Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 188, NWS St. Louis, MO

August 10, 2005Montgomery County, Illinois

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 10, 2005, 3:06 PM CDT for Montgomery County, Illinois. It was in force for 44 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Aug 10, 2005, 3:06 PM CDT (20:06 UTC)
Expired: Aug 10, 2005, 3:50 PM CDT
In force: 44 min
Issued by: NWS St. Louis, MO
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Montgomery County, IL

The radar

The Lincoln radar (KILX), 106 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 131 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 488 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -170 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1603 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 61 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 61 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KLSX 102006 RRA
SVRLSX
ILC135-102100-
/O.NEW.KLSX.SV.W.0188.050810T2006Z-050810T2100Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
306 PM CDT WED AUG 10 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS

* UNTIL 400 PM CDT

* AT 303 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED CAPABLE OF
  PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
  LOCATED NEAR RAYMOND...OR ABOUT 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF LITCHFIELD...
  AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  HILLSBORO
  TAYLOR SPRINGS
  COFFEEN
  VAN BURENSBURG

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...
DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR
PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME
OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

LAT...LON 3903 8948 3922 8968 3925 8971 3928 8971
      3938 8956 3934 8953 3935 8950 3917 8926
      3903 8926

$$

CVKING

2 follow-up statements

000 
WWUS53 KLSX 102023
SVSLSX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
323 PM CDT WED AUG 10 2005

ILC135-102100-
/O.CON.KLSX.SV.W.0188.000000T0000Z-050810T2100Z/
MONTGOMERY IL-
323 PM CDT WED AUG 10 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 400 PM CDT FOR
MONTGOMERY COUNTY...

AT 318 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH OVER BUTLER...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...
HILLSBORO...TAYLOR SPRINGS...IRVING...COFFEEN...CHAPMAN...FILLMORE
AND VAN BURENSBURG.

LAT...LON 3903 8948 3922 8968 3925 8971 3928 8971
      3938 8956 3934 8953 3935 8950 3917 8926
      3903 8926

$$

CVKING

000 
WWUS53 KLSX 102050
SVSLSX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
351 PM CDT WED AUG 10 2005

ILC135-102101-
/O.CAN.KLSX.SV.W.0188.000000T0000Z-050810T2100Z/
MONTGOMERY IL-
351 PM CDT WED AUG 10 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR MONTGOMERY COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND NO LONGER
APPEARED TO BE SEVERE.

LAT...LON 3903 8948 3922 8968 3925 8971 3928 8971
      3938 8956 3934 8953 3935 8950 3917 8926
      3903 8926

$$

TRUETT/CVKING

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 10, 2:46 PM CDT, 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 10, 2:46 PM CDT, 20 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
246 PM CDT WED AUG 10 2005

.DISCUSSION...

...HEAT TO CONTINUE UNTIL COLD FRONT ARRIVES ON SATURDAY...

COLD FRONT HAS LOSS ITS SOUTHWARD PUSH AND ESSENTIALLY HAS STALLED
ACROSS NORTHERN MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...ALLOWING
TEMPERATURES TO HEAT INTO THE UPPER 90S...AND EVEN 100 IN A FEW
PLACES THIS AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
DEVELOPED ALONG COLD FRONT ACROSS NORTH AND IN WEAK SURFACE
CONVERGENCE FIELD LOCATED ACROSS EASTERN OZARKS AND EAST CENTRAL
MISSOURI. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING.

SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SOME WARM AIR ADVECTION PRECIPITATION TONIGHT AS
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW BEGINS...ALTHOUGH THE BIG STORY LOOKS TO BE THE
HEAT...AS ANOTHER HOT ONE IS ON TAP FOR THURSDAY ACROSS THE WESTERN
HALF OF THE CWA...WITH TRIPLE DIGIT HEAT EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN
ACROSS DROUGHT STRICKEN CENTRAL MISSOURI. EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER WAA CLOUDS AND ISOLATED -TSRA COULD HELP KEEP TEMPERATURES
FROM GETTING OUT OF HAND.

FRIDAY AGAIN LOOKS HOT WITH STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW...SHOULD SEE
THE TRIPLE DIGIT HEAT SPREAD FURTHER EAST...TOWARD THE QUINCY AND
ST. LOUIS METROPOLITAN AREAS.

COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE CWA ON SATURDAY AND PROVIDES SOME MUCH
NEEDED RELIEF WITH CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SOME THUNDERSTORMS.

IN THE EXTENDED THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT MEANDERS NORTH AND
SOUTH THROUGH OUR CWA AS SEVERAL AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE ARE FORECAST
TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND HEAD EAST INTO THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. THIS SHOULD INCREASE OUR RAIN CHANCES FOR
THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK AND KEEP TEMPERATURES AT OR SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMAL. DETAILS SUCH AS EXACT FRONT LOCATION...PRECIPITATION
TIMING AND TEMPERATURE TRENDS ARE DIFFICULT TO FORECAST WITH
PRECISION THIS FAR OUT...SO HAVE BLANKETED AREA WITH CHANCE POPS AND
USED MODEL GUIDANCE FOR FRONT LOCATION AND SENSIBLE WEATHER DETAILS
THROUGH THE EXTENDED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ST LOUIS        74  98  75  99 /  20  20  10  10
QUINCY          70  93  71  99 /  30  30  10  20
COLUMBIA        72 100  71  99 /  20  10  10  10
JEFFERSON CITY  72  99  71  99 /  20  10  10  10
SALEM           71  93  70  94 /  30  30  10  10
FARMINGTON      71  94  71  94 /  20  10  10  10

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
&&

CVKING

Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 10, 12:50 PM CDT, 2 hours 16 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1250 PM CDT WED AUG 10 2005

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-111100-
ADAMS IL-AUDRAIN-BOND IL-BOONE-BROWN-CALHOUN IL-CALLAWAY-CLINTON IL-
COLE-CRAWFORD-FAYETTE IL-FRANKLIN-GASCONADE-GREENE IL-IRON-JEFFERSON-
JERSEY IL-KNOX-LEWIS-LINCOLN-MACOUPIN IL-MADISON-MADISON IL-MARION-
MARION IL-MONITEAU-MONROE-MONROE IL-MONTGOMERY-MONTGOMERY IL-OSAGE-
PIKE-PIKE IL-RALLS-RANDOLPH IL-REYNOLDS-SHELBY-ST CHARLES-
ST CLAIR IL-ST FRANCOIS-ST LOUIS-ST LOUIS CITY-STE GENEVIEVE-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WASHINGTON IL-
1250 PM CDT WED AUG 10 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
EASTERN MISSOURI...AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION
THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THIS EVENING.  ALTHOUGH THE STORMS
WILL BE SPOTTY...A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE
BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND GUSTY WINDS.

IN ADDITION...THIS AFTERNOONS HOT CONDITIONS WILL BE PUSHING THE
ACTUAL TEMPERATURE OR THE HEAT INDEX TO AROUND THE 100 DEGREE
MARK...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE THREATENING THE AREA ON THURSDAY.
THERE WILL BE A SOMEWHAT BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
WEEKEND AND INTO THE START OF NEXT WEEK AS A COLD FRONT STALLS OUT
OVER THE CENTRAL U.S.

HOT WEATHER WILL ALSO PERSIST FOR THE REST OF THIS WORK WEEK...WITH
HIGHS MID 9OS TO AROUND 100 EXPECTED ON BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

TRUETT

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Aug 10, 4:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Fayette, Marion	40 min
Aug 10, 4:35 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Monroe	40 min
Aug 10, 4:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Saint Clair	32 min
Aug 10, 5:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Madison	40 min
Aug 10, 5:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Saint Clair	47 min
Aug 10, 5:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Madison	30 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Illinois, 2005 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.