Severe Thunderstorm Warning 142, NWS Morristown, TN

000 
WWUS54 KMRX 202045
SVSMRX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
445 PM EDT MON JUN 20 2005

TNC001-202100-
/O.CON.KMRX.SV.W.0142.000000T0000Z-050620T2100Z/
ANDERSON TN-
445 PM EDT MON JUN 20 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 500 PM EDT FOR
ANDERSON COUNTY...

AT 442 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED OVER EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL ANDERSON COUNTY...OR ABOUT NEAR 
OAK RIDGE. THE STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER OAK RIDGE AND OLIVER 
SPRINGS AREAS.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES PRIMARY KILLERS. REMEMBER...
IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY
LIGHTNING.

LAT...LON 3602 8410 3616 8429 3604 8433 3594 8423

$$

TD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
315 PM EDT MON JUN 20 2005

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...AFTERNOON/EVENING
CONVECTION WILL DIMINISH WITH SUNSET AS THE AIR MASS BEGINS TO
STABILIZE.  STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED TO OUR WEST
WITH AN UPPER LOW CONTINUING TO ROTATE OVER THE CAROLINAS.  SKIES
WILL CLEAR AS CONVECTION ENDS TONIGHT AND SURFACE WIND FIELDS WILL
BECOME LIGHT.  AS A RESULT...PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
TOWARD MORNING...MAINLY WHERE RAIN RECENTLY FELL.  ON TUESDAY...THE
UPPER LOW WILL WEAKEN AND BEGIN TO FILL.  THE AIR MASS WILL AGAIN
BECOME AT LEAST MARGINALLY UNSTABLE...HOWEVER...WITH LIMITED
MOISTURE AND LIFT...EXPECT AFTERNOON CONVECTION TO REMAIN ISOLATED
WITH BEST CHANCE OVER EASTERN MOUNTAINS.  MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS
REASONABLE AND WILL NOT STRAY FAR FROM THESE NUMBERS FOR
TEMPERATURES.

.LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...COOL FRONT DROPS S INTO THE
FA ON WED AND USED A CHC POP FOR SW VA/NE TN AND THE CUMBERLAND
PLATEAU REGION NEAR THE KENTUCKY BORDER WITH SLGT CHC FOR THE
REMAINING COUNTIES IN THE FA. MAINTAINED THIS IDEA THROUGH WED NITE
AS BOUNDARY BUILDS S TWD THE GA BORDER. UPR RIDGING FINALLY BUILDS E
TO INCLUDE TN VLY AND SRN APPALACHIANS IN A PERIOD OF ABV NORMAL
WARMTH AND SUPPRESSED TSRA CHANCES. INTRODUCED SLGT CHC FOR
CONVECTION ONCE AGAIN SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT MAINLY ACROSS SW VA/NE
TN...NRN CUMBERLAND PLATEAU AND NRN MTN GROUP AS MODELS GIVE SOME
INDICATION OF UPR TROFFING ACROSS NERN U.S. WHICH MAY PUSH A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS PROVIDING A SMALL CHC FOR
TSRA DEVELOPMENT IN THESE AREAS. USED A DRY FCST FOR MON AS UPR
RIDGING STILL PRESENT IN THE VCNTY AND OFFENDING FRONTAL BOUNDARY
SLIPS A LITTLE FARTHER N AWAY FROM THE FA. STYAED FAIRLY CLOSE TO
TEMP GUIDANCE WED THRU FRI BUT DIDNT WANT TO GO QUITE AS WARM AS
SUGGESTED MAXES SAT-MON SO TRIMMED THESE NUMBERS SLIGHTLY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             63  85  65  91 /  20  20  10  20
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  60  83  62  89 /  20  20  10  20
OAK RIDGE, TN                       61  83  63  89 /  20  20  10  20
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              58  80  60  86 /  20  20  20  30

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC......NONE.
TN......NONE.
VA......NONE.

&&

MJB/TH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
500 AM EDT MON JUN 20 2005

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-005-
006-008-210900-
ANDERSON-BLEDSOE-BLOUNT SMOKY MTN-BRADLEY-CAMPBELL-CHEROKEE-
CLAIBORNE-CLAY-COCKE SMOKY MTN-EAST POLK-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-HAMILTON-
HANCOCK-HAWKINS-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-KNOX-LEE-LOUDON-MARION-MCMINN-
MEIGS-MORGAN-NORTH SEVIER-NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST COCKE-
NORTHWEST GREENE-NORTHWEST MONROE-NW BLOUNT-RHEA-ROANE-RUSSELL-
SCOTT TN-SCOTT VA-SEQUATCHIE-SEVIER SMOKY MTN-SOUTHEAST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-SOUTHEAST MONROE-SULLIVAN-UNICOI-UNION-
WASHINGTON TN-WASHINGTON VA-WEST POLK-WISE-
500 AM EDT (400 AM CDT) MON JUN 20 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH A FEW ISOLATED STORMS POSSIBLY BECOMING
SEVERE. THE MAIN THREATS FROM THIS STORMS WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY OF
DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF A NICKEL...AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY CAUSE SOME FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND FLOOD
PRONE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MRX.

DMG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
146 PM EDT MON JUN 20 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0130 PM     HAIL             TELLICO PLAINS          35.37N 84.30W
06/20/2005  0.75 INCH        MONROE             TN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PENNY SIZE HAIL AT TELLICO AND MT. VERNON. REPORTED BY
            DIEPATCH.

0130 PM     TSTM WND DMG     TELLICO PLAINS          35.37N 84.30W
06/20/2005                   MONROE             TN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN IN TELLICO AND MT. VERNON. REPORTED
            BY DISPATCH.

&&

COLE