Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 236, NWS Paducah, KY
NWS Paducah, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Nov 28, 2005, 12:20 AM CST for Bollinger County, Stoddard County, Missouri. It was in force for 55 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 28, 2005, 12:20 AM CST (06:20 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 28, 2005, 1:15 AM CST
- In force
- 55 min
- Issued by
- NWS Paducah, KY
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
Counties Bollinger County, MO, Stoddard County, MO
The radar
The Paducah radar (KPAH), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 6:19 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 6.3 hours before the alert went out and 251 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 345 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -13 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 634 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 89 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 377 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 418 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.0
- Supercell composite
- 3.2
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Nov 27, 1:12 PM CST, 11 hours 8 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 27, 1:12 PM CST, 11 hours 8 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 112 PM CST SUN NOV 27 2005 .DISCUSSION...(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT) MANIN CHALLENGE WITH THIS PACKAGE WILL BE THE NEXT 24 TO 30 HOURS AS A SIGNIFICANT STORM SYSTEM AFFECTS THE AREA. CENTRAL PLAINS STORM SYSTEM EVOLVING AS EXPECTED. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DEEPEN AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST TOWARD THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES REGION AND PUSHES A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT ACROSS THE CWA TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE FRONT IS STILL EXPECTED TO REACH OUR WESTERN DOORSTEP AROUND 06Z ...BISECT (N-S) THE AREA AROUND 12Z...AND EXIT THE EASTERN SECTIONS BY 21Z. WIND SHEAR STILL THE SINGLE MOST INFLUENTIAL FACTOR WITH THIS SYSTEM. CAPE AND INSTABILITY CONTINUE TO BE NOT THAT IMPRESSIVE. MODEL 0-3 KM HELICITY VALUES EXTREMELY HIGH (600+ M2/S2) ACROSS THE CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE CWA AT 06Z...BUT NO DETECTABLE TRIGGER MECHANISM AT THAT TIME WITH THE FRONT SO FAR WEST. IF ANY STORMS DO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA AT THAT TIME... THE POTENTIAL FOR DISCREET AND LONG LIVED SUPERCELLS WILL BE SIGNIFICANT. AS THE FRONT APPROACHES... DIRECTIONAL SHEAR DECREASES AND SPEED SHEAR BECOMES THE MAIN PLAYER. MODELS CRANKING OUT 60-70 KTS AT 850MB AND 135+ KTS AT 250MB. TO MAKE MATTERS EVEN WORSE...THE RR QUAD (RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION) OF THE JET MAX IS FORECAST TO BE OVER OF THE AREA BETWEEN 12 AND 18Z. EVEN THOUGH THE FRONTS EASTWARD PROGRESS WILL BE SLOW...INDIVIDUAL STORMS SHOULD BE CRUISING FROM THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 50-60 MPH. THIS COMBINED WITH THE INCREDIBLE LOW TO MID LEVEL WIND FIELDS WILL MAKE DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREAT. IN THE DAY ONE OUTLOOK SPC CURRENTLY HAS A MODERATE RISK OVER OUR TWO WESTERNMOST COUNTIES AND A SLIGHT RISK ELSEWHERE. FEEL THAT THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE CWA WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 06 AND 12Z AND OVER THE EASTERN HALF BETWEEN 12 AND 18Z. WRAP AROUND MOISTURE/CLOUDS ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE PULLED ACROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY...BUT SHOULDNT BE ENOUGH TO GENERATE PRECIP. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN OVERSPREAD THE REGION AND DOMINATE THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE QUAD STATE ON THURSDAY...BUT DUE TO LIMITED MOISTURE...NO PRECIP IS EXPECTED. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN DOMINATE THROUGH FRIDAY. .DISCUSSION...(SATURDAY AND SUNDAY) FOR DAY6 AND DAY7...PCPN CHCS APPEAR TO BE RATHER SCARCE AS THE MID/UPPER FLOW WILL PROBABLY TAKE ON A GENERAL CYCLONIC CURVATURE AND RELATIVELY HIGH SFC PRESSURE WILL BE IN PLACE OVER THE PAH FCST AREA. THE VARIABILITY OF THE MODELS AT THIS RANGE IN THE FCST MAKES TIMING OF ANY S/WVS MOVING THROUGH THE MID LEVEL FLOW TOUGH TO PIN DOWN. LEFT A VERY SMALL CHC OF PCPN IN THROUGH THE END OF THE PACKAGE AS A RESULT. INDICATIONS ARE THAT TEMPS WILL BE BELOW CLIMATOLOGICAL LEVELS. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KY...NONE. MO...NONE. IL...NONE. IN...NONE. && JAP/MF
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 27, 12:38 PM CST, 11 hours 42 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1238 PM CST SUN NOV 27 2005 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-281845- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...FAIRFIELD...ALBION... MOUNT CARMEL...PINCKNEYVILLE...WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO... CARMI...CARBONDALE...MURPHYSBORO...HERRIN...HARRISBURG... SHAWNEETOWN...JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN... CAIRO...MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...FORT BRANCH...PETERSBURG... POSEYVILLE...EVANSVILLE...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...HICKMAN... CLINTON...BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND... BENTON...MURRAY...MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...PRINCETON... MORGANFIELD...DIXON...MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...HENDERSON... OWENSBORO...CALHOUN...GREENVILLE...ELKTON...PERRYVILLE... MARBLE HILL...CAPE GIRARDEAU...JACKSON...PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN... DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON...CHARLESTON... NEW MADRID 1238 PM CST SUN NOV 27 2005 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND A HIGH PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK THAT THE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT WILL BECOME SEVERE. BECAUSE OF INCREASING WIND SPEEDS ALOFT...THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS. THESE WIND FIELDS WILL ALSO SUPPORT THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES. HEAVY RAIN AND HAIL CANNOT BE RULED OUT WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT AND ORGANIZE AS THEY TRACK EAST OVER SOUTHERN MISSOURI DURING THE EVENING HOURS. SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI DURING THE ENTIRE NIGHT...WHILE THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER WILL BE MAINLY AFTER 900 PM. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE TRACKING EAST ACROSS SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS... SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND WESTERN KENTUCKY ON MONDAY MORNING. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK THAT SOME OF THESE WILL REMAIN SEVERE. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS. THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL SHIFT TO THE KENTUCKY PENNYRILE BY MONDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE ENDING ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA BY MONDAY EVENING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS WESTERN AREAS BY LATE EVENING AND ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. BECAUSE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOVING AT 55 TO 65 MPH...SPOTTERS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO BE IN PLACE AND ACTIVATED AS SOON AS THUNDERSTORMS MOVE INTO THE COUNTY UPSTREAM. MTF
In the hours before
Local storm report, Nov 27, 10:59 PM CST, 1 hour 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1059 PM CST SUN NOV 27 2005
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0930 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 E GATEWOOD 36.56N 91.06W
11/27/2005 RIPLEY MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
SEVERAL POWERLINES DOWN AND 1 TREE DOWN ON TRUCK
&&
DLLLocal storm report, Nov 27, 11:01 PM CST, 1 hour 19 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1101 PM CST SUN NOV 27 2005
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1035 PM TSTM WND DMG BRIAR 36.64N 90.96W
11/27/2005 RIPLEY MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
SEVERAL TREES DOWN ON HWY. 160 NEAR BRIAR.
&&
DLLLocal storm report, Nov 27, 11:54 PM CST, 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1154 PM CST SUN NOV 27 2005
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1035 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 W BRIAR 36.64N 91.02W
11/27/2005 RIPLEY MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
1 HOUSE DESTROYED
&&
DLLThe office that day
Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2:51 AM CST | Tornado Warning | PAH | Jackson | 24 min |
| Nov 28, 2:58 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Jackson, Union | 3 hr |
| Nov 27, 10:33 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Ripley | 57 min |
| Nov 27, 11:22 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Butler | 68 min |
| Nov 27, 11:35 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Wayne | 55 min |
| Nov 28, 1:12 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | New Madrid, Scott, Stoddard | 63 min |
| Nov 28, 1:31 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Wayne | 119 min |
| Nov 28, 2:13 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Cape Girardeau | 32 min |
| Nov 28, 2:14 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | New Madrid | 46 min |
| Nov 28, 2:39 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Cape Girardeau | 111 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2005Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.