Severe Thunderstorm Warning 269, NWS Memphis, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
918 PM CST SAT DEC 3 2005

.DISCUSSION...

COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM SOUTHWEST KENTUCKY THROUGH NORTHWEST
TENNESSEE INTO NORTHEAST TEXAS. EARLIER SHOWERS HAD FORMED NORTH OF
THE FRONT AND HAVE MOVED INTO MIDDLE TENNESSEE. THUNDERSTORMS ARE
NOW STARTING TO DEVELOP SOUTH OF THE FRONT. WITH WARM ATMOSPHERE
SOUTH OF THE FRONT CANT RULE OUT SOME SEVERE STORMS. CURRENT
FORECAST HAS A GOOD HANDLE ON THE SITUATION SO NO CHANGES ARE
PLANNED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
425 PM CST SAT DEC 3 2005

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-050030-
ALCORN-BENTON(MS)-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE(AR)-LEE(MS)-
MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
425 PM CST SAT DEC 3 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
MID-SOUTH TONIGHT.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TONIGHT. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL HELP TO
DRAG A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP ALONG AND JUST BEHIND THE COLD FRONT LATER THIS
EVENING. INCREASING INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH STRONG WIND FIELDS
WILL ALLOW SOME THUNDERSTORMS TO BECOME SEVERE. THE PRIMARY THREAT
FROM MOST OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL. ALTHOUGH ANY
THUNDERSTORMS THAT CAN DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES. THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE BETWEEN
6 PM AND 9 PM WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...BETWEEN 9 PM AND
11 PM ACROSS FAR WEST TENNESSEE AND NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...AND BETWEEN
11 PM AND 3 AM FARTHER EAST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF WEST TENNESSEE
AND NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...EMERGENCY MANAGERS...AND HAM RADIO
OPERATORS IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE
TONIGHT.

JLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1025 PM CST SAT DEC 03 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0955 PM     HAIL             LEWISBURG               34.87N 89.82W
12/03/2005  0.88 INCH        DESOTO             MS   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

1006 PM     HAIL             1 W BYHALIA             34.86N 89.71W
12/03/2005  0.75 INCH        MARSHALL           MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

1012 PM     HAIL             SENATOBIA               34.62N 89.97W
12/03/2005  1.00 INCH        TATE               MS   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

DSV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1045 PM CST SAT DEC 03 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0955 PM     HAIL             LEWISBURG               34.87N 89.82W
12/03/2005  0.88 INCH        DESOTO             MS   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

1006 PM     HAIL             1 W BYHALIA             34.86N 89.71W
12/03/2005  0.75 INCH        MARSHALL           MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

1012 PM     HAIL             SENATOBIA               34.62N 89.97W
12/03/2005  1.00 INCH        TATE               MS   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

1032 PM     HAIL             15 E SENATOBIA          34.62N 89.71W
12/03/2005  0.25 INCH        TATE               MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DSV

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