Severe Thunderstorm Warning 165, NWS New Orleans, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
200 PM CDT MON AUG 1 2005

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER RIDGE OVER CENTRAL PLAINS WEST OF MISSOURI EXPECTED TO EXPAND
EAST ACROSS CENTRAL CONUS WEDNESDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE TROUGH
REMAINS STAGNATED OVER EAST COAST AND SOUTH GULF COAST STATES.
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN STORE FOR AREA UNTIL SATURDAY WHEN THE
RIDGE BUILD SOUTH OVER EAST TX AND WEST LA. SOUTHEAST LA AND SOUTH
MS WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. TROPICAL MARINE ENVIRONMENT WILL SUPPORT
SCATTERED CONVECTION OVER THE COASTAL WATERS DURING THE LATE NIGHT
AND EARLY MORNING HOURS. NOT MUCH IN THE TROPICS. TROPICAL WAVE OVER
EASTERN CARIBBEAN NEAR 65W UNDER A WEAK RIDGE FOR NOW SHOULD
CONTINUE MOVING WEST INTO HONDURAS/BELIZE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  73  90  73  89 /  20  50  10  50
BTR  72  92  73  91 /  10  50  10  50
MSY  77  92  77  90 /  20  50  20  50
GPT  75  89  75  88 /  20  50  20  50

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1030 AM CDT MON AUG 01 2005

LAZ034>040-046>050-056>070-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-021100-
AMITE-ASCENSION-ASSUMPTION-EAST BATON ROUGE-EAST FELICIANA-HANCOCK-
HARRISON-IBERVILLE-JACKSON-LIVINGSTON-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST BERNARD-LOWER TERREBONNE-
ORLEANS-PEARL RIVER-PIKE-POINTE COUPEE-ST CHARLES-ST HELENA-ST JAMES-
ST JOHN THE BAPTIST-ST TAMMANY-TANGIPAHOA-UPPER JEFFERSON-
UPPER LAFOURCHE-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
WALTHALL-WASHINGTON-WEST BATON ROUGE-WEST FELICIANA-WILKINSON-
1030 AM CDT MON AUG 01 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST...SOUTH CENTRAL AND COASTAL
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WILL
SLOWLY DISSIPATE THIS AFTERNOON.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND EXTREME SOUTH MISSISSIPPI THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALIZED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3
INCHES WITH SOME FLOODING OF STREETS...SMALL STREAMS...AND LOW LYING
AREAS. OTHERWISE...ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS NOT
EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY THROUGH THE
PERIOD...HOWEVER ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS NOT
EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS AND EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS...IS
NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
308 PM CDT MON AUG 1 2005

MSZ077-012100-
PEARL RIVER-
308 PM CDT MON AUG 1 2005

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING AREAS OF PEARL RIVER COUNTY...

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHERN PEARL RIVER COUNTY FROM PICAYUNE
NORTH TO MCNEIL WILL MOVE VERY LITTLE AND PRODUCE HEAVY DOWNPOURS
OF RAIN...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND POSSIBLY GUSTY WINDS THROUGH
4 PM CDT. LOCALIZED FLOODING OF ROADWAYS AND LOW LYING AREAS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION
STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION SERVICE PROVIDER FOR LATER
STATEMENTS OR POSSIBLE WARNINGS CONCERNING THIS WEATHER THREAT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
346 PM CDT MON AUG 1 2005

MSZ080-081-012130-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-
346 PM CDT MON AUG 1 2005

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING AREAS OF HARRISON AND HANCOCK
COUNTIES...

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT COASTAL AREAS OF HARRISON COUNTY
FROM GULFPORT TO LONG BEACH AS WELL AS AREAS OF NORTHWEST
HARRISON COUNTY AROUND LIZANA THROUGH 430 PM. OTHER THUNDERSTORMS
WILL AFFECT AREAS OF HANCOCK COUNTY NEAR SANTA ROSA AND NORTHWEST
OF KILN THROUGH THE SAME TIME PERIOD. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
PRODUCE HEAVY DOWNPOURS OF RAIN...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND POSSIBLY
GUSTY WINDS. LOCALIZED FLOODING OF ROADWAYS AND LOW LYING AREAS WILL
BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.