Severe Thunderstorm Warning 108, NWS Morristown, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
434 AM EDT MON JUN 6 2005

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...MODELS BRINGING WEAK COLD
FRONT INTO REGION LATE TODAY.  MOISTURE INCREASING AHEAD OF IT.
ALSO EXPECTING DECENT INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON...WILL KEEP 50 POPS
ACROSS THE AREA FOR TODAY...WITH THE BEST CHANCES IN THE AFTERNOON.
DRIER WEATHER PUSHING IN TONIGHT. BEST CHANCES SHOULD BE CONFINED TO
THE EVENING HOURS.  FRONT LINGERS ACROSS AREA TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY...SHOULD SEE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BOTH
DAYS...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...FRONT CONTINUES ACROSS AREA
INTO FRIDAY...WILL CONTINUE WITH CHANCE POPS BOTH DAYS.  MOISTURE
DECREASING A BIT BY SATURDAY...WILL KEEP ONLY 20 POPS GOING FOR THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN  89  69  88  69 /  50  30  40  30
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  87  67  86  67 /  50  30  40  30
OAK RIDGE, TN  87  67  86  67 /  50  30  40  30
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN  85  63  84  63 /  50  30  30  30

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC......NONE.
TN......NONE.
VA......NONE.

&&

GH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
340 AM EDT MON JUN 6 2005

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-005-
006-008-070900-
ANDERSON-BLEDSOE-BLOUNT SMOKY MTN-BRADLEY-CAMPBELL-CHEROKEE-
CLAIBORNE-CLAY-COCKE SMOKY MTN-EAST POLK-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-HAMILTON-
HANCOCK-HAWKINS-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-KNOX-LEE-LOUDON-MARION-MCMINN-
MEIGS-MORGAN-NORTH SEVIER-NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST COCKE-
NORTHWEST GREENE-NORTHWEST MONROE-NW BLOUNT-RHEA-ROANE-RUSSELL-
SCOTT TN-SCOTT VA-SEQUATCHIE-SEVIER SMOKY MTN-SOUTHEAST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-SOUTHEAST MONROE-SULLIVAN-UNICOI-UNION-
WASHINGTON TN-WASHINGTON VA-WEST POLK-WISE-
340 AM EDT (240 AM CDT) MON JUN 6 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...

AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND
TENNESSEE VALLEY WILL ALLOW THE COVERAGE OF MAINLY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS TO INCREASE AS WELL.  SINCE THE STORMS
WITH TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL BE DRIFTING VERY SLOWLY...LOCALIZED
HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE PRODUCING ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING.

ALSO...SOME OF THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH
THE MAIN THREAT BEING DAMAGING DOWNBURSTS WINDS AND HAIL UP TO
PENNY SIZE.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN (SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...

SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE WEEK...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS.  HEAVY RAINS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN
CONCERN...BUT ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE.  THE
MAIN THREAT FROM THE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING DOWNBURSTS
WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY...BUT MAINLY
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.  COVERAGE OF THE SEVERE
STORMS SHOULD REMAIN ISOLATED.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MRX.

DH