Severe Thunderstorm Warning 97, NWS Nashville, TN

000 
WWUS54 KOHX 191913
SVSOHX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
212 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2005

TNC125-191915-
/O.CON.KOHX.SV.W.0097.000000T0000Z-050519T1915Z/
MONTGOMERY TN-
212 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 215 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY...

AT 210 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED OVER EXTREME NORTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY...OR ABOUT 13
MILES NORTHEAST OF CLARKSVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

TREES AND POWER LINES WERE BLOWN DOWN IN CLARKSVILLE AT 152 PM
CDT AS THIS STORM PASSED THROUGH THE CITY.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT 
THURSDAY EVENING FOR NORTHWEST MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

LAT...LON 3664 8725 3653 8726 3647 8714 3658 8712
      3665 8711

$$
STEIGERWALDT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
240 AM CDT THU MAY 19 2005

.DISCUSSION...FAIR WX CONTINUED OVER MID TN EARLY THIS MORNING.
SATELLITE SHOWED PATCHES OF HIGH THIN CLOUDS DRIFTING OVER THE
REGION. TEMPERATURES WERE IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S WITH LIGHT
EAST TO SOUTH WINDS. SHOWERS AND STORMS WERE CLUSTERED FROM IL INTO
MO AND ALONG THE KS/OK BORDER. THESE AREAS OF CONVECTION WERE MOVING
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL REACH OUR AREA ON FRIDAY.

THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS FOR MID TN WILL START LATER TODAY
AS THE ATMOSPHERE DESTABILIZES AND SOME UPPER ENERGY PASSES TO OUR
NORTH. UNSTABLE FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE WE CANNOT RULE OUT AN
ISOLATED STRONG OR SEVERE STORM...BUT SEVERE POTENTIAL APPEARS LOW
WITH BETTER DYNAMICS STILL TO OUR NORTHWEST. WE WILL CONTINUE
FORECAST OF POPS AROUND 50 PERCENT...BUT THESE POPS MAY BE TOO HIGH
WITH UNIMPRESSIVE FORCING TODAY. POPS WILL BE HIGHER FOR TONIGHT WITH
GREATER INFLUENCE FROM UPPER LEVEL LOW AND POSSIBLE LEFTOVER
CONVECTION MOVING INTO OUR AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST. RAIN CHANCES WILL
CONTINUE FOR FRIDAY AS LOW PRESSURE AND COLD FRONT CROSS THE REGION.
AGAIN...SOME POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED STRONG STORMS...BUT NOT
EXPECTING A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE EVENT.

CONDITIONS DRY OUT OVER THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER COLD FRONT COULD BRING
A SHOWER LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...THEN DRY AND SLIGHTLY COOLER WX
THROUGH MIDWEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE    83  64  79  61 /  50  60  50  20
CLARKSVILLE  82  64  79  59 /  50  60  40  10
CROSSVILLE   78  61  76  56 /  50  70  60  20

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

13

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
530 AM CDT THU MAY 19 2005

TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-2011030-
BEDFORD-BENTON-CANNON-CHEATHAM-CLAY-COFFEE-CUMBERLAND-DAVIDSON-
DEKALB-DICKSON-FENTRESS-GILES-GRUNDY-HICKMAN-HOUSTON-HUMPHREYS-
JACKSON-LAWRENCE-LEWIS-MACON-MARSHALL-MAURY-MONTGOMERY-OVERTON-PERRY-
PICKETT-PUTNAM-ROBERTSON-RUTHERFORD-SMITH-STEWART-SUMNER-TROUSDALE-
VAN BUREN-WARREN-WAYNE-WHITE-WILLIAMSON-WILSON-
530 AM CDT THU MAY 19 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A LOW PRESSURE CENTER AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT ARE EXPECTED
TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE MIDSTATE THROUGH TONIGHT. EXPECT
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT. A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN THE EXTREME WEST AND NORTHWEST SECTIONS
OF THE MIDSTATE...MAY CONTAIN DAMAGING WINDS OR HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THE MIDSTATE ON FRIDAY AND CONTINUE MOVING
SOUTHWARD ON FRIDAY NIGHT. EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...TAPERING OFF FRIDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL PUSH
INTO THE AREA ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. ANOTHER COOL FRONT WILL PUSH
THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE
PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED THIS
AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.

JLM