Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 235, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 4, 2005, 6:59 PM CDT for Brewster County, Texas. It was in force for 46 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 4, 2005, 6:59 PM CDT (23:59 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 4, 2005, 7:45 PM CDT
- In force
- 46 min
- Issued by
- NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Brewster County, TX
The radar
The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 219 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 12:00Z, 12.0 hours before the alert went out and 191 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1523 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -397 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1037 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 15 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 32 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 152 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.4
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WUUS54 KMAF 050000 SVRMAF TXC043-050045- /O.NEW.KMAF.SV.W.0235.050704T2359Z-050705T0045Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 659 PM CDT MON JUL 4 2005 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... EAST CENTRAL BREWSTER COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS * UNTIL 745 PM CDT * AT 655 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED OVER EAST CENTRAL BREWSTER COUNTY...OR 18 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SANDERSON...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... RURAL EASTERN BREWSTER COUNTY SOUTH OF U.S. HIGHWAY 90... A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING MEANS THAT SEVERE WEATHER IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH... HAIL THREE-QUARTERS OF AN INCH IN DIAMETER OR LARGER... VERY HEAVY RAIN... AND DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE ALL LIKELY. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS SEVERE STORM MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER NOW. TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY... CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MIDLAND AT 1 800 597 3220. LAT...LON 3016 10283 2975 10267 2988 10233 3013 10268 $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 4, 1:19 PM CDT, 5 hours 40 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 4, 1:19 PM CDT, 5 hours 40 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 119 PM CDT MON JUL 4 2005 .SHORT TERM... A WELL-DEFINED BOUNDARY SURGED INTO NORTHWEST TEXAS AND THE EASTERN SOUTH PLAINS THIS MORNING AHEAD OF A MCS THAT TRANSLATED ACROSS OKLAHOMA DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THIS FEATURE HAS SINCE MOVED INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN AND THE FAR SOUTHEAST PLAINS OF NEW MEXICO...AND WAS ROUGHLY LOCATED ALONG A HOBBS...ANDREWS...MIDLAND LINE AT 18Z. IN ADDITION...A DRYLINE EXTENDED EAST OF THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAIN AREAS. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME VERY UNSTABLE AHEAD OF THESE TWO BOUNDARIES LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO WARM INTO THE UPPER 90S/LOW-MID 100S...AND SURFACE DEWPOINTS RANGE FROM THE LOWER-MID 50S ACROSS THE TRANS PECOS TO THE LOWER-MID 60S ACROSS THE EASTERN PERMIAN BASIN. EXPECT SCATTERED CONVECTION TO INITIATE OVER THE PERMIAN BASIN ALONG THE FRONTAL/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY LATER THIS AFTERNOON...WITH MORE ISOLATED CONVECTION POSSIBLE EAST OF THE DRYLINE. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE CAPABLE OF BECOMING SEVERE QUICKLY GIVEN THE STRONG INSTABILITY...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREATS. HAVE INCLUDED SEVERE MENTION IN THE WEATHER GRIDS GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF A HOBBS...KERMIT...FORT STOCKTON...SANDERSON LINE. MODELS ALSO ARE HINTING AT ANOTHER MCS DEVELOPING IN THE VICINITY OF NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND THE TEXAS PANHANDLE TONIGHT. THIS FEATURE MAY EVENTUALLY TRACK SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE NORTHEAST PERMIAN BASIN AND THE WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAVE TRENDED OVERNIGHT MIN TEMPS CLOSE TO RECENT TRENDS/MET MOS DATA...WHILE FOLLOWING FAIRLY CLOSE TO THE GFS MOS FOR OVERNIGHT WIND AND DEWPOINTS. .LONG TERM... SIMILAR PATTERN SHAPING UP FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS FIRMLY ANCHORED ACROSS NORTHERN CHIHUAHUA MEXICO AND SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO. NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AROUND THIS RIDGE IS ALLOWING MULTIPLE SHORT WAVES TO TRANSLATE SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE TX PANHANDLE EACH EVENING. TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...EXPECT SHORT WAVES TO ADVANCE INTO SOUTHWESTERN OK AND EASTERN TX PANHANDLE LATE IN THE EVENING. AS EACH IMPULSE MAKES AN APPROACH...THE 850 MB LLJ SHOULD BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN AND DEEPEN. THE PLACEMENT OF RESULTANT MCS/S WILL BE THE MOST CHALLENGING PART OF THE FORECAST. OPTED TO GO WITH 20 POPS IN THE WESTERN ROLLING PLAINS WITH POPS EXTENDING INTO THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE DAVIS/GLASS MOUNTAINS AS AN ISOLATED THREAT REMAINS FOR THE ELEVATED HEAT SOURCES EASILY PUNCHING THROUGH ANY AVAILABLE SURFACE CAP. OTHERWISE...NOT MUCH CHANGE HAS BEEN MADE TO THE FORECAST GRIDS AS UPPER HIGH BUILDS SLIGHTLY NORTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES...THE TREND WILL BE TO LIMIT THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY TO MORE LATE AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS...AS CONTINUED HOT TEMPERATURES AND FAIRLY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER CONDITIONS WILL EXIST AND THE PERSISTENT NW FLOW ALOFT PROPAGATES FURTHER TO OUR NORTHEAST. HOT TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK...AS THERMAL LOW LEVEL RIDGING CONTINUES TO ENHANCE ALONG THE LEE SURFACE TROUGH DAILY. TEMPERATURES MAY COOL BY A FEW DEGREES LATE IN THE WEEK AS MODELS HINT OF THE LEE TROUGH RETROGRADING AND THE SURFACE FLOW BACKS A BIT...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR/ABOVE 95 DEGREES FOR MOST AREAS EXCEPT FOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BIG SPRING TX 73 99 71 97 / 30 10 20 0 CARLSBAD NM 72 102 71 101 / 0 10 20 10 DRYDEN TX 76 101 74 100 / 20 0 10 0 FORT STOCKTON TX 74 102 72 99 / 20 10 10 0 GUADALUPE PASS TX 73 95 70 93 / 0 10 10 10 HOBBS NM 71 102 71 101 / 10 10 20 0 MARFA TX 57 95 62 93 / 10 10 10 10 MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX 73 98 73 98 / 30 10 20 0 ODESSA TX 73 98 73 99 / 20 10 20 0 WINK TX 75 105 74 105 / 20 10 20 0 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...NONE. TX...NONE. && 21/02
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 4, 1:45 PM CDT, 5 hours 14 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 145 PM CDT MON JUL 4 2005 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075- 079>082-258-051837- ANDREWS-BIG BEND AREA-BORDEN-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-CRANE- DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-DAWSON-ECTOR-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-GAINES- GLASSCOCK-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY- HOWARD-LOVING-MARFA PLATEAU-MARTIN-MIDLAND-MITCHELL- NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-REAGAN- REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-SCURRY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY- TERRELL-UPTON-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-WARD-WINKLER- 145 PM CDT MON JUL 4 2005 (1245 PM MDT MON JUL 4 2005) THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF A HOBBS...KERMIT...FORT STOCKTON...SANDERSON LINE. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN...WHICH MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING AND PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE AGAIN ON TUESDAY ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO...THE PERMIAN BASIN...AND PORTIONS OF THE UPPER TRANS PECOS REGION. THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND LOCALIZED FLOODING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 4, 5:40 PM CDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 540 PM CDT MON JUL 4 2005 TXZ081-042345- BIG BEND AREA TX- 540 PM CDT MON JUL 4 2005 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT... THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR EAST CENTRAL BREWSTER COUNTY. A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER EAST CENTRAL BREWSTER COUNTY 9 MILES NORTH OF HEATH CANYON AT 540 PM CDT...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH. STORM INTENSITY IS INCREASING AND SEVERE WEATHER MAY DEVELOP RAPIDLY.
Special weather statement, Jul 4, 6:08 PM CDT, 51 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 608 PM CDT MON JUL 4 2005 TXZ052-063-050015- GLASSCOCK TX-HOWARD TX- 608 PM CDT MON JUL 4 2005 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT... THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR NORTHEASTERN GLASSCOCK AND SOUTHERN HOWARD COUNTIES. A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPING 11 MILES EAST OF LEES AT 608 PM CDT. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY. STORM INTENSITY IS INCREASING AND SEVERE WEATHER MAY DEVELOP RAPIDLY.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 7:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Brewster, Terrell | 55 min |
| Jul 3, 8:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Midland | 51 min |
| Jul 3, 9:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Martin | 58 min |
| Jul 3, 9:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Midland | 44 min |
| Jul 3, 9:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Howard | 52 min |
| Jul 3, 10:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Glasscock | 56 min |
| Jul 4, 6:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Brewster | 44 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2005Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.