Severe Thunderstorm Warning 82, NWS Mobile, AL

000 
WWUS54 KMOB 010600
SVSMOB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1158 PM CST THU MAR 31 2005

ALC097-010615-
/O.CON.KMOB.SV.W.0082.000000T0000Z-050401T0615Z/
MOBILE AL-
1158 PM CST THU MAR 31 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 1215 AM CST FOR
CENTRAL MOBILE COUNTY...

AT 1158 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DIME TO NICKEL 
SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR OAK GROVE AND KUSHLA...OR 
ABOUT 12 MILES NORTHWEST OF DOWNTOWN MOBILE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST 
AT 35 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  OAK GROVE AND EIGHT MILE BY 1155 PM CST
  CELESTE...AND SARALAND BY MIDNIGHT CST
  SATSUMA BY 1205 AM CST
  CREOLA AND AXIS BY 1210 AM CST

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND 
DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE SHOULD MOVE TO A SAFE 
SHELTER...PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3091 8800 3090 8800 3087 8799 3082 8799
      3079 8803 3069 8803 3068 8833 3082 8835
      3102 8800

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
930 PM CST THU MAR 31 2005

.MARINE...UPDATED TO INCLUDE SCA FROM BEACH OUTWARD SANS MOBILE BAY.
MAINLY CONCERNED ABOUT INFLOW INTO MCS FOLLOWED BY SYNOPTIC FORCING.

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST FRIDAY ALL
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THIS EVENING GMZ650-670.
FL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST FRIDAY ALL ZONES.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THIS EVENING GMZ655-675
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST FRIDAY ALL ZONES.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
140 PM CST THU MAR 31 2005

ALZ051>055-MSZ067-075-076-010400-
CHOCTAW-CLARKE-GREENE-MONROE-PERRY-WASHINGTON-WAYNE-WILCOX-
140 PM CST THU MAR 31 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND THE EXTREME WESTERN PORTION OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE AREA UNDER A MODERATE
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH SUNRISE FRIDAY MORNING. THE
AREA WILL REMAIN ON THE WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE SIDE OF A STALLED
FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI INTO CENTRAL
LOUISIANA.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST TO PASS ACROSS THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY TONIGHT AND CAUSE A LOW PRESSURE AREA TO FORM OVER
LOUISIANA. AHEAD OF THIS LOW...THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. EARLY IN THE EVENT...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL
OF A FEW TORNADOES. AS THE THUNDERSTORMS EVOLVE INTO A LINE...THE
THREAT SHIFTS TO DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS FALLING ON ALREADY SATURATED SOIL COULD ALSO
LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING...ALONG STREAMS...LOW LYING AND POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

AS THE SURFACE LOW LIFTS OUT...A STRONG COLD FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE
REGION FRIDAY. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER CONTINUING
INTO FRIDAY MORNING...BUT SHOULD END FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH THE
PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS FORECAST SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS SHOULD STAY ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
ACTIVATION TODAY INTO THE NIGHT.

ALZ056>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ078-079-010400-
BALDWIN COASTAL-BALDWIN INLAND-BUTLER-CONECUH-COVINGTON-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-GEORGE-MOBILE COASTAL-
MOBILE INLAND-OKALOOSA COASTAL-OKALOOSA INLAND-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-
SANTA ROSA INLAND-STONE-
140 PM CST THU MAR 31 2005

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE AREA UNDER A SLIGHT RISK
OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH SUNRISE FRIDAY MORNING. THE AREA WILL
REMAIN ON THE WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE SIDE OF A STALLED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY THAT EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI INTO CENTRAL
LOUISIANA.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST TO PASS ACROSS THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY TONIGHT AND CAUSE A LOW PRESSURE AREA TO FORM OVER
LOUISIANA. AHEAD OF THIS LOW...THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. EARLY IN THE EVENT...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL
OF A FEW TORNADOES. AS THE THUNDERSTORMS EVOLVE INTO A LINE...THE
THREAT SHIFTS TO DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS FALLING ON ALREADY SATURATED SOIL COULD ALSO
LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING...ALONG STREAMS...LOW LYING AND POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

AS THE SURFACE LOW LIFTS OUT...A STRONG COLD FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE
REGION FRIDAY. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER CONTINUING
FROM SUNRISE FRIDAY MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN TAPERING OFF
WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS FORECAST SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS SHOULD STAY ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
ACTIVATION TODAY INTO THE NIGHT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
745 PM CST THU MAR 31 2005

MSZ067-010245-
WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAYNESBORO...
745 PM CST THU MAR 31 2005

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IS BEING DETECTED OVER WAYNE COUNTY...

AT 745 PM CST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM ABOUT 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF MULBERRY...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...
STRENGTHFORD...CLARA...WHISTLER...WOODWARDS...WAYNESBORO...BOICE AND
DENHAM THROUGH 845 PM CST.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE SMALL HAIL...DANGEROUS CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING... AND WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH...WHICH COULD
DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS OR BRANCHES AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL
OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED.

THIS STORM COULD ALSO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES
IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...RESULTING IN BRIEF PONDING OF WATER
AROUND LOW LYING AREAS. REMEMBER...DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
WATER COVERED ROADWAYS. THE DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW A SAFE
CROSSING.