Severe Thunderstorm Warning 323, NWS Norman, OK

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
810 PM CDT FRI JUN 10 2005

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-111200-

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN...
WESTERN... CENTRAL... AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

LOCATION...
THE SLIGHT RISK IS NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM ATOKA TO DURANT.

TIMING...
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE THIS EVENING
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

EXPECTED WEATHER AND IMPACTS...
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND DAMAGING WINDS TO 70 MPH. HEAVY
RAINS COULD ALSO CAUSE FLASH FLOODING.

RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL SHOULD PLAN
FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS TONIGHT. PREPARATIONS FOR FLASH FLOOD
MITIGATION SHOULD BE MADE IN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA FOR THE
OVERNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
A SHORTWAVE WILL LIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS
PANHANDLES INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THIS DISTURBANCE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
OKLAHOMA THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SEVERAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES
FROM THE THUNDERSTORMS EARLIER TODAY REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA. THESE
BOUNDARIES COULD ALSO BECOME A FOCUS TONIGHT FOR FURTHER
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT AS THE LOW LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS ACROSS
TEXAS AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. THE SEVERE POTENTIAL HAS DECREASED
ACROSS THE AREA FOR TONIGHT. HOWEVER...A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
COULD BECOME SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS THE MAIN
CONCERN. THE BEST AREA FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTHERN
THIRD OF OKLAHOMA...NEAR THE SHORTWAVE.

HEAVY RAINS WILL INCREASINGLY BECOME A CONCERN ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES. THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN A SHORT PERIOD OF
TIME. IN ADDITION...THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER AREAS
THAT HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED LARGE RAINFALL AMOUNTS...NEAR 5 INCHES
IN SOME LOCATIONS... EARLIER TODAY. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS TONIGHT
COULD LEAD TO MORE FLASH FLOODING AND AN INCREASE IN RIVER LEVELS
ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT SATURDAY JUN 11.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...50 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE EACH DAY THROUGH
MONDAY. A LARGE-SCALE TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES
WILL RESULT IN RICH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND STRONG INSTABILITY
REMAINING IN PLACE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR
PROFILES WILL CONTINUE TO BE FAVORABLE. THE GREATER CHANCE FOR SEVERE
WEATHER WILL BE ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS LATE IN THE AFTERNOONS AND EVENINGS...ESPECIALLY
SUNDAY...BUT COMPLEXES OF STORMS MAY MOVE EAST INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
DURING THE EARLY MORNINGS.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE RISK FOR FLOODING WILL INCREASE WITH ANY
NIGHT TIME COMPLEXES OF STORMS ANYWHERE.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 7 AM
SATURDAY...JUNE 11.

MAXWELL/RUFF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
959 PM CDT FRI JUN 10 2005

OKZ023-110315-
CADDO OK-
959 PM CDT FRI JUN 10 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR CADDO COUNTY.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF GRACEMONT AT
959 PM CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AND NO WARNINGS ARE ANTICIPATED AT
THIS TIME.

WR

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1009 PM CDT FRI JUN 10 2005

OKZ006-110330-
ALFALFA OK-
1009 PM CDT FRI JUN 10 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR ALFALFA COUNTY.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF LAMBERT AT
1009 PM CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

SMALL HAIL AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. HEAVY RAINFALL...UP
TO 1 INCH...IS LIEKLY WITH THIS STORM.

WR

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1031 PM CDT FRI JUN 10 2005

OKZ011-015>017-110345-
BLAINE OK-CUSTER OK-DEWEY OK-MAJOR OK-
1031 PM CDT FRI JUN 10 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR BLAINE...CUSTER...DEWEY AND
MAJOR COUNTIES.

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED FROM 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
ORIENTA TO 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF ARAPAHO AT 1031 PM CDT...MOVING EAST
AT 30 MPH.

SMALL HAIL AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.

WR

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1058 PM CDT FRI JUN 10 2005

OKZ007-012-110415-
GARFIELD OK-GRANT OK-
1058 PM CDT FRI JUN 10 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR GARFIELD AND GRANT COUNTIES.

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED FROM 8 MILES WEST OF
MANCHESTER TO 9 MILES WEST OF CARRIER AT 1058 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT
35 MPH.

SMALL HAIL AND WINDS AROUND 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.

WR

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1136 PM CDT FRI JUN 10 2005

OKZ012-018-019-110445-
GARFIELD OK-KINGFISHER OK-LOGAN OK-
1136 PM CDT FRI JUN 10 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR GARFIELD...KINGFISHER AND
LOGAN COUNTIES.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF LOVELL AT 1136
PM CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

STORM INTENSITY IS INCREASING AND SEVERE WEATHER MAY DEVELOP.

IF THE STORM CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY... HAIL UP TO QUARTER-SIZE IS
POSSIBLE.

PEOPLE IN GARFIELD...KINGFISHER AND LOGAN COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THE
WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR WARNINGS AND REMAIN ALERT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

CMS