Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 504, NWS Norman, OK

August 12, 2005Lincoln County, Logan County, Oklahoma

NWS Norman, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 12, 2005, 4:28 PM CDT for Lincoln County, Logan County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 32 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 12, 2005, 4:28 PM CDT (21:28 UTC)
Expired
Aug 12, 2005, 5:00 PM CDT
In force
32 min
Issued by
NWS Norman, OK
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Lincoln County, OK, Logan County, OK

The radar

The Norman radar (KTLX), 54 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Lamont, OK (KLMN), launched 12:00Z, 9.5 hours before the alert went out and 94 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lamont, OK at 12:00Z on 2005-08-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 266 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lamont, OK at 12:00Z on 2005-08-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -62 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
266 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-93 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1496 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
4 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-62 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
25 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 12, 2:16 PM CDT, 2 hours 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 12, 2:16 PM CDT, 2 hours 12 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
216 PM CDT FRI AUG 12 2005

.DISCUSSION...
SFC FRONT HAS SAGGED DOWN INTO NW OK TODAY. FRONT IS EXPECTED TO
MEANDER ACROSS THE SAME GENERAL AREA...FROM PANHANDLES/NW OK NE-WARD
INTO E KS...UNTIL A REINFORCING SHOT OF COOLER AIR KICKS IT DOWN
INTO OK SAT NIGHT/SUN. AT THAT POINT THINGS SHOULD GET INTERESTING.

COLD-AIR REINFORCEMENT NOW TAKING SHAPE ON LATEST SFC ANALYSIS AS
A DEVELOPING SECONDARY COLD FRONT ACROSS DAKOTAS AND N WY...WITH
19Z TEMPS IN 40S BEHIND IT OVER PARTS OF MT. WE HAVE UPPED THE
POPS THROUGH AND SAT OVER NCENTRAL/NW OK BASED ON PERSISTENT
MODEL QPFS DEPICTING HEAVIER AND MORE WIDESPREAD RAINFALL CLOSER
TO THE FRONT. DUE TO INHERENT UNCERTAINTIES IN CONVECTIVE
EVOLUTION...IT IS STILL HARD TO GO MUCH HIGHER THAN 60PCT AT ANY
GIVEN LOCATION. EXPECT MORE OF THE SAME UNTIL THE SFC BOUNDARY
PUSHES FARTHER INTO THE AREA...WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS/TSTORMS OVER THE REST OF THE AREA THIS EVENING THROUGH SAT.
CONVECTION WILL BE RELATIVELY ABUNDANT IN THE AFTERNOON/EVENING...
BUT CONSIDERING THE OVERNIGHT/MORNING SHOWERS EARLIER TODAY WE
CANNOT RULE OUT A REPEAT OF ELEVATED WARM-ADVECTION SHOWERS
OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY SAT.

PRECIP EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD OVER A LARGER PART OF THE
CWA SAT NIGHT AS STRENGTHENING FRONTAL ZONE MOVES S INTO THE AREA.
LATEST MODEL TRENDS ARE FOR THE FRONT TO STALL ACROSS TX AND FAR SE
OK SUN NIGHT-MON. THIS SFC PATTERN... COUPLED WITH WEAK SW FLOW OVER
AREA AROUND A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY... WILL SET
THE STAGE FOR A PROLONGED RAIN EVENT INCLUDING THE POTENTIAL FOR ONE
OR MORE MADDOX FRONTAL-TYPE FLOOD EVENTS. IMPRESSIVE MOISTURE IS
FORECAST OVER THE AREA WITH PRECIPITABLE H20 VALUES FORECAST OVER 2
INCHES. MODEL RUN-TOTAL QPFS INDICATE WIDESPREAD 1-3 INCH TOTALS
BY LATE MONDAY ACROSS NORTHERN CENTRAL AND WESTERN OK...EVEN
HIGHER ON GFS BUT PROBABLY DUE TO CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK ISSUES.
QUESTION AT THIS POINT IS WHERE AND WHEN - NOT IF - HEAVY RAIN
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN NOW AND MONDAY. SPECIFICS WILL DEPEND ENTIRELY
ON MESOSCALE TRENDS THAT ARE TOUGH TO NAIL DOWN THIS FAR OUT...SO
FOR NOW WILL KEEP A MENTION HEAVY/EXCESSIVE RAIN POTENTIAL IN THE
HWO AND ALSO ADD MENTION OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE GRIDS
AND RELATED TEXT PRODUCTS WHERE POPS ARE IN THE LIKELY RANGE. ON
SUNDAY HAVE LEANED TOWARD COOLER MAV/MET MAXES ACROSS N OK DUE TO
EXPECTED WIDESPREAD CLOUDS/RAIN.

BEYOND MONDAY...TREND IS BACK TOWARD LOWER POPS AND NEAR TO
SLIGHTLY-ABOVE CLIMATOLOGY ON TEMPS AS FRONTAL ZONE WEAKENS AND
RIDGING ALOFT STRENGTHENS OVER TX/OK AREA. ECMWF EVENTUALLY CARVES
MORE OF A TROF OVER THE CENTRAL STATES AND HINTS AT ANOTHER FRONT
AS EARLY AS NEXT FRIDAY. WILL NEED TO WATCH FOR THIS IN FUTURE
RUNS...BUT FOR NOW THINK IT BEST TO RIDE WITH CONSENSUS AND NOT
REFLECT ANY BIG CHANGES THAT FAR OUT.

WE MOST LIKELY WILL MAKE SOME LAST-MINUTE ADJUSTMENTS TO POPS/WX
THIS EVENING BASED ON EVOLUTION OF ONGOING CONVECTION.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  73  93  73  85 /  20  30  30  60
HOBART OK         73  93  72  85 /  20  40  40  60
WICHITA FALLS TX  74  95  74  94 /  20  20  30  40
GAGE OK           69  89  67  76 /  60  60  60  60
PONCA CITY OK     74  92  71  79 /  40  50  60  60
DURANT OK         75  96  75  95 /  20  20  20  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

24
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 12, 3:50 PM CDT, 38 minutes before
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In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 12, 3:36 PM CDT, 52 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 12, 3:45 PM CDT, 43 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 12, 3:57 PM CDT, 31 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 12, 4:12 PM CDT, 16 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 12, 4:14 PM CDT, 14 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 12, 4:24 PM CDT, 4 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Norman, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 12, 3:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCanadian49 min
Aug 12, 3:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNOklahoma42 min
Aug 12, 3:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNKingfisher, Logan51 min
Aug 12, 3:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNOklahoma33 min
Aug 12, 4:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNMajor40 min
Aug 12, 4:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNPayne42 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2005Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.