Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 299, NWS St. Louis, MO

November 5, 2005Lincoln County, Pike County, Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Nov 5, 2005, 7:30 PM CST for Lincoln County, Pike County, Missouri. It was in force for 45 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Nov 5, 2005, 7:30 PM CST (01:30 UTC)
Expired: Nov 5, 2005, 8:15 PM CST
In force: 45 min
Issued by: NWS St. Louis, MO
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Lincoln County, MO, Pike County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 77 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Nov 5, 3:50 PM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 00:00Z, 1.5 hours before the alert went out and 228 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 659 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -90 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 710 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 197 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 270 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.6
Supercell composite: 1.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KLSX 060130
SVRLSX
MOC113-163-060215-
/O.NEW.KLSX.SV.W.0299.051106T0130Z-051106T0215Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
730 PM CST SAT NOV 5 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  LINCOLN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI
  EASTERN PIKE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSOURI

* UNTIL 815 PM CST

* AT 728 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE
  HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE
  LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 12 MILES NORTH OF LOUISIANA TO
  14 MILES WEST OF DAVIS...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 12 MILES
  NORTH OF LOUISIANA TO 13 MILES EAST OF MONTGOMERY CITY...AND MOVING
  EAST AT 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  LOUISIANA
  EOLIA
  DAVIS
  ELSBERRY

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 3956 9118 3900 9126 3902 9070 3932 9083
      3952 9111

$$

GLASS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Nov 5, 2:52 PM CST, 4 hours 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 5, 2:52 PM CST, 4 hours 38 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
252 PM CST SAT NOV 5 2005

.DISCUSSION...

MAIN FORECAST EMPHASIS HAS BEEN ON THE FIRST PERIOD...SECONDARILY
ON THE FROPA NEXT WEEK.

CURRENT OBS SHOW THAT THE SFC FRONT IS STRUNG OUT FROM JUST SOUTH
OF KMKC OVER TO KIRK AND THEN INTO NORTHWEST IL. THIS LEAVES US IN
THE WARM SECTOR AWAITING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. THE TIMING ON
THIS CONVECTION IS ONE OF THE MAIN PROBLEMS. SAW SOME STORMS FIRE
EARLIER TODAY IN THE EXTREME NORTHEAST CORNER OF OUR AREA. THAT
WAS ELEVATED ACTIVITY DUE TO A LEAD IMPULSE BEFORE THE MAIN UPPER
SHORTWAVE. THIS MOVED NORTH...AND HAS REMAINED NORTH OF THE AREA
CLOSER TO THE WARM FRONT. THERE HAS BEEN SOME CLEARING IN
SOUTHWEST MO WITH CU DEVELOPMENT ON THE WESTERN EDGE OF CWA. COLD
FRONT IS STILL NOT MOVING AND MAIN SHORTWAVE WELL TO OUR
WEST...WITH A BIG CAP OFF 18Z SGF SOUNDING. AM EXPECTING
CONVECTION TO HOLD OFF A BIT BEFORE FIRING...MAY BE AN EARLY
THROUGH LATE EVENING SHOW. SHOULD SEE LI/S AROUND -3 WITH NEARLY
1500 J/KG OF CAPE...WITH THE BULK SHEAR MORE IMPRESSIVE. SO WILL
SEE THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE UNTIL WE CAN GET THE COLD FRONT
THROUGH. ONCE IT MOVES...IT GOES FAIRLY QUICKLY AND WE HAVE A DRY
FORECAST FOR SUNDAY.

AS THE LOW MOVES OFF WE SEE RETURN FLOW RIGHT AWAY...WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES ROCKETING INTO THE 70S MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THE UPPER
LEVELS MAINTAIN ZONAL FLOW UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...WHILE AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW TRIES TO EJECT FROM THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. FOR MUCH
OF THE WEEK IT COMES OUT IN PIECES. STILL EXPECTING THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE ON WEDNESDAY. HAVE KEPT LOW CHANCE POPS DUE TO WEAK
MOISTURE RETURN...AND TIMING OF THE WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVES.
THE 06Z GFS SHOWED ANOTHER BOUNDARY MOVING THROUGH ON
THURSDAY...ALTHOUGH THE 12Z DID NOT WITH JUST A SURFACE HIGH
COASTING THROUGH. LEANING TOWARDS THE 12Z FOR NOW. ALTHOUGH THE
12Z GFS ALSO TRIES TO CUT OFF THE SOUTHWEST UPPER LOW ON ITS
JOURNEY NORTHEAST AND ENDS UP WITH A STRETCHED OUT VORT ACROSS THE
PLAINS. HAVE NOT INCLUDED POPS FOR THURSDAY QUITE YET...WILL NEED
TO MONITOR WHAT HAPPENS ALOFT. TEMPS AFTER FROPA WILL BE CLOSER TO
OR JUST ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS FOR A LITTLE WHILE.

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 5, 6:11 PM CST, 1 hour 19 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
611 PM CST SAT NOV 5 2005

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-061200-
ADAMS IL-AUDRAIN-BOND IL-BOONE-BROWN-CALHOUN IL-CALLAWAY-CLINTON IL-
COLE-CRAWFORD-FAYETTE IL-FRANKLIN-GASCONADE-GREENE IL-IRON-JEFFERSON-
JERSEY IL-KNOX-LEWIS-LINCOLN-MACOUPIN IL-MADISON-MADISON IL-MARION-
MARION IL-MONITEAU-MONROE-MONROE IL-MONTGOMERY-MONTGOMERY IL-OSAGE-
PIKE-PIKE IL-RALLS-RANDOLPH IL-REYNOLDS-SHELBY-ST CHARLES-
ST CLAIR IL-ST FRANCOIS-ST LOUIS-ST LOUIS CITY-STE GENEVIEVE-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WASHINGTON IL-
611 PM CST SAT NOV 5 2005

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL CONTINUES THROUGH THE EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS HAVE FORMED OVER CENTRAL MISSOURI AND ARE MOVING
NORTHEAST.  THESE STORMS ARE PRODUCING ONE INCH OR LARGER HAIL AND
WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY EARLY THIS EVENING.  THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO MERGE INTO A SQUALL LINE WHICH WILL MOVE RAPIDLY EAST THROUGH
EASTERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 70 MPH AND LARGE HAIL WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT UNTIL THE STORMS EXIT THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS ANTICIPATED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING...SO SPOTTERS GROUPS SHOULD PLAN ACCORDINGLY.

CARNEY

In the hours before

Local storm report, Nov 5, 6:35 PM CST, 55 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
635 PM CST SAT NOV 05 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0620 PM     HAIL             5 E SHELBINA            39.69N 91.95W
11/05/2005  1.75 INCH        SHELBY             MO   PUBLIC

            NICKEL TO GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL.

&&

TRUETT

Local storm report, Nov 5, 6:47 PM CST, 43 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
647 PM CST SAT NOV 05 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     HAIL             PERRY                   39.43N 91.67W
11/05/2005  0.88 INCH        RALLS              MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

TRUETT

Local storm report, Nov 5, 7:05 PM CST, 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
705 PM CST SAT NOV 05 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0655 PM     HAIL             NEW LONDON              39.58N 91.40W
11/05/2005  0.75 INCH        RALLS              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

TRUETT

Local storm report, Nov 5, 7:18 PM CST, 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
718 PM CST SAT NOV 05 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0705 PM     HAIL             5 W CURRYVILLE          39.35N 91.44W
11/05/2005  0.75 INCH        PIKE               MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0710 PM     HAIL             HANNIBAL                39.71N 91.38W
11/05/2005  0.75 INCH        MARION             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

TRUETT

Local storm report, Nov 5, 7:21 PM CST, 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
721 PM CST SAT NOV 05 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0715 PM     HAIL             COLUMBIA                38.95N 92.33W
11/05/2005  0.88 INCH        BOONE              MO   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

TRUETT

Local storm report, Nov 5, 7:22 PM CST, 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
722 PM CST SAT NOV 05 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 PM     HAIL             COLUMBIA                38.95N 92.33W
11/05/2005  1.75 INCH        BOONE              MO   PUBLIC

&&

TRUETT

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Nov 5, 6:02 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Callaway	43 min
Nov 5, 6:14 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Audrain, Boone	46 min
Nov 5, 6:17 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Ralls	43 min
Nov 5, 6:19 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Marion, Shelby	43 min
Nov 5, 6:35 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Cole	40 min
Nov 5, 6:45 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Pike	45 min
Nov 5, 7:07 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Osage	38 min
Nov 5, 7:15 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Montgomery	45 min
Nov 5, 7:20 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Audrain, Boone	20 min
Nov 5, 7:46 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Gasconade	44 min
Nov 5, 7:52 PM CST	Tornado Warning	LSX	Lincoln	38 min
Nov 5, 7:58 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Franklin, Warren	62 min
Nov 5, 8:15 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Pike	45 min
Nov 5, 8:37 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Saint Charles	38 min
Nov 5, 9:01 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Crawford	44 min
Nov 5, 9:16 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Gasconade, Osage	29 min
Nov 5, 9:17 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Franklin, Washington	43 min
Nov 5, 9:32 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Warren	28 min
Nov 5, 9:39 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Jefferson, Saint Louis	65 min
Nov 5, 9:55 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	City of Saint Louis	28 min
Nov 5, 9:59 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Lincoln	38 min
Nov 5, 10:15 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Saint Francois, Washington	41 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2005 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.