Special Marine Warning 49, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
835 PM EDT WED APR 27 2005

.UPDATE...
WAS WAITING FOR SOME PRETTY STRONG TSRAS TO EXIT NJ ARND LTL EGG
INLET B4 ISSUING UPDATE. AS CDFNT APCHS THE CST IT APRS THIS IS OCRG
AND WE WILL REMOVE THE MENTION OF PCPN. THE REST OF THE OVRNGT FCST
LOOKS REASONABLE AND WON/T BE CHGD.

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...SCA ON THE OCEAN AND LOWER DEL BAY...ANZ450>455-431

&&

TFG

PREV AFD *********************************************************

.SHORT/LONG TERM...
A FEW SHOWERS HAVE POPPED UP DURING THE LAST HOUR OR TWO...SO WILL
CARRY CHC POPS THRU EARLY EVENING. STILL A POSSIBILITY OF AN
ISOLATED TSTM. THEN A W TO NW FLOW OF DRIER AIR MOVES IN AND SKIES
BEGIN TO CLEAR. THURSDAY WILL BE A FAIR WEATHER DAY WITH PARTLY SUNNY
SKIES AS THE WEAK AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS TO OUR SOUTH.
CLOUDS WILL ROLL BACK IN THURSDAY NIGHT ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE
HIGH...BUT WILL HOLD THE PRECIPITATION OFF UNTIL FRIDAY AS THE
WARM FRONT PUSHES NORTH. THERE MAY ACTUALLY BE VERY LITTLE IN THE
WAY OF PRECIPITATION FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY...BUT CAN NOT RULE
OUT A FEW SHOWERS...SO WILL CARRY A MINIMUM CHANCE IN THOSE PERIODS.
A STRONG COLD FRONT...ASSOCIATED WITH LOW PRESSURE MOVING NORTHEAST
FROM THE OHIO VALLEY...WILL CROSS THE FORECAST AREA LATE SATURDAY
INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. THE FRONT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...WHICH WILL END DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS
SUNDAY. SUNDAY WILL TURN OUT TO BE THE BETTER OF THE TWO WEEKEND
DAYS...WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES. HIGH
PRESSURE MOVING FROM WEST TO EAST TO OUR SOUTH WILL SUPPLY GENERALLY
FAIR WEATHER THROUGH MIDWEEK...ALTHOUGH A SHORT WAVE ROTATING
AROUND THE UPPER LOW TO OUR NORTH MAY BRING A FEW SHOWERS TO OUR
NORTHERN ZONES MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
JUST ABOUT ALL OF THE LEFTOVER LOW CLOUDS FROM LAST NIGHT WILL HAVE
LIFTED INTO STRATOCU THIS AFTN. SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS HAD FORMED ON
RADAR BUT MOST OF THESE WERE ISOLATED AND THERE WAS NO LIGHTNING
INDICATED. EVEN SO, AN ISOLATED TSTM COULD STILL FORM. OTHERWISE, VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THU.

&&

.MARINE...
THE GRADIENT BEHIND THE FRONT INCREASES TONIGHT. WINDS AT 1000 FT
ARE FCST TO BE 25 KT LATE TONIGHT. WITH THE COLDER TEMPS DEVELOPING,
THE AIR SHOULD GET CLOSE TO THE WATER TEMP ALLOWING SOME OF THE
GRADIENT TO MIX DOWN. THEREFORE, WINDS SHOULD BE GUSTING TO 25 KT ON
THE OCEAN AND LWR DEL BAY LATE TONIGHT AND SCA WILL BE ISSUED FOR
THE OCEAN AND LOWER BAY.

&&

SHORT/LONG TERM...RPW
AVIATION/MARINE...RNS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
515 AM EDT WED APR 27 2005

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-281000-
ATLANTIC NJ-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY NJ-BERKS PA-BUCKS PA-CAMDEN NJ-
CAPE MAY NJ-CARBON PA-CAROLINE MD-CECIL MD-CHESTER PA-
COASTAL ATLANTIC NJ-COASTAL OCEAN NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-DELAWARE PA-
DELAWARE BEACHES DE-EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-GLOUCESTER NJ-HUNTERDON NJ-
INLAND SUSSEX DE-KENT MD-KENT DE-LEHIGH PA-MERCER NJ-MIDDLESEX NJ-
MONROE PA-MONTGOMERY PA-MORRIS NJ-NEW CASTLE DE-NORTHAMPTON PA-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-OCEAN NJ-PHILADELPHIA PA-QUEEN ANNES MD-
SALEM NJ-SOMERSET NJ-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-SUSSEX NJ-TALBOT MD-
WARREN NJ-WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALLENTOWN...ATLANTIC CITY...BETHLEHEM...
CAMDEN...DOVER...NEW BRUNSWICK...NEWARK...PERTH AMBOY...
PHILADELPHIA...READING...TRENTON...VINELAND AND WILMINGTON
515 AM EDT WED APR 27 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA, DELAWARE, THE NORTHERN MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE AND NEW
JERSEY, EXCLUDING THE FIVE NORTHEAST COUNTIES.

.DAY ONE...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

KRUZDLO

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
403 PM EDT WED APR 27 2005

NJZ013-014-020-026-272203-
COASTAL OCEAN NJ-EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-OCEAN NJ-WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
403 PM EDT WED APR 27 2005

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SOME WITH HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL CONTINUE TO
AFFECT OCEAN COUNTY AND MOVE INTO PARTS OF EASTERN MONMOUTH COUNTY
DURING THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF HALF AN INCH TO
ONE INCH IN ONE HOUR WILL CAUSE SOME POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING AND
PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS. IN ADDITION SOME CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING WILL ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS. PLEASE HEAD
INDOORS AT THE FIRST SIGN OF THREATENING WEATHER AND BE WARY WHILE
DRIVING LATE THIS AFTERNOON ON ROADS THAT ARE PRONE TO POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING.

TFG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
534 PM EDT WED APR 27 2005

NJZ013-014-020-026-027-280000-
COASTAL OCEAN NJ-EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-OCEAN NJ-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
534 PM EDT WED APR 27 2005

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL CONTINUE TO
AFFECT FAR SOUTHEASTERN SECTIONS OF BURLINGTON COUNTY AND EASTERN
SECTIONS OF OCEAN AND MONMOUTH COUNTIES BETWEEN NOW AND 7 PM. MOST OF
THE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO THEN MOVE OFFSHORE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
HALF AN INCH TO ONE INCH IN ONE HOUR WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE SOME POOR
DRAINAGE FLOODING AND PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS. IN
ADDITION CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS. PLEASE HEAD INDOORS AT THE FIRST SIGN OF THREATENING
WEATHER. PLEASE BE WARY WHILE DRIVING LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
THIS EVENING ON ROADS THAT ARE PRONE TO POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING.

TFG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
720 PM EDT WED APR 27 2005

NJZ020-022-025>027-280119-
ATLANTIC NJ-COASTAL ATLANTIC NJ-COASTAL OCEAN NJ-OCEAN NJ-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATLANTIC CITY
720 PM EDT WED APR 27 2005

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY DOWNPOURS, FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING AND PEA TO MARBLE SIZE HAIL WILL MOVE FROM EXTREME EASTERN
ATLANTIC COUNTY NORTH OF ABSECON EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN TIP
OF BURLINGTON COUNTY AND THEN ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHERN OCEAN COUNTY.
PERSONS SHOULD BE WARY FOR THREATENING WEATHER AND HEAD INDOORS
QUICKLY.

TFG