Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 85, NWS Melbourne, FL
NWS Melbourne, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 29, 2005, 6:06 PM EDT for Volusia County, Florida. It was in force for 37 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 29, 2005, 6:06 PM EDT (22:06 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 29, 2005, 6:43 PM EDT
- In force
- 37 min
- Issued by
- NWS Melbourne, FL
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Volusia County, FL
The radar
The Melbourne radar (KMLB), 128 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Cape Canaveral, FL (KXMR), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 108 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2911 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -9 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 728 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 8 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -15 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -2 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WUUS52 KMLB 292206 SVRMLB FLC127-292245- /O.NEW.KMLB.SV.W.0085.050729T2206Z-050729T2245Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 606 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2005 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... CENTRAL VOLUSIA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...PIERSON...DE LEON SPRINGS...DE LAND...BARBERVILLE * UNTIL 645 PM EDT * AT 604 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR DE LAND...AND MOVING NORTH AT 5 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... PONCE DE LEON SPRINGS AND DE LEON SPRINGS BY 640 PM EDT 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BARBERVILLE BY 645 PM EDT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MILES AN HOUR AND OR LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL. FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. IF THE STORM APPROACHES YOU...SEEK SHELTER IN AN ENCLOSED BUILDING ON THE LOWEST FLOOR. KEEP AWAY FROM WINDOWS. LAT...LON 2892 8139 2898 8120 2933 8128 2925 8157 $$
2 follow-up statements
000 WWUS52 KMLB 292220 SVSMLB SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 619 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2005 FLC127-292245- /O.CON.KMLB.SV.W.0085.000000T0000Z-050729T2245Z/ VOLUSIA FL- 619 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2005 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 645 PM EDT FOR WEST CENTRAL VOLUSIA COUNTY... AT 614 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS PRODUCING EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING AND WAS LOCATED NEAR DE LAND...MOVING NORTH AT 5 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... 6 MILES WEST OF DE LAND HIGHLANDS BY 630 PM EDT GLENWOOD...LAKE WOODRUFF AND PONCE DE LEON SPRINGS BY 645 PM EDT LAT...LON 2893 8142 2898 8120 2933 8128 2925 8157 $$
000 WWUS52 KMLB 292243 SVSMLB SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 638 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2005 FLC127-292248- /O.CAN.KMLB.SV.W.0085.000000T0000Z-050729T2245Z/ VOLUSIA FL- 638 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2005 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WEST CENTRAL VOLUSIA COUNTY IS CANCELLED... AT 638 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THAT THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD WEAKENED AND WAS NO LONGER CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE HAIL. AS A RESULT...THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HOWEVER...RADAR INDICATED THAT FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS WERE STILL POSSIBLE FROM THE THUNDERSTORMS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION. LAT...LON 2893 8142 2898 8120 2933 8128 2925 8157 $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Melbourne, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 29, 2:45 PM EDT, 3 hours 21 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 29, 2:45 PM EDT, 3 hours 21 minutes before
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 245 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2005 .DISCUSSION... CURRENTLY...KMLB 88D SHOWS WELL DEFINED EAST COAST SEA BREEZE PROGRESSING STEADILY INLAND ATTM. PLENTY OF CONVECTIVE OUTFLOWS NOTED ON VIS IMAGERY OVER THE WRN/CTRL PENINSULA...MOST NOTABLY A LARGE RING OUTFLOW KICKED OUT EWD BY EARLY WSCB STORMS...AND INVOF THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER FROM SANFORD NWD AROUND RIVER/LAKE BREEZES. LATTER BDRY IS HEADED FOR IMMINENT COLLISION WITH THE ECSB FROM VOLUSIA NWD WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR. SINCE CONVECTION IS A LITTLE MORE ACTIVE THAN THIS TIME THU...PLAN TO KEEP SCT POPS OF THE CURRENT FCST...THOUGH WILL NUDGE LAKE CO DOWN TO 30...AS IT DOESNT APPEAR THAT THE TIMING/LOCATION OF LATE DAY SEA BREEZE COLLISION WILL FAVOR THEM OVER THE GREATER ORLANDO AREA. WENT A BIT ABOVE MAV GUIDANCE MINS FOR TONIGHT AS IT HAS BEEN RUNNING A BIT ON THE LOW SIDE. SATURDAY-SUNDAY...MOISTURE WILL DEEPEN OVER THE REGION AS SLY FLOW AHEAD OF SLOW MOVING EAST COAST TROUGH DEVELOPS A TROPICAL FETCH. ADVERTISED PCP WATER VALUES INVOF TWO INCHES PROJECTED EACH DAY. SSW STORM LEVEL WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR A RELATIVELY SLOW ECSB PROGRESSION AND A LIKELY SHRA/TSRA MENTION WITH AREA UNDER FAVORABLE SIDE OF UPPER LOW. SLIGHTLY BACKED FLOW TO ONSHORE ON SUN WILL KEEP HIGHER AFTERNOON PRECIP COVERAGE INLAND (WITHIN SCT CATEGORY) DUE TO EARLY SEA BREEZE EVOLUTION. TUTT AXIS WILL DRIFT OVER THE SOUTHERN PENINSULA ON SAT AND MERGE WITH TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN GULF LATE SAT/EARLY SUN. DUE TO PRESENCE OF THIS FEATURE ANTICIPATE EARLIER PRECIP DEVELOPMENT ON SAT. MONDAY-TUESDAY...SUBSIDENT AIRMASS SHOWN MOVING INTO AREA FROM THE EAST AS POS TILTED TROF MOVES OFF THE MID ATLC COAST AND RIDGING BUILDS WWD FROM THE MARINE AREA. UPR CONFLUENCE AHEAD OF APCHG WAVE WOULD ALSO ACT TO TEMPORARILY DRY THINGS OUT AROUND TUE. ON MON EXPECT NEAR CLIMO POPS TRAILING OFF TO ISOLD ON TUESDAY. WEDNESDAY-THU...GFS CONTINUES TO INDICATE OPEN WAVE MOVING ACROSS THE BAHAMAS UNDERNEATH RIDGE ALONG ABOUT 32N-34N. ECMWF OFFERS A SIMILAR AND FASTER SOLN WITH WAVE OVER THE SOUTHERN BAHAMAS MON NIGHT. IF SYSTEM CLOSES OFF BEFORE EARLY NEXT WEEK WOULD EXPECT A SLOWER SCENARIO AS SUGGESTED BY GFS. && .MARINE... NO HIGHLIGHTS. S TO SE FLOW WILL CONTINUE THRU THE WEEKEND WITH NEAR SHORE ERLY DIRECTION AND HIGHER SPEEDS IN AFTN DUE TO SEA BREEZE DEVELOPMENT. SHOWER AND STORM COVERAGE WILL REMAIN ON HIGH SIDE INTO TOMORROW DUE TO INFLUENCE OF UPPER TROUGH. MARINE SHOWERS WILL DECREASE LATE SAT AS TUTT AXIS MOVES WEST OF THE WATERS. WIND WAVES 3 FT OR LESS THROUGH SUNDAY. && .AVIATION...IFR TSRA WITH ISOLD G40KT OVER THE INTR THRU ABOUT 01Z OR SO...THEN VFR THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. COULD SEE SPOTTY MVFR MIST AND LOW SC/ST CIGS IN AREAS THAT SEE HEAVY RAIN TODAY...BUT NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH ABOUT THIS OCCURING NEAR TAF SITES TO INCLUDE ATTM. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 76 89 75 90 / 20 60 40 40 MCO 76 90 76 92 / 30 60 40 50 MLB 76 88 76 89 / 20 60 40 40 VRB 75 89 75 89 / 20 60 40 40 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && SHORT TERM...CRISTALDI LONG TERM....PENDERGRAST
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 29, 6:00 AM EDT, 12 hours 6 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 600 AM EDT FRI JUL 29 2005 AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147- 292200- COASTAL VOLUSIA-COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM- FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH OUT TO 20 NM-INDIAN RIVER- INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE- ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE- 600 AM EDT FRI JUL 29 2005 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. .DAY ONE... ...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT... INCREASING MOISTURE WILL ALLOW SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AFTERNOON LIGHTNING STORMS TO FORM ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY. COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL ALLOW FOR GREATER STORM COVERAGE TODAY THAN THE PAST WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER THE INTERIOR. INTERACTION OF LAKE AND SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON STORMS IN THE VICINITY OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE. THESE STORMS WILL IMPACT PRIMARILY MARTIN...SAINT LUCIE...AND OKEECHOBEE COUNTIES AFTER 1 PM. OTHER STORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE...BUT MOST WILL FORM AFTER THE SEA BREEZE HAS PUSHED WEST OF THE I-95 CORRIDOR. STORM ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE AS THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE PROPAGATES INLAND...WITH THE HIGHEST COVERAGE EXPECTED DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AS THE GULF SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY COLLIDES WITH THE ATLANTIC BOUNDARY WEST OF ORLANDO. STORM MOVEMENT WILL BE NORTH TO NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH OR LESS. THE MAIN STORM THREAT WILL BE DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH. ISOLATED STORMS MAY LINGER INTO THE EARLY EVENING...MAINLY ACROSS LAKE COUNTY. ...EXCESSIVE HEAT IMPACT... AIR TEMPERATURES WILL REACH THE MID TO UPPER 90S TODAY AWAY MAINLY OVER THE INTERIOR COUNTIES AWAY FROM THE COOLING EFFECTS OF THE ATLANTIC SEA BREEZE. COUPLED WITH HIGH HUMIDITY LEVELS...THESE HOT TEMPERATURES WILL GENERATE HEAT INDEX READINGS AROUND 105 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON. LIMIT STRENUOUS OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES TO THE MORNING AND EVENING HOURS IF POSSIBLE. IF YOU MUST EXERT YOURSELF DURING THE MAXIMUM HEAT OF THE DAY...BE SURE TO DRINK PLENTY OF WATER AND TAKE FREQUENT BREAKS IN THE SHADE. ...WATERSPOUT IMPACT... WINDS IN THE LOW AND MID LEVELS OF THE LOCAL ATMOSPHERE ARE QUITE WEAK...GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. FUNNEL CLOUDS AND WATERSPOUTS CAN FORM IN SUCH WEAK FLOW REGIMES...USUALLY AS THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE FORMS AND PUSHES ACROSS THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY. WHILE SUCH PHENOMENA ARE SHORT-LIVED...THEY FORM WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCED WARNING AND HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE LOCAL DAMAGE. RESIDENT LIVING ON OR NEAR THE COAST SHOULD KEEP A CLOSE WATCH ON THE LOCAL WEATHER CONDITIONS AS THE SEA BREEZE FORMS LATE THIS MORNING AND PUSHES INLAND. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY. INCREASING MOISTURE WILL COMBINE WITH A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE NORTH AND AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHEAST TO PRODUCE A GREATER THAN NORMAL CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. STORMS THIS WEEKEND LIKELY WILL FAVOR THE INTERIOR PENINSULA...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND WEST OF THE KISSIMMEE LAKE CHAIN. THE MAIN THREATS FROM THE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. BEYOND THE WEEKEND...DAILY SHOWER AND STORM COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO BE TYPICAL FOR MID SUMMER. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE IF NEEDED. BRAGAW
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 29, 3:27 PM EDT, 2 hours 39 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 327 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2005 FLZ047-292015- SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY- 327 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2005 ...STRONG STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH OVER CENTRAL BREVARD COUNTY... AT 325 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS OVER PALM BAY...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH. LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM WHICH MAY EXPERIENCE STRONG WINDS INCLUDE INDIAN HARBOUR BEACH...MELBOURNE BEACH...WEST MELBOURNE AND SUNTREE.
Special weather statement, Jul 29, 3:47 PM EDT, 2 hours 19 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 347 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2005 FLZ047-292000- SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY- 347 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2005 ...STRONG STORM OVER CENTRAL BREVARD COUNTY HAS WEAKENED... AT 344 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE STRONG STORM NORTH MOVING THROUGH MELBOURNE HAS WEAKENED. ALTHOUGH WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE NO LONGER LIKELY WITH THIS STORM...HEAVY RAIN...WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH AND OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING ARE STILL POSSIBLE.
Special weather statement, Jul 29, 3:47 PM EDT, 2 hours 19 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 347 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2005 FLZ047-292000- SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY- 347 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2005 ...STRONG STORM OVER CENTRAL BREVARD COUNTY HAS WEAKENED... AT 344 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE STRONG STORM MOVING NORTH THROUGH MELBOURNE HAS WEAKENED. ALTHOUGH WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE NO LONGER LIKELY WITH THIS STORM...HEAVY RAIN...WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH AND OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING ARE STILL POSSIBLE.
Special weather statement, Jul 29, 4:23 PM EDT, 1 hour 43 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 423 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2005 FLZ041-141-292115- COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY-INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTY- 423 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2005 ...STRONG STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH OVER NORTH CENTRAL VOLUSIA COUNTY... AT 419 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS OVER DE LEON SPRINGS...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH. THIS STORM WILL ALSO PRODUCE FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING.
Special weather statement, Jul 29, 5:27 PM EDT, 39 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 527 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2005 FLZ144-292215- SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY- 527 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2005 ...STRONG STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL CENTRAL LAKE COUNTY... AT 524 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WINDS AND SMALL HAIL OVER CLERMONT...MOVING NORTH AT 5 MPH.
Special weather statement, Jul 29, 5:56 PM EDT, 10 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 556 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2005 FLZ041-292245- INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTY- 556 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2005 ...STRONG STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL CENTRAL VOLUSIA COUNTY... AT 554 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FREQUENT LIGHTNING...STRONG WINDS AND SMALL HAIL OVER DE LAND...MOVING NORTH AT 5 MPH. IF THE STORM STRENGTHENS FURTHER...A WARNING WILL BE ISSUED.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Melbourne, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 5:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Lake | 51 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2005Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.