Severe Thunderstorm Warning 450, NWS Jackson, MS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
955 AM CDT WED JUN 8 2005

.DISCUSSION...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES HAVE PRETTY MUCH DOMINATED THE CWA.
THIS HAS ALLOWED TEMPS TO WARM UP NICELY WITH 80S ACROSS MANY AREAS
BEFORE 1430Z. THIS WORKS VERY WELL WITH THE GOING TEMP FORECAST AND
LOOKING AT THIS MORNINGS SNDG HIGH TEMP FORECAST OF NEAR 90 LOOKS TO
BE PRETTY DECENT. CURRENTLY ANOTHER MCV IS SPINNING OVER SWSTRN LA
AND THIS WILL SLOWLY PUSH TO THE ENE. THIS ALONG WITH A SEABREEZE IS
GOING TO BE THE FOCUS FOR TSRA DEVELOPMENT PROBABLY AROUND MIDDAY.
CURRENTLY LIKELY POPS IN THE FORECAST BUT IF THIS IS ANYTHING LIKE
SUNDAYS MCV THEN LIKELY IS TOO LOW. WILL KEEP LIKELY POPS IN BUT
BUMP UP TO ATLEAST 70% ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTH. QPF GRID WILL ALSO
NEED TO BE UPPED TO ACCOUNT FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IN SOME AREAS.

&&

.AVIATION...NO MAJOR PROBLEMS SEEN EARLY THEN THIS AFTERNOON THERE
IS THE POSSIBILITY OF A FEW TSRA ACROSS THE AREA. MAIN TAF SITES OF
CONCERN THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE KHBG AND KGLH WHERE TSRA WILL LIKELY
BE AROUND THE AREA. VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN THROUGHOUT MOST OF
THE DAY IN ALL LOCALS BUT WHERE TSRA DO DEVELOPMENT...CEILINGS WILL
BECOME MVFR AT TIMES WITH CLOUD BASES AT OR JUST BELOW 3K. VISBIES
WILL ALSO DROP WITH ANY TSRA LIKELY ALSO FALLING TO MVFR NEAR 3 TO
4SM. THERE MAY BE A FEW STRONG TSRA DROPPING VISBIES TO IFR AROUND 1
TO 1 3/4 SM. THERE MAY BE A FEW WIND GUSTS APPROACHING 35 TO 40KTS
MAINLY AROUND KHBG AND LIMITED IF ANY SMALL HAIL.

&&
.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

CAB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
601 AM CDT WED JUN 08 2005

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
091101-
ADAMS-ASHLEY-ATTALA-BOLIVAR-CARROLL-CATAHOULA-CHICOT-CHOCTAW-
CLAIBORNE-CLARKE-CLAY-CONCORDIA-COPIAH-COVINGTON-EAST CARROLL-
FORREST-FRANKLIN LA-FRANKLIN MS-GRENADA-HINDS-HOLMES-HUMPHREYS-
ISSAQUENA-JASPER-JEFFERSON-JEFFERSON DAVIS-JONES-KEMPER-LAMAR-
LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEAKE-LEFLORE-LINCOLN-LOWNDES-MADISON LA-
MADISON MS-MARION-MONTGOMERY-MOREHOUSE-NESHOBA-NEWTON-NOXUBEE-
OKTIBBEHA-RANKIN-RICHLAND-SCOTT-SHARKEY-SIMPSON-SMITH-SUNFLOWER-
TENSAS-WARREN-WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WEST CARROLL-WINSTON-YAZOO-
601 AM CDT WED JUN 08 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...THUNDERSTORMS...
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
MAINLY FOR AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM GREENVILLE...TO
JACKSON TO HATTIESBURG. WARM...MOIST...UNSTABLE AIR COMBINED WITH
AFTERNOON HEATING WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. A FEW
STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG WITH HEAVY RAINFALL...SMALL HAIL AND
WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

...DAYS TWO AND THREE...THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

...DAYS FOUR THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
A SURGE OF DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE SHOULD ARRIVE ACROSS THE
OUTLOOK AREA SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT BRINGING LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL DURING THE WEEKEND. SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL COULD
OCCUR MAINLY OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF MISSISSIPPI AS THIS
SYSTEM PASSES BY EARLY MONDAY. STAY TUNED FOR LATER DEVELOPMENTS
CONCERNING THIS HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THROUGH WEDNESDAY JUNE
15.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1227 PM CDT WED JUN 8 2005

MSZ053-054-059>062-081815-
ADAMS-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-FRANKLIN MS-JEFFERSON-LINCOLN-
1227 PM CDT WED JUN 8 2005

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE AFFECTING FRANKLIN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI...

AT 1225 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE RADAR SHOWED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
ORGANIZING ACROSS FRANKLIN COUNTY AND MOVING GENERALLY NORTHEAST
AROUND 15 MPH. EXPECT SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY TO MOVE INTO PORTIONS OF
EASTERN JEFFERSON AND NORTHWEST LINCOLN COUNTY WITHIN THE NEXT 15
TO 45 MINUTES.

THESE PARTICULAR STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF GENERATING WIND GUSTS UP TO
45 MILES AN HOUR...FREQUENT AND VERY DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...AND SMALL HAIL.  IN ADDITION...TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS
COULD EASILY PRODUCE 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN AN HOUR AND
ASSOCIATED AREAS OF PONDING WATER.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER NEWS MEDIA OUTLETS...
FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

50

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
116 PM CDT WED JUN 8 2005

MSZ043-048-049-082001-
HINDS-MADISON MS-RANKIN-
116 PM CDT WED JUN 8 2005

...LOCALLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF
THE METRO AREA...

AT 110 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS IN
PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHWEST MADISON COUNTY AND WESTERN HINDS
COUNTY MOVING STEADILY EAST TOWARD INTERSTATE 55. THESE STORMS WILL
MOVE ACROSS MUCH OF THE JACKSON METROPOLITAN AREA THROUGH 300 PM.

THESE STORMS CAN BE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE FREQUENT STRIKES OF
DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND BRIEF GUSTY WINDS. THERE IS
ALSO THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS TO PRODUCE
MINOR STREET FLOODING IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS. IN ADDITION...A FEW
STRONGER STORMS POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME IN THE VICINITY OF THE
METRO COULD PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WHICH
COULD DOWN SMALL LIMBS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER NEWS MEDIA OUTLETS...
FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

50