Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 401, NWS Twin Cities, MN

September 21, 2005McLeod County, Meeker County, Minnesota

NWS Twin Cities, MN issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Sep 21, 2005, 6:53 PM CDT for McLeod County, Meeker County, Minnesota. It was in force for 67 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Sep 21, 2005, 6:53 PM CDT (23:53 UTC)
Expired: Sep 21, 2005, 8:00 PM CDT
In force: 67 min
Issued by: NWS Twin Cities, MN
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties McLeod County, MN, Meeker County, MN

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Sep 21, 6:53 PM CDT	HAIL 1.5	Dassel, MN
Sep 21, 6:55 PM CDT	HAIL 1.75	Dassel, MN

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 0 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Sep 21, 5:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 11.9 hours before the alert went out and 57 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 15 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -441 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1544 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 32 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 60 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: -0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KMPX 212355
SVRMPX
MNC085-093-220100-
/O.NEW.KMPX.SV.W.0401.050921T2353Z-050922T0100Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
653 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  MEEKER COUNTY IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA
  MCLEOD COUNTY IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA

* UNTIL 800 PM CDT

* AT 649 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM...
  CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. THIS STORM WAS
  LOCATED NEAR DASSEL...OR ABOUT 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF               
  LITCHFIELD...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.  THIS STORM PRODUCE ONE    
  AND A HALF INCH HAIL AT 652 PM AT DASSEL IN EASTERN MEEKER COUNTY.

  REMEMBER THAT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND DO PRODUCE TORNADOES    
  WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  SILVER LAKE...
  WINSTED...
  DASSEL...
  LESTER PRAIRIE... 


LAT...LON 4516 9436 4499 9446 4479 9417 4498 9401
      4498 9426 4517 9427

$$

KAT/BAP

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Twin Cities, MN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Sep 21, 3:00 PM CDT, 3 hours 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 21, 3:00 PM CDT, 3 hours 53 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
300 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2005

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
IN THE VERY SHORT TERM...THE EVOLUTION OF CONVECTION THIS EVENING IS
THE FOCUS OF OUR ATTENTION. WARM FRONT PUSHING NORTHWARD ACROSS
NORTHERN PARTS OF OUR CWA SHOULD BE FOCUS OF CONVECTION PRIOR TO 00Z.
IN THE WARM SECTOR...THERE ARE SOME VERY HIGH SBCAPE VALUES AND VERY
LOW SFC BASED CINH VALUES...HOWEVER ACARS SOUNDINGS THIS AFTERNOON
NEAR MSP AND NEAR FAIRMONT DEPICT AN EXTREMELY SHALLOW MOIST LAYER.
SO THIS LAYER WILL NEED TO DEPEND CONSIDERABLY TO GET CONVECTION TO
FIRE PRIOR TO 00Z THU.

CLOSER TO 00Z THU...CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO FIRE ALONG 850 MB
THETA E AXIS...THEN MOVE EASTWARD. NGM...NAM...AND GFS ARE ALL
PRINTING OUT QPF...SO SHOULD BE ABLE TO GO WITH LIKELY POPS FOR THIS
EVENING.  15Z RUC HAS MUCH OF SRN MN AND WEST CENTRAL WI WITH
PRECIPITABLE WATER GREATER THAN 1.5 INCHES.  COUPLE THIS WITH
INCOMING 700 MB SHORT WAVE AND RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF UPPER
JET...AND FEEL WE HAVE A DECENT CHANCE OF HEAVY RAINS THIS EVE. 18Z
NAM 1000-500 MB FORECAST THICKNESS DIFFLUENCE FOR 00Z-06Z SUPPORTS
THE FORCING FOR UPWARD MOTION OVER THE AREA OF HIGH PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES...CLOSE TO MSP.

THE CONTINUED PRESENCE OF THE RIGHT ENTRANCE OF UPPER JET SHOULD
PROVIDE SUPPORT FOR MORE PRECIPITATION CHANCES LATE TONIGHT AND...IN
SOUTHEASTERN CWA...INTO THURSDAY MORNING.  MUCH COOLER AIR INVADES
THE AREA ON THURSDAY. WARM ADVECTION BEGINS IN EARNEST FRIDAY NIGHT
AND CONTINUES ON SATURDAY. 12Z NAM FASTER THAN 12Z GFS IN BRINGING
WARM ADVECTION PRECIPITATION BACK INTO CWA FRIDAY NIGHT. GIVEN MODEL
UNCERTAINTIES...STICKING WITH THE GOING GRIDS FOR CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION BOTH FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.

LONGER TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
500/700MB SHORT WAVE SWINGS EASTWARD THRU CWA SAT NIGHT ALONG WITH
SIG SFC COLD FRONT. SFC BDRY LINGERS JUST SE OF ZONES INTO SUN
BEFORE WASHING OUT SUN EVE. WITH MOST LIFT PUSHING OUT WITH SHORT
WAVE SUN NIGHT ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE POPS WARRENTED SUN. DRY WX SUN
NIGHT THRU TUE WITH UPPER LVL RIDGE MOVING IN. THIS RIDGE BEGINS TO
SLIDE E OF CWA TUE NIGHT ALLOWING SIGNIFICANT SHORT WAVE TO PUSH IN.
WITH TROPICAL REMNANTS FCST TO GET CAUGHT UP IN WEAK FLOW OVER
TX/OK... WORRIES OVER REMNANTS SLOWING SHORT WAVE DOWN IN OUR REGION
ARE NOT AS GREAT THIS RUN...ESPECIALLY SINCE DGEX AND GFSLR BOTH
SHOW SIMILAR TIMING WITH WAVE PASSAGE. THEREFORE HAVE ADDED
SIGNFICANTLY INCREASED CLDS AND INTRODUCED LOW POPS TO TUE NIGHT
FCST. WILL KEEP WED DRY FOR NOW WITH BEST LIFT N AND E OF
ZONES...BUT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF POPS NEED TO BE ADDED WED IF
TIMING CHANGES AT ALL.

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.MN...NONE.
.WI...NONE.

&&

NAISTAT/MARGRAF

Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 21, 3:22 PM CDT, 3 hours 31 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
322 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2005

MNZ041-047-048-051>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
221100-
ANOKA-BARRON-BLUE EARTH-BROWN-CARVER-CHIPPEWA-CHISAGO-DAKOTA-DOUGLAS-
DUNN-EAU CLAIRE-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-GOODHUE-HENNEPIN-ISANTI-KANDIYOHI-
LAC QUI PARLE-LE SUEUR-MARTIN-MCLEOD-MEEKER-NICOLLET-PEPIN-PIERCE-
POLK-POPE-RAMSEY-REDWOOD-RENVILLE-RICE-RUSK-SCOTT-SHERBURNE-SIBLEY-
ST CROIX-STEELE-STEVENS-SWIFT-WASECA-WASHINGTON-WATONWAN-WRIGHT-
YELLOW MEDICINE-
322 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A PORTION OF SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA IN ADDITION TO WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
STRETCHING FROM WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA INTO SOUTHEAST SOUTH
DAKOTA THIS AFTERNOON WILL STRETCH FROM EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA
TO NORTHWEST IOWA BY EARLY THIS EVENING. THIS BOUNDARY WILL BE THE
MAIN FOCUS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS. A FEW STORMS COULD
REACH SEVERE LIMITS WITH THE PRIMARY THREATS BEING LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT.

MNZ042>045-049-050-221100-
BENTON-KANABEC-MILLE LACS-MORRISON-STEARNS-TODD-
322 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A PORTION OF
CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF
CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A
WARM FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTH ACROSS CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL
MINNESOTA LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP NEAR
AND NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING...ASSOCIATED WITH A
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING IN FROM THE WEST. THE PRIMARY THREAT
WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...BUT EVEN A TORNADO OR TWO IS
POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

RJN/MARGRAF

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 21, 6:33 PM CDT, 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
633 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0632 PM     HAIL             6 NW RICE LAKE          45.56N 91.83W
09/21/2005  1.75 INCH        BARRON             WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

GJERDINGEN

Local storm report, Sep 21, 6:34 PM CDT, 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
634 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0633 PM     HAIL             LITCHFIELD              45.12N 94.53W
09/21/2005  1.00 INCH        MEEKER             MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

GJERDINGEN

Local storm report, Sep 21, 6:41 PM CDT, 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
641 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0641 PM     TSTM WND GST     MONTICELLO              45.30N 93.80W
09/21/2005  67 MPH           WRIGHT             MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

GJERDINGEN

Local storm report, Sep 21, 6:47 PM CDT, 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
647 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0646 PM     HAIL             ELK RIVER               45.33N 93.57W
09/21/2005  0.88 INCH        SHERBURNE          MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

GJERDINGEN

Local storm report, Sep 21, 6:49 PM CDT, 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
649 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0647 PM     HAIL             ST MICHAEL              45.21N 93.66W
09/21/2005  0.88 INCH        WRIGHT             MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

GJERDINGEN

Local storm report, Sep 21, 6:50 PM CDT, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
650 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0647 PM     TSTM WND GST     ST MICHAEL              45.21N 93.66W
09/21/2005  58 MPH           WRIGHT             MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

GJERDINGEN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Twin Cities, MN issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Sep 21, 5:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Kandiyohi, Stearns	67 min
Sep 21, 5:34 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	Stearns	56 min
Sep 21, 5:35 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Benton, Sherburne	40 min
Sep 21, 5:50 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	Kandiyohi	40 min
Sep 21, 5:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Meeker	61 min
Sep 21, 6:04 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	Sherburne, Wright	41 min
Sep 21, 6:14 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	Meeker	31 min
Sep 21, 6:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Chisago	39 min
Sep 21, 6:38 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Anoka, Hennepin, Sherburne, Wright	67 min
Sep 21, 6:59 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	McLeod, Meeker	27 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Minnesota, 2005 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.