Flash Flood Warning 28, NWS Phoenix, AZ

000 
WGUS75 KPSR 030543
FFSPSR

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
1034 PM MST TUE AUG 2 2005

AZC013-030645-
MARICOPA AZ-
1034 PM MST TUE AUG 2 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CENTRAL AND WESTERN MARICOPA COUNTY...
   INCLUDING THE GREATER PHOENIX AREA WEST TO WICKENBURG...
   TONOPAH...AND THE SURROUNDING DESERTS AND MOUNTAINS...REMAINS IN 
   EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM...

AT 1030 PM...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN WERE 
STILL DEVELOPING OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE GREATER PHOENIX 
AREA...AND OVER THE REMOTE DESERTS AND MOUNTAINS BETWEEN BUCKEYE AND 
TONOPAH NORTH TO WICKENBURG.  THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WERE 
MOVING WEST TOWARD THE LA PAZ AND YUMA COUNTY LINES IN WESTERN 
ARIZONA.

RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR HAVE LEAD TO NUMEROUS 
REPORTS OF FLOODING AND WATER RESCUES IN THE GREATER PHOENIX AREA.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO YOUNGTOWN...
WITTMANN...WADDELL...TONOPAH...SURPRISE...SUN CITY WEST...SUN CITY...
PHOENIX...PEORIA...MORRISTOWN...LUKE AFB...LITCHFIELD PARK...
GLENDALE...EL MIRAGE...CIRCLE CITY AND BEARDSLEY.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL 
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

LAT...LON 3330 11307 3304 11254 3334 11222 3325 11199
      3386 11202 3395 11280

$$

HV

AZZ020>028-CAZ030>033-031100-

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
940 PM MST TUE AUG 2 2005

SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
FORECAST DISCUSSION

.SYNOPSIS...
MONSOON CONDITIONS OVER THE SOUTHWEST WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
SEVEN DAYS. THIS MEANS THERE WILL BE A THREAT OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AT MOST PLACES EACH DAY...WITH THE GREATEST CHANCES
BEING DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. HOWEVER...STORM
CHANCES WILL DECREASE OVER SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA AND FAR WESTERN
ARIZONA COMPARED TO RECENT DAYS...WHILE SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA HAS AN
IMPROVED CHANCE...MOST NOTABLY TONIGHT. MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES ARE NOT
ANTICIPATED TO CHANGE MUCH FROM DAY TO DAY...EXCEPT IN LOCALES WHICH
RECEIVE SIGNIFICANT RAIN.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
CONTINUED WEAKNESS ALOFT (300 MB AND ABOVE) AS MINOR EASTERLY WAVES
FROM NEW MEXICO AND NORTH CENTRAL MEXICO MOVE INTO AZ...COMBINED
WITH PLENTIFUL MONSOON MOISTURE...WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT FOR
MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EARLY NIGHTTIME THUNDERSTORMS...SOME SEVERE...
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. IT WILL BE HARD
TO DISCERN EXACTLY WHERE THE STORMS WILL DEVELOP EACH DAY.

FORECASTS HAVE ALREADY BEEN UPDATED FOR CURRENT WEATHER AND TRENDS
THE REMAINDER OF TONIGHT CONSIDERING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTH
CENTRAL AZ WILL PROPAGATE WEST THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
&&

.AVIATION...
DISCUSSION FOR 06Z TAFS. THUNDERSTORMS WITH DOWNBURST AND WIND SHEAR
POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE IN THE KPHX AND KIWA TERMINAL AREAS THROUGH
08Z.

TAFS FOR KPHX...KIWA...KYUM...KIPL...AND KBLH ADEQUATELY DESCRIBE
EXPECTED WEATHER CONDITIONS.

AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDED TAFS.

&&

.PSR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

AZ...NONE.

CA...NONE.

VASQUEZ

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX IS ON THE INTERNET AT

WEATHER.GOV/PHOENIX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
540 AM MST TUE AUG 2 2005

AZZ020>023-025>028-CAZ031>033-030700-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-WEST CENTRAL DESERTS-
NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY-GREATER PHOENIX AREA-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST DESERTS-
SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY-
NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-RIVERSIDE COUNTY/EASTERN DESERTS-
IMPERIAL COUNTY-
540 AM PDT TUE AUG 2 2005 /540 AM MST TUE AUG 2 2005/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA...NOT TO INCLUDE THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO THIS
EVENING. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL WHICH COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. THE STRONGEST
STORMS COULD ALSO PRODUCE WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH...ALONG WITH
DENSE BLOWING DUST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

VERY LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED IN THE WEATHER PATTERN THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEK AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE JUST ABOUT ANY
DAY...WITH FLASH FLOODING AGAIN THE MAIN THREAT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

AZZ024-030700-
SOUTHERN GILA/TONTO NF FOOTHILLS-
540 AM MST TUE AUG 2 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN PORTIONS OF
SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ONCE
AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING. THE MAIN THREAT
FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH COULD LEAD TO
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. THE STRONGEST STORMS COULD ALSO PRODUCE
WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 45 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

VERY LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED IN THE WEATHER PATTERN THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEK AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE JUST ABOUT ANY DAY...WITH FLASH
FLOODING AGAIN THE MAIN THREAT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

CAZ030-030700-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
540 AM PDT TUE AUG 2 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK IN
SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ONCE
AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING. THE MAIN THREAT
FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH COULD LEAD TO
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. THE STRONGEST STORMS COULD ALSO PRODUCE
WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 45 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

VERY LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED IN THE WEATHER PATTERN THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEK AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE JUST ABOUT ANY DAY...WITH FLASH
FLOODING AGAIN THE MAIN THREAT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

ESTLE