Wind Advisory 2, NWS Marquette, MI

000 
WWUS73 KMQT 130407
NPWMQT

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1107 PM EST SAT NOV 12 2005

...STRONG WINDS POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY EVENING...

.LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA THIS EVENING WILL
DEEPEN SIGNIFICANTLY AS IT REACHES LAKE SUPERIOR ON SUNDAY.
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER ALL OF WEST AND CENTRAL
UPPER MICHIGAN LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY EVENING AS THE
LOW SHIFTS INTO ONTARIO. A BRIEF PERIOD OF STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING AS THE INITIAL COLD
FRONT WITH THE SURFACE LOW ARRIVES. WINDS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH
LATE SUNDAY EVENING AS THE LOW DEPARTS THE AREA.

MIZ013-014-131215-
/O.CON.KMQT.HW.W.0002.051113T1200Z-051114T0100Z/
DELTA-SOUTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ESCANABA...GLADSTONE...MANISTIQUE
1107 PM EST SAT NOV 12 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 8 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A
HIGH WIND WARNING FOR THE PERIOD FROM 7 AM TO 8 PM EST SUNDAY.
WIND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH SUNDAY MORNING WITH WIND
GUSTS TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE LAKE MICHIGAN AND
BAY OF GREEN BAY SHORELINES. THE WIND WILL DIMINISH SUNDAY
EVENING.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. HIGH WINDS CAN
TOPPLE TREES...BLOW WEAKENED ROOFS OFF HOUSES AND DOWN POWER
LINES. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

MIZ001-003-007-131215-
/O.CON.KMQT.HW.W.0002.051113T1400Z-051114T0300Z/
KEWEENAW-NORTHERN HOUGHTON-LUCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COPPER HARBOR...HOUGHTON...HANCOCK...
NEWBERRY
1107 PM EST SAT NOV 12 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MARQUETTE MICHIGAN
CONTINUES A HIGH WIND WARNING FOR THE PERIOD FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM
EST SUNDAY. THE WIND WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE OUT OF THE NORTHWEST
LATE SUNDAY MORNING TO 30 TO 40 MPH WITH WIND GUSTS TO 65
MPH...THEN DIMINISH LATE SUNDAY EVENING.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. HIGH WINDS CAN
TOPPLE TREES...BLOW WEAKENED ROOFS OFF HOUSES AND DOWN POWER
LINES. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

MIZ002-131215-
/O.CON.KMQT.HW.W.0002.051113T1400Z-051114T0000Z/
ONTONAGON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ONTONAGON
1107 PM EST SAT NOV 12 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 7 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE CONTINUES A HIGH WIND
WARNING FOR THE PERIOD FROM 9 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY. THE WIND WILL
RAPIDLY INCREASE OUT OF THE NORTHWEST LATE SUNDAY MORNING TO 30 TO
40 MPH WITH WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH. THE HIGHEST WIND IS EXPECTED
ALONG THE LAKE SUPERIOR SHORELINE...THEN DIMINISH LATE SUNDAY
EVENING.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. HIGH WINDS CAN
TOPPLE TREES...BLOW WEAKENED ROOFS OFF HOUSES AND DOWN POWER
LINES. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

MIZ004-005-131215-
/O.CON.KMQT.HW.W.0002.051113T1700Z-051114T0300Z/
BARAGA-MARQUETTE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LANSE...MARQUETTE
1107 PM EST SAT NOV 12 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 10 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE CONTIUES A HIGH WIND
WARNING FOR THE PERIOD FROM 12 PM TO 10 PM EST SUNDAY. THE WIND
WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE OUT OF THE NORTHWEST EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON
TO 30 TO 40 MPH WITH WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH. THE HIGHEST WIND IS
EXPECTED OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN...THEN DIMINISH LATE SUNDAY
EVENING.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. HIGH WINDS CAN
TOPPLE TREES...BLOW WEAKENED ROOFS OFF HOUSES AND DOWN POWER
LINES. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

MIZ006-131215-
/O.CON.KMQT.HW.W.0002.051113T1900Z-051114T0300Z/
ALGER-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MUNISING
1107 PM EST SAT NOV 12 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 10 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE CONTINUES A HIGH WIND
WARNING FOR THE PERIOD FROM 2 PM TO 10 PM EST SUNDAY. THE WIND
WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE OUT OF THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY AFTERNOON TO 30
TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH. THE HIGHEST WIND IS EXPECTED ALONG
THE LAKE SUPERIOR SHORELINE. LOOK FOR THE WIND TO DIMINISH LATE
SUNDAY EVENING.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. HIGH WINDS CAN
TOPPLE TREES...BLOW WEAKENED ROOFS OFF HOUSES AND DOWN POWER
LINES. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

MIZ012-131215-
/O.CON.KMQT.WI.Y.0002.051113T1200Z-051113T2300Z/
MENOMINEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MENOMINEE
1007 PM CST SAT NOV 12 2005

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 5 PM CST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE CONTINUES A WIND
ADVISORY FOR THE PERIOD FROM 6 AM TO 5 PM CST SUNDAY. WIND
SPEEDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH ON SUNDAY WITH WIND GUSTS TO
55 MPH POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SHORELINE.
THE WIND WILL START TO DIMINISH BY SUNDAY EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

MIZ085-131215-
/O.CON.KMQT.WI.Y.0002.051113T1400Z-051114T0300Z/
NORTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SENEY
1107 PM EST SAT NOV 12 2005

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE CONTINUES A WIND
ADVISORY FOR THE PERIOD FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM EST SUNDAY. WIND SPEEDS
WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH ON SUNDAY WITH WIND GUSTS TO 55 MPH
POSSIBLE. THE WIND WILL START TO DIMINISH BY LATE SUNDAY EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

MIZ009>011-084-131215-
/O.CON.KMQT.WI.Y.0002.051113T1500Z-051113T2300Z/
GOGEBIC-IRON-DICKINSON-SOUTHERN HOUGHTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRONWOOD...IRON RIVER...IRON MOUNTAIN...
KENTON...SIDNAW
1007 PM CST SAT NOV 12 2005 /1107 PM EST SAT NOV 12 2005/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ TO
6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ SUNDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST...9 AM CST TO 6
PM EST...5 PM CST SUNDAY. WIND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35
MPH ON SUNDAY WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH POSSIBLE. THE WIND WILL
DIMINISH BY SUNDAY EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

DLG

000 
WWUS73 KMQT 130945
NPWMQT

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
445 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2005

...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE INTO THIS EVENING...

.LOW PRESSURE OVER WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR WILL LIFT INTO ONTARIO BY
THIS EVENING. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FAR WESTERN
UPPER MICHIGAN BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...THEN INTO CENTRAL UPPER
MICHIGAN LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. WIDESPREAD
DAMAGING WINDS MAY IMPACT THE KEWEENAW PENINSULA AND ALONG THE LAKE
SUPERIOR SHORE EAST OF MARQUETTE. A BRIEF PERIOD OF STRONG WINDS
IS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING AS WELL WHEN A STRONG COLD FRONT SWEEPS
INTO UPPER MICHIGAN FROM WISCONSIN. THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS THIS
MORNING ARE EXPECTED NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN. WINDS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH
THIS EVENING AS THE LOW EXITS THE REGION.

MIZ013-014-131745-
/O.EXT.KMQT.HW.W.0002.051113T0945Z-051114T0100Z/
DELTA-SOUTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ESCANABA...GLADSTONE...MANISTIQUE
445 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING...

SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 35 MPH EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BECOME
SOUTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 30 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH
BETWEEN 7 AM AND 10 AM EST. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED
DOWNWIND OF THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORE THIS MORNING. WINDS SHIFTING
TO THE NORTHWEST LATE TODAY WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
FEW GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. HIGH WINDS CAN
TOPPLE TREES...BLOW WEAKENED ROOFS OFF HOUSES AND DOWN POWER
LINES. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

MIZ001-003-007-131745-
/O.CON.KMQT.HW.W.0002.051113T1400Z-051114T0300Z/
KEWEENAW-NORTHERN HOUGHTON-LUCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COPPER HARBOR...HOUGHTON...HANCOCK...
NEWBERRY
445 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

WINDS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE BY LATE THIS MORNING OVER THE
KEWEENAW PENINSULA. BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON NORTHWEST WINDS OF 40
TO 50 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 70 MPH WILL IMPACT THE NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE PENINSULA. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD
WIND DAMAGE BETWEEN 1 PM AND 5 PM EST. THE STRONG WINDS WILL
SPREAD INTO NORTHERN LUCE COUNTY TOWARD THE LAKE SUPERIOR SHORE
AFTER 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. IN ALL AREAS...THE WINDS WILL
DIMINISH BY LATE THIS EVENING.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. HIGH WINDS CAN
TOPPLE TREES...BLOW WEAKENED ROOFS OFF HOUSES AND DOWN POWER
LINES. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

MIZ002-131745-
/O.CON.KMQT.HW.W.0002.051113T1400Z-051114T0000Z/
ONTONAGON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ONTONAGON
445 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

WINDS WILL QUICKLY INCREASE BY LATE THIS MORNING AS THEY SHIFT TO
THE NORTHWEST. WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH
ARE LIKELY BETWEEN NOON AND 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE WINDS
DIMINISH THIS EVENING. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE
LAKE SUPERIOR SHORE AND OVER HIGHER TERRAIN LOCATIONS NEAR LAKE
SUPERIOR.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. HIGH WINDS CAN
TOPPLE TREES...BLOW WEAKENED ROOFS OFF HOUSES AND DOWN POWER
LINES. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

MIZ004-005-131745-
/O.CON.KMQT.HW.W.0002.051113T1700Z-051114T0300Z/
BARAGA-MARQUETTE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LANSE...MARQUETTE
445 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 10 PM
EST THIS EVENING...

SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 40 MPH WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST
AFTER 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON AND RAPIDLY INCREASE TO 30 TO 40
MPH. WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON...
MAINLY ALONG LAKE SUPERIOR AND OVER HIGHER TERRAIN LOCATIONS NEAR
KEWEENAW BAY AND LAKE SUPERIOR. EXPECT WINDS TO QUICKLY DIMINISH
THIS EVENING.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. HIGH WINDS CAN
TOPPLE TREES...BLOW WEAKENED ROOFS OFF HOUSES AND DOWN POWER
LINES. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

MIZ006-131745-
/O.CON.KMQT.HW.W.0002.051113T1900Z-051114T0300Z/
ALGER-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MUNISING
445 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 40 MPH WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST
AFTER 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON AND RAPIDLY INCREASE TO 30 TO 50
MPH. A FEW WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON
ALONG THE LAKE SUPERIOR SHORELINE...MAINLY FROM GRAND ISLAND TO
GRAND MARAIS. EXPECT WINDS TO QUICKLY DIMINISH BY LATE THIS
EVENING.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. HIGH WINDS CAN TOPPLE
TREES...BLOW WEAKENED ROOFS OFF HOUSES AND DOWN POWER LINES.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

MIZ012-131745-
/O.EXT.KMQT.WI.Y.0002.051113T0945Z-051113T2300Z/
MENOMINEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MENOMINEE
345 AM CST SUN NOV 13 2005

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON.

SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP BETWEEN 6 AM AND 8 AM CST THIS MORNING. AS WINDS SHIFT
TO THE NORTHWEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON A FEW GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS 
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

MIZ085-131745-
/O.CON.KMQT.WI.Y.0002.051113T1400Z-051114T0300Z/
NORTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SENEY
445 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2005

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

SOUTH WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER 5
PM EST THIS AFTERNOON WHEN A FEW GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
IN UNSHELTERED AREAS. WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY LATE THIS EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

MIZ009>011-084-131745-
/O.CON.KMQT.WI.Y.0002.051113T1500Z-051113T2300Z/
GOGEBIC-IRON-DICKINSON-SOUTHERN HOUGHTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRONWOOD...IRON RIVER...IRON MOUNTAIN...
KENTON...SIDNAW
345 AM CST SUN NOV 13 2005 /445 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2005/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ THIS
MORNING TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON...

SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER
NOON CST WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE THROUGH THE REST OF
THE AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED
ALONG LAKE SUPERIOR IN GOGEBIC COUNTY AND OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN
OF SOUTHERN HOUGHTON...IRON...AND DICKINSON COUNTIES. WINDS WILL
DIMINISH QUICKLY EARLY THIS EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

JLA

000 
WWUS73 KMQT 131651
NPWMQT

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1151 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2005

...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE INTO THIS EVENING...

.STRONG LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN LAKE SUPERIOR WILL LIFT
NORTHEAST...BRINGING A COLD FRONT ACROSS WEST CENTRAL UPPER
MICHIGAN. LOOK FOR WINDS TO RAPIDLY INCREASE BEHIND IT WITH GUSTS
TO 60 TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE OVER THE KEWEENAW PENINSULA AND ALONG THE
LAKE SUPERIOR SHORELINE. WINDS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH THIS EVENING
AS THE LOW EXITS THE REGION.

MIZ001-003-007-140100-
/O.CON.KMQT.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051114T0300Z/
KEWEENAW-NORTHERN HOUGHTON-LUCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COPPER HARBOR...HOUGHTON...HANCOCK...
NEWBERRY
1151 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. LOOK FOR NORTHWEST WINDS TO INCREASE TO 40 TO 50 MPH
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE KEWEENAW PENINSULA WITH WIND GUSTS
OF 60 TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD WIND
DAMAGE BETWEEN 1 PM AND 5 PM EST. THE STRONG WINDS WILL SPREAD
INTO NORTHERN LUCE COUNTY TOWARD THE LAKE SUPERIOR SHORE AFTER 5
PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. IN ALL AREAS...THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY
LATE THIS EVENING.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. HIGH WINDS CAN
TOPPLE TREES...BLOW WEAKENED ROOFS OFF HOUSES AND DOWN POWER
LINES. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

MIZ002-140000-
/O.CON.KMQT.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051114T0000Z/
ONTONAGON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ONTONAGON
1151 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. LOOK FOR NORTHWEST WINDS TO INCREASE TO 25 TO 40 MPH
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE. THE
STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE LAKE SUPERIOR SHORE AND OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN LOCATIONS NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR. EXPECT THE WINDS TO
DIMINISH LATE THIS EVENING.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. HIGH WINDS CAN
TOPPLE TREES...BLOW WEAKENED ROOFS OFF HOUSES AND DOWN POWER
LINES. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

MIZ013-014-140100-
/O.CON.KMQT.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051114T0100Z/
DELTA-SOUTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ESCANABA...GLADSTONE...MANISTIQUE
1151 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING. SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH WILL
SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST WINDS
ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE LAKE MICHIGAN AND BAY OF GREEN BAY
SHORELINES. LOOK FOR THE WINDS TO DIMINISH LATE THIS EVENING.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. HIGH WINDS CAN
TOPPLE TREES...BLOW WEAKENED ROOFS OFF HOUSES AND DOWN POWER
LINES. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

MIZ004-005-140100-
/O.CON.KMQT.HW.W.0002.051113T1700Z-051114T0300Z/
BARAGA-MARQUETTE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LANSE...MARQUETTE
1151 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 45 MPH WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTHWEST EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...THEN RAPIDLY INCREASE TO 30 TO
40 MPH. WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON...
MAINLY ALONG LAKE SUPERIOR AND OVER HIGHER TERRAIN LOCATIONS NEAR
KEWEENAW BAY AND LAKE SUPERIOR. EXPECT WINDS TO QUICKLY DIMINISH
THIS EVENING.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. HIGH WINDS CAN
TOPPLE TREES...BLOW WEAKENED ROOFS OFF HOUSES AND DOWN POWER
LINES. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

MIZ006-140100-
/O.CON.KMQT.HW.W.0002.051113T1900Z-051114T0300Z/
ALGER-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MUNISING
1151 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 45 MPH WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTHWEST AFTER 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON AND RAPIDLY INCREASE TO 30
TO 50 MPH. A FEW WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON ALONG THE LAKE SUPERIOR SHORELINE...MAINLY FROM GRAND
ISLAND TO GRAND MARAIS. EXPECT WINDS TO QUICKLY DIMINISH BY LATE
THIS EVENING.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. HIGH WINDS CAN
TOPPLE TREES...BLOW WEAKENED ROOFS OFF HOUSES AND DOWN POWER
LINES. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

MIZ009>012-084-132300-
/O.CON.KMQT.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051113T2300Z/
GOGEBIC-IRON-DICKINSON-MENOMINEE-SOUTHERN HOUGHTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRONWOOD...IRON RIVER...IRON MOUNTAIN...
MENOMINEE...KENTON...SIDNAW
1051 AM CST SUN NOV 13 2005 /1151 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2005/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ THIS
AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH
WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. LOOK FOR THE
WINDS TO RAPIDLY DIMINISH THIS EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

MIZ085-140100-
/O.CON.KMQT.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051114T0300Z/
NORTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SENEY
1151 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2005

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST LATE
THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN OPEN AREAS. LOOK
FOR WINDS TO DIMINISH BY LATE THIS EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

AJ

000 
WWUS73 KMQT 132047
NPWMQT

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
347 PM EST SUN NOV 13 2005

...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING...

.STRONG LOW PRESSURE NEAR WAWA ONTARIO WILL MOVE TO SOUTHERN JAMES
BAY THIS EVENING. WINDS CONTINUE TO INCREASE BEHIND THE LOW OVER
WESTERN UPPER MICHIGAN WITH GUSTS ALREADY NEAR 50 MPH. THESE
WINDS WILL THEN PRESS EASTWARD THROUGH THE REST OF THE EVENING.
EXPECT WINDS TO DIMINISH BY MIDNIGHT AS THE LOW EXITS THE REGION.

MIZ001-003>007-140300-
/O.CON.KMQT.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051114T0300Z/
KEWEENAW-NORTHERN HOUGHTON-BARAGA-MARQUETTE-ALGER-LUCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COPPER HARBOR...HOUGHTON...HANCOCK...
LANSE...MARQUETTE...MUNISING...NEWBERRY
347 PM EST SUN NOV 13 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. LOOK FOR NORTHWEST WINDS TO INCREASE TO 35 TO 45 MPH EARLY
THIS EVENING WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH DEVELOPING. THE STRONGEST WINDS
WILL OCCUR ALONG THE LAKE SUPERIOR SHORELINE AND OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR. PLAN ON THE WINDS TO START
DIMINISHING BY 8 PM IN THE KEWEENAW PENINSULA...9 PM IN BARAGA AND
MARQUETTE COUNTIES...AND 10 PM IN ALGER AND LUCE COUNTIES. 

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. HIGH WINDS CAN
TOPPLE TREES...BLOW WEAKENED ROOFS OFF HOUSES AND DOWN POWER
LINES. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

MIZ002-140000-
/O.CON.KMQT.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051114T0000Z/
ONTONAGON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ONTONAGON
347 PM EST SUN NOV 13 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. LOOK FOR NORTHWEST WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
60 MPH EARLY THIS EVENING TO START DIMINISHING BY 7 PM. THE
STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE LAKE SUPERIOR SHORELINE AND
OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. HIGH WINDS CAN
TOPPLE TREES...BLOW WEAKENED ROOFS OFF HOUSES AND DOWN POWER
LINES. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

MIZ013-014-140100-
/O.CON.KMQT.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051114T0100Z/
DELTA-SOUTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ESCANABA...GLADSTONE...MANISTIQUE
347 PM EST SUN NOV 13 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING. ALTHOUGH WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED WITH GUSTS TO 40
MPH...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PICK BACK UP AGAIN OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST. WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 60 MPH
ARE POSSIBLE BY 6 PM THIS EVENING. LOOK FOR THE WINDS TO RAPIDLY
DIMINISH BY 8 PM.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. HIGH WINDS CAN
TOPPLE TREES...BLOW WEAKENED ROOFS OFF HOUSES AND DOWN POWER
LINES. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

MIZ009>012-084-132300-
/O.CON.KMQT.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051113T2300Z/
GOGEBIC-IRON-DICKINSON-MENOMINEE-SOUTHERN HOUGHTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRONWOOD...IRON RIVER...IRON MOUNTAIN...
MENOMINEE...KENTON...SIDNAW
247 PM CST SUN NOV 13 2005 /347 PM EST SUN NOV 13 2005/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ THIS
AFTERNOON. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH ARE
STILL POSSIBLE EARLY THIS EVENING. EXPECT WINDS TO RAPIDLY
DIMINISH AFTER 6 PM.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

MIZ085-140300-
/O.CON.KMQT.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051114T0300Z/
NORTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SENEY
347 PM EST SUN NOV 13 2005

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY
THIS EVENING. GUSTS TO 55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN OPEN AREAS...
ESPECIALLY NORTH OF M-28. LOOK FOR WINDS TO DIMINISH BY LATE THIS
EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

AJ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1130 AM EST SAT NOV 12 2005

...ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT WIND EVENT EXPECTED SUNDAY...

.DISCUSSION...

CURRENT WEATHER...15Z WATER VAPOR LOOP AND 12Z RAOBS SHOWED RIDGING
FROM THE SOUTHEAST U.S. INTO MICHIGAN...AN UPPER LOW OVER WESTERN
NEBRASKA AND A SHRTWV TROUGH ACROSS WESTERN MONTANA. UPPER LOW OVER
NEBRASKA LOOKS VERY STRONG WITH A DEFORMATION ZONE SETTING UP FROM
CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA INTO NE COLORADO AND A DRY SLOT AHEAD OF IT
ALONG US-81. A WARM CONVEYOR BELT CAN THEN BE SEEN AHEAD OF THE
DRY-SLOT EXTENDING FROM SE TEXAS THROUGH IOWA AND INTO WESTERN
WISCONSIN. SOME SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALREADY
OCCURRING IN THE WARM CONVEYOR BELT FROM WESTERN IOWA INTO SW
MINNESOTA. MAJORITY OF CLOUD MOVING UPPER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN
WISCONSIN AT THE MOMENT IS CIRRUS OR A HIGH ALTOSTRATUS DUE TO DRY
LOW TO MID-LEVELS SEEN ON THE 12Z GRB SOUNDING. EVEN MPX AND ABR
WERE QUITE DRY WITH 800MB DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS OF 18C. AT THE
SURFACE...A 994MB LOW WAS SITUATED OVER NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA WITH
A WARM FRONT EXTENDING NE TO NEAR MINNEAPOLIS AND EAU CLAIRE
WISCONSIN. ONE COLD FRONT WITH THE LOW EXTENDS SOUTH TOWARDS WICHITA
AND A SECONDARY COLD FRONT EXTENDS SW TOWARDS GOODLAND KANSAS.
PRESSURE FALLS ARE NEAR 1MB/HR NEAR SIOUX FALLS SOUTH DAKOTA.

GOING FORECAST FOR TODAY LOOKS ON TRACK SO NO UPDATES ARE PLANNED.

SHRTWV TROUGH/UPPER LOW OVER NEBRASKA WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NE AS IT
RUNS INTO THE UPPER RIDGE AHEAD OF IT AND AS THE SHRTWV TROUGH OVER
THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST MOVES CLOSER. THESE TWO FEATURES ARE STILL
EXPECTED TO PHASE LATE TONIGHT OVER MINNESOTA AND
WISCONSIN...CAUSING RAPID DEEPENING OF THE SURFACE LOW. NEW 12Z
NAM/RUC13 FOLLOWS SUIT WITH PREVIOUS RUNS SHOWING THE CURRENT 994MB
LOW DEEPENING TO 985MB AT 06Z SUN NEAR HINCKELY MINNESOTA. THE
PHASED UPPER SYSTEM WILL THEN CONTINUE NE...MOVING THE 985MB SURFACE
LOW ACROSS WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR SUNDAY MORNING AND INTO NE LAKE
SUPERIOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

FIRST COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS UPPER MICHIGAN SUNDAY
MORNING...BRINGING SOME COLD AIR ADVECTION IN BEHIND IT. MUCH MORE
IMPRESSIVE COLD AIR ADVECTION AND PRESSURE RISES COMES IN BEHIND THE
SECOND COLD FRONT. FIRST COLD FRONT LOOKS LIKE IT WILL STILL
GENERATE STORM FORCE WINDS ON LAKE MICHIGAN AND ALONG THE SHORELINE
EAST OF ESCANABA. SECONDARY COLD FRONT IS THE BIGGER WIND MAKER
HOWEVER DUE TO THE RAPID PRESSURE RISES AND STRONGEST GRADIENT.
LATEST NAM SHOWS OVER EASTERN LAKE SUPERIOR AND THE NORTH CENTRAL
U.P. AROUND 21Z OF 70 KT AT 2000 FT. WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES...A LOT
OF THIS WILL MIX DOWN...ESPECIALLY OVER LAKE SUPERIOR. RUC13 IS ALSO
SHOWING SURFACE WINDS OF 50 KT ON BOTH SUPERIOR AND MICHIGAN DURING
THE AFTERNOON. SINCE 12Z GFS IS LOOKING SIMILAR TO THE NAM WITH THE
LOW TRACK AND INTENSITY...HAVE DECIDED TO FOLLOW THE NAM/RUC13 SINCE
THEY HAVE A BETTER HANDLE ON LAKE SUPERIOR MODIFICATIONS TO THE LOW.
ALSO AM FOLLOWING THE RUC13 BECAUSE OF ITS GREAT PERFORMANCE DURING
THE LAST EVENT. AS A RESULT...HAVE PUT OUT STORM WARNINGS FOR LAKE
SUPERIOR AND UPGRADED HIGH WIND WATCHES TO WARNINGS FOR ONTONAGON...
NORTHERN HOUGHTON...KEWEENAW...BARAGA...MARQUETTE...ALGER...
LUCE...DELTA AND SOUTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT. AM A LITTLE CONCERNED STILL
ON THE WISCONSIN BORDER COUNTIES SO WILL LEAVE HIGH WIND WATCH UP AT
THE MOMENT FOR THEM.

MORE TO COME ON THE NEXT AFD ISSUANCE BUT ALL SIGNS POINT TO A
SIMILAR TO STRONGER EVENT THEN LAST WEDNESDAY.

.PREV DISCUSSION...

FOR TDAY...GFS SHOWS GRDL PHASING BTWN NRN BRANCH SHRTWV/STRONGER
SRN BRANCH SYS LIFTING NEWD INTO THE PLAINS. BY 00Z...DEEPENING SFC
LO UNDER DIFFLUENT NEGATIVELY TILTED TROF IS FCST TO REACH SW MN.
NAM HAS FINALLY COME ARND TO THIS SCENARIO AND SHOWS A NRLY
IDENTICAL MSLP FIELD AT F24. BOTH MODELS HAVE BACKED OFF ON
GENERATING PCPN NR THE WI BORDER...NOT SURPRISING GIVEN THE VERY DRY
AIR OBSVD AT H85 AS FAR S AS THE SRN PLAINS...MODEST ISENTROPIC LIFT
FCST OVER THE UPR GRT LKS RELATED TO MARGINAL MSTR RETURN/FAIRLY
WEAK THERMAL GRADIENT IN PLACE OVER THE UPR LKS...AND TRACK OF BEST
LEFT EXIT JET FORCING/UPR DVGC TO THE W. OPTED TO PUSH BACK ARRIVAL
TIME OF PCPN CHCS ALG THE WI BORDER TO CLOSER TO 00Z...BUT RETAINED
EARLIER POPS OVER WRN LK SUP CLOSER TO BETTER THERMAL GRADIENT/WARM
FNT TO THE NE OF SFC LO IN SW MN (INCLUDING REMNANTS OF WEAK COOL
FNT NOW WASHING OUT IN NW ONTARIO). OTRW...DAY SHOULD FEATURE INCRSG
HI CLDS...WITH EVENTUAL RETURN OF LLVL MSTR BLO H8 CAUSING AN INCRS
IN SC LATER IN THE DAY NEAR THE WI BORDER PER MOISTENING SHOWN ON
GFS FCST SDNGS. MIXING TO H9-925 ON GFS FCST SDNGS AS OBSVD ON FRI
AFTN SUPPORTS HI TEMPS NOT TOO FAR FM GFS MOS GUIDANCE.

VERY GOOD AGREEMENT BTWN THE NAM/GFS/UKMET SHOWING DEEPENING 984MB
SFC LO PRES REACHING NR ISLE ROYALE AT 12Z SUN. THIS TRACK SUGS A
WARM CONVEYOR BELT MSTR BAND WL IMPACT THE FA OVERNGT BEFORE DRY
SLOTTING IN JET SURGE RGN TO THE SW OF SHRTWV TRACK ACRS NE MN
IMPACTS THE FA LATER. GFS UPR DVGC/H85-5 RH PROGS AND SHARP
ISENTROPIC DESCENT LATE SUN NGT TO THE SE OF STORM TRACK SUPPORT
THIS CLASSIC MODEL. A BIT CONCERNED ABOUT WEAK ISENTROPIC LIFT
FCST/DRY AIR UPSTREAM...BUT VIGOROUS DYNAMICS SHOULD SQUEEZE OUT
AVBL MSTR TO GENERATE AT LEAST SOME RA EVERYWHERE. WL MAINTAIN CHC
OF TSRA WITHIN WARM CONVEYOR BELT AS GFS/NAM FCST SDNGS IN THE EVNG
SHOW LLVL WRMG/MOISTENING BLO COOLING ALF ACCOMPANYING . BUT
MARGINAL CAPE SUGS ANY TSRA WL BE ISOLD. TEMPS SHOULD BE WARM THRU
MUCH OF THE NGT...BUT READINGS WL FALL LATE AT NGT OVER THE W
FOLLOWING PASSAGE OF COLD FROPA. OTRW...INCRSG H925 WINDS (GFS SHOWS
H925 WIND SPEEDS UP TO 50 KT) IN SHARPENING PRES GRADIENT AND
IMPRESSIVE ISENTROPIC DESCENT WITH STEEPENING LLVL LAPSE RATES
BEHIND COLD FROPA SUPPORT GALES/STORMS FOR THE OPEN LKS/NEARSHORE
WATERS AND POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGAING WINDS EVEN OVER LAND.

AS THE SFC LO TRACKS NEWD INTO ONTARIO ON SUN...SHARP CYC NW FLOW
IMPACTS FA. WITH APRCHG 18MB/6HR PRES RISE MAX AND WNW H925 WINDS UP
TO 50KT...EXPECT POTENTIAL FOR STRG WINDS TO PERSIST THRU THE DAY.
HAVE HOISTED HI WIND WATCH FOR ALL LAND ZNS AND MENTIONED STORM
FORCE WINDS PSBL IN THE MARINE ZNS. OTRW...BACKWASH MSTR IN SHARP
CYC FLOW WL INCRS PCPN CHCS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIER TERRAIN OF
THE W AND NCNTRL. GFS/UKMET SHOW H85 TEMPS FALLING TO ARND -7C BY
00Z MON...SO MIX/CHG TO SN IS LIKELY ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIER
TERRAIN OF THE W AND NCNTRL. USED GFS/UKMET FCST H100-85 THKNS
1300-1305M TO GAUGE TIMING OF MIX/CHGOVER TO SN.

SHRTWV/SFC LO FCST TO MOVE QUICKLY NE AWAY FM THE UPR GRT LKS SUN
NGT AND INTO NW QUEBEC BY 12Z MON. EXPECT WINDS/CYC FLOW/BACKWASH
-SHSN TO DIMINISH W-E DURING THE NGT UNDER STEADILY RISING H5 HGTS/
STRENGTHENING INVRN JUST BLO H85 AND WITH APRCH OF SFC RDG LATE.

SOME MODEL DISCREPANCIES SHOWING UP FOR NEXT ALBERTA CLIPPER DUE TO
MOVE INTO THE UPR MIDWEST LATE MON/TUE. APPEARS BULK OF MON WL BE A
DRY DAY WITH SHRTWV RDGING/SFC HI PRES RDG ARND INTO THE AFTN. GFS/
UKMET HAVE TRENDED TO TAKE THE SFC LO FARTHER TO THE S SO THAT
BETTER DYNAMICS/MORE SGNFT PCPN SHIELD WOULD MISS CWA. HOWEVER...
00Z ECMWF/CNDN MODELS AND NAM SHOW A FARTHER N TRACK THAT WOULD
STILL PUT AT LEAST PART OF THE FA UNDER THE GUN FOR THE FIRST SGNFT
WDSPRD SN OF THE SEASON. SINCE GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN HINTS A SGNFT
NUMBER OF ENSEMBLE MEMBERS SUPPORT THE MORE NRN TRACK OF THE ECMWF/
CNDN/NAM...WL MAINTAIN GOING 50 POPS AND CONT TO MENTION PSBL SGNFT
SN/WIND IN THE HWO. MADE FEW CHGS IN THE GOING FCST.

COORDINATED WITH APX/GRB/DLH/LOT/ENVIRONMENT CANADA.

&&

.MQT...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
   HIGH WIND WARNING MIZ001>007-013-014
   HIGH WIND WATCH MIZ009>012-084-085
   STORM WARNING IN EFFECT LAKE SUPERIOR

&&

AJ (SHORT-TERM)
KC (PREV DISCUSSION)

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
515 AM EST SAT NOV 12 2005

MIZ001>007-009>014-084-085-131200-
ALGER-BARAGA-DELTA-DICKINSON-GOGEBIC-IRON-KEWEENAW-LUCE-MARQUETTE-
MENOMINEE-NORTHERN HOUGHTON-NORTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-ONTONAGON-
SOUTHERN HOUGHTON-SOUTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
515 AM EST SAT NOV 12 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL UPPER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT...MAINLY BEFORE 3
AM EST.

SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 MPH AND 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVER
WEST AND CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN LATE TONIGHT FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE
OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. SOUTH GALES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN LAKE
SUPERIOR LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 60 TO 65 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVER WEST AND
CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY EVENING. THE STRONGEST
WINDS ARE LIKELY OVER THE KEWEENAW PENINSULA.

SOUTH GALES VEERING NORTHWEST ARE EXPECTED ON LAKE SUPERIOR SUNDAY
INTO SUNDAY EVENING. THERE MAY ALSO BE NORTHWEST STORM FORCE WIND
GUSTS ON LAKE SUPERIOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY EVENING.

THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL MAY OCCUR MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS IN WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN.

NORTH GALES ARE POSSIBLE ON LAKE SUPERIOR ON TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING URL:

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MQT (ALL LOWER CASE)

KC