Flash Flood Warning 52, NWS Jackson, MS

000 
WGUS74 KJAN 291846
FFSJAN
MSC035-073-091-291945-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
ISSUED BY NWS HUNTSVILLE AL
145 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 245 PM FOR MARION...
FORREST...AND LAMAR COUNTIES...

AT 145 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE CLUSTERS OF INTENSE RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THE EYEWALL OF
HURRICANE KATRINA ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES
INDICATE THAT 4 UP TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS THE
WARNED AREA...ESPECIALLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF LAMAR AND FORREST
COUNTIES. ALTOUGH THE RAIN WILL LIKELY TAPER OFF BY MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON...AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNED AREA INCLUDE PURVIS...BROOKLYN...HATTIESBURG
AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW
LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

LAT...LON 3103 8990 3101 8934 3092 8933 3094 8916
      3142 8915 3138 9003

$$

CBD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
412 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005

.DISCUSSION...DANGEROUS HURRICANE KATRINA MADE LANDFALL IN SOUTHEAST
LA...EAST OF GRAND ISLE NEAR BURAS. KATRINA IS STILL A CATEGORY 4
HURRICANE WITH SUSTAINED SFC WINDS OF 140MPH AND PRESSURE STILL AT
923MB. THERE HAVE BEEN NUMEROUS REPORTS OF TORNADOS AND WIND DAMAGE
ALREADY ACROSS SOUTHEAST LA AND COASTAL MS AND NOW APPEARING FURTHER
INLAND IN FORREST COUNTY. THE WORST IS BEGINNING TO HIT THE COAST
AND WILL MAKE ITS WAY TOWARDS MARION...LAMAR...AND FORREST COUNTY IN
THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. YOU CAN EXPECT WINDS CATEGORY 2 WINDS
SUSTAINED 95-111 MPH WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR CAT 3 WINDS (>111MPH)
BUT GUSTS MAY APPROACH 120 MAYBE EVEN AS HIGH AS 130 MPH.

THIS IS A VERY SERIOUS SITUATION AS THEIR ARE REPORTS OF MAJOR
DAMAGE IN NEW ORLEANS. PEOPLE SHOULD BEGIN TO MAKE THINER WAY INTO
THE INTERIORS OF HOUSES AND BUILDINGS AND BY ALL MEANS DO NOT
VENTURE OUTSIDE TO SEE WHAT IS GOING ON AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
THERE IS ALREADY REPORTS OF NUMEROUS TREES AND OTHER DAMAGE IN
FORREST COUNTY.

IN CENTRAL AND ESPECIALLY EASTERN MS WE CAN EXPECT CONDITIONS TO
BEGIN TO DETERIORATE IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH THE WORST COMING
THIS AFTERNOON. KATRINA HAS SPED UP AND IS MOVING MAINLY NORTH AT
B/T 15 TO 16 MPH. THIS IS ACTUALLY BAD NEWS AS KATRINA WILL NOT BE
ABLE TO WEAKEN MORE BY THE TIME IT REACHES THE I 20 CORRIDOR. WITH
THAT WE STILL EXPECT HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OR ATLEAST GUSTS UP TO
LOWNDES COUNTY. ACROSS THE JACKSON METRO ESPECIALLY RANKIN COUNTY
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 TO 65 MPH AND GUSTS HIGHER THAN 80 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE BY LATE AFTERNOON. EAST INTO MERIDIAN AND JASPER AND CLARKE
COUNTIES WILL SEE SUSTAINED WINDS OF 55 TO 70 WITH GUSTS POSSIBLY UP
TO 90 MPH.

WINDS ARE ALREADY GUSTING ABOVE 50 MPH IN HATTIESBURG POSSIBLY
HIGHER AS WE CAN NOT GET UPDATED ASOS READINGS. IN JACKSON AND
MERIDIAN WE ARE GUSTING ABV 30 MPH ALREADY. LOOK FOR THESE WIND
SPEEDS TO INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       80  73  88  69 / 100 100  30  10
MERIDIAN      79  74  88  68 / 100 100  30  20

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...INLAND HURRICANE WARNING FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO MIDNIGHT TUESDAY
     FOR MSZ063-MSZ064-MSZ065-MSZ066-MSZ072-MSZ073-MSZ074.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO MIDNIGHT TUESDAY FOR
     MSZ048-MSZ049-MSZ050-MSZ051-MSZ052-MSZ054-MSZ055-MSZ056-
     MSZ057-MSZ058-MSZ062-MSZ063-MSZ064-MSZ065-MSZ066-MSZ072-
     MSZ073-MSZ074.

     INLAND HURRICANE WARNING FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO MIDNIGHT TUESDAY
     FOR MSZ054-MSZ055-MSZ056-MSZ057-MSZ058-MSZ062.

     INLAND HURRICANE WARNING FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO 6 AM TUESDAY FOR
     MSZ043-MSZ044-MSZ045-MSZ046-MSZ048-MSZ049-MSZ050-MSZ051-
     MSZ052.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 5 PM MONDAY TO 6 AM TUESDAY FOR MSZ025-
     MSZ026-MSZ027-MSZ028-MSZ029-MSZ030-MSZ031-MSZ032-MSZ033-
     MSZ036-MSZ037-MSZ038-MSZ039-MSZ042-MSZ044-MSZ045-MSZ046.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO 6 AM TUESDAY FOR MSZ043.

     INLAND HURRICANE WARNING FROM 7 PM MONDAY TO 6 AM TUESDAY FOR
     MSZ029-MSZ030-MSZ031-MSZ032-MSZ033-MSZ037-MSZ038-MSZ039.

     INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM 7 PM MONDAY TO 6 AM TUESDAY
     FOR MSZ026-MSZ027-MSZ028-MSZ036-MSZ042.

     INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO MIDNIGHT
     TUESDAY FOR MSZ047-MSZ053-MSZ059-MSZ060-MSZ061.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 PM MONDAY TO 6 AM TUESDAY FOR MSZ018-MSZ019-
     MSZ025-MSZ034-MSZ035.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO 6 AM TUESDAY FOR MSZ040-MSZ041.

LA...WIND ADVISORY FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO 6 AM TUESDAY FOR LAZ007-LAZ008-
     LAZ009.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO MIDNIGHT TUESDAY FOR LAZ015-
     LAZ016-LAZ023-LAZ024-LAZ025-LAZ026.

AR...WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 PM MONDAY TO 6 AM TUESDAY FOR ARZ074-ARZ075.

&&

CAB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
524 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
301024-
ADAMS-ASHLEY-ATTALA-BOLIVAR-CARROLL-CATAHOULA-CHICOT-CHOCTAW-
CLAIBORNE-CLARKE-CLAY-CONCORDIA-COPIAH-COVINGTON-EAST CARROLL-
FORREST-FRANKLIN LA-FRANKLIN MS-GRENADA-HINDS-HOLMES-HUMPHREYS-
ISSAQUENA-JASPER-JEFFERSON-JEFFERSON DAVIS-JONES-KEMPER-LAMAR-
LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEAKE-LEFLORE-LINCOLN-LOWNDES-MADISON LA-
MADISON MS-MARION-MONTGOMERY-MOREHOUSE-NESHOBA-NEWTON-NOXUBEE-
OKTIBBEHA-RANKIN-RICHLAND-SCOTT-SHARKEY-SIMPSON-SMITH-SUNFLOWER-
TENSAS-WARREN-WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WEST CARROLL-WINSTON-YAZOO-
524 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...THUNDERSTORMS...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING AS
RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH KATRINA MOVE ACROSS MISSISSIPPI.  THE
GREATEST RISK OF SEEING TORNADOES WILL OCCUR OVER AREAS MAINLY
ALONG AND EAST OF A BUDE...TO YAZOO CITY...TO GRENADA LINE.

...FLOODING...
FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...AND URBAN AREAS WILL
BE LIKELY EAST OF A BROOKHAVEN...TO CLINTON...TO GREENWOOD LINE
THROUGH THIS EVENING AS HURRICANE KATRINA MOVES INLAND.
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE
HURRICANE. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES AN HOUR...WITH STORM
TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WILL OCCUR...AND THIS WILL CAUSE FLASH
FLOODING PROBLEMS.

...NON PRECIPITATION...
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BE LIKELY ALONG AND EAST OF A
BROOKHAVEN...TO CLINTON...TO EUPORA LINE THROUGH THIS EVENING.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE JUST TO THE WEST OF
THIS AREA...AND TO THE EAST OF A LINE FROM NATCHEZ...TO
VICKSBURG...TO GRENADA.  WINDS GREATER THAN 25 MPH WILL BE COMMON
OVER SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND DELTA REGION
OF MISSISSIPPI.

VERY STRONG WINDS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT
DAMAGE WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE KATRINA. FOR MORE
SPECIFIC INFORMATION REGARDING THE STRENGTH AND TIMING OF THESE
HIGH WINDS...PLEASE REFER TO THE INLAND WATCHES AND
WARNINGS...JANNPWJAN...AND THE HURRICANE LOCAL
STATEMENT...JANHLSJAN...ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
JACKSON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL SHOULD ALREADY BE ACTIVATED IN SUPPORT OF
OPERATIONS RELATED TO HURRICANE KATRINA.  ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
750 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005

MSZ072>074-291500-
FORREST-LAMAR-MARION-
750 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005

...HEAVY BAND OF SQUALLS BEGINNING TO MOVE TOWARD THE HIGHWAY 98
CORRDIOR...

AT 745 AM...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A BAND OF STRONG SQUALLS ON
THE NORTH SIDE OF HURRICANE KATRINA IS APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN PART
OF FORREST...LAMAR...AND MARION COUNTIES. DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THAT SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS GREATER THAN 40 MPH...
WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...ARE LIKELY WITH THIS BAND OF
SQUALLS. A FEW TREES AND POWERLINES HAVE ALREADY BEEN DOWNED IN THESE
AREAS THIS MORNING...AND SIGNFICANTLY MORE WIDESPREAD DAMAGE TO
TREES...POWER LINES AND POLES...AND POSSIBLY STRUCTURES WILL OCCUR AS
THE BAND MOVES INTO THESE COUNTIES.

ADDITIONALLY...DOPPLER RADAR WAS INDICATED INCREASING CIRCULATION
IN SOME OF THE SQUALLS...AND A FEW TORNADOES COULD OCCUR.

ANALYSIS OF DOPPLER RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE
NORTH SIDE OF THE DANGEROUS EYEWALL OF KATRINA WILL LIKELY BE
REACHING THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THESE COUNTIES BY AROUND MIDDAY.
CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE DRAMATICALLY AS THIS HAPPENS...WITH
SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 75 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...LIKELY.

PEOPLE IN THESE COUNTIES SHOULD REMAIN IN A PLACE OF SAFETY AND NOT
VENTURE OUT. REMEMBER...MANY DEATHS IN HURRICANES ARE ASSOCIATED
WITH FALLING TREES. REMAINING IN AN INTERIOR PART OF YOUR HOME IS
THE BEST WAY TO PROTECT YOURSELF AGAINST THIS DANGER.

STAY TUNED FOR UPDATES AND WARNINGS AS THIS DANGEROUS WEATHER
EPISODE UNFOLDS.

GERARD