Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 69, NWS Melbourne, FL
NWS Melbourne, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 16, 2005, 6:15 PM EDT for Brevard County, Florida. It was in force for 30 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 16, 2005, 6:15 PM EDT (22:15 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 16, 2005, 6:45 PM EDT
- In force
- 30 min
- Issued by
- NWS Melbourne, FL
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Brevard County, FL
The radar
The Melbourne radar (KMLB), 10 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 187 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 877 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -58 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1017 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 4 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -1 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 4 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WUUS52 KMLB 162216 SVRMLB FLC009-162300- /O.NEW.KMLB.SV.W.0069.050616T2215Z-050616T2300Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 615 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2005 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... EAST CENTRAL BREVARD COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...MELBOURNE...INDIALANTIC AND MELBOURNE BEACH * UNTIL 700 PM EDT * AT 613 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MELBOURNE...AND MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH. THIS STORM IS PRODUCING A MICROBURST OVER THE INDIAN RIVER THAT WILL MOVE TOWARD THE BARRIER ISLANDS FROM INDIALANTIC TO MELBOURNE BEACH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... MELBOURNE BY 620 PM EDT INDIALANTIC BY 630 PM EDT MELBOURNE BEACH BY 640 PM EDT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MILES AN HOUR AND OR LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL. FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. IF THE STORM APPROACHES YOU...SEEK SHELTER IN AN ENCLOSED BUILDING ON THE LOWEST FLOOR. KEEP AWAY FROM WINDOWS. LAT...LON 2822 8068 2805 8074 2789 8038 2814 8027 $$ 15
1 follow-up statement
000 WWUS52 KMLB 162245 SVSMLB SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 644 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2005 FLC009-162300- /O.CAN.KMLB.SV.W.0069.000000T0000Z-050616T2300Z/ BREVARD FL- 644 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2005 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL BREVARD COUNTY IS CANCELLED... AT 643 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THAT THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD WEAKENED AND WAS NO LONGER CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS. AS A RESULT...THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HOWEVER...RADAR INDICATED A FEW STRONG STORMS NEAR LAKE WASHINGTON AND SPESSARD HOLLAND PARK SOUTH OF MELBOURNE BEACH WILL MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH 715 PM WITH BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES. LAT...LON 2822 8068 2805 8074 2789 8038 2814 8027 $$ MRV
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Melbourne, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 16, 2:10 PM EDT, 4 hours 5 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 16, 2:10 PM EDT, 4 hours 5 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 210 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2005 .DISCUSSION...SCATTERED CONVECTION ACROSS NORTHERNMOST CWA AT 18Z FORCED BY WEAK VORT AXIS WILL CONTINUE TO DROP SE WITH ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT AHEAD OF CURRENT STORMS. SEA BREEZE APPEARS TO BE PINNED TO IMMEDIATE COAST SOUTH OF MLB...WITH LITTLE EVIDENCE OF SEA BREEZE FARTHER NORTH. GRADIENT SW FLOW...SE MOVING CELLS AND ASSOCIATED OUTFLOWS...WILL PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LIFT UPON CONVERGENCE WITH SE FLOW ALONG IMMEDIATE COAST LATER THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN COASTAL AREAS BY 20Z...WITH REMNANT ACTIVITY LASTING INTO THE EARLY EVENING. EXPECTED STRONG CONVERGENCE/LIFT ALONG THE COAST MAY SPAWN ISOLATED STRONG / MARGINAL SEVERE STORMS...WITH MAIN THREATS BEING DOWNBURST WINDS AND FREQUENT/EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING. FRI-SUN...WEAKENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING DOWN THE SOUTHEAST STATES WILL KEEP PULLING GULF MOISTURE ACROSS THE PENINSULA. DISSIPATING SURFACE TROUGH DROPPING SLOWLY DOWN THE SOUTHEAST WILL MAINTAIN SOUTHWEST TO WEST FLOW RESULTING IN WARM/HOT TEMPS...LOWER 90S ALONG THE COAST AND LOW/MID 90S INLAND. FLOW NOT STRONG ENOUGH TO NEGATE SEA BREEZE FORMATION BUT SHOULD LIMIT SEA BREEZES TO THE COASTAL HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA. PREFER MAV/GFS POPS WHICH SHOW MORE OF A DIURNAL PATTERN THAN THE MET/NAM POPS WHICH SHOW LITTLE DIURNAL VARIATION. AFTERNOON AND EVENING LIGHTNING STORMS ALONG THE COAST WITH POTENTIAL FOR FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AS THE STORMS THAT FORMED OVERLAND DRIFT BACK TOWARD THE COAST AND INTERACT WITH SEA BREEZES...MOISTURE AND DENSITY DIFFERENCES ALONG THE LAND/MARINE INTERFACE. COULD BE BUSY AFTERNOON/EVENINGS FOR THE SHORT TERM FORECASTERS AND/OR RADAR OPERATORS. MON-THU...MODELS SHOW TROUGHING PATTERN OVER THE AREA MON/TUE GIVING WAY TO RIDGE BUILDING EAST-WEST ACROSS THE PENINSULA WED/THU. ALOFT...FLOW VEERING TO THE NORTHWEST WILL PULL DRIER MID LEVEL AIR ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AND FLORIDA EFFECTIVELY CAPPING OFF THE LOWER LEVELS FROM THE MID/UPPER LEVELS WITH MOST OF THE MOISTURE STAYING BELOW 5000 FEET. EXPECT LOW TOP PRECIPITATION WITH LIMITED VERTICAL DEVELOPMENT DUE TO CAP ABOVE. GFS/MEX HAS BACKED OFF FROM ITS PREVIOUS/WED 30S/40S TO TODAYS/THU 10S/20S ON ITS RAIN CHANCE FORECAST OVER THE INTERIOR AND BREVARD NORTH. NOT AS BIG A DROP FROM INDIAN RIVER COUNTY SOUTH WHICH SEEMS REASONABLE DUE TO DEEPER MOISTURE FIELD AS UPPER RIDGE SHIFTS SLIGHTLY EAST ALLOWING START OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN FLOW. RIDGE AXIS OVER THE SOUTHERN PENINSULA WILL ALLOW FOR BETTER SEA BREEZE FORMATION/INLAND PUSH DURING THE AFTERNOON. NOT GOING TO JUMP ON THIS BIG OF A RAIN CHANCE CHANGE TODAY BUT IF TONIGHTS GFS/MEX RAIN CHANCES SHOW THE SAME TREND WILL NEED TO MAKE ADJUSTMENTS ON TOMORROWS PACKAGE/S FOR NEXT WEEK. NOT MAKING SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO CURRENT DAYS 4-7 FORECAST BUT RATHER CONCENTRATE ON FRI-SUN/WEEKEND WEATHER. && .MARINE...MODERATE SOUTHWEST OFFSHORE FLOW BACKS TO SOUTHEAST ONSHORE BY TUE AS SURFACE RIDGE AXIS MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD ACROSS THE PENINSULA. SEAS 3 TO 4 FOOT MAX. LARGE SCALE STEERING FLOW WILL FORCE WEATHER WEST TO EAST LATE AFTERNOON EVENING. && .AVIATION...IFR CONDX IN STORMS ACROSS THE INLAND AND KDAB TAF SITES THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON...WITH GREATER CONCENTRATION OF IFR CONDX AND STRONG CONVECTIVE WIND GUSTS KMLB/KVRB MID-LATE AFTERNOON AS SE MOVING CELLS INTERACT WITH EAST COAST SEA BREEZE. ALL ACTIVITY ENDING BY EARLY EVENING. MVFR / LOCAL IFR FOG AND LOW CEILINGS POSSIBLE EARLY FRI...ESPECIALLY KMLB/KVRB WHERE HEAVIER RAINFALL TOTALS EXPECTED THOUGH THIS EVENING. LIGHT SW FLOW WILL REVERT TO ONSHORE SEA BREEZE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ALONG THE COAST BEGINNING EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 75 93 72 91 / 20 30 20 40 MCO 74 94 75 92 / 10 20 20 30 MLB 73 93 73 90 / 20 30 20 40 VRB 74 92 74 90 / 20 30 20 40 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && SHORT TERM...SPRATT LONG TERM....WIMMER
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 16, 6:17 AM EDT, 11 hours 58 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 617 AM EDT THU JUN 16 2005 AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147- 162000- COASTAL VOLUSIA-COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM- FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH OUT TO 20 NM-INDIAN RIVER- INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE- ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE- 617 AM EDT THU JUN 16 2005 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT: ...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT... AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL COMBINE WITH STRONG HEATING AND SUFFICIENT MOISTURE TO SPARK SCATTERED LIGHTNING STORMS TODAY. STORM MOVEMENT WILL BE TOWARD THE EAST OR SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. AS STORMS OVER INTERIOR CENTRAL FLORIDA COLLIDE WITH THE SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY THIS AFTERNOON...COVERAGE AND INTENSITY WILL INCREASE. FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING STRIKES...STRONG DOWNBURST WIND GUSTS AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO ARE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY NEAR THE EAST COAST...INCLUDING VOLUSIA...BREVARD... INDIAN RIVER...ST LUCIE AND MARTIN COUNTIES. LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE KILLER FROM SUMMER THUNDERSTORMS. SEEK SHELTER IN AN ENCLOSED STURDY BUILDING IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES. ...FLOOD IMPACT... A SLIGHTLY FASTER STEERING FLOW AND LESS AVAILABLE MOISTURE COMPARED TO YESTERDAY WILL LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF RAINFALL AND FLOODING POTENTIAL OVER INTERIOR COUNTIES. HOWEVER...LOCALLY VERY HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE EAST COAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON WHERE ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. SUCH HEAVY DOWNPOURS ON ALREADY SATURATED SOILS WILL AGGRAVATE ANY ONGOING STANDING WATER PROBLEMS...OR ALLOW FLOODING TO QUICKLY REDEVELOP. VOLUSIA AND BREVARD COUNTIES ARE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING DUE TO RECENT HEAVY RAINS. ...MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT... BOATERS ARE ADVISED THAT STORMS WILL BE MOVING OFF THE EAST COAST AND ACROSS THE INTRACOASTAL AND NEAR SHORE ATLANTIC WATERS. FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING STRIKES AND WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 35 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE IN A FEW STORMS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY: STORM COVERAGE WILL BE REDUCED FRIDAY BUT INCREASE SATURDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING UPPER DISTURBANCE. THE MODEL TREND IS TO BRING IN DRIER AIR EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH DEEP MOISTURE STAYING SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE IF NEEDED. KELLY
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 16, 4:49 PM EDT, 1 hour 26 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 449 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2005 FLZ047-147-162130- NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY- 449 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2005 ...STRONG STORM OVER PORT CANAVERAL MOVING SOUTH ALONG THE COAST... AT 446 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH OVER CAPE CANAVERAL...MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH. THIS STORM WILL MOVE DOWN THE COAST AND AFFECT COCOA BEACH AND PARTRICK AIRFORCE BASE WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH. IF THIS STORM APPROACHES YOUR AREA MOVE INDOORS INTO A STURDY STRUCTURE. MRV
Local storm report, Jun 16, 4:54 PM EDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
454 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2005
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0452 PM HAIL LAKE MARY 28.76N 81.33W
06/16/2005 0.50 INCH SEMINOLE FL TRAINED SPOTTER
PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL
&&
JOCLocal storm report, Jun 16, 5:38 PM EDT, 37 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
538 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2005
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0430 PM DOWNBURST SANFORD 28.79N 81.28W
06/16/2005 SEMINOLE FL LAW ENFORCEMENT
TREE BRANCHES DOWN,POWER OUTAGES, AND STREET FLOODING
ACROSS THE SANFORD AREA. MOST STREET FLOODING LAKE MARY
BLVD AND I4.
0452 PM HAIL LAKE MARY 28.76N 81.33W
06/16/2005 0.50 INCH SEMINOLE FL TRAINED SPOTTER
PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL
&&
JOCLocal storm report, Jun 16, 5:50 PM EDT, 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
550 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2005
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0430 PM DOWNBURST SANFORD 28.79N 81.28W
06/16/2005 SEMINOLE FL LAW ENFORCEMENT
TREE BRANCHES DOWN,POWER OUTAGES, AND STREET FLOODING
ACROSS THE SANFORD AREA. MOST STREET FLOODING LAKE MARY
BLVD AND I4.
0452 PM HAIL LAKE MARY 28.76N 81.33W
06/16/2005 0.50 INCH SEMINOLE FL TRAINED SPOTTER
PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL
0527 PM TSTM WND GST ORLANDO 28.50N 81.37W
06/16/2005 61 MPH ORANGE FL OFFICIAL NWS OBS
ORLANDO INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT ASOS REPORTED 53 KNOTS OR
61 MPH WIND.
&&
JOCSpecial weather statement, Jun 16, 6:01 PM EDT, 14 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 601 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2005 FLZ047-162245- SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY- 601 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2005 ...STRONG STORMS MOVING THROUGH MELBOURNE TOWARD THE COAST... AT 6 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH...VERY HEAVY RAIN AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING MOVING TOWARD SATELLITE AND INDIAN HAROUR BEACH. THE STORMS WILL MOVE OFFSHORE INTO THE NEARSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS BETWEEN 7 AND 730 PM. MRV
Special weather statement, Jun 16, 6:07 PM EDT, 8 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 607 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2005 FLZ053-162245- OSCEOLA- 607 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2005 ...STRONG STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL NORTHERN OSCEOLA COUNTY... AT 604 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A BATCH OF STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WINDS OVER NORTHEASTERN OSCEOLA COUNTY...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. OTHER STORMS ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL PART OF THE COUNTY HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SMALL HAIL.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Melbourne, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2:27 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MLB | 2 hr | |
| Jun 16, 4:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Seminole | 55 min |
| Jun 16, 5:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Brevard | 55 min |
| Jun 16, 5:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Orange, Osceola | 51 min |
| Jun 16, 6:18 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MLB | 117 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2005Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.