Severe Thunderstorm Warning 209, NWS Memphis, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
315 AM CDT SUN SEP 25 2005

.DISCUSSION...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA IS NOW THREATENING THE MIDSOUTH WITH
SEVERE WEATHER...HIGH WINDS AND FLOODING. TORNADOES AND FLASH
FLOODING SEEM TO THE MOST SERIOUS THREAT TODAY.

THE EYE AT 3 AM WAS AROUND HOPE AR. THE EYA SHOULD MOVE NORTHEAST
TO JUST NORTHEAST OF LITTLE ROCK BY 7 PM AND ON NORTHEAST TO THE
BOOTHEEL BY 7 AM MONDAY. MAIN FEEDER BAND NOW GOES UP THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO NEAR GREENVILLE MS AND THEN NORTH INTO EAST
CENTRAL AR BEFORE CURVING INTO NORTH CENTRAL AR. THE BAND IS
MOVING SLOWLY EAST. TORNADOES HAVE OCCURRED WITH THIS BAND ALONG
WITH FLASH FLOODING UNDER THE TRAINING HEAVY CELLS.

ANOTHER TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED AND WILL LAST UNTIL 1 PM
DUE TO SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE STORM AND DAYTIME HEATING THAT MIGHT
OCCUR FROM BREAKS IN CLOUD COVER.

STRONG WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL BE COMMON OVER THE
MIDSOUTH TODAY. EVEN STRONGER GUSTS COULD OCCUR NEAR HEAVIER
STORMS.

STORMS SHOULD TAPER OFF MONDAY AS THE TROPICAL SYSTEM MOVES TO
THE NORTHEAST AND HIGH PRESSURE FILLS INTO THE AREA.

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 1 PM.
FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM CDT SUNDAY THROUGH 6 AM
CDT MONDAY.
WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM SUNDAY.

MO...TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 1 PM.
FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM CDT SUNDAY THROUGH 6 AM
CDT MONDAY.
WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM SUNDAY.

MS...TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 1 PM.
FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM CDT SUNDAY THROUGH 6 AM CDT
MONDAY.
WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM SUNDAY.

TN...TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 1 PM.
FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM CDT SUNDAY THROUGH 6 AM CDT
MONDAY.
WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM SUNDAY.

E$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
805 PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001>017-
020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-251100-
ALCORN-BENTON-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DECATUR-DESOTO-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE(AR)-LEE(MS)-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-
POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-
TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-
YALOBUSHA-
805 PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST ARKANSAS...
WEST TENNESSEE...NORTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

TROPICAL STORM RITA CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS NORTHWEST
LOUISIANA THIS EVENING. CONVECTIVE RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH RITA
WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE MID-SOUTH THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.
THESE BANDS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND
POSSIBLE TORNADOES. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT
WILL BE WEST OF A LINE FROM HAYTI MISSOURI TO HOUSTON MISSISSIPPI.
ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

THE SEVERE WEATHER AND FLASH FLOODING THREAT MAY EXTEND ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE MID-SOUTH AGAIN ON SUNDAY...WITH THE GREATEST
THREAT AT THIS TIME ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA. THIS AGAIN
WILL DEPEND UPON THE EVENTUAL TRACK AND FURTHER UPDATES WILL BE
PROVIDED TO REFINE THE SEVERE THREAT AND FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL WILL
BE LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID-SOUTH TONIGHT AND POSSIBLE
AGAIN ON SUNDAY.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
538 AM CDT SUN SEP 25 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0425 AM     TSTM WND DMG     CLARKSDALE              34.20N 90.58W
09/25/2005                   COAHOMA            MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LARGE TREE DOWN ON FRIARS POINT RD

&&

WER