Severe Thunderstorm Warning 89, NWS Wichita, KS

000 
WWUS53 KICT 032329
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
629 PM CDT FRI JUN 3 2005

KSC191-032339-
/O.EXP.KICT.SV.W.0089.000000T0000Z-050603T2330Z/
SUMNER KS-
629 PM CDT FRI JUN 3 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SUMNER COUNTY HAS BEEN ALLOWED
TO EXPIRE...

AT 623 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT. BE READY TO SEEK
SHELTER IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES AGAIN, OR A WARNING ISSUED.

LAT...LON 3746 9771 3702 9756 3701 9715 3746 9716

$$

KETCHAM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
340 PM CDT FRI JUN 3 2005

.DISCUSSION...

THIS AFTN AND THIS EVE:
ELEVATED CONVECTION IS NOW STARTING TO MOVE BACK TO THE NORTHEAST OF
THE AREA INTO NERN KS AND BELIEVE THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
THE AREA AS MCV IN OK HELPS PUSH THIS AREA OF SHRA NORTHEAST OF THE
AREA. SO MAY SEE A LULL IN THE CONVECTION AS FIRST AREA MOVES NE
THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE CONVECTION IN OK BEGINS TO MOVE RAPIDLY NE
BACK INTO THE AREA. SOME RECOVERY NOTED SOUTHWEST OF ICT, AS SOME
CLEARING HAS OCCURRED AFTER INITIAL ROUND OF CONVECTION, WITH A NEW
LINE OF CONVECTION FIRING UP ACROSS CEN OK. WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE
ON THIS AREA FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AS LOW LEVEL SHEAR
PROFILE LOOKS FAVORABLE FOR ROTATING UPDRAFTS AS MCV MOVES ACROSS
THIS AREA. INSTABILITY FOR SEVERE THREAT WILL DEPEND ON AMOUNT OF
RECOVERY, BUT PROBABLY ENOUGH FOR SOME SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS.

AS THE MCV ROTATES NE INTO THE AREA, EXPECT OK CONVECTION TO MOVE NE
BACK INTO THE AREA.  WITH LOTS OF UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE AHEAD OF
THE MCV, EXPECT ANOTHER WIDESPREAD AREA OF TSRA TO MOVE ACROSS
ALREADY SATURATED GROUND IN SERN/CEN KS.  HAVE ALREADY POSTED A
FLOOD WATCH WITH THIS IN MIND FOR CEN/SERN KS. DID NOT INCLUDE AREAS
SOUTHWEST OF ICT WHERE FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NUMBERS ARE HIGHER.

OVERNIGHT:
ISENTROPIC LIFT AND UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE CONTINUES ACROSS THE AREA
OVERNIGHT, SO WILL CONTINUE WITH LKLY POPS FOR AREA DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH GREATEST CONVECTION THREAT EXPECTED BEFORE
09Z/SAT.  WILL ALSO MENTION HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL AS PRECIP WATER
VALUES REMAIN HIGH.

SAT-SUN:
EXPECT OVERNIGHT SHRA/TSRA TO COME TO AN END EARLY SAT, BUT SURFACE
BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO LURK ACROSS CEN KS DURING THE AFTERNOON
HOURS.  LOTS OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY STILL AVAILABLE
AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY MAINLY EAST OF THE TURNPIKE.  NOT MUCH IN THE
WAY OF UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FOR WIDESPREAD CONVECTION, BUT STILL
COULD SEE SOME DIURNAL CONVECTION, SO WILL KEEP A LOW POP ACROSS THE
AREA FOR THIS THREAT.  INSTABILITY ALSO SUGGESTS THAT ANY STORM THAT
CAN GET GOING, COULD PRODUCE SOME SMALL HAIL, BUT 0-6KM SHEAR LOOKS
LIMITED FOR LARGE HAIL OR DAMAGING WINDS.

SHORTWAVE IN THE ROCKIES MOVES ACROSS THE AREA ON SUNDAY, WITH
DRYLINE/BOUNDARY PROGGED TO BE LOCATED ROUGHLY ALONG I-135 DURING
THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. MODELS DIFFER ON PLACEMENT AND STRENGTH
OF THE EASTWARD PUSH TO THIS LINE DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY,  BUT
WITH LOTS OF INSTABILITY AVAILABLE AGAIN FOR CONVECTION TO DEVELOP
IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. SO WILL KEEP POPS IN AREAS GENERALLY
EAST OF ICT WITH UNCERTAINTY OF PLACEMENT.

MON:
MODELS FAIRLY SIMILAR IN SHORTWAVE MOVING NE OF THE AREA ON MON WITH
WEAK RIDGING EXPECT TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA.  WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED
TO SEE POPS REMOVED DURING THIS TIME FRAME, BUT FOR LEFT LOW POPS IN
FOR NOW FOR CONSISTENCY SAKE.

TUE-THU:
SW FLOW CONTINUES ACROSS THE AREA FOR THIS TIME FRAME, AS IMPULSES
CONTINUE TO MOVE OUT OF THE SWRN US INTO THE CEN PLAINS. TRYING TO
PINPOINT BEST RAIN CHANCES DURING THIS TIME FRAME IS DIFFICULT, AT
BEST, AS MEDIUM RANGE MODELS DIFFER ON TIMING OF SHORTWAVES TO EJECT
INTO THE AREA.  MODELS DO SUGGEST THAT A QUASI STATIONARY FRONT WILL
BE IN THE AREA FOR CONVERGENCE, WITH MOISTURE ADVECTION FROM THE
SOUTH CONTINUING THROUGH THE PERIOD. SO WILL KEEP LOW POPS FOR THIS
TIME FRAME, BUT DO NOT BELIEVE THIS WILL BE A TOTAL WASH OUT, JUST
HARD TO PIN DOWN DRY PERIODS. WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCES ALONG THE
BOUNDARY ON WED AFTERNOON.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    65  85  63  88 /  70  40  30  20
HUTCHINSON      65  84  62  87 /  70  40  30  20
NEWTON          65  85  63  86 /  70  40  30  20
ELDORADO        65  86  64  87 /  70  40  40  20
WINFIELD-KWLD   65  87  64  88 /  70  40  40  20
RUSSELL         61  80  58  85 /  60  30  20  20
GREAT BEND      62  82  59  86 /  60  30  20  20
SALINA          65  83  62  85 /  60  50  30  20
MCPHERSON       65  84  62  86 /  70  40  30  20
COFFEYVILLE     68  88  66  87 /  70  40  50  30
CHANUTE         66  87  66  86 /  70  50  50  30
IOLA            66  87  66  85 /  70  50  50  30

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL 9 AM CDT SATURDAY
FOR MOST OF CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

&&

KETCHAM/

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
430 PM CDT FRI JUN 3 2005

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-041200-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
430 PM CDT FRI JUN 3 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING, AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE MOVES NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE AREA. A FEW OF THESE STORMS
MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS.

IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT, THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING. A FLOOD
WATCH HAS BEEN POSTED FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS TONIGHT.
PLEASE SEE THE LATEST FLOOD WATCH FOR MORE DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY ACROSS
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS. SEVERE WEATHER IS POSSIBLE AS A
COLD FRONT MOVES INTO AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS THE AREA.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE IF THESE STORMS WILL BE
SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

A FEW SPOTTERS MAY BE NEED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN SOUTH
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS. IN ADDITION, ANY FLOODING REPORTS
WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION, SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWOICT.HTM

JMC/KETCHAM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
422 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0419 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 W WONSEVU             38.15N 96.81W
06/03/2005                   CHASE              KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTING AT LEAST ONE HOME SURROUNDED BY
            WATER.

&&

CDB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
433 PM CDT FRI JUN 3 2005

KSZ082-091-032230-
HARPER-KINGMAN-
433 PM CDT FRI JUN 3 2005

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HARPER AND KINGMAN COUNTIES...

AT 428 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES SOUTH OF
MEDICINE LODGE TO DRIFTWOOD AND DRUMMOND OKLAHOMA...AND MOVING NORTH
AT 40 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE, OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DARMOFAL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
524 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0522 PM     HAIL             ANTHONY                 37.15N 98.03W
06/03/2005  0.88 INCH        HARPER             KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NICKLE HAIL IN ANTHONY. ALSO REPORTED 40 MPH WINDS

&&

CDB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
543 PM CDT FRI JUN 3 2005

KSZ047>048-050>053-067>072-082>083-091>096-098>100
-040300-
ALLEN KS-BARTON KS-BUTLER KS-CHASE KS-CHAUTAUQUA KS-
COWLEY KS-ELK KS-ELLSWORTH KS-GREENWOOD KS-HARPER KS-
HARVEY KS-KINGMAN KS-LABETTE KS-MCPHERSON KS-MARION KS-
MONTGOMERY KS-NEOSHO KS-RENO KS-RICE KS-SEDGWICK KS-
SUMNER KS-WILSON KS-WOODSON KS-

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 387
UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FRIDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN CENTRAL KANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 6 COUNTIES

BARTON                CHASE                 ELLSWORTH
MARION                MCPHERSON             RICE

IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 8 COUNTIES

BUTLER                COWLEY                HARPER
HARVEY                KINGMAN               RENO
SEDGWICK              SUMNER

IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 9 COUNTIES

ALLEN                 CHAUTAUQUA            ELK
GREENWOOD             LABETTE               MONTGOMERY
NEOSHO                WILSON                WOODSON

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF ANTHONY...CHANUTE...COFFEYVILLE...COTTONWOOD
FALLS...DOWNTOWN WICHITA...EL DORADO...ELLSWORTH...EUREKA...GREAT
BEND...HUTCHINSON...IOLA...KINGMAN...MARION...MCPHERSON...NEWTON...
PARSONS...SEDAN...WELLINGTON...WINFIELD AND YATES CENTER.

KETCHAM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
548 PM CDT FRI JUN 3 2005

KSZ082-083-032315-
KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-
548 PM CDT FRI JUN 3 2005

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR KINGMAN AND SEDGWICK COUNTIES...

AT 544 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES SOUTH OF
KINGMAN TO 5 MILES NORTH OF ARGONIA TO CALDWELL...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS
AS THEY MOVE ACROSS EASTERN KINGMAN AND SOUTHERN SEDGWICK COUNTIES.
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE, OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DARMOFAL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
554 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0549 PM     HAIL             4 E CLEARWATER          37.51N 97.42W
06/03/2005  0.50 INCH        SEDGWICK           KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA TO MARBLE SIZE HAIL

&&

CDB