Alert archive / Wisconsin / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 411, NWS Twin Cities, MN

September 21, 2005Barron County, Dunn County, Wisconsin

NWS Twin Cities, MN issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Sep 21, 2005, 8:14 PM CDT for Barron County, Dunn County, Wisconsin. It was in force for 61 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Sep 21, 2005, 8:14 PM CDT (01:14 UTC)
Expired: Sep 21, 2005, 9:15 PM CDT
In force: 61 min
Issued by: NWS Twin Cities, MN
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Barron County, WI, Dunn County, WI

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 145 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Sep 21, 4:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 00:00Z, 1.2 hours before the alert went out and 147 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2043 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -38 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1714 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 56 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 274 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 406 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 1.2
Supercell composite: 9.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KMPX 220114
SVRMPX
WIC005-033-220215-
/O.NEW.KMPX.SV.W.0411.050922T0114Z-050922T0215Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
814 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  BARRON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST WISCONSIN
  DUNN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN

* UNTIL 915 PM CDT

* AT 812 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE
  THUNDERSTORMS...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 20 MILES WEST
  OF BARRON TO 35 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BARRON...AND MOVING EAST AT 45
  MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BARRON...
  RICE LAKE...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 4562 9214 4492 9211 4492 9168 4523 9169
      4523 9156 4561 9156

$$

RJN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Twin Cities, MN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Sep 21, 3:00 PM CDT, 5 hours 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 21, 3:00 PM CDT, 5 hours 14 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
300 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2005

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
IN THE VERY SHORT TERM...THE EVOLUTION OF CONVECTION THIS EVENING IS
THE FOCUS OF OUR ATTENTION. WARM FRONT PUSHING NORTHWARD ACROSS
NORTHERN PARTS OF OUR CWA SHOULD BE FOCUS OF CONVECTION PRIOR TO 00Z.
IN THE WARM SECTOR...THERE ARE SOME VERY HIGH SBCAPE VALUES AND VERY
LOW SFC BASED CINH VALUES...HOWEVER ACARS SOUNDINGS THIS AFTERNOON
NEAR MSP AND NEAR FAIRMONT DEPICT AN EXTREMELY SHALLOW MOIST LAYER.
SO THIS LAYER WILL NEED TO DEPEND CONSIDERABLY TO GET CONVECTION TO
FIRE PRIOR TO 00Z THU.

CLOSER TO 00Z THU...CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO FIRE ALONG 850 MB
THETA E AXIS...THEN MOVE EASTWARD. NGM...NAM...AND GFS ARE ALL
PRINTING OUT QPF...SO SHOULD BE ABLE TO GO WITH LIKELY POPS FOR THIS
EVENING.  15Z RUC HAS MUCH OF SRN MN AND WEST CENTRAL WI WITH
PRECIPITABLE WATER GREATER THAN 1.5 INCHES.  COUPLE THIS WITH
INCOMING 700 MB SHORT WAVE AND RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF UPPER
JET...AND FEEL WE HAVE A DECENT CHANCE OF HEAVY RAINS THIS EVE. 18Z
NAM 1000-500 MB FORECAST THICKNESS DIFFLUENCE FOR 00Z-06Z SUPPORTS
THE FORCING FOR UPWARD MOTION OVER THE AREA OF HIGH PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES...CLOSE TO MSP.

THE CONTINUED PRESENCE OF THE RIGHT ENTRANCE OF UPPER JET SHOULD
PROVIDE SUPPORT FOR MORE PRECIPITATION CHANCES LATE TONIGHT AND...IN
SOUTHEASTERN CWA...INTO THURSDAY MORNING.  MUCH COOLER AIR INVADES
THE AREA ON THURSDAY. WARM ADVECTION BEGINS IN EARNEST FRIDAY NIGHT
AND CONTINUES ON SATURDAY. 12Z NAM FASTER THAN 12Z GFS IN BRINGING
WARM ADVECTION PRECIPITATION BACK INTO CWA FRIDAY NIGHT. GIVEN MODEL
UNCERTAINTIES...STICKING WITH THE GOING GRIDS FOR CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION BOTH FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.

LONGER TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
500/700MB SHORT WAVE SWINGS EASTWARD THRU CWA SAT NIGHT ALONG WITH
SIG SFC COLD FRONT. SFC BDRY LINGERS JUST SE OF ZONES INTO SUN
BEFORE WASHING OUT SUN EVE. WITH MOST LIFT PUSHING OUT WITH SHORT
WAVE SUN NIGHT ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE POPS WARRENTED SUN. DRY WX SUN
NIGHT THRU TUE WITH UPPER LVL RIDGE MOVING IN. THIS RIDGE BEGINS TO
SLIDE E OF CWA TUE NIGHT ALLOWING SIGNIFICANT SHORT WAVE TO PUSH IN.
WITH TROPICAL REMNANTS FCST TO GET CAUGHT UP IN WEAK FLOW OVER
TX/OK... WORRIES OVER REMNANTS SLOWING SHORT WAVE DOWN IN OUR REGION
ARE NOT AS GREAT THIS RUN...ESPECIALLY SINCE DGEX AND GFSLR BOTH
SHOW SIMILAR TIMING WITH WAVE PASSAGE. THEREFORE HAVE ADDED
SIGNFICANTLY INCREASED CLDS AND INTRODUCED LOW POPS TO TUE NIGHT
FCST. WILL KEEP WED DRY FOR NOW WITH BEST LIFT N AND E OF
ZONES...BUT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF POPS NEED TO BE ADDED WED IF
TIMING CHANGES AT ALL.

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.MN...NONE.
.WI...NONE.

&&

NAISTAT/MARGRAF

Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 21, 3:22 PM CDT, 4 hours 52 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
322 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2005

MNZ041-047-048-051>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
221100-
ANOKA-BARRON-BLUE EARTH-BROWN-CARVER-CHIPPEWA-CHISAGO-DAKOTA-DOUGLAS-
DUNN-EAU CLAIRE-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-GOODHUE-HENNEPIN-ISANTI-KANDIYOHI-
LAC QUI PARLE-LE SUEUR-MARTIN-MCLEOD-MEEKER-NICOLLET-PEPIN-PIERCE-
POLK-POPE-RAMSEY-REDWOOD-RENVILLE-RICE-RUSK-SCOTT-SHERBURNE-SIBLEY-
ST CROIX-STEELE-STEVENS-SWIFT-WASECA-WASHINGTON-WATONWAN-WRIGHT-
YELLOW MEDICINE-
322 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A PORTION OF SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA IN ADDITION TO WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
STRETCHING FROM WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA INTO SOUTHEAST SOUTH
DAKOTA THIS AFTERNOON WILL STRETCH FROM EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA
TO NORTHWEST IOWA BY EARLY THIS EVENING. THIS BOUNDARY WILL BE THE
MAIN FOCUS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS. A FEW STORMS COULD
REACH SEVERE LIMITS WITH THE PRIMARY THREATS BEING LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT.

MNZ042>045-049-050-221100-
BENTON-KANABEC-MILLE LACS-MORRISON-STEARNS-TODD-
322 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A PORTION OF
CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF
CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A
WARM FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTH ACROSS CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL
MINNESOTA LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP NEAR
AND NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING...ASSOCIATED WITH A
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING IN FROM THE WEST. THE PRIMARY THREAT
WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...BUT EVEN A TORNADO OR TWO IS
POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

RJN/MARGRAF

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 21, 7:41 PM CDT, 33 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
741 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0740 PM     HAIL             LAKE ELMO               45.00N 92.91W
09/21/2005  0.75 INCH        WASHINGTON         MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

GJERDINGEN

Local storm report, Sep 21, 7:44 PM CDT, 30 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
744 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0740 PM     TSTM WND DMG     NORTH ST PAUL           45.01N 93.00W
09/21/2005                   RAMSEY             MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            4 INCH DIAMETER BRANCHES DOWN.

&&

GJERDINGEN

Local storm report, Sep 21, 7:49 PM CDT, 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
749 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0744 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ARDEN HILLS             45.07N 93.17W
09/21/2005                   RAMSEY             MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES DOWN ACROSS HIGHWAY 10.

&&

GJERDINGEN

Local storm report, Sep 21, 7:54 PM CDT, 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
754 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0703 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ANDOVER                 45.26N 93.33W
09/21/2005                   ANOKA              MN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            THREE HOUSES DESTROYED...PEOPLE TRAPPED IN DAMAGED
            HOUSES.

&&

GJERDINGEN

Local storm report, Sep 21, 8:08 PM CDT, 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
808 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0636 PM     HAIL             RICE LAKE               45.50N 91.74W
09/21/2005  1.00 INCH        BARRON             WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WINDOWS BLOWN OUT OF CARS BY HAIL.

&&

GJERDINGEN

Local storm report, Sep 21, 8:12 PM CDT, 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
812 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0704 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ANDOVER                 45.26N 93.33W
09/21/2005                   ANOKA              MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            3 FOOT DIAMETER TREE DOWN.

0707 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BROOKLYN CENTER         45.07N 93.32W
09/21/2005                   HENNEPIN           MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            3 FOOT DIAMETER TREE DOWN ON TOP OF HOUSE.

0729 PM     TSTM WND DMG     HUGO                    45.16N 92.96W
09/21/2005                   WASHINGTON         MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            POWER LINES DOWN THROUGHOUT WASHINGTON COUNTY.

0737 PM     TSTM WND DMG     NORTH ST PAUL           45.01N 93.00W
09/21/2005                   RAMSEY             MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            4 FOOT DIAMETER TREE DOWN.

&&

GJERDINGEN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Twin Cities, MN issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Sep 21, 7:01 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	Polk	29 min
Sep 21, 7:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Barron	61 min
Sep 21, 7:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Polk	62 min
Sep 21, 7:36 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MPX	Barron	3 hr
Sep 21, 7:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Saint Croix	65 min
Sep 21, 7:56 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MPX	Polk	3 hr
Sep 21, 7:59 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MPX	Saint Croix	3 hr
Sep 21, 8:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Pierce	55 min
Sep 21, 8:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Polk	32 min
Sep 21, 8:38 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Saint Croix	67 min
Sep 21, 9:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Pierce, Saint Croix	47 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Wisconsin, 2005 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.