Alert archive / Indiana / Tornado Warnings in 2005

Tornado Warning 12, NWS Paducah, KY

November 6, 2005Posey County, Indiana; Henderson County, Kentucky

NWS Paducah, KY issued this tornado warning at Nov 6, 2005, 1:32 AM CST for Posey County, Indiana; Henderson County, Kentucky. It was in force for 28 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Nov 6, 2005, 1:32 AM CST (07:32 UTC)
Expired: Nov 6, 2005, 2:00 AM CST
In force: 28 min
Issued by: NWS Paducah, KY
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Posey County, IN, Henderson County, KY

The radar

The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 44 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Nov 6, 1:00 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	85 min

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 215 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 101 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -94 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1315 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 153 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 250 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WFUS53 KPAH 060732
TORPAH
INC129-KYC101-060800-
/O.NEW.KPAH.TO.W.0012.051106T0732Z-051106T0800Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
132 AM CST SUN NOV 6 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH KENTUCKY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  WESTERN HENDERSON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY.
  POSEY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA.

* UNTIL 200 AM CST.

* AT 128 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 8 MILES
  SOUTHWEST OF MOUNT VERNON...OR ABOUT 21 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CARMI...
  MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

* THE TORNADO IS EXPECTED TO BE...
  7 MILES NORTHWEST OF GENEVA BY 140 AM CST.
  NEAR HEUSLER AND 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF HENDERSON BY 145 AM CST.
  8 MILES NORTHWEST OF SPOTTSVILLE BY 155 AM CST.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

LAT...LON 3767 8743 3765 8773 3777 8777 3791 8793
      3785 8792 3782 8792 3779 8799 3790 8807
      3790 8806 3813 8782 3809 8771 3783 8767
      3787 8758 3797 8761 3797 8759 3792 8751
      3794 8741 3789 8731 3782 8733 3778 8728

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Nov 5, 2:55 PM CST, 10 hours 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 5, 2:55 PM CST, 10 hours 37 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
255 PM CST SAT NOV 5 2005

.DISCUSSION...

THE PRIMARY CONCERN FOR THE IMMEDIATE TERM IS THE CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS...SOME POSSIBLY SEVERE...TONIGHT.

LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES A FAST-MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH
MOVING INTO CENTRAL KANSAS AS OF MID AFTERNOON. NEAR-RECORD WARMTH
HAS HELPED TO BOOST SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON TO
MINIMAL LEVELS. IN ADDITION...THE 18Z SOUNDING FROM KSGF DOES
INDICATE A SIGNIFICANT CAPPING INVERSION JUST ABOVE 850 MB. THIS
INVERSION IS INITIALLY EXPECTED TO INHIBIT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
THROUGH MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...AS THE UPPER-LEVEL WAVE
PUSHES EAST INTO THE MISSOURI OZARKS THIS EVENING...A COOLING MID
LEVEL TEMPERATURE PROFILE SHOULD LEAD TO RAPID THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF THE EASTWARD ADVANCING COLD
FRONT. ONCE THE STORMS DEVELOP...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
ACTIVITY GIVEN THE 35 TO 40 KNOT 0-3KM WIND SHEAR FORECAST. A MOST
LIKELY SCENARIO WOULD BE FOR SUPERCELL AND MULTICELL DEVELOPMENT AT
THE ONSET...WITH THE ENTIRE CONGLOMERATION FOCUSING INTO A FAST-
MOVING LINE WITH EMBEDDED BOWING SEGMENTS AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES.
WHILE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...
DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BECOME THE PRIMARY CONCERN OVERNIGHT. GENERAL
MOVEMENT WILL BE EAST AT 40 TO 50 MPH. FOR MORE DETAILS ON SEVERE
STORM POTENTIAL...PLEASE REFERENCE PRODUCTS FROM THE FOLKS AT SPC.

BY 12Z SUNDAY...THE COLD FRONT WILL BE EXITING EASTERN SECTIONS OF
THE AREA...TAKING ANY LINGERING PRECIPITATION WITH IT. WITH
LINGERING MOISTURE IN THE 925-850MB LAYER...SCATTERED CUMULUS
DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED BY LATE MORNING...WITH THE BEST COVERAGE
OVER SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND ADJACENT AREAS. WINDS WILL ALSO BE A
FACTOR BOTH TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 10 TO 20
MPH BOTH PERIODS...AND SOME GUSTS NEAR 25 MPH ON SUNDAY.

DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD PERSIST INTO BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS
TEMPERATURES MODERATE THROUGH THE PERIOD. THERE IS SOME CONCERN OVER
THE POTENTIAL FOR PRECIPITATION MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY FROM THE
ONSET OF WARM ADVECTION. HOWEVER...IT LOOKS AS THOUGH THE BEST
CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL STAY TO OUR NORTH...SO WE WILL KEEP
CONDITIONS DRY FOR NOW.

A GREAT DEAL OF UNCERTAINTY DEVELOPS IN THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE
FORECAST BEYOND TUESDAY. THE 06Z RUNS OF BOTH THE GFS AND NAM
INDICATE ANOTHER FRONTAL PASSAGE WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
THESE MODELS THEN PLACE THE AREA IN A COOL NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...WITH INCREASED CLOUDS ACCOMPANYING THE
PASSAGE OF AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND SURFACE FRONT ABOUT FRIDAY. A
DRASTIC CHANGE FROM THE PREVIOUS RUNS...THE 12Z GFS LINGERS THE MID
WEEK PRECIP CHANCE INTO THURSDAY...WITH THE REGION IN PREDOMINANT
WEST/SOUTHWEST FLOW THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THIS WOULD RESULT
IN A BETTER CHANCE OF WARM ADVECTION RAINS BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

DUE TO THIS LOW CONFIDENCE...WE PREFER TO GO STATUS QUO FOR THIS
FORECAST PACKAGE UNTIL MORE CONSISTENCY BECOMES APPARENT IN THE
MODELS. BECAUSE OF THIS...WE WILL TAKE AN AVERAGE OF THE MOS
GUIDANCE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS...WHICH WILL RESULT IN A SLIGHT
UPWARD REVISION OF TEMPERATURES LATE INTO THE WEEK AND OVER THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND. MOS ALSO LOOKS REASONABLE IN THE SHORT-TERM...AND
VERY LITTLE CHANGE TO THE GOING TEMPERATURE FORECAST IS NEEDED.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 5, 11:21 AM CST, 14 hours 11 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1121 AM CST SAT NOV 5 2005

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-061100-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...FAIRFIELD...ALBION...
MOUNT CARMEL...PINCKNEYVILLE...WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO...
CARMI...CARBONDALE...MURPHYSBORO...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...
SHAWNEETOWN...JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...
CAIRO...MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...FORT BRANCH...PETERSBURG...
POSEYVILLE...EVANSVILLE...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...HICKMAN...
CLINTON...BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND...
BENTON...MURRAY...MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...PRINCETON...
MORGANFIELD...DIXON...MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...HENDERSON...
OWENSBORO...CALHOUN...GREENVILLE...ELKTON...PERRYVILLE...
MARBLE HILL...CAPE GIRARDEAU...JACKSON...PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN...
DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON...CHARLESTON...
NEW MADRID
1121 AM CST SAT NOV 5 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST
INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN
MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS THIS AFTERNOON...AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
TONIGHT. IT APPEARS THAT THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL EVOLVE INTO A LINE
AND ADVANCE FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT...ALONG
AND JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. WIND SPEEDS IN
ALL LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE RATHER STRONG WHEN THE FRONT
MOVES THROUGH...SO DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT. IN
ADDITION...THERE IS A SMALL RISK OF MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.

THE COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD BE
EAST OF THE ENTIRE AREA BY ABOUT DAYBREAK SUNDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.

CN

In the hours before

Local storm report, Nov 5, 10:25 PM CST, 3 hours 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1025 PM CST SAT NOV 05 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1010 PM     HAIL             5 W VAN BUREN           37.01N 91.10W
11/05/2005  0.75 INCH        CARTER             MO   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED 5 MILES WEST OF VAN BUREN BY THE
            COUNTY SHERIFF.

&&

DLL

Local storm report, Nov 5, 11:44 PM CST, 1 hour 48 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1144 PM CST SAT NOV 05 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1055 PM     TSTM WND DMG     TUCKER                  36.54N 91.07W
11/05/2005                   RIPLEY             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN...WIND EST. 60 MPH PLUS

&&

MY

Local storm report, Nov 6, 12:11 AM CST, 1 hour 21 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1211 AM CST SUN NOV 06 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1145 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ORAN                    37.08N 89.65W
11/05/2005                   SCOTT              MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

DLL

Local storm report, Nov 6, 12:51 AM CST, 41 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1251 AM CST SUN NOV 06 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1055 PM     TSTM WND DMG     16 W DONIPHAN           36.62N 91.11W
11/05/2005                   RIPLEY             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            JUST SOUTH OF TUCKER - ISOLATED EXTENSIVE WIND DAMAGE TO
            HOUSE, BARN, AND BOAT. SEVERAL TREES DOWN.

&&

RLS

Local storm report, Nov 6, 1:23 AM CST, 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
123 AM CST SUN NOV 06 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1259 AM     TSTM WND GST     1 N METROPOLIS          37.17N 88.71W
11/06/2005  52 MPH           MASSAC             IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DLL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Nov 6, 1:16 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Posey	29 min
Nov 6, 1:46 AM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Vanderburgh	29 min
Nov 6, 1:59 AM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Warrick	46 min
Nov 6, 2:11 AM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Spencer	34 min
Nov 6, 1:20 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Carlisle, Hickman	25 min
Nov 6, 1:35 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Graves	40 min
Nov 6, 1:46 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Crittenden	25 min
Nov 6, 1:48 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Livingston, McCracken, Marshall	42 min
Nov 6, 2:07 AM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Webster	38 min
Nov 6, 2:28 AM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Daviess, McLean	52 min
Nov 6, 2:40 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Trigg	50 min
Nov 6, 2:55 AM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Christian, Trigg	50 min
Nov 6, 3:16 AM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Muhlenberg, Todd	44 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Indiana, 2005 Tornado Warnings in Kentucky, 2005 Every tornado warning in 2005 Tornadoes in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.