Severe Thunderstorm Warning 250, NWS St. Louis, MO

000 
WWUS53 KLSX 190057
SVSLSX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
753 PM CDT SUN SEP 18 2005

MOC205-190103-
/O.CAN.KLSX.SV.W.0250.000000T0000Z-050919T0115Z/
SHELBY MO-
753 PM CDT SUN SEP 18 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SHELBY COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM HAS MOVED SOUTH OF SHELBY COUNTY...SO THE 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL 
THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN OVER THE AREA THIS EVENING...SO EXPECT BRIEF 
HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH WITH SOME OF THE STORMS.

LAT...LON 3966 9206 3950 9211 3939 9173 3966 9173

$$

MOC137-190115-
/O.CON.KLSX.SV.W.0250.000000T0000Z-050919T0115Z/
MONROE MO-
753 PM CDT SUN SEP 18 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 815 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN MONROE COUNTY...

AT 747 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH 9 MILES WEST OF 
STOUTSVILLE...MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...
STOUTSVILLE...INDIAN CREEK...MONROE CITY AND FLORIDA.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...
DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR
PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME
OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

LAT...LON 3966 9206 3950 9211 3939 9173 3966 9173

$$
BYRD

000 
WWUS53 KLSX 190115
SVSLSX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
815 PM CDT SUN SEP 18 2005

MOC137-190125-
/O.EXP.KLSX.SV.W.0250.000000T0000Z-050919T0115Z/
MONROE MO-
815 PM CDT SUN SEP 18 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN MONROE COUNTY HAS
EXPIRED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND MOVED OUT OF 
THE COUNTY. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE 
TONIGHT. SO EXPECT BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH AND 
FREQUENT LIGHTNING WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

LAT...LON 3966 9206 3950 9211 3939 9173 3966 9173

$$
BYRD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
323 PM CDT SUN SEP 18 2005

.DISCUSSION...
CONCERNS THIS PKG TO BE CHCS FOR PCPN AND TEMPS NR TERM. FAIRLY
PROGRESSIVE PTTN OVR RGN THRU PD WITH SVRL S/WVS MOVG THRU MAIN
BAND OF WLYS ACRS CTRL U.S. AT UPR LVLS 500MB HI ANCHORED OVR CTRL
GLF CSTL RGN WITH S/WV OVR CTRL/SRN PLNS MOVG QUCKLY E. NAM HAS
BTR DEFINITION ON THIS FTR AND MCS DVLPD ON NOSE OF LLJ OVRNGT SAT
WITH 85H FNT ACRS FA. CLDNS FM MRNG PCPN HAS CLRD FA...AND AFTN
TEMPS SHUD APCH FCSTD HIS IN L0-MID 8OS BFR SS. STGR S/WV OVR NRN
RCKY MTNS TO MOV QUICKLY E WITH SFC LO DVLPG OVR CTRL PLNS TNGT.
LLJ AGAIN XPCTD TO DVLP OVR NRN MO WITH MCS WELL N OF FA BUT SUM
CNVCTN LIKLEY OVR NRN ZNS BY MRNG WITH GOOD MSTR CONVERGENCE AND
MIDLVL UVV.

CDFNT WL MOV SE ACRS FA ON MON REACHING KSTL APPROX 00Z TUE. MDLS
SHWG GOOD AREA OF CNVCTN ALG AND AHD OF FNT WITH SQLN DVLPMT
LIKELY DURG AFTN. WL CONT HI CHC POPS OVR FA FOR 2ND PD. TEMPS TO
BE WELL ABV NRML FOR MON WITH ONLY 4-6 DEG COOLING AFT FROPA FOR
MAXES TUE.

XTNDD PD SHUD BE DRY WITH TEMPS 5-8 DEG ABV NRML THRU LATE WK.
ANTHR CDFNT TO CROSS RGN THU NGT WITH LO CHC POPS FOR NERN ZNS FRI
AND FRI NGT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ST LOUIS        71  89  64  85 /  50  50  40  10
QUINCY          67  85  58  81 /  70  40  10  10
COLUMBIA        68  88  61  84 /  50  50  30  20
JEFFERSON CITY  68  88  61  84 /  50  50  30  20
SALEM           65  86  61  81 /  40  40  40  10
FARMINGTON      66  89  63  83 /  40  40  40  10

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
&&

WDB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
245 PM CDT SUN SEP 18 2005

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-191200-
ADAMS IL-AUDRAIN-BOND IL-BOONE-BROWN IL-CALHOUN IL-CALLAWAY-
CLINTON IL-COLE-CRAWFORD-FAYETTE IL-FRANKLIN-GASCONADE-GREENE IL-
IRON-JEFFERSON-JERSEY IL-KNOX-LEWIS-LINCOLN-MACOUPIN IL-MADISON-
MADISON IL-MARION-MARION IL-MONITEAU-MONROE-MONROE IL-MONTGOMERY-
MONTGOMERY IL-OSAGE-PIKE-PIKE IL-RALLS-RANDOLPH IL-REYNOLDS-
SHELBY-ST. CHARLES-ST. CLAIR IL-ST. FRANCOIS-ST. LOUIS-
ST. LOUIS CITY-STE. GENEVIEVE-WARREN-WASHINGTON-WASHINGTON IL-
245 PM CDT SUN SEP 18 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY
FOR AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70. THE PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. SIMILAR FORCES WILL BE AT WORK THIS
EVENING ACROSS NORTHERN MISSOURI TO DEVELOP ANOTHER THUNDERSTORM
COMPLEX...SIMILAR TO THE ONE THAT WENT ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI THIS
PAST MORNING. THE BEST CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE NORTH
OF INTERSTATE 70.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE AREAWIDE MONDAY AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH. SOME STORMS MAY BE SEVERE...ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS
SOUTHEAST OF THE ST LOUIS METROPOLITAN AREA.

THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY FOR NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EDGES OUR AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS AREAS NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 70.

TES