Flash Flood Warning 24, NWS Los Angeles, CA

SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
300 AM PST TUE JAN 11 2005

SHORT TERM...
A BIT OF GOOD NEWS FOR THE RAIN SOGGED SOUTHLAND...FINAL IMPULSE
BRINGING MUCH LESS RAIN THAN FORECAST. JET ENERGY DOVE FURTHER SOUTH
THAN MODELS THOUGHT EARLIER. WITHOUT THIS ENERGY WINDS DID NOT TURN TO
THE SOUTH AND SLOW THINGS DOWN. FRONT ZIPPED RIGHT ON THROUGH. RAIN IS
RAPIDLY TAPERING TO SHOWERS. BEST CHANCE OF RAIN IS OVER LOS ANGELES
COUNTY BUT THAT TOO WILL DIMINISH BY AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNTS TODAY
WILL BE MUCH LOWER THAN EARLIER PREDICTIONS WITH ONLY A QUARTER TO
THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH POSSIBLE ON THE FLAT LANDS AND UP TO AN INCH
AND A HALF IN THE WETTEST MOUNTAIN LOCATIONS.

SNOW LEVELS REMAIN HIGH AND WILL REMOVE SBA WINTER STORM WARNING BUT
STRONG WINDS WILL KEEP THE VTA/LA MTNS GOING THIS MORNING.

THE COLD UPPER LOW IS NOW ENTERING NORTHER CA AND A LITTLE SHORT WAVE
IS TRAILING ALONG WITH IT. THIS SHORT WAVE WILL CREATE A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS ALONG THE CENTRAL COAST. ALL THE ENERGY WILL EXIT THE AREA
EXCEPT FOR LA COUNTY THIS EVENING AND TOOK ALL THE POPS OUT.

GOOD COLD ADVECTION HAS CREATED WEST WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH IN THE
MOUNTAINS...ANTELOPE VALLEY WILL SEE WUINDS JUST BELOW WAD CRITERIA
THIS AFTERNOON AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT THROUGH THE
OUTER WATERS.

WEDNESDAY WILL BE QUITE NICE. SUNNY AND WARMER. THURSDAY WILL BE
SIMILAR MAYBE A FEW DEGREES WARMER THE OFFSHORE FLOW FORECAST EARLIER
SEEMS TO BE HOLDING OFF A DAY.

LONG TERM...
FRIDAY A LITTLE OFFSHORE EVENT SETS UP. UPPER SUPPORT IS NON EXISTENT
SO WOULD NOT EXPECT MUCH IN THE WAY OF CANYON WINDS. BUT THINGS SHOULD
WARM UP.

06Z GFS RIDS ITSELF OF THE CUT OFF LOW OVER SRN CA THINKING AND
INSTEAD BRINGS IN AN INSIDE SLIDER. EC HAS A RIDGE. BOTH NOW POINT TO
A FAIRLY BENIGN PATTERN AND THINK SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH NEAR
NORMAL TEMPS.

&&

.LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH (SEE LAXFFALOX).
WINTER STORM WARNING (SEE LAXWSWLOX).
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY (SEE LAXCWFLOX).
FLOOD WARNING (SEE LAXFLWLOX).
FLASH FLOOD WARNING (SEE LAXFFWLOX).
MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT (SEE LAXMWSLOX)

&&

RORKE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
600 AM PST MON JAN 10 2005

CAZ034>041-044>047-051>054-059-087-088-111400-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY CENTRAL COAST-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY CENTRAL COAST-SANTA YNEZ VALLEY-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-CUYAMA VALLEY-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY SOUTH COAST-VENTURA COUNTY COAST-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY COAST INCLUDING DOWNTOWN LOS ANGELES-
VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS-
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY VALLEYS-SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS EXCLUDING THE SANTA MONICA RANGE-
ANTELOPE VALLEY-CATALINA ISLAND-SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-
600 AM PST MON JAN 10 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA.

.DAY ONE... TODAY

RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TODAY TO PRODUCE VERY HAZARDOUS
WEATHER.

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING........SEE WGUS56 KLOX - FFWLOX FOR DETAILS *

* FLOOD WARNING..............SEE WGUS46 KLOX - FLWLOX FOR DETAILS *

* RIVER FLOOD WARNING........SEE WGUS46 KLOX - FLWLOX FOR DETAILS *

* WINTER STORM WARNING.......SEE WWUS46 KLOX - WSWLOX FOR DETAILS *

* FLOOD WATCH................SEE WGUS66 KLOX - FFALOX FOR DETAILS *

* FLOOD ADVISORY.............SEE WGUS86 KLOX - FLSLOX FOR DETAILS *

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A VIGOROUS COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY MORNING.
THIS WILL DROP THE SNOW LEVEL TO 4500 FEET AND GREATLY INCREASE THE
THREAT OF HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER. BELOW THE SNOW LEVEL HEAVY RAINS
WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT OF HAZARDOUS HYDROLOGICAL CONDITIONS.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT FORECAST WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

* WINTER STORM WARNING.......SEE WWUS46 KLOX - WSWLOX FOR DETAILS *

* FLOOD WATCH................SEE WGUS66 KLOX - FFALOX FOR DETAILS *

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

RORKE