Flash Flood Warning 5, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

000 
WGUS72 KMHX 081327
FFSMHX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
925 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2005

NCC013-081400-
BEAUFORT NC-
925 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 1000 AM EDT FOR BEAUFORT
COUNTY...

AT 922 AM EDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING FLASH
FLOODING OVER THE WARNED AREA.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
YEATESVILLE...WASHINGTON...TERRA CEIA...RIVER ROAD...RANSOMVILLE...
PINETOWN...OLD FORD...CHOCOWINITY...BLOUNTS CREEK...BAYVIEW AND BATH.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN THE 
WARNED AREA. LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED NUMEROUS STREETS AND ROADS
IMPASSABLE IN WASHINGTON AND HIGH WATER IN AURORA. THIS WARNING
WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED BEFORE IT EXPIRES.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW
LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

FLOODING IS OCCURRING. MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN 
AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER COVERED 
BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A 
FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING WATER 
MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 3539 7715 3527 7668 3563 7663 3567 7711

$$

12

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
446 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2005

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)...RADAR RAINFALL ESTIMATES OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS INDICATE 4 TO 6 INCHES OVER A LARGE CHUNK OF
THE SOUTHERN COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE CWA WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES
EXTENDED WELL TO THE NORTH. FAR NORTHERN AND NW PORTIONS OF THE
CWA HAVE RECEIVED LESS RAIN. MORE ON THE WAY AS TROPICAL CONTINUE
TO STREAM NORTHWARD AND WEAK SFC FRONT EDGES INTO THE WRN PORTION
OF THE STATE. LOW LVL JET HAS BEEN INCREASING ACROSS THE CWA THIS
MORNING PROVIDING MORE CONVERGENCE/LIFT AND ACTING AS A FOCUS FOR
THE HEAVY RAIN. THIS IS A TROPICAL AIRMASS WITH PWATS BETTER THAN
2 INCHES. AS SUCH HAVE SEEN LITTLE INDICATION OF THUNDER BUT DO
FEEL THAT LATER TODAY AS FRONT BEGINS TO EDGE A LITTLE FARTHER
EAST AND CONVERGENCE INCREASES NEAT IT ISOLATED TSTMS COULD
DEVELOP. OVERALL DO NOT MAKE SIG CHANGES TO GOING FORECAST EXCEPT
TO EXTEND CATEGORICAL POPS THROUGH TODAY. SHIELD OF RAIN SOUTHWARD
TO THE FL COAST AND WITH MODELS NOT INDICATING A GREAT OF EWD
PROGRESS IN THE NEST COUPLE OF DAYS FOR THE FRONT...NOT MOVING IT
OFF SHORE BEFORE LATE MON...SHOULD CONTINUE TO SEE THIS MOISTURE
STREAM NORTH.

TO THE END HAVE EXTENDED FLOOD WATCH FOR THE REST OF TODAY AND
INCLUDED ALL ZONES. RAINFALL TRYING TO BECOME MORE UNIFORM ACROSS THE
RGN BUT SRN AREAS STILL HAVE HAD MUCH MORE. WILL SEE LITTLE IN THE
WAY OF DIURNAL TEMP CHANGE TODAY. MORE CHANGE SUNDAY AS RAIN SHOULD
DECREASE SOME AND POSSIBLY ALLOW FOR A FEW BREAKS...BUT WILL STILL
SHOW LIKELY POPS.

OTHER CONCERN TODAY IS WINDS ALONG THE OUTER BANKS. WITH LOW LVL
JET IN VICINITY WINDS MAY OCCASIONALLY GUST TO NEAR ADVISORY
CRITERIA ALONG THE OUTER BANKS...BUT DO NOT FEEL THIS WILL PERSIST
LONG ENOUGH TO WARRANT ADVISORY. WINDS SHOULD DECREASE TONIGHT.

WILL CARRY LIKELY POPS INTO EARLY MON AS FNT IS STILL HUNG UP OVER
THE RGN WAITING FOR UPPER SUPPORT TO KICK IT OUT.

&&

.LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...BEYOND MON UPPER LOW
SHOULD START TO EDGE EAST BUT WILL STILL BE SLOW AND FNT WILL
REMAIN STALLED JUST OFF THE COAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL
MEAN A CONTINUED CHANCE...ALBEIT SMALLER...OF PCPN THROUGH WED
NIGHT BEFORE DRYING BEGINS BY THURS MORNING/ AFTERNOON. MADE VERY
FEW CHANGES TO GOING EXTENDED FORECAST TODAY

&&

.AVIATION...WIDESPREAD MVFR WITH OCCASIONAL IFR CONDITIONS WILL
EXIST OVER THE AREA THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS TROPICAL
AIRMASS RESULTS IN MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL.

&&

.MARINE...VERY MOIST TROPICAL AIRMASS OVER THE AREA WILL RESULT IN
A CONTINUED CHANCE OF PRECIP THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY. IN THE SHORT
TERM...POSTED A GALE WARNING FROM SURF CITY TO OREGON INLET UNTIL
18Z THIS AFTERNOON. GFS INDICATES A 40 KT H9 LLJ OVER THE
SOUTHERN WATERS EARLY THIS MORNING INCREASING TO 50 KT AS IT
SHIFTS NORTHWARD ALONG THE OUTER BANKS BEFORE WEAKENING DURING THE
EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. HEAVIER CONVECTIVE SHOWERS WITHIN THIS
BAND OF HIGHER WINDS SHOULD TRANSLATE IN SFC WINDS NEAR GALE
CRITERIA THROUGHT THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. DIAMOND
BUOY REPORTED 35 KT GUSTS AT 3 AM WITH CAPE LOOKOUT REPORTING
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 4O KT. A HIGH SURF
ADVISORY WILL BE EXTENDED UNTIL 00Z AS SEAS BUILD TO 10 TO 12 FT
COUPLED WITH LONG PERIOD SWELL BETWEEN 9 AND 10 SECONDS.

SCA CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR QUITE SOME TIME WITH SEAS NOT
EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA UNTIL AROUND 12Z TUESDAY
WHEN WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHERLY FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A COLD
FRONT THAT WILL TRY TO STALL JUST OFFSHORE THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...FLOOD WATCH FOR NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-103-104
     UNTIL 6 PM SATURDAY.
  ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR NCZ095-098-103-104 UNTIL 8 PM SATURDAY.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR AMZ135-150 UNTIL 8 PM SATURDAY.
  ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS FOR AMZ150 FROM 8 PM
     SATURDAY TO 8 AM TUESDAY.
  ...GALE WARNING FOR AMZ152-154-156-158 UNTIL 2 PM SATURDAY.
  ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR AMZ152-154-156 FROM 2 PM SATURDAY TO
     11 PM SATURDAY.
  ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS FOR AMZ152-154-156
     FROM 11 PM SATURDAY TO 8 AM TUESDAY.
  ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR AMZ158 FROM 2 PM SATURDAY TO 8 PM
     SATURDAY.
  ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS FOR AMZ158 FROM 8 PM
     SATURDAY TO 8 PM MONDAY.
&&

SHORT TERM...FAUCETTE
LONG TERM...FAUCETTE
AVIATION...WINGENROTH
MARINE...WINGENROTH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
416 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2005

AMZ150-152-154-156-158-NCZ095-098-103-104-090830-
S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
INCLUDING THE MONITOR NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
S OF OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO N OF SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM-CARTERET-ONSLOW-
OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
416 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH
TODAY. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT. THE HEAVY RAINS MAY RESULT IN
SOME FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS EARLY THIS MORNING AND ADDITIONAL
RAINS LATER TODAY COULD CAUSE MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS THE
AREA.

A PERSISTENT SOUTHEAST SWELL OF 8 TO 12 FEET WILL CONTINUE TO
PRODUCE HIGH SURF CONDITIONS AND A THREAT OF BEACH EROSION THROUGH
TODAY. ALSO A HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE HEAVY RAINS WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF BY EARLY SUNDAY...BUT
SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

AMZ130-135-NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>094-090830-
ALBEMARLE SOUND-PAMLICO SOUND-MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-
MAINLAND DARE-GREENE-BEAUFORT-MAINLAND HYDE-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-
CRAVEN-PAMLICO-
416 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH
TODAY. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT. THE HEAVY RAINS MAY RESULT IN
SOME FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS EARLY THIS MORNING AND ADDITIONAL
RAINS LATER TODAY COULD CAUSE MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS THE
AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE HEAVY RAINS WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF BY EARLY SUNDAY...BUT
SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

MLF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
702 AM EDT SAT OCT 08 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0658 AM     FLOOD            2 SE JAMES CITY         35.04N 76.99W
10/08/2005                   CRAVEN             NC   AMATEUR RADIO

            WATER COVERING FRONTAGE ROAD AND NEARING HOMES FROM

            CORNER OF HIGHWAY 70 AND THURMAN ROAD TO NEAR JAMES CITY.

&&

MLF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
742 AM EDT SAT OCT 08 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0725 AM     FLOOD            1 E STELLA              34.77N 77.12W
10/08/2005                   CARTERET           NC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            APPROXIMATELY 2 FEET OF WATER ACROSS OLD CHURCH RD.

0730 AM     FLOOD            1 W PELETIER            34.73N 77.10W
10/08/2005                   CARTERET           NC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            APPROXIMATELY 2 FEET OF WATER ACROSS PARTS OF WEST
            FIRETOWER ROAD.

&&

MLF