Wind Advisory 1, NWS Marquette, MI

000 
WWUS73 KMQT 090320
NPWMQT

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1020 PM EST TUE NOV 8 2005

...STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO BRING HIGH WINDS TO WEST
AND CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN ON WEDNESDAY...

.A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER NORTHERN MINNESOTA WILL MOVE ACROSS
NORTHERN LAKE SUPERIOR ON WEDNESDAY...DRIVING A SHARP COLD FRONT
ACROSS UPPER MICHIGAN. WEST WINDS DEVELOPING IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING COULD GUST AS
HIGH AS 60 MPH ALONG LAKE SUPERIOR AND OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
THE KEWEENAW PENINSULA...AND AS HIGH AS 50 MPH INLAND. WINDS WILL
DIMINISH WEDNESDAY EVENING AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE APPROACHES
FROM THE WEST.

MIZ002-091130-
/O.UPG.KMQT.HW.A.0002.051109T1200Z-051109T2300Z/
/O.EXA.KMQT.HW.W.0001.051109T1400Z-051109T2300Z/
ONTONAGON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ONTONAGON
1020 PM EST TUE NOV 8 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE
HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

LOOK FOR SUSTAINED WEST WINDS TO INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH BY 7 AM
EST WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND THEN AS HIGH AS 40 TO 50 MPH NEAR THE
LAKE SUPERIOR SHORELINE AND OVER WEST FACING HIGHER TERRAIN AFTER
9 AM. THESE POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 60
MPH WILL DIMINISH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

ALONG WITH THE WIND...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL ALSO OCCUR...RESULTING
IN VISIBILITIES AS LOW AS ONE HALF OF A MILE AT TIMES. THE MOST
FREQUENT SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR OVER HIGHER TERRAIN FROM BRUCE
CROSSING TO ROCKLAND AND MASS CITY.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

MIZ001-003-091130-
/O.CON.KMQT.HW.W.0001.051109T1400Z-051109T2300Z/
KEWEENAW-NORTHERN HOUGHTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COPPER HARBOR...HOUGHTON...HANCOCK
1020 PM EST TUE NOV 8 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

LOOK FOR SUSTAINED WEST WINDS TO INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH AFTER 7
AM EST WEDNESDAY...AND THEN TO 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH
BY 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THESE POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING WEDNESDAY EVENING.
ALONG WITH THE WIND...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL ALSO OCCUR...RESULTING
IN VISIBILITIES AS LOW AS ONE HALF OF A MILE AT TIMES.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. SECURE TRASH
CANS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OR LIGHTWEIGHT OUTDOOR
OBJECTS. HIGH WINDS CAN TOPPLE TREES...BLOW WEAKENED ROOFS OFF
HOUSES AND DOWN POWER LINES.

$$

MIZ006-007-091130-
/O.CON.KMQT.HW.W.0001.051109T1800Z-051110T0300Z/
ALGER-LUCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUNISING...NEWBERRY
1020 PM EST TUE NOV 8 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

WEST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WILL DEVELOP BY NOON ON WEDNESDAY...
THEN INCREASE TO NORTHWEST 35 TO 45 MPH BY SUNSET. WIND GUSTS AS
HIGH AS 60 MPH MAY OCCUR ALONG THE LAKE SUPERIOR SHORELINE. ALONG
WITH THE WIND...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL ALSO OCCUR IN THE
AFTERNOON...RESULTING IN VISIBILITIES AS LOW AS ONE HALF OF A
MILE AT TIMES. LOOK FOR THE WINDS TO DIMINISH LATE WEDNESDAY
EVENING.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. SECURE TRASH
CANS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OR LIGHTWEIGHT OUTDOOR
OBJECTS. HIGH WINDS CAN TOPPLE TREES...BLOW WEAKENED ROOFS OFF
HOUSES AND DOWN POWER LINES.

$$

MIZ009-010-084-091130-
/O.CON.KMQT.WI.Y.0001.051109T1200Z-051109T2300Z/
GOGEBIC-IRON-SOUTHERN HOUGHTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRONWOOD...IRON RIVER...KENTON...SIDNAW
920 PM CST TUE NOV 8 2005 /1020 PM EST TUE NOV 8 2005/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ TO
6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ WEDNESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ TO
6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ WEDNESDAY. 

PLAN ON WINDS TO INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING
AND PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY BEFORE DIMINISHING IN THE EARLY EVENING.
GUSTS AS HIGH AS 55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE LAKE
SUPERIOR SHORELINE OF GOGEBIC COUNTY.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

MIZ011>014-085-091130-
/O.CON.KMQT.WI.Y.0001.051109T1600Z-051110T0100Z/
DICKINSON-MENOMINEE-DELTA-SOUTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
NORTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRON MOUNTAIN...MENOMINEE...ESCANABA...
GLADSTONE...MANISTIQUE...SENEY
920 PM CST TUE NOV 8 2005 /1020 PM EST TUE NOV 8 2005/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO
8 PM EST /7 PM CST/ WEDNESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO
8 PM EST /7 PM CST/ WEDNESDAY. 

PLAN ON WINDS TO INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING
AND PERSIST INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING. GUSTS AS
HIGH AS 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

MIZ004-005-091130-
/O.CON.KMQT.HW.A.0002.051109T1600Z-051109T2300Z/
BARAGA-MARQUETTE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LANSE...MARQUETTE
1020 PM EST TUE NOV 8 2005

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

A HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 

LOOK FOR WINDS TO INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH WEDNESDAY MORNING AND
PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING. GUSTS AS HIGH
AS 60 MPH MAY OCCUR...MAINLY ALONG THE LAKE SUPERIOR SHORELINE
AND OVER THE HURON MOUNTAINS.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS. SECURE TRASH CANS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OR
LIGHTWEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS. HIGH WINDS CAN TOPPLE TREES...BLOW
WEAKENED ROOFS OFF HOUSES AND DOWN POWER LINES.

$$
KC

000 
WWUS73 KMQT 091012
NPWMQT

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
512 AM EST WED NOV 9 2005

...STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO BRING HIGH WINDS TO WEST AND 
CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN TODAY...

.A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER NORTHERN MINNESOTA WILL MOVE ACROSS
NORTHERN LAKE SUPERIOR THIS AFTERNOON PROPELLING A STRONG COLD
FRONT ACROSS UPPER MICHIGAN. WEST WINDS DEVELOPING IN THE WAKE OF
THE FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO GUST AS HIGH AS 60 MPH BY THIS AFTERNOON
NEAR PORTIONS OF THE LAKE SUPERIOR SHORE...AND OVER HIGHER TERRAIN
AREAS NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR. WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE FAR INLAND.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING AS HIGH PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE
WEST.

MIZ004-005-091815-
/O.UPG.KMQT.HW.A.0002.051109T1600Z-051109T2300Z/
/O.EXB.KMQT.HW.W.0001.051109T1500Z-051109T2300Z/
BARAGA-MARQUETTE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LANSE...MARQUETTE
512 AM EST WED NOV 9 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM
EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH BY LATE THIS MORNING AND
PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...BEFORE DIMINISHING EARLY THIS
EVENING. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED BY MID AFTERNOON
OVER HIGHER TERRAIN LOCATIONS WEST OF MARQUETTE. ALONG THE LAKE 
SUPERIOR SHORE...WINDS MAY GUST AS HIGH AS 45 MPH.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. SECURE TRASH CANS...LAWN
FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OR LIGHTWEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS. HIGH WINDS
CAN TOPPLE TREES...BLOW WEAKENED ROOFS OFF HOUSES AND DOWN POWER LINES.
WINDS THIS STRONG CAN ALSO MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR
HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

$$

MIZ001>003-091815-
/O.CON.KMQT.HW.W.0001.051109T1400Z-051109T2300Z/
KEWEENAW-ONTONAGON-NORTHERN HOUGHTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COPPER HARBOR...ONTONAGON...HOUGHTON...
HANCOCK
512 AM EST WED NOV 9 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH EARLY THIS MORNING...AND
THEN AS HIGH AS 40 TO 50 MPH NEAR THE LAKE SUPERIOR SHORELINE AND
OVER WEST FACING HIGHER TERRAIN AFTER 9 AM. THESE POTENTIALLY DAMAGING
WINDS WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 60 MPH WILL DIMINISH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

ALONG WITH THE WIND...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP LATER
THIS AFTERNOON...RESULTING IN VISIBILITIES AS LOW AS ONE HALF OF A
MILE AT TIMES. THE MOST FREQUENT SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR OVER HIGHER
TERRAIN FROM BRUCE CROSSING TO ROCKLAND AND MASS CITY.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58
MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. SECURE TRASH CANS...LAWN
FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OR LIGHTWEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS. HIGH WINDS
CAN TOPPLE TREES...BLOW WEAKENED ROOFS OFF HOUSES AND DOWN POWER
LINES. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN ALSO MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY
FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

$$

MIZ006-007-091815-
/O.CON.KMQT.HW.W.0001.051109T1800Z-051110T0300Z/
ALGER-LUCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUNISING...NEWBERRY
512 AM EST WED NOV 9 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
10 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

WEST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WILL DEVELOP BY LATE AFTERNOON...THEN
INCREASE TO NORTHWEST 35 TO 45 MPH BY SUNSET. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH
AS 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE LAKE SUPERIOR SHORELINE. ALONG
WITH THE WIND...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL ALSO DEVELOP BY LATE AFTERNOON
...RESULTING IN VISIBILITIES AS LOW AS ONE HALF OF A MILE AT
TIMES. LOOK FOR THE WINDS TO DIMINISH LATE THIS EVENING.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. SECURE TRASH
CANS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OR LIGHTWEIGHT OUTDOOR
OBJECTS. HIGH WINDS CAN TOPPLE TREES...BLOW WEAKENED ROOFS OFF
HOUSES AND DOWN POWER LINES. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN ALSO MAKE
DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

$$

MIZ009-010-084-091815-
/O.CON.KMQT.WI.Y.0001.051109T1200Z-051109T2300Z/
GOGEBIC-IRON-SOUTHERN HOUGHTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRONWOOD...IRON RIVER...KENTON...SIDNAW
412 AM CST WED NOV 9 2005 /512 AM EST WED NOV 9 2005/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ THIS
AFTERNOON. 

WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH THIS MORNING AND PERSIST
THROUGH THE DAY BEFORE DIMINISHING IN THE EARLY EVENING. GUSTS AS
HIGH AS 55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE LAKE SUPERIOR
SHORELINE OF GOGEBIC COUNTY.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

MIZ011>014-085-091815-
/O.CON.KMQT.WI.Y.0001.051109T1600Z-051110T0100Z/
DICKINSON-MENOMINEE-DELTA-SOUTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
NORTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRON MOUNTAIN...MENOMINEE...ESCANABA...
GLADSTONE...MANISTIQUE...SENEY
412 AM CST WED NOV 9 2005 /512 AM EST WED NOV 9 2005/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/
THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EST /7 PM CST/ THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ THIS
MORNING TO 8 PM EST /7 PM CST/ THIS EVENING. 

WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH LATE THIS MORNING AND
CONTINUE INTO EARLY THIS EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING. GUSTS AS
HIGH AS 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

JLA

000 
WWUS73 KMQT 091630
NPWMQT

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1130 AM EST WED NOV 9 2005

...HIGH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS WEST AND CENTRAL
UPPER MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON...

.A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKING ACROSS NORTHERN LAKE SUPERIOR WILL
PUSH A STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS UPPER MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON.
WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS DEVELOPING BEHIND THIS FRONT ARE EXPECTED
TO GUST AS HIGH AS 60 MPH THIS AFTERNOON NEAR THE LAKE SUPERIOR
SHORE AND THE ADJACENT HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS. WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH
ARE POSSIBLE FARTHER INLAND. THE STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL DIMINISH
LATER THIS EVENING AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST.

MIZ001>005-092300-
/O.EXT.KMQT.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051110T0200Z/
KEWEENAW-ONTONAGON-NORTHERN HOUGHTON-BARAGA-MARQUETTE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COPPER HARBOR...ONTONAGON...HOUGHTON...
HANCOCK...LANSE...MARQUETTE
1130 AM EST WED NOV 9 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE HIGH WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING.

WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL INCREASE TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO
40 MPH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...AND CONTINUE INTO THE LATE EVENING
HOURS. FREQUENT WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
WARNING AREA...WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE ALONG THE
KEWEENAW PENINSULA AND OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN WEST OF MARQUETTE.
THE STRONG WINDS WILL DIMINISH LATE THIS EVENING.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. SECURE TRASH
CANS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OR LIGHTWEIGHT OUTDOOR
OBJECTS. HIGH WINDS CAN TOPPLE TREES AND DOWN POWER LINES. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN ALSO MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES.

$$

MIZ006-007-092300-
/O.EXT.KMQT.HW.W.0001.051109T1800Z-051110T0500Z/
ALGER-LUCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUNISING...NEWBERRY
1130 AM EST WED NOV 9 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THE HIGH WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT.

WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND INCREASE
TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH BY SUNSET. FREQUENT WIND GUSTS
OF 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA...WITH HIGHER GUSTS
TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE ALONG THE LAKE SUPERIOR SHORELINE. ALONG WITH
THE STRONG WINDS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP BY LATE
AFTERNOON REDUCING VISIBILITIES BELOW A HALF MILE AT TIMES. THE
STRONG WINDS WILL DIMINISH AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. SECURE TRASH
CANS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OR LIGHTWEIGHT OUTDOOR
OBJECTS. HIGH WINDS CAN TOPPLE TREES AND DOWN POWER LINES. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN ALSO MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES.

$$

MIZ011>014-085-092300-
/O.EXT.KMQT.WI.Y.0001.051109T1630Z-051110T0500Z/
DICKINSON-MENOMINEE-DELTA-SOUTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
NORTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRON MOUNTAIN...MENOMINEE...ESCANABA...
GLADSTONE...MANISTIQUE...SENEY
1030 AM CST WED NOV 9 2005 /1130 AM EST WED NOV 9 2005/

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST /11 PM CST/
TONIGHT...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST OR 11 PM CST
TONIGHT. 

WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON
AND INTO THIS EVENING...BEFORE DIMINISHING TONIGHT. FREQUENT WIND
GUSTS OF 40 MPH TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY IN EXPOSED
AREAS. 

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS ABOVE 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

MIZ009-010-084-092300-
/O.EXT.KMQT.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-051110T0200Z/
GOGEBIC-IRON-SOUTHERN HOUGHTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRONWOOD...IRON RIVER...KENTON...SIDNAW
1030 AM CST WED NOV 9 2005 /1130 AM EST WED NOV 9 2005/

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ THIS
EVENING...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST OR 8 PM CST THIS
EVENING.

WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON
BEFORE DIMINISHING LATE THIS EVENING. FREQUENT WIND GUSTS OF 40
MPH TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED IN EXPOSED AREAS...WITH GUSTS AS
HIGH AS 55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE LAKE SUPERIOR SHORELINE OF
GOGEBIC COUNTY.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

LAROSA

000 
WWUS73 KMQT 092057
NPWMQT

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
357 PM EST WED NOV 9 2005

...HIGH WINDS WILL PERSIST ACROSS WEST AND CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN
INTO TONIGHT...

.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED JUST NORTHEAST OF LAKE
SUPERIOR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST TONIGHT. IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW...WEST
TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST AS HIGH AS 60 MPH INTO
TONIGHT NEAR THE LAKE SUPERIOR SHORE AND THE ADJACENT HIGHER
TERRAIN AREAS. WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE FARTHER INLAND.
THE STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL DIMINISH LATER TONIGHT AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST.

MIZ006-007-100500-
/O.EXT.KMQT.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051110T0700Z/
ALGER-LUCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUNISING...NEWBERRY
357 PM EST WED NOV 9 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE HIGH WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST THURSDAY. 

WEST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.
FREQUENT WIND GUSTS OF 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING
AREA...WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE ALONG THE LAKE
SUPERIOR SHORELINE. ALONG WITH THE STRONG WINDS...LAKE EFFECT RAIN
SHOWERS WILL CHANGE TO SNOW...REDUCING VISIBILITIES BELOW A HALF
MILE AT TIMES TONIGHT. THE STRONG WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH
AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. SECURE TRASH
CANS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OR LIGHTWEIGHT OUTDOOR
OBJECTS. HIGH WINDS CAN TOPPLE TREES AND DOWN POWER LINES. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN ALSO MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES.

$$

MIZ001>005-100200-
/O.CON.KMQT.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051110T0200Z/
KEWEENAW-ONTONAGON-NORTHERN HOUGHTON-BARAGA-MARQUETTE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COPPER HARBOR...ONTONAGON...HOUGHTON...
HANCOCK...LANSE...MARQUETTE
357 PM EST WED NOV 9 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING.

WEST WINDS OF OF 30 TO 40 MPH WILL PERSIST INTO THIS EVENING. FREQUENT
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE ALONG THE KEWEENAW PENINSULA AND
OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN WEST OF MARQUETTE. THE STRONG WINDS WILL
DIMINISH LATE THIS EVENING.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. SECURE TRASH
CANS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OR LIGHTWEIGHT OUTDOOR
OBJECTS. HIGH WINDS CAN TOPPLE TREES AND DOWN POWER LINES. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN ALSO MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES.

$$

MIZ011>014-085-100500-
/O.EXT.KMQT.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-051110T0600Z/
DICKINSON-MENOMINEE-DELTA-SOUTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
NORTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRON MOUNTAIN...MENOMINEE...ESCANABA...
GLADSTONE...MANISTIQUE...SENEY
257 PM CST WED NOV 9 2005 /357 PM EST WED NOV 9 2005/

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST /MIDNIGHT CST/
THURSDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST /MIDNIGHT CST/
THURSDAY. 

WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING...
BEFORE DIMINISHING LATE TONIGHT. FREQUENT WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50
MPH CAN BE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY IN EXPOSED AREAS.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS ABOVE 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

MIZ009-010-084-100200-
/O.CON.KMQT.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-051110T0200Z/
GOGEBIC-IRON-SOUTHERN HOUGHTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRONWOOD...IRON RIVER...KENTON...SIDNAW
257 PM CST WED NOV 9 2005 /357 PM EST WED NOV 9 2005/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ THIS
EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ THIS
EVENING. 

WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING.
FREQUENT WIND GUSTS OF 40 MPH TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED IN EXPOSED
AREAS...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 55 MPH POSSIBLE ALONG THE LAKE
SUPERIOR SHORELINE OF GOGEBIC COUNTY.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

TRH

000 
WWUS73 KMQT 100212
NPWMQT

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
912 PM EST WED NOV 9 2005

...WINDS DECREASING ACROSS UPPER MICHIGAN...

.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED JUST NORTHEAST OF LAKE
SUPERIOR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST TONIGHT...ALLOWING WINDS TO
CONTINUE TO DECREASE ACROSS WEST AND CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN.
HOWEVER...WINDS ACROSS THE KEWEENAW MAY STILL GUST TO 50 MPH AND
AREAS ALONG THE LAKESHORE EAST OF SAND RIVER MAY GUST TO 60 MPH.

MIZ001-003-100600-
/O.EXP.KMQT.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051110T0200Z/
/O.EXA.KMQT.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-051110T0600Z/
KEWEENAW-NORTHERN HOUGHTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COPPER HARBOR...HOUGHTON...HANCOCK
912 PM EST WED NOV 9 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING HAS EXPIRED...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY. THE HIGH
WIND WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

LOOK FOR WINDS TO CONTINUE TO GUST TO 40 TO 50 MPH THROUGH THE
REST OF THE EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS ON THURSDAY.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. WATCH OUT FOR DOWNED TREES
AND POWER LINES.

$$

MIZ002-004-005-100315-
/O.EXP.KMQT.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051110T0200Z/
ONTONAGON-BARAGA-MARQUETTE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ONTONAGON...LANSE...MARQUETTE
912 PM EST WED NOV 9 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE HIGH WIND WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

ALTHOUGH WINDS HAVE DECREASED...WATCH OUT FOR DOWNED TREES AND
POWER LINES IF YOU ARE TRAVELING.

$$

MIZ011>014-100315-
/O.CAN.KMQT.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-051110T0600Z/
DICKINSON-MENOMINEE-DELTA-SOUTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRON MOUNTAIN...MENOMINEE...ESCANABA...
GLADSTONE...MANISTIQUE
812 PM CST WED NOV 9 2005 /912 PM EST WED NOV 9 2005/

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

ALTHOUGH WINDS HAVE DECREASED...WATCH OUT FOR DOWNED TREES AND
POWER LINES IF YOU ARE TRAVELING.

$$

MIZ009-010-084-100315-
/O.EXP.KMQT.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-051110T0200Z/
GOGEBIC-IRON-SOUTHERN HOUGHTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRONWOOD...IRON RIVER...KENTON...SIDNAW
812 PM CST WED NOV 9 2005 /912 PM EST WED NOV 9 2005/

...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

ALTHOUGH WINDS HAVE DECREASED...WATCH OUT FOR DOWNED TREES AND
POWER LINES IF YOU ARE TRAVELING. 

$$

MIZ006-007-100700-
/O.CON.KMQT.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051110T0700Z/
ALGER-LUCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUNISING...NEWBERRY
912 PM EST WED NOV 9 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST THURSDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST THURSDAY. 

WEST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS. FREQUENT WIND GUSTS OF 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE
WARNING AREA...WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE ALONG THE
LAKE SUPERIOR SHORELINE. ALONG WITH THE STRONG WINDS...LAKE
EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS MAY REDUCE VISIBILITIES BELOW A HALF MILE AT
TIMES TONIGHT. THE STRONG WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH AFTER
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. SECURE TRASH
CANS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OR LIGHTWEIGHT OUTDOOR
OBJECTS. HIGH WINDS CAN TOPPLE TREES AND DOWN POWER LINES. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN ALSO MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES.

$$

MIZ085-100600-
/O.CON.KMQT.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-051110T0600Z/
NORTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SENEY
912 PM EST WED NOV 9 2005

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY. 

WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING...
BEFORE DIMINISHING LATE TONIGHT. FREQUENT WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO
50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY IN EXPOSED AREAS.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS ABOVE 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

AJ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
340 PM EST TUE NOV 8 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WIND AND WAVE EVENT EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...

CURRENT WEATHER...19Z WATER VAPOR LOOP AND RUC 500MB HEIGHT ANALYSIS
SHOWED A RIDGE EXTENDING FROM WISCONSIN INTO NORTHERN ONTARIO WITH A
VERY DEFINED SHRTWV MOVING ACROSS MONTANA. A NICE STREAM OF UPPER
LEVEL MOISTURE CAN ALREADY BE SEEN AHEAD OF IT ON THE WEST SIDE OF
THE RIDGE. 850MB WINDS AT 12Z WERE 40 KT AT BIS (EVEN SURFACE WINDS
NOW ARE SOUTHEASTERLY AT 20-25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT)...AN
INDICATION OF STRONG WARM ADVECTION OCCURRING AHEAD OF THE SHRTWV
TROUGH. AS A RESULT OF THE STRONG WARM ADVECTION AND FALLING UPPER
LEVEL HEIGHTS OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS...SURFACE PRESSURES ARE
FALLING AT A RATE OF 2 MB/HR OVER NORTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA. BEHIND
THE SHRTWV TROUGH IN EASTERN MONTANA...PRESSURES ARE RISING ANYWHERE
FROM 2-3MB/HR. IN BETWEEN THIS PRESSURE FALL/RISE COUPLET IS A 1001
MB LOW WHICH IS LOCATED NEAR PIERRE SOUTH DAKOTA. WINDS BEHIND THE
LOW ARE ALREADY INCREASING WITH GUSTS OF 40 KT IN THE WESTERN
DAKOTAS. AS FOR PRECIPITATION... ALREADY A BAND OF POST FRONTAL SNOW
IS OCCURRING ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA. CLOSER TO HOME...1025 MB HIGH
PRESSURE IS LOCATED OVER NE ONTARIO. A BAND OF STRATOCUMULUS IS
PRESENT ACROSS UPPER MICHIGAN WHICH BASED ON TAMDAR SOUNDINGS FROM
CMX AND SAW ABOUT 50-75MB DEEP (850-925MB). ABOVE THE
STRATOCUMULUS...AIR IS QUITE DRY WITH DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS ON THE
15Z TAMDAR SOUNDING FROM 800-700MB LAYER OF 20-30C. A LOT OF THIS
DRY MID LEVEL AIR EXTENDS WEST ALL THE WAY TO BISMARCK WHERE EVEN
THERE DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS BETWEEN 800-700MB WERE 8-10C. MORE
MOISTURE IS ABOVE THIS...AS NOTED BY HIGH CLOUDS MOVING ACROSS
MINNESOTA. REGIONAL RADARS HAVE DISPLAYED SOME DECENT REFLECTIVITIES
FROM THE CLOUD BUT NONE OF THIS HAS BEEN REACHING THE GROUND DUE TO
THE DRY AIR MENTIONED BELOW IT.

TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...
OF COURSE THE BIG CONCERN IS THE TRACK AND THE INTENSITY OF THE LOW
NEAR PIERRE. LUCKILY THE 12Z RUNS OF THE GFS/NAM/UKMET AND CANADIAN
MODELS ARE IN OVERALL GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK...HOWEVER SLIGHT
DIFFERENCES IN THE TRACK WILL MEAN A LOT IN TERMS OF WHAT HAPPENS.

LOW TRACK...SHRTWV OVER MONTANA IS EXPECTED TO TRACK ACROSS NORTH
DAKOTA AND BECOME NEGATIVELY TILTED AS IT ENCOUNTERS THE STRONG
RIDGING THAT HAS DEVELOPED AHEAD OF IT. THE SURFACE LOW WILL
THEREFORE DEEPEN BECAUSE OF THE NEGATIVE TILT AND THE STRONG WARM
AIR ADVECTION AHEAD OF IT. BY 06Z...THE LOW IS PROGGED TO HAVE A
PRESSURE OF 998MB AND LOCATED NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF THE
MN/MANITOBA/ONTARIO BORDER...WHICH SEEMS REASONABLE BASED ON WHERE
THE BEST PRESSURE FALLS ARE NOW. THIS TURN TO A NEGATIVE TILT WILL
ALSO HELP TO DRAG DOWN COLDER AIR FROM CENTRAL CANADA (WHERE 850MB
TEMPS AS OF 12Z ARE -6C)...INCREASING THE BAROCLINICITY. BETWEEN 06
AND 12Z...THE LOW WILL FEEL THAT INCREASE IN BAROCLINICITY AND
DEEPEN TO 993 MB WHEN IT REACHES FAR NORTHERN LAKE SUPERIOR AT 12Z
WED. AT THIS POINT...THE SHRTWV WILL HAVE CAUGHT UP TO THE LOW...SO
DEEPENING AS A RESULT OF THE SHRTWV SHOULD STOP. HOWEVER...SINCE THE
LOW IS EXPECTED OVER FAR NORTHERN LAKE SUPERIOR AND COLD AIR IS
ADVECTING ACROSS...THE LOW WILL FEEL LAKE SUPERIORS INFLUENCE. OUR
HIGH RESOLUTION RUN OF THE NAM SHOWS THE LOW THEN TRACKING ACROSS
THE LAKE SUPERIOR/ONTARIO BORDER WHILE DEEPENING TO 988 MB WHEN IT
REACHES WAWA ONTARIO AT 21Z WED. THE LOW IS THEN PULLED AWAY FROM
THE LAKE BY THE SHRTWV...MOVING OFF TO THE QUEBEC/ONTARIO BORDER BY
06Z...ALLOWING A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO BUILD IN FROM THE PLAINS.

ONE NOTE TO MAKE IS THAT THE LATEST 18Z RUC SHOWS A 996MB LOW AT 06Z
AT THE SAME LOCATION...WHICH IS A FEW MB STRONGER THAN THE OTHER
MODELS. THIS IS DEFINITELY A POSSIBILITY GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE
SHRTWV AND SINCE THE LOW IS ALREADY STRONGER THAN THE 12Z RUNS HAD
IT AT THE CURRENT TIME.

CONCERN 1...WINDS...STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW OBSERVED ALREADY OVER THE
DAKOTAS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS LAKE SUPERIOR TONIGHT AS THE
LOW AND COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT APPROACH. 925MB WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE TO 40-45 KT OVER THE EASTERN 2/3 OF LAKE SUPERIOR...HOWEVER
SINCE THE TEMPS ARE CLOSE TO THOSE OF THE WATER TEMPERATURES...WINDS
WILL BE LESS THAN THAT. HOWEVER...35 KT GALES IS NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION GIVEN THE TIGHTENING GRADIENT. AS THE FRONT CROSSES
WEDNESDAY MORNING...WINDS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE OUT OF THE
WEST...ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND ISALLOBARIC
FORCING WHICH IS ORIENTED NEARLY WEST TO EAST. THE RUC13 AND THE
LOCAL RUN OF THE NAM BOTH INDICATE AT LEAST GALES TO 45 KT OVER
WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS OF COURSE WILL
BE HIGHER OVER THE KEWEENAW DUE TO TERRAIN...AND THEREFORE HAVE
ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING THERE. AS THE FRONT CROSSES THE
CWA/LAKE SUPERIOR DURING THE AFTERNOON...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
INCREASE DUE TO COLD AIR ADVECTION...DAYTIME MIXING AND AN INCREASE
IN THE ISALLOBARIC GRADIENT. THEREFORE HAVE WENT AHEAD WITH A STORM
WARNING ON EASTERN LAKE SUPERIOR AND HIGH WIND WATCHES OVER THE
NORTH HALF OF UPPER MICHIGAN. INTERESTING NOTE IS THAT THE LOCAL RUN
OF THE NAM INDICATES A 70 KT CORE OF WIND AT 2500 FT OVER OUR OFFICE
AT 19Z. THESE WILL NOT MIX DOWN BUT POTENTIAL FOR HIGH WIND WARNING
CRITERIA IS THERE AND THUS HAVE ISSUED MORE HIGH WIND WATCHES AND
WIND ADVISORIES FOR THIS. THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE LOW PULLS AWAY.

CONCERN 2...WAVES/LAKESHORE FLOODING...THE STRONG SE WINDS TONIGHT
WILL END UP GENERATING SOME 9-13 FOOT WAVES ACROSS NORTHERN SUPERIOR
BY SUNRISE. AS THE WINDS INCREASE FROM THE WEST...WAVES WILL END UP
BUILDING ON THE WESTERN HALF OF SUPERIOR TO 12-17 FEET AND UP TO 20
FEET ON EASTERN SUPERIOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. WHEN THE WIND SWITCHES
TO THE NW WEDNESDAY EVENING...EXPECTING THE 20 FOOT WAVES TO MOVE
INTO THE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MUNISING TO WHITEFISH POINT AND
PERHAPS SOME 12 FOOT WAVES EVEN INTO MARQUETTE. HAVE ISSUED A
LAKESHORE FLOOD STATEMENT FROM AU TRAIN EASTWARD TO WHITEFISH POINT.
HAVE DECLINED NOT TO DO ONE FOR THE WESTERN U.P. SHORELINE AFTER
MAKING CALLS AND FINDING OUT THAT MUCH OF THE SHORELINE IS ROCKY
(AFTER MANY HIGH WAVE EVENTS IN THE PAST).

CONCERN 3...PRECIPITATION...WARM ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE LOW WILL
HELP PULL A WARM FRONT LOCATED RIGHT NOW OVER CENTRAL ILLINOIS TO
CENTRAL OHIO NORTHWARD...REACHING NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN BY 12Z
WED. THIS FRONT MAY HAVE SOME IMPACT ON RAIN CHANCES BUT MORESO WILL
END UP BEING THE COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT APPROACHING WITH THE LOW. FOR
THE EVENING HOURS IT MAY BE HARD TO GET ANY PRECIPITATION GIVEN THE
DRY MID LEVELS AND LACK OF DYNAMICS. HOWEVER...AFTER MIDNIGHT AS THE
SHRTWV APPROACHES AND MID-LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS/MOISTURE
INCREASE...EXPECT A SOLID BAND OF SHOWERS TO DEVELOP. 700-500MB
LAPSE RATES OF 7-7.25 C/KM AND 800MB LIFTED INDICES AROUND 0C ARE
STILL PROGGED...THEREFORE WILL MAINTAIN A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS.
THIS PRECIPITATION WILL ALL OCCUR AHEAD OF THE COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT.
BEHIND THE FRONT FOR WEDNESDAY...SNOW OVER MONTANA WILL END UP
WRAPPING IN ACROSS THE CWA. SINCE 850MB TEMPS FALL TO -4 TO -6C BY
18Z WED...THE MAJORITY OF THIS PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE SNOW WITH
RAIN MIXED IN ALONG THE LAKESHORE. GIVEN THESE 850MB TEMPS...LAKE
EFFECT SHOULD ALSO GET GOING...RESULTING IN ENHANCED SNOWFALL OVER
THE HIGHER TERRAIN. GIVEN THE STRONG WINDS...THE ENHANCED SNOWFALL
FROM WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR WILL BE PUSHED FAR INLAND INTO IRON AND
BARAGA COUNTIES. WITH THE WINDS SO STRONG...IT MAY BE HARD TO GET
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS...BUT THERE WILL DEFINITELY BE A REDUCTION IN
VISIBILITIES TO AT LEAST A 1/2SM. EXPECTING THAT MUCH OF THE LAKE
EFFECT WILL END OVER THE WEST AFTER 06Z ANTICYCLONIC FLOW AND DRIER
AIR MOVES IN.

THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...THE FLOW CONTINUES TO BE PROGRESSIVE
THROUGH FRIDAY AS ANOTHER SHRTWV EJECTS OUT OF THE NE
PACIFIC...BUILDING AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS CENTRAL CANADA THU
NIGHT. THIS RIDGE WILL THEN PROGRESS TO THE MINNESOTA AREA FRI
AFTERNOON. AS A RESULT...THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE PLAINS
WILL CROSS UPPER MICHIGAN THURSDAY NIGHT...ALLOWING SKIES TO CLEAR
AND TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE 20S IN THE INTERIOR.
HOWEVER...SOUTHWEST WINDS COMING IN ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE HIGH
ALONG WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE ON FRIDAY WILL HELP PUSH TEMPERATURES
ABOVE NORMAL. 850MB TEMPS AT 18Z ARE PROGGED BETWEEN 4-8 C (WARMEST
WEST)...SO TEMPERATURES SHOULD EASILY REACH THE 50 DEGREE MARK IN
MOST LOCATIONS. IT IS CONCEIVABLE THAT TEMPERATURES MAY NEED TO BE
RAISED FURTHER (ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE SHOWING NEAR 55).

EXTENDED (SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...12Z ECMWF CONTINUES TO BE VERY
CONSISTENT WITH ITS PREVIOUS FOUR RUNS AND 00Z/06Z/12Z GFS RUNS HAVE
BEEN TRENDING TOWARDS THE ECMWF FOR THE EXTENDED. THEREFORE WILL
FOLLOW THE ECMWF THROUGH TUESDAY WHICH WAS ALSO HPCS PREFERENCE. ON
FRI EVENING...UPPER RIDGE AXIS OVER MINNESOTA WILL MOVE OVER UPPER
MICHIGAN. IN THE MEANTIME AN UPPER LOW IN THE SW WILL BE EJECTING
OUT INTO THE PLAINS DUE TO A SHRTWV TROUGH MOVING INTO MONTANA.
THESE TWO FEATURES WILL INDUCE A SURFACE LOW OVER NEBRASKA SAT
MORNING WHICH WILL DEEPEN AS IT MOVES ACROSS UPPER MICHIGAN SUN
MORNING. EXPECTING THAT SATURDAY MORNING WILL START OFF MILD AND
DRY...BUT AS THE WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LIFTS
NORTH...CLOUD COVER WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE. HAVE PUT IN A CHANCE OF
RAIN FOR THE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE SOUTHERN U.P. NOW BECAUSE OF THE
WARM FRONT MOVING IN. RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT
AS THE LOW MOVES CLOSER. AFTER THE LOW PASSES...WINDS AND LAKE
EFFECT/WRAP AROUND SNOW WILL BE A CONCERN. 00Z ECMWF DEEPENS THE LOW
TO 984 MB JUST TO THE SW OF JAMES BAY AT 00Z MON...WITH 850MB WINDS
OF 50-55KT OVER LAKE SUPERIOR WITH 850MB TEMPS OF -4 TO -6C. WILL
PROBABLY BE ANOTHER GALE EVENT AND PERHAPS EVEN A STORM. ANOTHER
SYSTEM THAT NEEDS TO BE WATCHED. AGAIN THE FLOW IS PRETTY
PROGRESSIVE WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY...BUT THEN ANOTHER LOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PLAINS ON MONDAY...MOVING ACROSS UPPER MICHIGAN ON TUESDAY.
THIS SYSTEM ALSO LOOKS WRAPPED UP SO A THIRD GALE EVENT IS LIKELY.
THIS SYSTEM WILL ALSO BRING SOME RAIN MONDAY NIGHT AND LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ON TUESDAY.

AS THE SAYING GOES...GALES OF NOVEMBER.

&&

.MQT...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
  HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EST WED MIZ001-003
  HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 1 PM TO 10 PM EST WED MIZ006-007
  HIGH WIND WATCH FOR WED MIZ002-004-005
  WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 AM TO 6 PM EST WED MIZ009-010-084
  WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EST WED MIZ011>014-085
  GALE WARNING WEST 1/2 LAKE SUPERIOR...LSZ221-241>244...LMZ221-248
  STORM WARNING EAST 1/2 LAKE SUPERIOR...LSZ245>248

&&

AJ

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
400 PM EST WED NOV 8 2005

MIZ001>007-009>014-084-085-101200-
ALGER-BARAGA-DELTA-DICKINSON-GOGEBIC-IRON-KEWEENAW-LUCE-MARQUETTE-
MENOMINEE-NORTHERN HOUGHTON-NORTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-ONTONAGON-
SOUTHERN HOUGHTON-SOUTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
400 PM EST WED NOV 8 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL UPPER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY

STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO 45 MPH WILL PERSIST ACROSS
UPPER MICHIGAN INTO TONIGHT. EARLY THIS EVENING...VERY STRONG WINDS
WILL OCCUR ALONG THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE KEWEENAW PENINSULA WHERE
WINDS COULD GUST AS HIGH AS 60 MPH. WINDS COULD ALSO GUST TO 60 MPH
AT TIMES TONIGHT ALONG THE LAKE SUPERIOR SHORELINE FROM BIG BAY EAST
TO WHITEFISH POINT AND OVER THE HURON MOUNTAINS.

STORM FORCE WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PERSIST OVER WESTERN LAKE
SUPERIOR THROUGH THIS EVENING...WITH GALES CONTINUING THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. STORM FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT EASTERN LAKE
SUPERIOR THROUGH MOST OF TONIGHT...WITH GALE FORCE WINDS LINGERING
INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

HIGH WAVES WILL CAUSE BEACH EROSION AND COULD LEAD TO MINOR
LAKESHORE FLOODING ALONG THE LAKE SUPERIOR SHORELINE TONIGHT AND
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...PARTICULARLY FROM AU TRAIN EAST TO
WHITEFISH POINT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED...ALTHOUGH REPORTS OF HIGH
WINDS AND RELATED DAMAGE WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING URL:

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MQT (ALL LOWER CASE)

TRH