Severe Thunderstorm Warning 25, NWS Wichita, KS

000 
WWUS53 KICT 082119
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
419 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

KSC053-082200-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0025.000000T0000Z-050508T2200Z/
ELLSWORTH KS-
419 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR SOUTHEASTERN ELLSWORTH
COUNTY UNTIL 500 PM CDT...

AT 414 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS TO AROUND 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 6
MILES NORTHEAST OF GENESEO...OR 12 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ELLSWORTH...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...
  NEAR KANOPOLIS STATE PARK BY  440 PM CDT.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT 
SUNDAY EVENING FOR CENTRAL KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3863 9821 3852 9812 3860 9793 3872 9803

$$

/DARMOFAL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
337 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

.DISCUSSION...
MAIN CONCERN WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE WILL BE THE TIMING OF WHEN
THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE EXITING THE AREA TONIGHT AND WHEN THE
FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH NEXT WEEK.

TONIGHT:
LATEST VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE
DRY LINE IN CENTRAL KANSAS. WATER VAPOR LOOP ALSO INDICATED MID
LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION MOVING INTO NORTHWEST KANSAS. THIS MID
LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION ALONG WITH GOOD CONVERGENCE ALONG THE DRY
LINE HAS CAUSED THESE STORMS TO INITIATE EARLIER. HOWEVER, THE
LATEST KICT RADAR IMAGERY HAS INDICATED THERE ARE NUMEROUS
BOUNDARIES AROUND. AS THE MID LEVEL COLD AIR PUSHES INTO SOUTH
CENTRAL KANSAS DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON, THIS MAY HELP
INITIATE STORMS ALONG ANY EXISTING BOUNDARIES. THESE STORMS WILL
BE DRIVEN BY LOTS OF CAPE ON THE ORDER OF 3000J/KG, WHICH WILL
PRODUCE LARGE HAIL. IN ADDITION, IF THERE ARE ANY INTERSECTING
BOUNDARIES AROUND THIS COULD SPIN UP A LANDSPOUT. WOULD EXPECT THE
MAJORITY OF THESE STORMS TO BE NON-SUPERCELLULAR DUE TO THE WEAK
DEEP LAYER SHEAR. AS THE EVENING WEARS ON, I WOULD EXPECT THE STORMS
TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN SINCE THE CAPES ARE SO LARGE, BUT MORE STORMS
WILL MOST LIKELY FIRE UP EAST OF THE KANSAS TURNPIKE THIS EVENING AS
THE MID LEVEL COLD AIR MOVES IN, WHICH WILL CREAT GOOD UPGLIDE.
MOVEMENT OF THESE STORMS WILL VERY SLOW, ESPECIALLY GENERALLY BE
EAST-NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

MONDAY:
IT APPEARS LIKE WE WILL SEE THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE EXITING THE
PICTURE BY EARLY AFTERNOON ALONG WITH PRECIPITATION. THIS WILL BE
DUE TO THE UPPER LEVEL TROF MOVING EAST INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
THIS WILL ALLOW FOR DRIER AIR TO MOVE IN FROM THE WEST. MODELS ARE
SHOWING A WEAK DOWNSLOPE COMPONENT WHICH WILL PROVIDE A RATHER WARM
AND MILD DAY WITH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING TO NEAR 80 ACROSS MOST OF
THE AREA.

MONDAY NIGHT-WEDNESDAY:
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE CONTINUE BUILD OVER THE AREA WHICH WILL
KEEP US WARM FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS WILL KEEP MOST OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF THE AREA ALONG THE WARM FRONT. WE DID MENTION
A SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDER MAINLY NEAR INTERSTATE 70 WEDNESDAY AS A
WEAK IMPULSE MOVES THROUGH THAT REGION. OTHERWISE, IT LOOKS
LIKE IT WILL BE UNSEASONABLY WARM AND WINDY WITH HIGHS POSSIBLY
CREEPING UP TO 90.

THURSDAY-FRIDAY NIGHT:
ALL THE MODELS ARE IN PRETTY CLOSE AGREEMENT IN BRINGING THE UPPER
LEVEL TROF INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS WILL ALLOW THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY TO POSSIBLY SLIDE INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS
THURSDAY NIGHT. WE HAVE MENTIONED THE HIGHEST POPS DURING THAT
TIMEFRAME.

SATURDAY-SUNDAY:
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION AND ALLOW FOR
COOLER AND DRIER AIR TO MOVE INTO THE AREA. AS A RESULT, A FAIRLY
NICE WEEKEND SHOULD BE IN STORE WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 70S.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    58  81  57  88 /  40  10  10  10
HUTCHINSON      57  80  55  88 /  40  10  10  10
NEWTON          58  80  56  87 /  40  10  10  10
ELDORADO        59  80  58  87 /  50  20  10  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   59  82  59  88 /  40  10  10  10
RUSSELL         53  79  54  89 /  30   5  10  10
GREAT BEND      54  80  54  89 /  20   5  10  10
SALINA          56  78  55  86 /  40  10  10  10
MCPHERSON       57  79  55  87 /  40  10  10  10
COFFEYVILLE     61  81  61  87 /  60  20  10  10
CHANUTE         61  80  60  86 /  60  20  10  10
IOLA            61  79  60  86 /  50  20  10  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

18/COX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1232 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-091200-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
1232 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF
CENTRAL, SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS. THE MAIN AREA OF CONCERN IS ALONG AND EAST OF I-135
AS A SURFACE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING FOR PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS.  ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM CANNOT BE
RULED OUT, THE MAIN RISK WILL BE GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH AND HAIL TO
THE SIZE OF DIMES.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN ENTER THE FORECAST THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AS
ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM AFFECTS THE PLAINS. AT THIS TIME, IT IS
TOO FAR OUT TO SPECULATE ON THE SEVERITY OF THE STORMS, SO PLEASE
CHECK BACK FOR ADDITIONAL FORECASTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION, SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWOICT.HTM

KETCHAM/LAWSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
245 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

KSZ033-048>053-067>070-082>083-091>094-098-090200-
BUTLER KS-CHASE KS-CHAUTAUQUA KS-COWLEY KS-ELK KS-
ELLSWORTH KS-GREENWOOD KS-HARPER KS-HARVEY KS-
KINGMAN KS-LINCOLN KS-MCPHERSON KS-MARION KS-RENO KS-
RICE KS-SALINE KS-SEDGWICK KS-SUMNER KS-

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 234
UNTIL 900 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN CENTRAL KANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 7 COUNTIES

CHASE                 ELLSWORTH             LINCOLN
MARION                MCPHERSON             RICE
SALINE

IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 8 COUNTIES

BUTLER                COWLEY                HARPER
HARVEY                KINGMAN               RENO
SEDGWICK              SUMNER

IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 3 COUNTIES

CHAUTAUQUA            ELK                   GREENWOOD

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF ANTHONY...COTTONWOOD FALLS...DOWNTOWN
WICHITA...EL DORADO...ELLSWORTH...EUREKA...HUTCHINSON...KINGMAN...
LINCOLN...MARION...MCPHERSON...NEWTON...SALINA...SEDAN...WELLINGTON
AND WINFIELD.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
323 PM CDT SUN MAY 08 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0321 PM     HAIL             2 SE LORRAINE           38.55N 98.29W
05/08/2005  1.00 INCH        ELLSWORTH          KS   STORM CHASER

&&

BRW

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
334 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

KSZ050-082100-
RICE-
334 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR RICE COUNTY...

AT 329 PM CDT...SATELLITE IMAGERY AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THUNDERSTORMS WERE RAPIDLY DEVELOPING
NEAR CHASE...OR 24 MILES SOUTH OF ELLSWORTH...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT
20 MPH.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
THESE STORMS.

/LAWSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
353 PM CDT SUN MAY 08 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0352 PM     HAIL             5 SSW FREDERICK         38.45N 98.31W
05/08/2005  1.00 INCH        RICE               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BRW