Severe Thunderstorm Warning 1, NWS Morristown, TN

000 
WUUS54 KMRX 211542
SVRMRX
TNC007-115-153-211630-
/O.NEW.KMRX.SV.W.0001.050221T1542Z-050221T1630Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
942 AM CST MON FEB 21 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  BLEDSOE COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF PIKEVILLE
  MARION COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF JASPER
  SEQUATCHIE COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF DUNLAP

* UNTIL 1030 AM CST

* AT 936 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE
  HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE
  LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 24 MILES NORTHWEST OF PIKEVILLE
  TO 13 MILES NORTH OF MONTEAGLE TO 42 MILES WEST OF MONTEAGLE...OR
  ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM SPARTA TO 11 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
  MANCHESTER TO FAYETTEVILLE...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  MONTEAGLE BY 950 AM CST
  WHITWELL...PIKEVILLE AND DUNLAP BY 1005 AM CST
  SOUTH PITTSBURG AND JASPER BY 1010 AM CST

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES PRIMARY KILLERS. REMEMBER...
IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY
LIGHTNING.

LAT...LON 3603 8542 3534 8615 3503 8591 3486 8559
      3584 8489

$$

TG

000 
WWUS54 KMRX 211614
SVSMRX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1111 AM EST MON FEB 21 2005

TNC007-115-153-211630-
/O.CON.KMRX.SV.W.0001.000000T0000Z-050221T1630Z/
BLEDSOE TN-SEQUATCHIE TN-MARION TN-
1011 AM CST MON FEB 21 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 1030 AM CST FOR
MARION...SEQUATCHIE AND BLEDSOE COUNTIES...

AT 1006 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL
SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM MELVINE TO DUNLAP TO MARTIN
SPRINGS TO 14 MILES WEST OF FRANKLIN MARION STATE FOREST...OR ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 14 MILES SOUTH OF CROSSVILLE TO DUNLAP TO 7 MILES
NORTH OF JASPER TO 12 MILES SOUTH OF WINCHESTER...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
50 MPH.

THESE STORMS HAVE BLOWN DOWN TREES IN SEQUATCHIE COUNTY ON CAGLE 
MOUNTAIN. THEY HAVE ALSO PRODUCED HAIL, BUT NO SIZE HAS BEEN 
DETERMINED YET. THEY ARE ALSO PRODUCING CONTINUOUS LIGHTNING.

THESE ARE DANGEROUS STORMS. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE 
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD 
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A 
SHELTER...PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3525 8582 3522 8575 3525 8570 3530 8570
      3532 8556 3538 8549 3549 8553 3554 8562
      3554 8562 3557 8543 3576 8526 3577 8494
      3558 8512 3548 8515 3500 8550 3502 8587
      3522 8587

$$

BB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
945 AM EST THU JAN 13 2005

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A COLD FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS THE
LOWER OHIO AND LOWER MS RIVER VALLEYS WITH A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH AND
A LINE OF CONVECTION ACROSS MIDDLE TN AND NORTH AL. THIS LINE OF
CONVECTION WILL LIKELY PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS BY THIS
AFTERNOON...AS VAD WIND PROFILES REVEAL A 50 KT LOW-LEVEL JET AROUND
850 MB. WITH THIS IN MIND...WILL PLAN TO EXTEND THE LAKE WIND
ADVISORY FOR ALL ZONES THIS AFTERNOON...SINCE THERE SHOULD BE A
COUPLE OF HOURS OF ADVISORY CRITERIA WINDS AS THIS RAIN MOVES
THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA. AS FOR THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL...
THIS LINE OF CONVECTION SHOULD MOVE THROUGH FAIRLY QUICKLY WITH ONLY
A COUPLE OF HOURS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THUS...DONT THINK A
FLOOD WATCH WILL BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON. WILL PLAN TO UPDATE THE
FORECAST THIS MORNING TO MAKE A FEW MINOR WORDING TWEAKS...AND TO
ADD THE WIND ADVISORY TO THE OTHER ZONES.
&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT FOR ZONES NCZ060>061.

TN...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT FOR ZONES TNZ018...TNZ041...
TNZ043...TNZ045...TNZ047...TNZ072...TNZ074...TNZ087...TNZ102.

LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT FOR ALL OTHER ZONES.

VA...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT FOR ALL ZONES.

&&

DMG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1100 AM EST THU JAN 13 2005

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-005-
006-008-141000-
ANDERSON-BLEDSOE-BLOUNT SMOKY MTN-BRADLEY-CAMPBELL-CHEROKEE-
CLAIBORNE-CLAY-COCKE SMOKY MTN-EAST POLK-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-HAMILTON-
HANCOCK-HAWKINS-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-KNOX-LEE-LOUDON-MARION-MCMINN-
MEIGS-MORGAN-NORTH SEVIER-NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST COCKE-
NORTHWEST GREENE-NORTHWEST MONROE-NW BLOUNT-RHEA-ROANE-RUSSELL-
SCOTT TN-SCOTT VA-SEQUATCHIE-SEVIER SMOKY MTN-SOUTHEAST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-SOUTHEAST MONROE-SULLIVAN-UNICOI-UNION-
WASHINGTON TN-WASHINGTON VA-WEST POLK-WISE-
1100 AM EST (1000 AM CST) THU JAN 13 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...

...WIND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
BRINGING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF IT.
STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS
FRONT...AND THESE WINDS WILL LIKELY BE BROUGHT DOWN TO THE SURFACE
BY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS BETWEEN ONE AND
TWO INCHES ARE EXPECTED (ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST TN AND
SOUTHWEST NC) WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER RAINFALL AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.
THIS MAY RESULT IN SOME FLOODING OF FLOOD PRONE AND LOW LYING AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN (FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MRX.

DMG