Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 62, NWS Melbourne, FL

June 3, 2005Brevard County, Florida

NWS Melbourne, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 3, 2005, 2:45 PM EDT for Brevard County, Florida. It was in force for 50 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 3, 2005, 2:45 PM EDT (18:45 UTC)
Expired
Jun 3, 2005, 3:35 PM EDT
In force
50 min
Issued by
NWS Melbourne, FL
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Brevard County, FL

The radar

The Melbourne radar (KMLB), 12 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 181 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2005-06-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 367 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2005-06-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 80 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
367 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-61 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
958 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
80 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
124 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS52 KMLB 031846
SVRMLB
FLC009-031945-
/O.NEW.KMLB.SV.W.0062.050603T1845Z-050603T1945Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
245 PM EDT FRI JUN 3 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN BREVARD COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA   

* UNTIL 345 PM EDT

* AT 242 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN 
EXCESS   OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MICCO... MOVING 
NORTH AT 20 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  GRANT BY 255 PM EDT
  PALM BAY BY 315 PM EDT
  
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MILES AN
HOUR AND OR LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL. FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING
AND VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. IF THE STORM APPROACHES
YOU...SEEK SHELTER IN AN ENCLOSED BUILDING ON THE LOWEST FLOOR. KEEP
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 2782 8065 2784 8042 2832 8051 2830 8077

$$

PB
2 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS52 KMLB 031914
SVSMLB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
313 PM EDT FRI JUN 3 2005

FLC009-031945-
/O.CON.KMLB.SV.W.0062.000000T0000Z-050603T1945Z/
BREVARD FL-
313 PM EDT FRI JUN 3 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 345 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN BREVARD COUNTY...

AT 313 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS.  
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MALABAR...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  SPESSARD HOLLAND PARK AND MELBOURNE BEACH BY 320 PM EDT
  INDIALANTIC AND MELBOURNE BY 320 PM EDT
  INDIAN HARBOUR BEACH...SATELLITE BEACH BY 340 PM EDT
  PATRICK AIR FORCE BASE AND 6 MILES EAST OF PALM SHORES BY 345 PM
  EDT

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE 
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. 
PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG 
BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 2782 8065 2784 8042 2832 8051 2830 8077

$$

15
000 
WWUS52 KMLB 031935
SVSMLB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
334 PM EDT FRI JUN 3 2005

FLC009-031943-
/O.CAN.KMLB.SV.W.0062.000000T0000Z-050603T1945Z/
BREVARD FL-
334 PM EDT FRI JUN 3 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN BREVARD COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

AT 334 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD WEAKENED AND WAS NO
LONGER CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS. AS A RESULT...THE 
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH AT 30 MPH TOWARD ROCKLEDGE... 
COCOA BEACH AND CAPE CANAVERAL. EXPECT LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY 
WINDS TO 40 MPH AND OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES 
THROUGH 4 PM IN THESE AREAS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE 
LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 2782 8065 2784 8042 2832 8051 2830 8077

$$

MRV

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Melbourne, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 3, 2:30 PM EDT, 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 3, 2:30 PM EDT, 15 minutes before
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
230 PM EDT FRI JUN 3 2005

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENTLY...BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND FAR
SOUTHERN AREAS HAVE ALLOWED FOR THE REDEVELOPMENT OF STORMS IN THESE
AREAS AS THE LATEST AREA OF SHOWERS AND STORMS PUSHES ONTO THE
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST AROUND NAPLES.

TONIGHT...THE UPPER LEVEL TROF OVER THE EASTERN GULF HAS BEGUN TO
ENLONGATE AND WEAKEN AS THE REST OF THE TROF OVER THE SOUTHEAST
BEGINS TO LIFT OUT AND LEAVE IT BEHIND. THE GFS CONTINUES TO DEVELOP
A SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE VORT MAX OVER YUCATAN
STRAITS/WESTERN CUBA THIS EVENING...AND LIFT IT OUT INTO THE GULF BY
EARLY MORNING. THE GFS APPEARS A BIT TO AGGRESSIVE IN THE STRENGTH
OF THE SYSTEM...HOWEVER THE TROF CURRENTLY IN THE AREA WILL CONTINUE
TO EHNAHCE OUR PRECIP CHANCES OVERNIGHT AS CONTINUING UPPER LEVEL
SOUTHWEST FLOW BRINGS MOISTURE INTO THE AREA.

SATURDAY...ANOTHER WET DAY IN STORE DUE TO CONTINUAL USHERING
NORTHWARD OF DEEP MOISTURE FROM THE CARIB REGION. S-SSW COMPONENT
FLOW IN PLACE ALSO REMAINS MOST FAVORABLE FOR WET SEASON CONVECTION.
PERSISTENT COMPLEX OF STORMS NEAR THE ISLE OF PINES HAS BEEN ASCD
WITH UPPER TROUGH OVER THE GULF. A SFC TROUGH HAS LIKELY DEVELOPED
IN THE AREA NEAR THE YUCATAN CHNL AND EXPECT LARGE AREA OF CLOUDS
AND PCPN TO PERSIST WELL INTO SAT. GFS REMAINS TOO AGGRESSIVE WITH
INTENSITY AND SPEED OF SFC LOW DEVELOPMENT ASCD WITH SYSTEM. AND NAM
DEPICTION W/DAMPENED TROUGH @ SFC APPEARS MORE REALISTIC OVER AREA.
HAVE RAISED POPS INTO LIKELY CATEGORY AREA WIDE ONCE MORE AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WL CREATE PROBLEMS WITH STANDING WATER IN
TRADITIONALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS.

SUNDAY-WED...THE WET SEASON WELL UNDERWAY AS GUID KEEPS ATLANTIC
RIDGE OVER THE PENINSULA SUN. THE RIDGE AXIS LOOKS TO REMAIN OVER
THE PENINSULA THROUGH MIDWEEK. OVERALL ENVIRONMENTAL MOISTURE
SEASONAL WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF CONVECTIVE INHIBITION AND PWATS
REMAINING AROUND 1.5-1.8 FAVORS THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCT SHOWERS AND
STORMS EACH DAY. SW-W FLOW ALOFT WL STEER ACTIVITY TOWARD THE
EASTERN PORTION OF THE PENINSULA INTO THE EVENING AND WL KEEP
LINGERING POPS INTO THE NIGHT TIME PERIOD.

EXTENDED...EXTENDED GUID SHOWS LITTLE CHANGE IN POSITION OF ATLC
RIDGE THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. EXPECT SCT POPS EACH DAYTIME
PERIOD WITH ISOLD/SCT EVENING ACTIVITY...ESPECIALLY OVER INLAND
AREAS.

&&

.MARINE...SE/SLY FLOW AROUND 10 TO 15 KNOTS AND SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE NEAR STORMS. A WET PERIOD FOR THE MARINE AREA
WITH SCT/NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS PARALLELING THE COAST OR MOVING
OFFSHORE THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...NMRS MVFR SHRA AND VISBYS AROUND 5SM WITH CIGS
FL040-FL060 AND SCT TSRAS WITH CIGS FL025 THROUGH 22Z. SHRA/TSRA
WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHEST FROM THE SWRN PENINSULA. MAINLY VFR
CONDITIONS AFT 22Z WITH CIGS FL100 WITH WDLY SCT MVFR SHRA CIGS
FL030.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  72  88  73  87  /  50  70  40  50
MCO  73  88  72  90  /  50  70  40  50
MLB  72  87  74  88  /  50  60  30  40
VRB  72  87  74  88  /  50  60  30  40

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM...BLOTTMAN/MOSES
LONG TERM....PENDERGRAST
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 3, 12:00 PM EDT, 2 hours 45 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1200 PM EDT FRI JUN 3 2005

AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
032100-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH OUT TO 20 NM-INDIAN RIVER-
INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-
ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE-
1200 PM EDT FRI JUN 3 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS VERY MOIST AND SOMEWHAT UNSTABLE. A DEEP
MOIST INFLOW FROM THE SOUTH WILL ALLOW ADDITIONAL STORMS TO
DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER WILL REDUCE HEATING
AND THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE IS EXPECTED TO BE WEAK.
HOWEVER...LIGHTNING STORMS THAT DEVELOP STILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS AS A RESULT OF THE
SHEAR IN THE LOWER PARTS OF THE ATMOSPHERE.

...FLOOD IMPACT...
ABUNDANT ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE WILL ALLOW STORMS TO PRODUCE AN
ADDITIONAL INCH OR TWO OF RAINFALL ACROSS AREAS THAT ALREADY HAVE
SATURATED GROUND. THIS RAINFALL MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING OF LOW
LYING AREAS...POORLY DRAINING AREAS AND CAUSE RETENTION PONDS TO
OVERFLOW.

...MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING OFF THE MAINLAND AND INTO THE NEAR SHORE
WATERS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING CLOUD TO WATER LIGHTNING
STRIKES...GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
A WEAK WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACKING NORTH OVER THE EASTERN GULF
OF MEXICO SATURDAY AND SUNDAY MAY PRODUCE STORMS BEFORE CROSSING THE
SOUTHEAST. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS REMAINING IN PROXIMITY
OF CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH THE REST OF THE OUTLOOK PERIOD WILL YIELD
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DAILY SEA BREEZE FORMATION. EAST AND WEST
COAST SEA BREEZE COLLISIONS WILL PRODUCE LIGHTNING STORMS OVER THE
INTERIOR EACH AFTERNOON. AND AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

PB

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 3, 1:50 PM EDT, 55 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
150 PM EDT FRI JUN 3 2005

FLZ054-059-031830-
INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-
150 PM EDT FRI JUN 3 2005

...STRONG STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH OVER
EASTERN INDIAN RIVER COUNTY...NORTH CENTRAL ST. LUCIE COUNTY...

AT 147 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
SAINT LUCIE AIRPORT...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.

THIS STORM WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL MOVE NORTH ALONG I 95 AND
AFFECT LOCATIONS FROM WEST OF FORT PIERCE TO PARADISE PARK AND VERO
LAKE ESTATES. IF THE STORM INTENSIFIES FURTHER A WARNING MAY BE
ISSUED.

PB
Special weather statement, Jun 3, 2:32 PM EDT, 13 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
232 PM EDT FRI JUN 3 2005

FLZ047-054-031915-
INDIAN RIVER-SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-
232 PM EDT FRI JUN 3 2005

...STRONG STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH ENTERING
SOUTHEASTERN BREVARD COUNTY.

AT 227 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS NEAR SEBASTIAN...MOVING
NORTH AT 30 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM WHICH MAY EXPERIENCE STRONG WINDS
INCLUDE GRANT...MELBOURNE...INDIAN HARBOR BEACH AND VIERA...

IF THE STORM STRENGTHENS FURTHER...A WARNING WILL BE ISSUED.

PB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Melbourne, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 3, 12:47 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningMLB118 min
Jun 3, 1:58 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningMLB2 hr
Jun 3, 6:33 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningMLB57 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2005Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.