Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 133, NWS Louisville, KY

July 19, 2005Garrard County, Jessamine County, Madison County, Kentucky

NWS Louisville, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 19, 2005, 6:19 PM EDT for Garrard County, Jessamine County, Madison County, Kentucky. It was in force for 41 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 19, 2005, 6:19 PM EDT (22:19 UTC)
Expired
Jul 19, 2005, 7:00 PM EDT
In force
41 min
Issued by
NWS Louisville, KY
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Garrard County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Madison County, KY

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 103 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 196 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2005-07-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 584 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2005-07-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -31 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
584 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-26 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
637 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-31 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
50 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 19, 2:40 PM EDT, 3 hours 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 19, 2:40 PM EDT, 3 hours 39 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
240 PM EDT TUE JUL 19 2005

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY)...

CURRENT SAT/OBS SHOWING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS MUCH OF THE FA
THIS AFTERNOON...SANS THE FAR SOUTH AND FAR EASTERN AREAS WHERE
CLOUDY SKIES WERE REPORTED.  MID LEVEL VORT IS SETTING OFF
CONVECTION ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL TN NORTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTH
CENTRAL AND EASTERN KENTUCKY.  WASHED OUT FRONTAL BOUNDARY STILL
LOCATED NORTH OF THE.  LAST FEW RADAR IMAGES SHOWING SOME SCATTERED
CONVECTION STARTING TO FIRE JUST WEST OF ORANGE COUNTY.
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE REGION HAVE BEEN A LITTLE COOLER THAN
FORECAST AS THE CLOUDS HAVE HELD TEMPS INTO THE 83 TO 88 DEGREE
RANGE.

IN THE SHORT TERM MAIN FORECAST ISSUE FOR TONIGHT IS POP CHANCES AND
PRECIP CHANCES ONCE AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY.  LATEST SHORT TERM MODELS
CONTINUE TO SHOW WASHED OUT FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINING IN THE
NORTHERN VICINITY OF THE FA TONIGHT.  SCT CONVECTION POSSIBLE ACROSS
MUCH OF THE AREA THIS EVENING UNTIL SUNSET.  FEEL THAT BEST CHANCES
WILL BE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN HALF.  FOR NOW I PLAN ON
CARRYING 30 POPS ACROSS THE NORTHWEST AND 40 POPS ELSEWHERE.
MAV/FWC COMPROMISE HAS DONE FAIRLY WELL WITH TEMPS OVER THE LAST FEW
DAYS.  SO WILL CONTINUE TO USE THAT AS A BASIS FOR TONIGHTS MIN
TEMPS...WHICH ALREADY LOOKS GOOD IN THE CURRENT FCST.

NOT MUCH CHANGE TO THE FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY.  SOME DRIER AIR MAY
WORK ITS WAY INTO THE REGION.  SCATTERED SHRA/TSTMS POSSIBLE ONCE
AGAIN DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON DUE TO CONVECTIVE HEATING.
HOWEVER...FEEL THAT COVERAGE MAY BE A LITTLE LESS THAN TODAY. USING
A MAV/FWC COMPROMISE FOR WEDNESDAY YIELDS HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
COMBINE THAT WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S...HEAT INDICES MAY
TOP 100 DEGREES IN SOME LOCATIONS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. -JARVIS

.LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...

MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND FAIRLY CONSISTENT WITH
THE PREVIOUS 24 HOURS. THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THE FORECAST WILL BE
THE EXTENT OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROF DEVELOPING OVER THE EASTERN GREAT
LAKES AND NORTHEAST STATES THURSDAY. THIS COULD ALLOW A WEAK COOL
FRONT TO DROP INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY
OR MORE LIKELY THE FRONT WILL DROP INTO CENTRAL INDIANA AND OHIO AND
DISSIPATE. ONE INTERESTING FEATURE THAT HAS BEEN EVIDENT ON THE GFS
AND ETA MODEL THE LAST 2 DAYS IS A S/W DROPPING INTO SOUTHERN
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS MCS IS CERTAINLY
POSSIBLE AS THE FLOW SHIFTS TO THE NORTHWEST AND WE WILL KEEP LOW
CHANCE POPS IN THE FORECAST THURSDAY NIGHT.

ONE WORD WILL SUM UP THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK HOT. THE
UPPER RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE COUNTRY WILL BUILD INTO
THE OHIO VALLEY. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 90S WILL BE
COMMON. ALSO WITH THE UPPER RIDGE OVER US WE EXPECT THE ATMOSPHERE
TO BE TOO WARM FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.

-JA
&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

.IN...NONE.
.KY...NONE.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 19, 3:48 PM EDT, 2 hours 31 minutes before
<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 19, 2:16 PM EDT, 4 hours 3 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
216 PM EDT TUE JUL 19 2005

KYZ067-191915-
LINCOLN KY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...STANFORD
216 PM EDT TUE JUL 19 2005

...STRONG STORM MOVING ACROSS LINCOLN COUNTY...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING ACROSS LINCOLN COUNTY WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUST TO 40 MPH. IN ADDITION A FEW
LOCATIONS IN LINCOLN COUNTY WILL RECEIVE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.
FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE BY 3:15 PM EDT.

IF DRIVING THIS AFTERNOON WATCH FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN
HEAVY RAIN. REMEMBER...DO NOT DRIVE ACROSS ROADS COVERED WITH WATER.

JA
Local storm report, Jul 19, 4:47 PM EDT, 1 hour 32 minutes before
<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>
Local storm report, Jul 19, 5:29 PM EDT, 50 minutes before
<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>
Local storm report, Jul 19, 6:19 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

The office that day

Everything else NWS Louisville, KY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 19, 5:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAnderson34 min
Jul 19, 5:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKMercer, Woodford32 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2005Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.