Severe Thunderstorm Warning 89, NWS Miami, FL

000
WWUS52 KMFL 061951
SVSMFL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
351 PM EDT SAT AUG 6 2005

FLC021-051-062030-
/O.CON.KMFL.SV.W.0089.000000T0000Z-050806T2030Z/
HENDRY FL-COLLIER FL-
351 PM EDT SAT AUG 6 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 430 PM EDT FOR NORTH
CENTRAL COLLIER AND WESTERN HENDRY COUNTIES...

AT 348 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DIME SIZE HAIL...
AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 
BETWEEN FELDA AND IMMOKALEE...MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS
OF THE INDICATED COUNTY.

LAT...LON 2662 8159 2633 8157 2632 8125 2672 8125

$$

000
WWUS52 KMFL 062013
SVSMFL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
412 PM EDT SAT AUG 6 2005

FLC021-051-062022-
/O.CAN.KMFL.SV.W.0089.000000T0000Z-050806T2030Z/
HENDRY FL-COLLIER FL-
412 PM EDT SAT AUG 6 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL COLLIER AND
WESTERN HENDRY COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THAT THE STORM THAT PROMPTED
THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND IS NO LONGER A THREAT...THUS THE 
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

HOWEVER STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO OCCUR OVER MUCH OF 
EASTERN HENDRY AND EXTREME NORTH COLLIER COUNTIES FOR THE NEXT HOUR. 
LIGHTNING WILL TEND TO BE THE GREATEST WEATHER THREAT ASSOCIATED 
WITH THESE STORMS.

LAT...LON 2662 8159 2633 8157 2632 8125 2672 8125

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
230 PM EDT SAT AUG 6 2005

.DISCUSSION...SOUTH FLORIDA CONTINUES IN A LIGHT FLOW
REGIME...AS THE AREA REMAINS SITUATED BETWEEN A TROUGH OVER THE
SE STATES AND AN ATLANTIC RIDGE WELL TO OUR EAST. THIS PATTERN
LOOKS TO CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY NEXT WEEK. GFS SHOWS THE
ATLANTIC RIDGE BUILDING IN ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA DURING THE
MIDDLE AND LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK...AS DOES THE ECMWF. WILL GO
WITH THIS...BUT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF THE ONSET OF THE
EASTERLY FLOW IS DELAYED IN TIME. IT SEEMS THE MODELS HAVE BEEN
SOMEWHAT TOO AGGRESSIVE IN BUILDING THE RIDGE INTO OUR AREA THIS
SUMMER.

LARGE SCALE FEATURES LOOK REMOVED FROM THE AREA FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. TWO LOW PRESSURE CENTERS TO OUR NORTH (ONE NEAR FL
PANHANDLE AND THE OTHER OFF THE GA/SC COAST) WILL REMAIN NORTH
WITH NO EXPECTED LOCAL IMPACT. THERE IS A NICE SPINNING UPPER LOW
(CLEARLY VISIBLE IN NOT ONLY WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...BUT ALSO VIS
SAT IMAGERY) NOW NEAR HISPANIOLA WHICH IS CHUGGING WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD. AT A GLANCE...THE IMPRESSIVE SPIN IN VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY LOOKS RATHER OMINOUS. HOWEVER...THIS IS ONLY NOW UPPER
LEVEL WITH NO SURFACE LOW PRESENT...AND GFS KEEPS THIS AN UPPER
LEVEL FEATURE REMAINING POSITIONED TO OUR EAST. SO IT LOOKS AS
THOUGH LOCAL DIURNAL MECHANISMS WILL BE OUR PLAYER THROUGH NEXT
WEEK...MEANING SCATTERED AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORMS EACH
DAY...DRIVEN BY SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE. FAVORED AREAS WILL BE
PRETTY MUCH ANYWHERE SUN-TUE AFTERNOON...THEN INTERIOR/GULF COAST
WED AND BEYOND.

&&

.MARINE...LIGHT FLOW REGIME WILL CONTINUE TO LEAD TO SEAS OF LESS
THAN 2 FEET...EVEN NEARLY FLAT MANY PLACES.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DEWPOINTS IN THE 70S AND LIGHT FLOW WILL PRECLUDE
ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  76  92  77  91 /  20  50  20  50
FORT LAUDERDALE  77  91  78  90 /  20  50  20  50
MIAMI            77  92  78  91 /  20  50  20  50
NAPLES           76  91  77  91 /  20  40  20  40

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

DG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
453 AM EDT SAT AUG 6 2005

FLZ063-066>075-070900-
GLADES-HENDRY-PALM BEACH WESTERN-PALM BEACH EASTERN-
WESTERN COLLIER-EASTERN COLLIER-WESTERN BROWARD-
BROWARD METROPOLITAN-WESTERN DADE-DADE METROPOLITAN-
MAINLAND MONROE-
452 AM EDT SAT AUG 6 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON. THE ACTIVITY WILL BEGIN EARLY TO MID
AFTERNOON ALONG THE SEA BREEZES NEAR COASTAL AREAS AND LAKE
BREEZES AROUND LAKE OKEECHOBEE. THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DRIFT
SLOWLY NORTHEAST THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY
EVENING. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE VERY HEAVY
DOWNPOURS AND BRIEF WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ALONG WITH SMALL
HAIL...HOWEVER THE GREATEST DANGER WILL BE FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE
LIGHTNING STRIKES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.MIAMIWEATHER.INFO.