Severe Thunderstorm Warning 125, NWS Milwaukee, WI

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 251906
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
206 PM CDT MON JUL 25 2005

WIC105-251945-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0125.000000T0000Z-050725T1945Z/
ROCK-
206 PM CDT MON JUL 25 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 245 PM CDT FOR ROCK
COUNTY...

AT 206 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR NEWARK...OR ABOUT 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BRODHEAD...MOVING
EAST AT 10 MPH. 

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  HANOVER BY 210 PM CDT...
  AFTON BY 230 PM CDT...

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM.
WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A
TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A
STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

VERY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STORM WITH UP TO 2 INCHES
POSSIBLE. URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IS LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 4267 8928 4261 8934 4251 8936 4250 8910
      4260 8907

$$

GEHRING

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 251931
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
231 PM CDT MON JUL 25 2005

WIC105-251938-
/O.CAN.KMKX.SV.W.0125.000000T0000Z-050725T1945Z/
ROCK-
231 PM CDT MON JUL 25 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR ROCK COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

A LARGE THUNDERSTORM OVER CENTRAL ROCK COUNTY HAS WEAKENED BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS. HOWEVER...VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL STILL FALL WITH THIS
STORM AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST ACROSS JANESVILLE THROUGH 3 PM. 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 2 INCHES IS POSSIBLE. URBAN AND SMALL
STREAM FLOODING IS LIKELY. 


LAT...LON 4267 8928 4261 8934 4251 8936 4250 8910
      4260 8907

$$

GEHRING

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
325 AM CDT MON JUL 25 2005

.DISCUSSION...FORECAST FOCUS ON CONVECTION TODAY AND TNGT.

H8 LLJ WILL SHIFT EWD TODAY INTO WRN WI. GFS HAS A MORE EWD
PLACEMENT OF LLJ WITH VRY HIGH HELICITY VALUES. WITH SFC WRM FNT
APPCH TODAY CONCERN FOR STG/SVR TSTMS IS THERE....ESP SC WI. NAM
SHOWS A BAND OF FOCUSED EHI VALUES CLOSE TO PROGDS WRM FNTL POSN THIS
AFTN. SPC HAS ALSO MENTIONED CONCERN FOR SUPERCELL DEVLOPMENT INTO
PARTS OF WRN WI. MODELS ALL SHOWING SOME CONSENSUS FOR SC WI THIS
AFTN WRT QPF CLOSER TO THE NW-SE ORIENTED WRM FNT AND WHERE LLJ WILL
AID IN INFLOW. PER BUFKIT...HIGHEST EHI VALUES NW OF MSN. WILL GO
WITH HIGH END CHC POPS TODAY...NOT TOO FAR OFF FROM GOING POPS. WITH
MRNG ACTIVITY ALREADY UNDERWAY IN WRN CWA WILL GO WITH SCT WORDING
THERE.

GFS/NAM CLOSE WITH SFC LOW POSN AT 00Z TUE ACRS NRN IA/SRN MN WITH
WRM FNT INTO SW WI. SFC LOW PROGGD TO TREK ACRS CNTRL/SRN WI TNGT
AND DRAG ASSOC COLD FRONT WITH IT...SO REALLY A ONE/TWO PUNCH TODAY
WITH THE LLJ/WRM FNT TODAY AND THEN TRANSITIONING TO A SQUALL LINE
TNGT ALONG AND AHEAD OF COLD FRONT. TIMING OF FRONT NOT THE BEST...
HOWEVER UPR SUPPORT SHOULD BE IN PLACE WITH A FAIRLY DECENT SHORT
WAVE AND SOME UPR DVRG NOTED FROM H2/H3 PROGS. PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES OVER 2....SO POTENTIAL FOR SOME MORE BENEFICIAL RAINFALL.

WILL KEEP A MRNG POP ON TUE...BUT GFS/NAM TAKE FRONT PRETTY FAR
SOUTH RATHER QUICKLY SO WENT DRY FROM TUE AFTN RIGHT INTO FRI WITH
COOLER AND DRIER AIR TAKING HOLD.

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
436 AM CDT MON JUL 25 2005

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-261000-
COLUMBIA-DANE-DODGE-FOND DU LAC-GREEN-GREEN LAKE-IOWA-JEFFERSON-
KENOSHA-LAFAYETTE-MARQUETTE-MILWAUKEE-OZAUKEE-RACINE-ROCK-SAUK-
SHEBOYGAN-WALWORTH-WASHINGTON-WAUKESHA-
436 AM CDT MON JUL 25 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...BECOMING NUMEROUS
TONIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK THAT THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME
SEVERE...MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. THE SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WITH A FEW TORNADOES
POSSIBLE. TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IN SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS COULD
PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN
AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY...MAINLY DURING THE MORNING.
NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

&&

DETAILED WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE NWS MILWAUKEE
WEB-PAGE...WEATHER.GOV/MILWAUKEE     /LOWER CASE/

LMZ643>646-665-261000-
NORTH POINT LIGHTHOUSE TO WIND POINT-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHTHOUSE-
SHEBOYGAN WI TO PORT WASHINGTON-
WIND POINT TO WINTHROP HARBOR ILLINOIS-
436 AM CDT MON JUL 25 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE WISCONSIN NEARSHORE WATERS
OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...BECOMING NUMEROUS
TONIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK THAT THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BECOME SEVERE...MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. THE SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WITH A FEW WATER
SPOUTS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY...MAINLY DURING THE MORNING.
NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

&&

DETAILED WEATHER INFORMATION AVAILABLE ON THE NWS MILWAUKEE
WEB-PAGE...WEATHER.GOV/MILWAUKEE     /LOWER CASE/

DAVIS