Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 28, NWS Paducah, KY

April 12, 2005Edwards County, Illinois

NWS Paducah, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 12, 2005, 12:53 PM CDT for Edwards County, Illinois. It was in force for 52 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 12, 2005, 12:53 PM CDT (17:53 UTC)
Expired
Apr 12, 2005, 1:45 PM CDT
In force
52 min
Issued by
NWS Paducah, KY
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Edwards County, IL

The radar

The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 34 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Apr 12, 11:05 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 5.9 hours before the alert went out and 198 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2005-04-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 15 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2005-04-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -102 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
15 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-10 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
589 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-102 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-222 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 12, 4:40 AM CDT, 8 hours 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 12, 4:40 AM CDT, 8 hours 13 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
440 AM CDT TUE APR 12 2005

.DISCUSSION...

WSR88D RADARS SHOWED ONGOING BAND OF SHWS AND TSTMS WAS ON A
DIMINISHING TREND AS A +50 KT MID LEVEL JET AHEAD OF A MID LEVEL LOW
WAS WANING. ASSOCIATED SFC FRONT WAS JUST ENTERING THE WEST EDGE OF
THE FCST AREA AND MOVING EAST. CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING
FOR THE ERN HALF OF THE AREA WITH PERHAPS A CLAP OR TWO OF
THUNDER...BEFORE MOVING AWAY. AS THE LOW ROTATES TOWARD THE QUAD
STATE REGION TODAY FROM THE WEST...THERE SHOULD BE A TEMPORARY
REPRIEVE FROM THE RAIN. BY LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...THE MID
LEVEL LOW WILL BE DIRECTLY OVER US...BRINGING 500MB TEMPS BELOW -20
DEG C. THIS COMBINED WITH SOME SFC HEATING/REDUCTION IN CLOUD COVER
MAY RESULT IN ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR SOME HAIL STORMS TO DEVELOP
INTO THE EVENING HOURS. AS THE COLD CORE MOVES AWAY AND NRLY/NERLY
WINDS KICK IN ON WED...A 50/50 CHC OF SHWS WILL LINGER DURING THE
DAY. THE ONLY REAL TWEAK IN THE FCST PACKAGE WAS TO SHAVE OFF THE
CHCS OF RAIN IN THE NWRN QUADRANT IN THE AFTERNOON ON WED...AND
DIMINISH THE TSTM CHCS A BIT FOR THE WEST HALF. IN FACT...IT/S
LOOKING MORE AND MORE LIKE JUST SHWS WED. FURTHER ADJUSTMENTS MAY BE
IN ORDER LATER TODAY. RAIN SHOULD END OVER MOST OF THE REGION WED
NITE...AND A BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL PROVIDE A DRY PATTERN
THRU THE WEEKEND. VERY LATE IN THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK...NRN
STREAM S/WV ENERGY FLIRTS WITH THE FCST AREA BUT ATTM WILL HOLD THE
DRY FCST THRU DAY7 FOR NOW.

ALTHOUGH THE MODELS WERE IN DECENT AGREEMENT NEAR TERM...GFS WAS
JUDGED THE FAVORITE. TEMP GUIDANCE NUMBERS WERE NOT TOO DIFFERENT
FROM EACH OTHER IN THE NEAR TERM. WE DID ERR ON THE COOL /MAV/ SIDE
FOR WED AFTN.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.KY...NONE.
.MO...NONE.
.IL...NONE.
.IN...NONE.

&&

DB
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 12, 4:48 AM CDT, 8 hours 5 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
448 AM CDT TUE APR 12 2005

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-100-
107>112-114-131000-
ALEXANDER IL-BALLARD KY-BOLLINGER MO-BUTLER MO-CALDWELL KY-
CALLOWAY KY-CAPE GIRARDEAU MO-CARLISLE KY-CARTER MO-CHRISTIAN KY-
CRITTENDEN KY-DAVIESS KY-EDWARDS IL-FRANKLIN IL-FULTON KY-
GALLATIN IL-GIBSON IN-GRAVES KY-HAMILTON IL-HARDIN IL-HENDERSON KY-
HICKMAN KY-HOPKINS KY-JACKSON IL-JEFFERSON IL-JOHNSON IL-
LIVINGSTON KY-LYON KY-MARSHALL KY-MASSAC IL-MCCRACKEN KY-MCLEAN KY-
MISSISSIPPI MO-MUHLENBERG KY-NEW MADRID MO-PERRY MO-PERRY IL-PIKE IN-
POPE IL-POSEY IN-PULASKI IL-RIPLEY MO-SALINE IL-SCOTT MO-SPENCER IN-
STODDARD MO-TODD KY-TRIGG KY-UNION KY-UNION IL-VANDERBURGH IN-
WABASH IL-WARRICK IN-WAYNE MO-WAYNE IL-WEBSTER KY-WHITE IL-
WILLIAMSON IL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SIKESTON...POPLAR BLUFF...PERRYVILLE...
CAPE GIRARDEAU...PADUCAH...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...CARMI...
CARBONDALE...CAIRO...OWENSBORO...MURRAY...MAYFIELD...HOPKINSVILLE...
EVANSVILLE...MADISONVILLE AND HENDERSON
448 AM CDT TUE APR 12 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND WESTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A POTENT UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS MISSOURI TODAY...
REACHING SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS BY EARLY THIS
EVENING. THERE MAY BE SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS TODAY. THIS COMBINED
WITH COLDER AIR ALOFT MOVING IN WITH THE STORM SYSTEM...MAY RESULT IN
ENOUGH INSTABILITY TO PRODUCE ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL. THE THREAT SHOULD
DIMINISH DURING THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME
HEATING. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS...MAINLY FOR WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHWEST INDIANA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 12, 11:32 AM CDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Apr 12, 11:32 AM CDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before
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Local storm report, Apr 12, 11:34 AM CDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before
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Local storm report, Apr 12, 11:41 AM CDT, 1 hour 12 minutes before
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Local storm report, Apr 12, 11:42 AM CDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before
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Local storm report, Apr 12, 12:07 PM CDT, 46 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 12, 12:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHJackson31 min
Apr 12, 12:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHWhite25 min
Apr 12, 1:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHWayne37 min
Apr 12, 1:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHPerry57 min
Apr 12, 1:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHFranklin54 min
Apr 12, 1:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHJefferson43 min
Apr 12, 2:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHAlexander33 min
Apr 12, 2:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHJefferson49 min
Apr 12, 3:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHAlexander52 min
Apr 12, 4:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHPulaski41 min
Apr 12, 6:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHPerry44 min
Apr 12, 3:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHBallard54 min
Apr 12, 11:51 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHPerry24 min
Apr 12, 12:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCape Girardeau43 min
Apr 12, 1:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCape Girardeau46 min
Apr 12, 2:07 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHCape Girardeau38 min
Apr 12, 2:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCape Girardeau48 min
Apr 12, 2:47 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningPAHCape Girardeau3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Illinois, 2005Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.