBINED WITH THE ZONAL TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TO ALLOW THE
DEVELOPMENT OF BASICALLY DAILY MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS...THE STRONGEST OF WHICH WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG WITH A SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
AS DISCUSSED IN PREVIOUS FEW DISCUSSIONS.

EXPECT MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES TO RUN ABOVE CLIMATOLOGICAL AVERAGES BOTH
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AND THEN COOL DOWN TO AROUND AND/OR SLIGHTLY
BELOW CLIMATOLOGICAL VALUES FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE LONG TERM.
GRADIENT WINDS STILL PROJECTED TO REMAIN RELATIVELY LIGHT FOR THE
MAJORITY OF THE LONG TERM WHICH SHOULD HELP IN SUPPRESSING THE FIRE
WEATHER THREAT...WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 30, 7:00 AM MDT, 14 hours 14 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
700 AM MDT THU JUN 30 2005

COZ058>089-093>099-011300-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7500 FT-CROWLEY COUNTY-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW 7500 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN 7500
AND 11000 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
700 AM MDT THU JUN 30 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS
AFTER NOON...AND MOVE OFF INTO THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS AFTER 100 PM.  A
FEW STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE
PRIMARY THREATS.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THUNDERSTORMS. HEAVY RAINFALL
COULD CAUSE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING IN SUSCEPTIBLE LOCATIONS SUCH AS
URBAN AREAS AND BURN SCARS.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MOSQUITO RANGE AND
PORTIONS OF THE SAN LUIS VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON WHERE THE PRIMARY
THREATS WILL BE DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

A FEW MORE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST
MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  THE MAIN THREATS
FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...HEAVY RAIN
AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

OVER THE WEEKEND...THERE WILL BE FEWER STORMS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE WEATHER WILL DECREASE.  THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DRIER...WITH THE
MAIN THREATS BEING STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LIGHTNING.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH EASTERN COLORADO SUNDAY NIGHT.  THIS
FRONT WILL SIGNAL A CHANGE TO A MORE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS
SOUTHERN COLORADO...BEGINNING ON THE FOURTH OF JULY...AND CONTINUING
MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.  A PROLONGED PERIOD OF LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW...
COUPLED WITH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...WILL RESULT IN DAILY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.  A FEW STORMS EACH DAY WILL LIKELY BE
SEVERE...PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...HEAVY RAIN...AND
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
LIKELY ACROSS SOUTHEAST COLORADO AFTER 2 PM.

KT/LW

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 30, 5:43 PM MDT, 3 hours 31 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
543 PM MDT THU JUN 30 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0458 PM     HAIL             3 SE MONUMENT           39.04N 104.82W
06/30/2005  0.88 INCH        EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            REPORTED HAIL RANGING BETWEEN 1/2 INCH TO 1 1/4 INCH

0502 PM     HAIL             4 SE MONUMENT           39.03N 104.80W
06/30/2005  1.00 INCH        EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0528 PM     HAIL             FALCON                  38.93N 104.62W
06/30/2005  0.88 INCH        EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0541 PM     HAIL             FALCON                  38.93N 104.62W
06/30/2005  1.00 INCH        EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

Local storm report, Jun 30, 6:26 PM MDT, 2 hours 48 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
626 PM MDT THU JUN 30 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0605 PM     HAIL             2 NW ELLICOTT           38.86N 104.41W
06/30/2005  1.00 INCH        EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL COVERED THE GROUND

0610 PM     HAIL             2 NNE ELLICOTT          38.87N 104.37W
06/30/2005  1.00 INCH        EL PASO            CO   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

WFORTUNE

Local storm report, Jun 30, 8:07 PM MDT, 1 hour 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
807 PM MDT THU JUN 30 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0759 PM     HAIL             7 NE COLORADO SPRINGS   38.91N 104.73W
06/30/2005  0.75 INCH        EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0802 PM     HAIL             8 NE COLORADO SPRINGS   38.92N 104.72W
06/30/2005  1.00 INCH        EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MN

Local storm report, Jun 30, 8:49 PM MDT, 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
849 PM MDT THU JUN 30 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0846 PM     HAIL             2 W LAS ANIMAS          38.07N 103.26W
06/30/2005  1.00 INCH        BENT               CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0848 PM     HAIL             2 NW ELLICOTT           38.86N 104.41W
06/30/2005  0.75 INCH        EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 30, 7:45 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PUB	El Paso	60 min
Jun 30, 8:20 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PUB	Bent, Kiowa, Otero	55 min
Jun 30, 8:42 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PUB	El Paso	60 min
Jun 30, 9:31 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PUB	Baca, Prowers	90 min
Jun 30, 9:53 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PUB	Crowley	53 min
Jun 30, 10:35 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PUB	Kiowa	32 min
Jul 1, 5:57 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PUB	Crowley, Kiowa	63 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Colorado, 2005 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.