Severe Thunderstorm Warning 71, NWS Pittsburgh, PA

000 
WWUS51 KPBZ 112030
SVSPBZ

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
428 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2005

PAC051-112038-
/O.CAN.KPBZ.SV.W.0071.000000T0000Z-050611T2045Z/
FAYETTE PA-
428 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2005


...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR FAYETTE COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THUNDERSTORMS OVER FAYETTE COUNTY HAVE WEAKENED BUT WILL CONTINUE TO 
PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN.  

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...STRONG WINDS OR WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1-877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN
DO SO SAFELY.

BE ESPECIALLY ALERT FOR EXTREME RAINFALL WHICH COULD CAUSE RAPID
FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS AND SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS. DO NOT
DRIVE THROUGH ANY FLOODED ROADWAY.

LAT...LON 3992 7992 3996 8002 4001 8000 3999 7994
      4003 7987 4008 7990 4010 7984 4011 7985
      4012 7989 4012 7989 4012 7974 4007 7960
      4014 7948 4004 7931 3990 7941 3985 7942
      3981 7936 3978 7940 3972 7940 3972 7992

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
307 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2005

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD STAY MAINLY OVER RIDGES THROUGH THIS
EVENING. WILL KEEP JUST SMALL CHANCE POPS ALL ZONES TONIGHT. WILL
ALSO MENTION POSSIBLE HEAVY RAIN WITH THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE
MOUNTAIN DUE TO POTENT PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES JUXTAPOSITIONED WITH
OROGRAPHIC LIFTING MECHANISMS.

CHANCE POPS MENTIONED AGAIN FOR SUNDAY...PRETTY MUCH A REPEAT OF
TODAY.

&&

.LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
EXPECT AN INCREASE IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AS REMNANTS
OF ARLENE MOVE ACROSS PARTS OF THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY...AS SHOWN BY
BOTH NAM AND GFS MODELS.

AS FOR TUESDAY ON...BOTH GFS AND ECMWF MODELS SHOW A FAIRLY
POTENT SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY LATE
WEEK...EMBEDDED IN A NORTHWEST UPPER FLOW. SO EXPECT TEMPERATURES
TO GO COOLER THAN NORMAL BY NEXT WEEKEND WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
EXPECT SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS AROUND 3000 FEET TO PERSIST UNTIL
SUNSET WITH CIRRUS ABOVE. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD REMAIN
CONCENTRATED MAINLY OVER THE RIDGES THROUGH THIS EVENING. NO MENTION
OF THUNDER AT TERMINAL LOCATIONS BUT CUMULONIMBI SHOULD BE VISIBLE
FROM LBE DURING REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON. ALSO EXPECT AREAS OF
MVFR VISIBILITY IN HAZE INTO TONIGHT...WITH PATCHY IFR CONDITIONS IN
FOG LATE TONIGHT.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
453 AM EDT SAT JUN 11 2005

MDZ001-OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ007>009-013>016-020>023-
029>032-WVZ001>004-012-021>023-041-111100-
ALLEGHENY PA-ARMSTRONG PA-BEAVER PA-BELMONT OH-BROOKE WV-BUTLER PA-
CARROLL OH-CLARION PA-COLUMBIANA OH-COSHOCTON OH-FAYETTE PA-
FOREST PA-GARRETT MD-GREENE PA-GUERNSEY OH-HANCOCK WV-HARRISON OH-
INDIANA PA-JEFFERSON PA-JEFFERSON OH-LAWRENCE PA-MARION WV-
MARSHALL WV-MERCER PA-MONONGALIA WV-MONROE OH-MUSKINGUM OH-NOBLE OH-
OHIO WV-PRESTON WV-TUCKER WV-TUSCARAWAS OH-VENANGO PA-WASHINGTON PA-
WESTMORELAND PA-WETZEL WV-
453 AM EDT SAT JUN 11 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA
EAST CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA AND
GARRETT COUNTY MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

AS THE MOISTURE FROM THE REMNANTS OF ARLENE MOVES IN ON MONDAY
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY. SOME HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE
POSSIBLE AND THIS MAY REQUIRE THE ISSUANCE OF A FLOOD WATCH. IN
ADDITION THERE WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY OF GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL WITH
THESE STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED FOR TODAY.