Severe Thunderstorm Warning 3, NWS Morristown, TN

000 
WWUS54 KMRX 211659
SVSMRX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1156 AM EST MON FEB 21 2005

TNC011-105-107-123-211715-
/O.CON.KMRX.SV.W.0003.000000T0000Z-050221T1715Z/
LOUDON TN-MCMINN TN-BRADLEY TN-MONROE TN-
1156 AM EST MON FEB 21 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 1215 PM EST FOR
NORTHWESTERN MONROE...BRADLEY...MCMINN AND LOUDON COUNTIES...

AT 1153 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL 
SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS LINE OF 
STORMS EXTENDED FROM THE LOUDON...BLOUNT COUNTY LINE...ACROSS 
NORTHWEST MONROE COUNTY AND SOUTHERN MCMINN COUNTY...TO SOUTH OF 
CLEVELAND...AND WAS MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

THESE STORMS HAVE A HISTORY OF KNOCKING DOWN SOME TREES AND POWER 
LINES, AND PRODUCING CONTINUOUS DEADLY LIGHTNING. SOME BUILDING HAVE 
CAUGHT FIRE FROM THE LIGHTNING.

THESE ARE DANGEROUS STORMS MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS 
ONE OF NATURES PRIMARY KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR 
THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

LAT...LON 3581 8416 3572 8418 3566 8414 3527 8454
      3527 8467 3524 8471 3517 8470 3500 8479
      3500 8497 3516 8501 3528 8495 3536 8484
      3564 8463 3578 8437 3588 8433 3589 8425

$$

B

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
957 AM EST MON FEB 21 2005

.DISCUSSION...MAIN CONCERN THIS MORNING IS THE MCS OVER WRN HALF OF
TN...AND HOW FAR EAST THE THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS THIS
MORNING.  THE AIRMASS OVER E TN/SW NC/SW VA IS CONSIDERABLY MORE
STABLE THAN W AND MIDDLE TN...BOTH SURFACE BASED AND ELEVATED.  THE
BEST THREAT FOR OUR AREA WILL BE SE TN...WHICH IS CLOSEST TO THE
WARM FRONT WHICH WAS LOCATED JUST SW OF CHA AT 13Z.  THE INITIAL MCS
DID WEAKEN UPON REACHING OUR FORECAST AREA...AND SPC IS MONITORING
MIDDLE TN CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FOR POSSIBLE NEW WATCH TOWARD 15Z.

OTHERWISE...HIGH POPS IN CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS GOOD FOR TODAY WITH
A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  IF A WATCH IS ISSUED INTO E TN...THEN
WILL WORD THUNDERSTORMS A LITTLE STRONGER.  ALSO...MAY NEED TO LOWER
MAX TEMP FORECAST A FEW DEGREES IN THE COOLEST AND MOST STABLE PARTS
OF THE FORECAST AREA (SW VA AND EXTREME NE TN).

&&
&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.NC......NONE.
.TN......NONE.
.VA......NONE.

&&

TG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
342 AM EST MON FEB 21 2005

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-005-
006-008-221000-
ANDERSON-BLEDSOE-BLOUNT SMOKY MTN-BRADLEY-CAMPBELL-CHEROKEE-
CLAIBORNE-CLAY-COCKE SMOKY MTN-EAST POLK-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-HAMILTON-
HANCOCK-HAWKINS-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-KNOX-LEE-LOUDON-MARION-MCMINN-
MEIGS-MORGAN-NORTH SEVIER-NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST COCKE-
NORTHWEST GREENE-NORTHWEST MONROE-NW BLOUNT-RHEA-ROANE-RUSSELL-
SCOTT TN-SCOTT VA-SEQUATCHIE-SEVIER SMOKY MTN-SOUTHEAST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-SOUTHEAST MONROE-SULLIVAN-UNICOI-UNION-
WASHINGTON TN-WASHINGTON VA-WEST POLK-WISE-
342 AM EST (242 AM CST) MON FEB 21 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWESTERN
VIRGINIA AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY AND THIS EVENING.
SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE
HAIL...GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH...HEAVY RAIN...AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING.  RAINFALL UP TO ONE INCH AN HOUR IS POSSIBLE WITH THE
STRONGER STORMS WHICH MAY PRODUCE PONDING OF LOW LYING AREAS AND
STREET FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY AND THIS EVENING.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MRX.

DH