Alert archive / Tennessee / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 18, NWS Nashville, TN

January 13, 2005Coffee County, Cumberland County, Tennessee

NWS Nashville, TN issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jan 13, 2005, 9:57 AM CST for Coffee County, Cumberland County, Tennessee. It was in force for 39 days. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jan 13, 2005, 9:57 AM CST (15:57 UTC)
Expired: Feb 21, 2005, 10:30 AM CST
In force: 39 days
Issued by: NWS Nashville, TN
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Coffee County, TN, Cumberland County, TN

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 139 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jan 13, 7:15 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 4.0 hours before the alert went out and 152 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -152 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 972 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 69 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 482 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 632 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS54 KOHX 131559 CCA
SVROHX
TNC031-131630-
/X.NEW.KOHX.SV.W.0018.050113T1557Z-050113T1630Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING...COREECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
957 AM CST THU JAN 13 2005

CORRECTED EXPIRATION TIME

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  COFFEE COUNTY IN TENNESSEE
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF MANCHESTER

* UNTIL 1030 AM CST

* AT 952 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
  OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 16 MILES WEST OF MANCHESTER...OR
  ABOUT NEAR SHELBYVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  6 MILES NORTH OF MANCHESTER BY 1010 AM CST

LAT...LON 3560 8630 3540 8631 3536 8588 3567 8597

$$

JAO

3 follow-up statements

000 
WUUS54 KOHX 211554
SVROHX
TNC035-211630-
/O.NEW.KOHX.SV.W.0018.050221T1554Z-050221T1630Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
954 AM CST MON FEB 21 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CUMBERLAND COUNTY IN TENNESSEE
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF CROSSVILLE

* UNTIL 1030 AM CST

* AT 948 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES WEST OF
  CROSSVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  CROSSVILLE BY 1010 AM CST
  FAIRFIELD GLADE BY 1015 AM CST

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND LARGE
DAMAGING HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS

LAT...LON 3605 8523 3588 8525 3576 8501 3581 8444
      3603 8441 3614 8489

$$

07

000 
WWUS54 KOHX 211604
SVSOHX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1005 AM CST MON FEB 21 2005

TNC035-211630-
/O.CON.KOHX.SV.W.0018.000000T0000Z-050221T1630Z/
CUMBERLAND TN-
1005 AM CST MON FEB 21 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 1030 AM CST FOR
CUMBERLAND COUNTY...

AT 959 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
CROSSVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  CROSSVILLE AND 6 MILES NORTH OF LAKE TANSI BY 1000 AM CST
  FAIRFIELD GLADE AND CRAB ORCHARD BY 1015 AM CST

LAT...LON 3605 8523 3588 8525 3576 8501 3581 8444
      3603 8441 3614 8489

$$

07

000 
WWUS54 KOHX 211606 CCA
SVSOHX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1005 AM CST MON FEB 21 2005

TNC035-211630-
/O.CON.KOHX.SV.W.0018.000000T0000Z-050221T1630Z/
CUMBERLAND TN-
1005 AM CST MON FEB 21 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 1030 AM CST FOR
CUMBERLAND COUNTY...

AT 959 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
CROSSVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  FAIRFIELD GLADE AND CRAB ORCHARD BY 1015 AM CST

LAT...LON 3605 8523 3588 8525 3576 8501 3581 8444
      3603 8441 3614 8489

$$

07

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Nashville, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jan 13, 4:40 AM CST, 5 hours 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 13, 4:40 AM CST, 5 hours 17 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
440 AM CST THU JAN 13 2005

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG UPPER TROUGH OVER THE PLAINS STRETCHES DOWN TO SOUTH TEXAS
THIS MORNING. STRONG EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE MOVING EAST OVER ARKANSAS AT
THIS TIME...WITH SQUALL LINE POSITIONED WELL AHEAD FROM THE NORTHERN
OHIO VALLEY INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM
THERE CONTINUES TO BE A FEED OF MOISTURE...WITH SOUTH FLOW AROUND
60KTS 3KFT UP OVER MIDDLE TENNESSEE. GFS/ETA TENDS TO WEAKEN UPPER
TROUGH AND MOVE UPPER WAVE NORTHEAST OVER THE OHIO VALLEY TODAY.
STRONG DYNAMICS/POLAR JET CONFIGURATION SUPPORTS LINE OF STORMS
MOVING INTO MIDDLE TENNESSEE TODAY.

PRIOR TO PRECIP ONSET THIS MORNING...PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS FAIRLY
TIGHT. SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE AT 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP 35
MPH THIS MORNING MOST AREAS. SO LAKE WIND ADVISORY WILL CONTINUE
UNTIL 18Z. FLASH FLOODING IS A CONCERN...MAINLY FOR THIS AFTERNOON.
CONSIDERING RECENT RAINS AND SOME RIVERS STILL FLOWING HIGH...A FLOOD
WATCH WILL BE POSTED FOR TODAY. LAST TWO RUNS OVER ETA PUT 1.25 TO
1.5 INCHES AT BNA...WITH MORE EAST. APPEARS THE BEST CHANCE FOR
FLOODING WILL BE IN THE NORTHERN CUMBERLAND PLATEAU...WITH ONE AND
SIX-HOUR FFG VALUES EXCEEDED BY ALL MODEL QPF. FLOOD WATCH WILL COVER
NORTH MIDDLE TENNESSEE AND THE PLATEAU.

AS FOR SEVERE WEATHER...12Z MODELS SHOW WET-BULB HEIGHTS INCREASING
WITH PRECIP ONSET ALONG THE LINE...SO ONLY ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS
POSSIBLE AT THIS POINT.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE NUDGES THIS WAY FROM THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT...
WITH MODELS AND GUIDANCE SHOWING A QUICK CLEARING. SOUNDING DATA
SUGGESTS MORE CU WITH BASES AROUND 2KFT...FROM COLD ADVECTION. SO
WILL KEEP SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE EAST
FRIDAY.

ARCTIC AIR/CENTER OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE STAYS NORTHWEST OF
MIDDLE TENNESSEE THIS WEEKEND. NO QUESTION THAT IT WILL BE COLDER...
AT OR SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONAL NORMS. MAY TURN COLDER EARLY NEXT WEEK
WITH GFS MOVING ARCTIC AIR IN. KEPT THE EXTENDED DRY...BUT NUDGED
SURFACE DEWPOINTS AND TEMPERATURES TOWARD THE GFS.

BNA TB 066/033 042/024 042 04+3-
    BBBBB 022/038 026/037 021/042 026/043 0000001111
CKV TB 066/028 038/021 038 04+1-
    BBBBB 020/034 025/033 019/042 022/037 0000011111
CSV TB 063/033 042/024 040 04+8-
    BBBUB 026/040 027/040 023/043 025/045 0000001111

.BNA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LAKE WIND ADVISORY ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE THIS MORNING.
FLOOD WATCH TODAY ACROSS NORTH AND EAST MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

&&

04

Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 13, 5:03 AM CST, 4 hours 54 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
503 AM CST THU JAN 13 2005

TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-141130-
BEDFORD TN-BENTON TN-CANNON TN-CHEATHAM TN-CLAY TN-COFFEE TN-
CUMBERLAND TN-DAVIDSON TN-DE KALB TN-DICKSON TN-FENTRESS TN-GILES TN-
GRUNDY TN-HICKMAN TN-HOUSTON TN-HUMPHREYS TN-JACKSON TN-LAWRENCE TN-
LEWIS TN-MACON TN-MARSHALL TN-MAURY TN-MONTGOMERY TN-OVERTON TN-
PERRY TN-PICKETT TN-PUTNAM TN-ROBERTSON TN-RUTHERFORD TN-SMITH TN-
STEWART TN-SUMNER TN-TROUSDALE TN-VAN BUREN TN-WARREN TN-WAYNE TN-
WHITE TN-WILLIAMSON TN-WILSON TN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHLAND CITY...BYRDSTOWN...CAMDEN...
CARTHAGE...CELINA...CENTERVILLE...CLARKSVILLE...COLUMBIA...
COOKEVILLE...CROSSVILLE...DICKSON...DOVER...ERIN...FRANKLIN...
GAINESBORO...GALLATIN...HARTSVILLE...HOHENWALD...JAMESTOWN...
LAFAYETTE...LAWRENCEBURG...LEBANON...LEWISBURG...LINDEN...
LIVINGSTON...MANCHESTER...MCMINNVILLE...MURFREESBORO...NASHVILLE...
PULASKI...SHELBYVILLE...SMITHVILLE...SPARTA...SPENCER...
SPRINGFIELD...WAVERLY...WAYNESBORO AND WOODBURY
503 AM CST THU JAN 13 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE MIDSTATE TODAY. HEAVY RAINFALL
IS EXPECTED WITH THIS FRONT. THE RAINFALL MAY CAUSE POORLY DRAINED
AREAS TO FLOOD AND ALSO PUSH SOME RIVERS AND STREAMS INTO FLOOD
LATER TODAY. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THE FRONT MAY HAVE
DAMAGING WINDS. RAIN WILL TAPER OFF LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MUCH COLDER ON FRIDAY AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND. CONTINUED BELOW
NORMAL TEMPS THROUGH WEDNESDAY...OTHERWISE NO SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

JLM

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 13, 9:31 AM CST, 26 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
931 AM CST THU JAN 13 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 AM     TSTM WND DMG     MOUNT PLEASANT          35.55N 87.19W
01/13/2005                   MAURY              TN   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            HIGHWAY DEPARTMENT REPORTED TREE DOWN IN MOUNT PLEASANT.

&&

VIRTS

Local storm report, Jan 13, 9:32 AM CST, 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
932 AM CST THU JAN 13 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0845 AM     TSTM WND DMG     WESTMORELAND            36.56N 86.25W
01/13/2005                   SUMNER             TN   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            HIGHWAY DEPARTMENT REPORTED TREES DOWN IN WESTMORELAND.

&&

VIRTS

Local storm report, Jan 13, 9:53 AM CST, 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
953 AM CST THU JAN 13 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 NW WAVERLY            36.14N 87.85W
01/13/2005                   HUMPHREYS          TN   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            HIGHWAY DEPARTMENT REPORTED TREES DOWN NORTHWEST OF
            WAVERLY.

&&

VIRTS

Local storm report, Jan 13, 9:54 AM CST, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
954 AM CST THU JAN 13 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     TSTM WND DMG     LOBELVILLE              35.75N 87.80W
01/13/2005                   PERRY              TN   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            HIGHWAY DEPARTMENT REPORTED TREE DOWN IN LOBELVILLE.

&&

VIRTS

Local storm report, Jan 13, 9:56 AM CST, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
956 AM CST THU JAN 13 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 AM     TSTM WND DMG     10 N COLUMBIA           35.77N 87.05W
01/13/2005                   MAURY              TN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SHERIFFS OFFICE REPORTED WIND DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS IN
            SANTA FE COMMUNITY.

&&

VIRTS

Local storm report, Jan 13, 9:57 AM CST, 0 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
957 AM CST THU JAN 13 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0933 AM     TSTM WND DMG     WALTERHILL              35.96N 86.38W
01/13/2005                   RUTHERFORD         TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER REPORTED STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS IN WALTER
            HILL COMMUNITY...WITH ESTIMATED WIND GUSTS OF 60 TO 65
            MPH.

&&

VIRTS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Nashville, TN issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jan 13, 6:18 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Benton, Houston, Montgomery	39 days
Jan 13, 6:22 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Dickson, Humphreys, Lewis	39 days
Jan 13, 6:48 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Cheatham, Dickson, Maury	39 days
Jan 13, 6:52 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Cheatham, Dickson, Hickman, Lewis, Perry	39 days
Jan 13, 7:10 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Davidson, Montgomery, Robertson	39 days
Jan 13, 7:13 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Dickson, Hickman, Williamson, Wilson	39 days
Jan 13, 7:44 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	OHX	Hickman	2 hr
Jan 13, 8:08 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Cheatham, Davidson, Humphreys, Robertson	39 days
Jan 13, 8:22 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Benton, Dickson, Hickman, Houston, Humphreys, Maury and 1 more	39 days
Jan 13, 8:36 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Cheatham, Robertson, Sumner	39 days
Jan 13, 8:43 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Davidson, Maury, Williamson	39 days
Jan 13, 9:06 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Marshall, Rutherford, Wilson	39 days
Jan 13, 9:25 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Bedford, Sumner	39 days
Jan 13, 9:39 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Coffee, Macon, Trousdale	39 days
Jan 13, 9:40 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Cannon, DeKalb, Rutherford, Smith	39 days
Jan 13, 9:53 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Cannon, Van Buren	39 days
Jan 13, 9:57 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Coffee, Grundy	39 days
Jan 13, 10:26 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Coffee, Grundy	39 days

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Tennessee, 2005 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.