Alert archive / Indiana / Heavy Snow Warnings in 2005
Heavy Snow Warning 2, NWS Northern Indiana
NWS Northern Indiana issued this heavy snow warning at Dec 15, 2005, 4:02 AM EST for 8 counties in Indiana; 8 counties in Ohio; Hillsdale County, Michigan. It was in force for 10 hr. 11 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 15, 2005, 4:02 AM EST (09:02 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 15, 2005, 1:42 PM EST
- In force
- 10 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Northern Indiana
Counties Adams County, IN, Allen County, IN, Blackford County, IN, DeKalb County, IN, Grant County, IN, Jay County, IN, Steuben County, IN, Wells County, IN, Hillsdale County, MI, Allen County, OH, Defiance County, OH, Fulton County, OH, Henry County, OH, Paulding County, OH, Putnam County, OH, Van Wert County, OH, Williams County, OH
The radar
The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 86 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 8:34 AM EST | HEAVY SNOW 1 | Columbus Grove, OH | SNOW FALLING AT 1 INCH PER HOUR. 1 INCH NEW SNOW. |
| Dec 15, 8:34 AM EST | HEAVY SNOW 1 | Pandora, OH | SNOW FALLING AT 1 INCH PER HOUR. VISIBILITES AT ONE QUARTER MILE. 1 INCH OF NEW SNOW. |
| Dec 15, 9:06 AM EST | HEAVY SNOW 1 | Van Wert, OH | 1 INCH OF NEW SNOW. CURRENT VISIBILITY AT APPROXIMATELY ONE HALF MILE. |
| Dec 15, 9:14 AM EST | HEAVY SNOW 2 | Columbus Grove, OH | 2 INCHES TOTAL NEW SNOW. 1 INCH IN THE LAST HOUR. |
| Dec 15, 9:47 AM EST | HEAVY SNOW 3 | Lima, OH | 3 INCHES TOTAL NEW SNOW. SNOWING HEAVILY AT THIS TIME. |
| Dec 15, 11:45 AM EST | HEAVY SNOW 1.7 | 4 E Geneva, IN | 1.7 INCHES OF NEW SNOW OVER THE LAST 3 HOURS. |
| Dec 15, 12:45 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 3 | Defiance, OH | 3 INCHES TOTAL NEW SNOW. |
| Dec 15, 12:45 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 4 | Napoleon, OH | 4 INCHES TOTAL NEW SNOW. |
| Dec 15, 12:55 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 3.5 | Van Wert, OH | 3.5 INCHES TOTAL NEW SNOW. |
| Dec 15, 12:55 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 4 | Pandora, OH | 4 INCHES TOTAL NEW SNOW. |
| Dec 15, 1:45 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 3.8 | Wauseon, OH | 3.8 INCHES TOTAL NEW SNOW. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 201 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 726 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 64 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 473 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 491 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS43 KIWX 150902 WSWIWX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 402 AM EST THU DEC 15 2005 .LOW PRESSURE WAS DEVELOPING OVER THE OHIO VALLEY THIS MORNING AND WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEAST ACROSS OHIO TODAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN AN AREA OF SNOW ACROSS NORTHEAST INDIANA... NORTHWEST OHIO... AND THE ADJACENT COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN MICHIGAN. INZ027-034-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-024-025-151715- /O.UPG.KIWX.WS.A.0001.000000T0000Z-051216T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KIWX.HS.W.0002.051215T0902Z-051216T0000Z/ ADAMS-JAY-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM- VAN WERT-ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DECATUR...BERNE...PORTLAND...BRYAN... MONTPELIER...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON... PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA 402 AM EST THU DEC 15 2005 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A HEAVY SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. SNOW WILL SPREAD NORTH INTO NORTHEAST INDIANA AND NORTHWEST OHIO BY 7AM AND BE HEAVY AT TIMES TODAY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION FROM THIS STORM IS EXPECTED TO BE 4 TO 7 INCHES. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. $$ INZ007-009-018-026-033-MIZ080-081-151715- /O.UPG.KIWX.WS.A.0001.000000T0000Z-051216T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KIWX.SN.Y.0003.051215T0902Z-051216T0000Z/ STEUBEN-DE KALB-ALLEN IN-WELLS-BLACKFORD-BRANCH-HILLSDALE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANGOLA...AUBURN...GARRETT... FORT WAYNE...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER... COLDWATER...HILLSDALE 402 AM EST THU DEC 15 2005 ...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. SNOW WILL SPREAD INTO NORTHEAST INDIANA AND THE ADJACENT COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN MICHIGAN FROM THE SOUTH THIS MORNING. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES TODAY WITH ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES EXPECTED. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$
2 follow-up statements
000 WWUS43 KIWX 151443 WSWIWX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 943 AM EST THU DEC 15 2005 .THE HEAVY SNOW BAND ASSOCIATED WITH DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE HAD SHIFTED WEST...SO SEVERAL COUNTIES HAVE BEEN UPDATED FOR HEAVIER THEN EXPECTED SNOWFALL. AREAS BASICALLY EAST OF A LINE FROM THREE RIVERS TO WARSAW TO PERU HAVE BEEN UPGRADED TO A SNOW ADVISORY. FIVE COUNTIES OVER NORTHEAST INDIANA AND HILLSDALE COUNTY IN MICHIGAN HAVE BEEN UPGRADED AND ADDED TO THE HEAVY SNOW WARNING THAT WAS ALREADY IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWEST OHIO. INZ007-009-018-026-033-MIZ081-152245- /O.UPG.KIWX.SN.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051216T0000Z/ /O.EXA.KIWX.HS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051216T0000Z/ STEUBEN-DE KALB-ALLEN IN-WELLS-BLACKFORD-HILLSDALE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANGOLA...AUBURN...GARRETT... FORT WAYNE...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER... HILLSDALE 943 AM EST THU DEC 15 2005 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A HEAVY SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVER NORTHEAST INDIANA WITH HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED FROM MARIAN TO FORT WAYNE TO HILLSDALE. ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. $$ INZ032-152245- /O.EXA.KIWX.HS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051216T0000Z/ GRANT- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MARION 943 AM EST THU DEC 15 2005 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A HEAVY SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. SNOW WILL SPREAD NORTH INTO NORTHEAST INDIANA AND NORTHWEST OHIO BY 7 AM AND BE HEAVY AT TIMES TODAY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION FROM THIS STORM IS EXPECTED TO BE 5 TO 7 INCHES. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. $$ INZ027-034-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-024-025-152245- /O.CON.KIWX.HS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051216T0000Z/ ADAMS-JAY-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM- VAN WERT-ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DECATUR...BERNE...PORTLAND...BRYAN... MONTPELIER...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON... PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA 943 AM EST THU DEC 15 2005 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVER NORTHEAST INDIANA AND NORTHWEST OHIO TODAY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 5 TO 8 INCHES IS EXPECTED. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. $$ INZ005-006-008-016-017-023>025-MIZ079-152245- /O.EXA.KIWX.SN.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051216T0000Z/ ELKHART-LAGRANGE-NOBLE-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON- ST. JOSEPH MI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA... KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...WARSAW...WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY... SOUTH WHITLEY...PERU...WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON... STURGIS...THREE RIVERS 943 AM EST THU DEC 15 2005 ...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST /7 PM EST/ THIS EVENING... SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD INTO NORTHEAST INDIANA AND THE ADJACENT COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN MICHIGAN FROM THE SOUTH THIS MORNING. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES TODAY WITH ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES EXPECTED. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ MIZ080-152245- /O.CON.KIWX.SN.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051216T0000Z/ BRANCH- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...COLDWATER 943 AM EST THU DEC 15 2005 ...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... SNOW WILL CONTINUE FROM PERU TO THREE RIVERS. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES TODAY WITH ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES EXPECTED. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ SKIPPER
000 WWUS43 KIWX 151842 WSWIWX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 142 PM EST THU DEC 15 2005 .SNOW SHOULD END BY EARLY EVENING AS AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM MOVES EAST AWAY FROM THE AREA. SNOW TODAY HAS BEEN COMPACTING AND PARTIALLY MELTING...KEEPING SNOW ACCUMULATIONS GENERALLY BETWEEN ONE AND FOUR INCHES. MIAMI...WABASH...KOSCIUSKO...ELKHART AND SAINT JOSEPH MICHIGAN COUNTIES HAVE BEEN REMOVED FROM THE SNOW ADVISORY AS SNOW HAS EITHER DIMINISHED OR ENDED OVER THESE COUNTIES. THE HEAVY SNOW WARNING FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE COUNTIES HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A SNOW ADVISORY. INZ007-009-018-026-027-032>034-MIZ081-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016- 024-025-160000- /O.CAN.KIWX.HS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-051216T0000Z/ /O.EXA.KIWX.SN.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051216T0000Z/ STEUBEN-DE KALB-ALLEN IN-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY- HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM- VAN WERT-ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANGOLA...AUBURN...GARRETT... FORT WAYNE...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION... HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...HILLSDALE...BRYAN... WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP... OTTAWA...PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA 142 PM EST THU DEC 15 2005 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS DOWNGRADED THE HEAVY SNOW WARNING TO A SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE HEAVY SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED. SNOW SHOULD END BY EARLY EVENING. SNOWFALL UP TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...BUT DUE TO MELTING AND COMPACTING...ONLY AN INCH OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING TODAY...BE PREPARED FOR SNOW AND SLUSH COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING THIS EVENING...CAUSING ICY CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP ON ROADS. $$ INZ005-016-023-024-MIZ079-151945- /O.CAN.KIWX.SN.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051216T0000Z/ ELKHART-KOSCIUSKO-MIAMI-WABASH-ST. JOSEPH MI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELKHART...GOSHEN...WARSAW... WINONA LAKE...PERU...WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...STURGIS... THREE RIVERS 142 PM EST THU DEC 15 2005 ...SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS CANCELED THE SNOW ADVISORY. $$ INZ006-008-017-025-MIZ080-160000- /O.CON.KIWX.SN.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-051216T0000Z/ LAGRANGE-NOBLE-WHITLEY-HUNTINGTON-BRANCH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...KENDALLVILLE... LIGONIER...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...HUNTINGTON...COLDWATER 142 PM EST THU DEC 15 2005 ...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... SNOW SHOULD END BY EARLY EVENING. SNOWFALL UP TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...BUT DUE TO MELTING...ONLY AN INCH OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW AND SLUSH COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING THIS EVENING...CAUSING ICY CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP ON ROADS. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this heavy snow warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Northern Indiana wrote its last area forecast discussion before this heavy snow warning went out at Dec 15, 12:54 AM EST, 3 hours 8 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 15, 12:54 AM EST, 3 hours 8 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1245 AN EST WED DEC 15 2005
.AVIATION...
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE OVER THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING WITH LOW CIGS
AND CONSIDERABLE IFR VSBYS. COUPLED UPPER JET STRUCTURE WITH ONE
LIFTING NE ACROSS THE WRN GRTLKS AND ANOTHER PUNCHING EAST INTO GULF
COAST WILL RESULT IN BACKING/INCREASING LOW/MID LEVEL FLOW OVERNIGHT
AND THU MORNING ACROSS THE OH VALLEY AND LOWER MS VALLEY. THIS WILL
TRANSPORT MID LEVEL MOISTURE NORTHWARD AND PROVIDE SUFFICIENT LIFT
FOR SNOW TO DVLP OVER ERN INDIANA AND POINTS EAST. SBN MAY SEE SOME
LIGHT PRECIP TODAY BUT FOR NOW DOUBTFUL ENOUGH TO JUST HANDLE WITH
LOWER VSBYS DUE TO BR. LIGHT SOUTH WINDS THIS MORNING WILL VEER TO
WEST AND INCREASE A BIT TODAY AS OCCLUDED FRONT MOVES SLOWLY EAST
ACROSS INDIANA.
&&
.UPDATE...
WILL UPDATE ZONES/WSW SHORTLY TO EXPIRE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY AS
TEMPS HAVE RISEN ABOVE FREEZING AND SHOULD REMAIN THERE OVERNIGHT.
AS MENTIONED IN AVIATION DISCUSSION EXPECTING SNOW TO DVLP OVER ERN
SECTIONS OF THE AREA BY DAYBREAK. WILL HOLD OFF ON UPGRADING WATCH
UNTIL 4AM PACKAGE AS HAVE NOT HAD TIME YET TO DETERMINE IF ANY
CHANGES NEEDED TO SNOW ACCUM TOTALS.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION...
UPDATE...
HAVE DECIDED TO LET THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY RUN ITS COURSE UNTIL
1 AM EST...MIDNIGHT CST. ALTHOUGH TEMPS CONTINUE TO CREEP UPWARD
(AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE FREEZING)...SOME MIXED PCPN IS STILL
OCCURRING...AND WITH REPORTS OF SOME ICY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED
ROADWAYS...WILL LET THE ADVISORY RUN ITS COURSE.
AVIATION...
AN UPR LVL LOW WAS CENTERED OVER ERN NORTH DAKOTA THIS EVENING.
THIS FEATURE WILL DRIFT SLOWLY ESE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
MEANWHILE...A S/WV WAS NOTED OVER ERN TEXAS. THIS SYSTEM WILL PIVOT
NE INTO THE OHIO VALLEY ON THURSDAY...BRINGING SNOW TO ERN
INDIANA/WRN OHIO.
A WEAK VORTICITY LOBE WAS PIVOTING THROUGH THE CWFA ATTM. THIS
FEATURE WAS RESPONSIBLE FOR FREEZING RAIN/DRIZZLE ACRS A GOOD
PORTION OF THE FCST AREA...WITH A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING
RAIN/DRIZZLE ACRS THE FAR NORTH. WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION THIS TYPE
OF PCPN AT THE TERMINALS FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT FOUR HOURS...THEN
WILL MONITOR HOW MUCH FREEZING DRIZZLE IS LEFT OVER ONCE THE
VORTICITY LOBE PASSES BY. CIGS WILL REMAIN VERY LOW AS THE LOW LVL
ATMOSPHERE REMAINS MOIST.
AFOREMENTIONED S/WV WILL MOVE INTO THE OHIO VLY ON THURSDAY. THIS
SYSTEM SHOULD PERTURB A SFC LOW...WHICH IS CURRENTLY FCST TO MOVE
ACRS WRN OHIO BETWEEN 18Z AND 00Z. AN AREA OF SNOW...POSSIBLY HEAVY
AT TIME...WILL DEVELOP IN THE FAVORED REGION LEFT OF THE SFC LOW
TRACK. THE SNOW SHIELD WILL LIKELY HAVE A SHARP CUTOFF TO ITS WRN
EDGE...SO HAVE LEFT KSBN DRY FOR NOW...AND HAVE PLACED PREDOMINANT
SNOW AT KFWA. CIGS AND BOTH TERMINALS WILL REMAIN LOW THROUGH THE
TAF PERIOD.
SHORT TERM...
TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
WARM AIR ADVECTION CAUSING WIDESPREAD LIGHT SNOW...SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE PRECIP WILL BE LIGHT ENOUGH
THAT ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE VERY LIGHT. APPEARS THERE WILL BE A BREAK
IN THE PRECIP THIS EVENING THROUGH THE WEE HOURS OF THE
MORNING...THEN DYNAMICS AND MOISTURE COME TOGETHER TO BETWEEN 06Z
AND 12Z OVER THE EASTERN PART OF THE WARNING AREA. WENT WITH A
COMBINATION OF GFS AND NGM...AND EVEN THO NAM HAD ALMOST NO
INITIAL/REAL DATA IT WAS VERY SIMILAR IN SOLUTION. BASIC IDEA IS
SNOW WILL DEVELOP RAPIDLY OVER OHIO COUNTIES AFTER 4 AM AND WILL BE
HEAVY AT TIMES AS JET DYNAMICS...FRONTOGENESIS AND ISENTROPIC LIFT
ALL COME INTO PLAY. HAVE SOME CONCERNS WITH THE FORECAST SINCE THE
12Z MODELS HAVE DEVELOPED THE SYSTEM ABOUT 250 MILES WEST OF WHERE
THEY WERE 12 HOURS EARLIER. WITH THE UNCERTAINTY...WOULD REALLY LIKE
TO SEE THE 00Z MODEL RUNS TO SEE IF THE WESTWARD TREND CONTINUES.
THEREFORE ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF
I69 FOR MUCH OF THURSDAY. POTENTIAL SNOW AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
SEEM REASONABLE GIVEN CURRENT FORECAST STRENGTH OF SYSTEM. THERE
COULD BE AREAS IN NORTHWEST OHIO OF A FEW INCHES MORE.
LUCKILY...WINDS SHOULD NOT BE A SIGNIFICANT PROBLEM AS A STRONG
SURFACE LOW IS NOT FORECAST.
LONG TERM...
STG SRN STREAM SW PHASES W/NRN DEEPENING NRN STREAM TROUGH EJECTS
RAPIDLY UP ALG EAST COAST WHILE DEEP CYCLONIC WRAP AROUND MSTR
DUMBBELLS EWD THU NIGHT. CURRENT -SN MENTION LOOKS GOOD BUT
INSIGNIFICANT AND WILL KEEP W/LOW CHC POPS.
BIGGER CHGS WARRANTED TO GOING GRIDS AFT THAT ESP IN LIGHT OF MED
RANGE DEPICTIONS OF NRN STREAM TROUGH ELONGATING AND BREAKING WWD
W/TIME TWD NRN ROCKIES AND OF WHICH FITS BEST GIVEN SHARP RIDGING
ALOFT OVR WRN CANADA AND QUITE SIMILAR TO WHAT WAS OBSERVED EARLY
LAST WEEK. 00Z ECMWF...12Z NAM AND TO A LESSOR DEGREE 00Z GEM ALL
SIMILAR W/THIS EVOLUTION WHICH RESULTS IN A PD OF ZONAL FLW
DOWNSTREAM AND KEEPS ARCTIC INTRUSION LOCKED UP NR THE CANADIAN
BORDER THROUGH MON AS OPPOSED TO THE GFS CAMP WHICH BREAKS DOWN NRN
STREAM TROUGHING MUCH QUICKER AND WHICH ALLOWS ARCTIC AIR TO
PLUNGE SWD FASTER. AS SUCH WILL DISCOUNT GFS AND SIDE W/EC HGT PATTN
WHICH WILL DELAY ARRIVAL TIL TUE W/MUCH COLDER TEMPS XPCD AFT THAT
W/PNA PATTN AMPLIFIES ONCE AGAIN. OTHERWISE...PRIMARY PROB IS
PRECIP POTENTIAL IN THIS TRANSITION ESP W/EC DEPICTION OF EJECTING
WRN TROUGH MON INTO TUE AND DECENT RTN FLW AND HAVE INSERTED SMALL
CHC POP MON/TUE TIMEFRAME.
&&
.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...
WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 4 AM EST THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING FOR INZ007-INZ009-INZ018-INZ026-INZ027-INZ033-
INZ034.
MI...
WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 4 AM EST THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING FOR MIZ080-MIZ081.
OH...
WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 4 AM EST THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING FOR OHZ001-OHZ002-OHZ004-OHZ005-OHZ015-OHZ016-
OHZ024-OHZ025.
LM...NONE.
&&
UPDATE/AVIATION...TAYLOR
SHORT TERM...EDDY
LONG TERM...HOLSTENHazardous weather outlook, Dec 14, 3:47 PM EST, 12 hours 15 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 347 PM EST WED DEC 14 2005 INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005- 015-016-024-025-152100- LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE- PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN- MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BERRIEN- CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE- HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND... MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA... KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON... WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW... WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE... MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH... NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR... BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...NILES... BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS... STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON... ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA... PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA 347 PM EST WED DEC 14 2005 /247 PM CST WED DEC 14 2005/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO... SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN INDIANA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AREAS OF LIGHT SNOW MIXED WITH PATCHY LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE. LOOK FOR NEW SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER NORTHWEST OHIO WITH LOWER AMOUNTS OVER NORTHERN INDIANA AND FAR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. ROADS WILL BE SLIPPERY IN SPOTS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THURSDAY...ESPECIALLY EAST OF INTERSTATE 69. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 4 TO 6 INCHES THURSDAY OVER NORTHWEST OHIO WILL BRING STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS TO 6 TO 8 INCHES OVER NORTHWEST OHIO. LESSER SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER NORTHERN INDIANA AND FAR SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED SOUTHEAST OF LAKE MICHIGAN FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WITH SOME ACCUMULATION SNOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SNOW SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CALL OR SEND THEIR REPORTS THROUGH E SPOTTER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. && STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX LMZ043-046-061-152100- NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI- MICHIGAN CITY IN TO ST JOSEPH MI OUT TO MID LAKE- 347 PM EST WED DEC 14 2005 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TODAY FOR SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WAVES WILL LIKELY BE HIGHER THAN 4 FEET THROUGH MOST OF THIS PERIOD. && STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX/PROGRAMAREAS/MARINE/INDEX.PHP SKIPPER
The office that day
Everything else NWS Northern Indiana issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 7:03 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | IWX | Allen, DeKalb, Elkhart, Fulton, LaGrange, Marshall and 5 more | 6 hr |
| Dec 15, 4:02 AM EST | Snow Advisory | IWX | Adams, Allen, Blackford, DeKalb, Elkhart, Grant and 9 more | 11 hr |
Nearby
Heavy Snow Warnings in Indiana, 2005Heavy Snow Warnings in Ohio, 2005Heavy Snow Warnings in Michigan, 2005Every heavy snow warning in 2005
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.