Severe Thunderstorm Warning 176, NWS Memphis, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
200 PM CDT SAT AUG 6 2005

.DISCUSSION...

REMNANTS OF A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA TONIGHT AS AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW ALONG THE GULF COAST BEGINS TO MOVE NORTHWARD. THE
COMBINATION OF THESE TWO SYSTEMS WILL HELP TO PRODUCE SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE MIDSOUTH. A FEW OF THESE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE LIKE YESTERDAY WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL BEING THE MAIN THREAT.

THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE HAVOC WITH THE WEATHER
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD THROUGH
ALABAMA. EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH WITH THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CWA SEEING THE
BEST CHANCES. WILL GO WITH A RANGE OF 20-50 POPS DURING THIS TIME
WITH THE HIGHEST IN THE EAST. EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO BE A TAD COOLER
DUE TO THE SCATTERED CONVECTION WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER
90S DURING THIS TIME.

BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD INTO THE
AREA. STILL EXPECT DIURNAL CONVECTION TO OCCUR. WILL CONTINUE WITH
20-30 POPS. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO WARM BACK UP INTO THE MID 90S FOR
HIGHS.

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE
MO...NONE
MS...NONE
TN...NONE

KRM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
448 AM CDT SAT AUG 6 2005

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-071000-
ALCORN-BENTON-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE(AR)-LEE(MS)-
MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
448 AM CDT SAT AUG 6 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
WEST TENNESSEE...NORTH MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH TODAY
AND TONIGHT. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING
WIND BEING THE MAIN THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME...WITH ANY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY EXPECTED TO BE ISOLATED. HOWEVER...
SPOTTERS ARE ADVISED TO KEEP IN TOUCH WITH THE WEATHER TODAY.