Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 79, NWS Paducah, KY

May 13, 2005Johnson County, Illinois

NWS Paducah, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 13, 2005, 8:10 PM CDT for Johnson County, Illinois. It was in force for 35 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 13, 2005, 8:10 PM CDT (01:10 UTC)
Expired
May 13, 2005, 8:45 PM CDT
In force
35 min
Issued by
NWS Paducah, KY
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Johnson County, IL

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 45 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
May 13, 7:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 00:00Z, 1.2 hours before the alert went out and 300 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2005-05-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2005-05-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 94 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1542 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
94 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
192 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 13, 2:30 PM CDT, 5 hours 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 13, 2:30 PM CDT, 5 hours 40 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
230 PM CDT FRI MAY 13 2005

.DISCUSSION...

NEAR TERM FORECAST CHALLENGE IS ONGOING STRONG-SVR TSMS IN MAINLY
ERN 1/2 OF PAH FA. 12Z META PICKED UP NICELY ON THIS CONVECTIVE
OUTBREAK AND MID PM CONFERENCE CALL W/SPC HAS RESULTED IN SVR TSM
WATCH TIL 8 PM FOR MAINLY WKY-SWIN AND FAR SE IL. WL SEND NEW
PACKAGE SOON W/UPDATED HEADLINES ETC.

AFTER THE PM/EARLY EVENING ROUND...ATTENTION WILL BE REFOCUSED TO
THE WEST...AS COLD FRONT AND ITS ASSOCIATED CONVECTION APPROACH.
EXPECT SOMEWHAT OF A MID EVENING LULL...THEN CATEGORICAL POPS AFT
MIDNIGHT FOR MOST OF FA AS FRONT MOVES IN. SLGT RISK OF SVR
CONTINUES W/INCOMING FRONT...ALTHOUGH TIME OF NIGHT MAY? HELP OUT A
LITTLE. MODELS HAVE BEEN FAIRLY INSISTENT ON A LATE NIGHT-EARLY SAT
AM FRONT MOVE THRU HEART OF FA...W/MOST PCPN ENDING FROM THE WEST BY
MIDDAY...AND CHANCE ONLY LINGERING IN EAST AS FRONT DEPARTS.
HOWEVER...12Z ETA HAS SLOWED DOWN ABOUT 1-3 HOURS ON TIMING OF
FRONT...DUE TO SHARPER DIG OF UPPER TROF...AND SINCE IT INITIALIZED
SO WELL...WEVE SLIGHTLY ADJUSTED THE GRIDS TO ACCOUNT FOR A GFS/ETA
COMPROMISE APPROACH. THE NET RESULT IS ABOUT THE SAME...A PRIMARILY
CATEGORICAL EVENT FOCUSED LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TOMORROW...ENDING
TOMORROW PM AS THE FRONT MOVES EAST BY 00Z SUN.

AFTER THAT THE ONLY OTHER MINOR MODEL CHANGE IS A COOLER POST
FRONTAL SIGNAL...NOT TOO SURPRISING AS THE ETA HINTS AT A SHAPER DIG
OF THE TROF AND THE MODELS START TO GRASP THE COLD AIR BEHIND THE
FRONT A LITTLE BETTER. THEREFORE WELL ADJUST THE GRIDS/TEMPS
DOWNWARD OR AT LEAST IN THE DIRECTION OF THE LATEST MEX MOS
SUGGESTIONS FOR THE MEDIUM TO LONG RANGE. NEAR TERM MOS IS NOT TOO
DISSIMILAR AND HAD ONLY MINOR TWEEKS.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...SVR TSM WATCH #287 ALL COUNTIES TIL 8 PM.
MO...NONE.
IL...SVR TSM WATCH #287 EXTREME SERN IL COUNTIES TIL 8 PM.
IN...SVR TSM WATCH #287 ALL COUNTIES TIL 8 PM.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, May 13, 4:18 AM CDT, 15 hours 52 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
418 AM CDT FRI MAY 13 2005

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-100-
107>112-114-141000-
ALEXANDER IL-BALLARD KY-BOLLINGER MO-BUTLER MO-CALDWELL KY-
CALLOWAY KY-CAPE GIRARDEAU MO-CARLISLE KY-CARTER MO-CHRISTIAN KY-
CRITTENDEN KY-DAVIESS KY-EDWARDS IL-FRANKLIN IL-FULTON KY-
GALLATIN IL-GIBSON IN-GRAVES KY-HAMILTON IL-HARDIN IL-HENDERSON KY-
HICKMAN KY-HOPKINS KY-JACKSON IL-JEFFERSON IL-JOHNSON IL-
LIVINGSTON KY-LYON KY-MARSHALL KY-MASSAC IL-MCCRACKEN KY-MCLEAN KY-
MISSISSIPPI MO-MUHLENBERG KY-NEW MADRID MO-PERRY MO-PERRY IL-PIKE IN-
POPE IL-POSEY IN-PULASKI IL-RIPLEY MO-SALINE IL-SCOTT MO-SPENCER IN-
STODDARD MO-TODD KY-TRIGG KY-UNION KY-UNION IL-VANDERBURGH IN-
WABASH IL-WARRICK IN-WAYNE MO-WAYNE IL-WEBSTER KY-WHITE IL-
WILLIAMSON IL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SIKESTON...POPLAR BLUFF...PERRYVILLE...
CAPE GIRARDEAU...PADUCAH...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...CARMI...
CARBONDALE...CAIRO...OWENSBORO...MURRAY...MAYFIELD...HOPKINSVILLE...
EVANSVILLE...MADISONVILLE AND HENDERSON
418 AM CDT FRI MAY 13 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND WESTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. A FEW STRONG STORMS MAY
DEVELOP AND PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY LATE...AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE...WITH
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING SATURDAY MORNING. ISOLATED
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN A POSSIBILITY...WITH
DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL THE MAIN HAZARDS. THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD END
FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE DAY SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED TODAY...TONIGHT AND EARLY
SATURDAY.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 13, 7:41 PM CDT, 29 minutes before
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Local storm report, May 13, 7:42 PM CDT, 28 minutes before
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Local storm report, May 13, 7:43 PM CDT, 27 minutes before
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Local storm report, May 13, 7:48 PM CDT, 22 minutes before
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Local storm report, May 13, 7:58 PM CDT, 12 minutes before
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Local storm report, May 13, 8:07 PM CDT, 3 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 13, 7:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHAlexander, Union67 min
May 13, 7:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHPulaski46 min
May 13, 7:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHWilliamson50 min
May 13, 7:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHScott23 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Illinois, 2005Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.