Severe Thunderstorm Warning 137, NWS St. Louis, MO

000 
WWUS53 KLSX 101820
SVSLSX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
119 PM CDT FRI JUN 10 2005

MOC051-101845-
/O.CON.KLSX.SV.W.0137.000000T0000Z-050610T1845Z/
COLE MO-
119 PM CDT FRI JUN 10 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 145 PM CDT FOR COLE
COUNTY...

AT 114 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH OVER BRAZITO...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...
WARDSVILLE...ST. MARTINS...JEFFERSON CITY...ELSTON AND TAOS.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS HAS BEEN REPORTED IN EUGENE WITH 
THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS IMMEDIATE 
ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

LAT...LON 3844 9249 3842 9240 3836 9239 3832 9223
      3855 9203 3870 9239

$$

GLASS

000 
WWUS53 KLSX 101849
SVSLSX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
146 PM CDT FRI JUN 10 2005

MOC051-101856-
/O.EXP.KLSX.SV.W.0137.000000T0000Z-050610T1845Z/
COLE MO-
146 PM CDT FRI JUN 10 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR COLE COUNTY HAS EXPIRED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND NO LONGER 
APPEARED TO BE SEVERE.  WHILE THE STORM NO LONGER APPEARED TO BE 
SEVERE...IT STILL WAS QUITE STRONG AND IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND 
GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH AND HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER.

THE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR JEFFERSON CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST 
AT 25 MPH.  TOWNS IN THE PATH INCLUDE HOLT SUMMIT.

LAT...LON 3844 9249 3842 9240 3836 9239 3832 9223
      3855 9203 3870 9239

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
345 AM CDT FRI JUN 10 2005

.DISCUSSION...
MAIN QUES THIS PKG TO BE CHCS FOR PCPN NR TERM AND THEN PSBL EFFECTS
OF REMAINS OF T.S. ARLENE ON POPS END OF NR TERM AND BGNG OF XTNDD.
UA PTTN UNDERGOING TRANSITION AGAIN FM MOIST SWLY FLOW ACRS RGN TO
MORE N-NELY FLOW BY END OF XTNDD. AT 00Z L/WV 500MB TROF OVR WRN
U.S. WITH RDG OVR WRN ATLC INTO SERN U.S. WITH SVRL S/WVS MOVG NE
ACRS CTRL U.S. ARND TROF. STG S/WV TO MOV INTO NRN RCKY MTNS BY
72HRS AND THEN CLOSE OFF OVR GT LKS BY 120HRS AS 500MB RDG BLDS OVR
RCKY MTNS. LO OVR GT LKS CONTS TO EXPAND AND CYCLYC CIRCLN DOMINATES
ALL OF ERN HLF OF U.S. BY END OF XTNDD.

FOR NR TERM WL CONT CHCS OF TSRA...MAINLY AFTN AND EVE THRU WKEND.
BOTH NAM AND GFS DVLP MCS TNGT WITH BROAD BAND OF HVY PCPN FM CTRL
PLNS NE INTO UPR MDWST BUT WEST OF KSTL FA. WARM AND HUMID CONDS TO
CONT WITH MAXES TDA AGAIN IN MID-UPR 80S WITH A DEG OR SO COOLING
EACH DAY THRU NR TERM. MOS GUID IN GOOD AGMT AND WENT WITH BLEND ON
TEMPS. REMAINS OF T.S. ARLENE MAY MAKE IT AS FAR N AS SRN AND ERN
ZNS WITH NAM TAKING LO CTR FRTHR W THAN GFS. DEPENDING ON TRACK MAY
HAVE TO INCRS QPF FOR THOSE ZNS FOR SUN IN LTR PKGS.

WITH SWITCH TO NLY FLOW ALFT BY ERLY WK XPCT MID WK TO BE COOLER AND
DRIER. GOING FCST HAS GOOD HANDLE AND NO CHGS MADE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ST LOUIS        89  72  87  71 /  40  40  40  30
QUINCY          86  69  85  68 /  50  50  50  30
COLUMBIA        86  69  86  66 /  50  50  50  30
JEFFERSON CITY  87  69  86  66 /  50  50  50  30
SALEM           87  70  85  68 /  40  40  40  30
FARMINGTON      86  67  85  65 /  40  40  40  30

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.

&&

WDB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
600 AM CDT FRI JUN 10 2005

ILZ095>097-MOZ018-019-026-027-034>036-041-042-047>051-102100-
ADAMS IL-AUDRAIN-BOONE-BROWN-CALLAWAY-COLE-KNOX-LEWIS-MARION-
MONITEAU-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-OSAGE-PIKE-PIKE IL-RALLS-SHELBY-
600 AM CDT FRI JUN 10 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL AND
NORTHEASTERN MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY. THE
CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION.  THESE DISTURBANCES WILL ACT UPON VERY WARM AND
UNSTABLE AIR ENTRENCHED OVER THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO PRODUCE
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.  THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL
BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-098>102-MOZ052-059>065-072>075-
084-085-099-102100-
BOND IL-CALHOUN IL-CLINTON IL-CRAWFORD-FAYETTE IL-FRANKLIN-GASCONADE-
GREENE IL-IRON-JEFFERSON-JERSEY IL-LINCOLN-MACOUPIN IL-MADISON-
MADISON IL-MARION IL-MONROE IL-MONTGOMERY IL-RANDOLPH IL-REYNOLDS-
ST CHARLES-ST CLAIR IL-ST FRANCOIS-ST LOUIS-ST LOUIS CITY-
STE GENEVIEVE-WARREN-WASHINGTON-WASHINGTON IL-
600 AM CDT FRI JUN 10 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI
AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION.  THESE DISTURBANCES WILL ACT UPON VERY WARM AND
UNSTABLE AIR ENTRENCHED OVER THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO PRODUCE
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

BECHTOLD