Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 161, NWS Wichita, KS

June 30, 2005Greenwood County, Kansas

NWS Wichita, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 30, 2005, 6:05 PM CDT for Greenwood County, Kansas. It was in force for 55 min. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jun 30, 2005, 6:05 PM CDT (23:05 UTC)
Expired: Jun 30, 2005, 7:00 PM CDT
In force: 55 min
Issued by: NWS Wichita, KS
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Greenwood County, KS

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 98 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where
Jun 30, 6:23 PM CDT	HAIL 1	Madison, KS
Jun 30, 6:26 PM CDT	HAIL 1.75	Madison, KS
Jun 30, 6:33 PM CDT	HAIL 1.75	N Madison, KS

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 3 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 18 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 30, 1:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 11.1 hours before the alert went out and 109 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 302 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -357 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1522 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 61 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 136 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 3.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KICT 302305
SVRICT
KSC073-010000-
/O.NEW.KICT.SV.W.0161.050630T2305Z-050701T0000Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
605 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN GREENWOOD COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

* UNTIL 700 PM CDT.

* AT 601 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES WEST OF MADISON...OR ABOUT 17 MILES
  SOUTHWEST OF EMPORIA...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS WITHIN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
  MADISON

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
  HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...
  WINDS UP TO 60 MILES AN HOUR...

LAT...LON 3816 9634 3809 9635 3802 9597 3816 9596

$$

KETCHAM

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wichita, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 30, 5:38 PM CDT, 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 30, 5:38 PM CDT, 27 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
538 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2005

...MESO UPDATE...

AS OF 22Z...FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM NORTHERN RENO COUNTY
ACROSS HARVEY COUNTY THROUGH SOUTHERN CHASE COUNTY AND WAS SAGGING
SOUTHWARD AROUND 10-15 KT. LATEST METAR AND RUC DATA SUGGEST LOW
LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS INCREASING IN THE VICINITY OF THIS FRONT. TWO
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS HAVE RAPIDLY DEVELOPED ALONG THIS BOUNDARY AS
A RESULT. SBCAPE IS ON THE ORDER OF 3000 WITH DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF 40
KT NEAR THIS FRONT. WOULD EXPECT ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS TO CONTINUE
NEAR THIS FRONT FOR THE NEXT 2-3 HOURS, WITH SUPERCELL STRUCTURES
POSSIBLE. VERY LARGE HAIL TO GOLFBALL SIZE OR LARGER AND DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS APPEAR TO BE THE MAIN THREATS WITH LCL HEIGHTS GENERALLY
ABOVE 1000 METERS. HOWEVER A TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT IF THE
RIGHT STORM-BOUNDARY INTERACTION SETS UP GIVEN EXTREME INSTABILITY
PRESENT AND DEGREE OF DEEP-LAYER SHEAR.

OTHER SEVERE STORMS COULD FIRE OVER SOUTHEAST KS, JUST SOUTH OF
REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THAT EXTENDS FROM EAST-CENTRAL KS INTO
SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI. MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES ARE SEVERAL DEGREES
COOLER IN SOUTHEAST KS, WHICH WOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR STORM
DEVELOPMENT.

JMC

---------------------------------------------------------------
326 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2005

.DISCUSSION...

CHALLENGE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WILL BE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES.

SPC RECENTLY ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 9PM FOR MUCH
OF THE FORECAST AREA, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF COUNTIES ALONG THE
OKLAHOMA BORDER. SOUTHERN EXTENT OF THE WATCH MAY NOT BE AFFECTED
UNTIL THE END OF THE WATCH VALID TIME. A FEW KEY BOUNDARIES TO DEAL
WITH THIS AFTERNOON. ONE IS A QUASI-STATIONARY SYNOPTIC BOUNDARY
EXTENDING FROM NEAR LIBERAL TO PRATT TO MCPHERSON, AND INTO
NORTHEAST KANSAS. A REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY BISECTS THIS BOUNDARY
ACROSS ELLSWORTH/MCPHERSON COUNTY, AND EXTENDS EAST-SOUTHEAST TO
NEAR CHANUTE. CONTINUED STRONG LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS WEAKENING
CAP, EVIDENT IN DEVELOPING CUMULUS FIELDS ALONG THESE BOUNDARIES.
ACTIVITY OVER NORTHEAST KANSAS APPEARS TO BE SLIGHTLY ELEVATED,
BEING FED FROM STRONG WARM/MOIST ADVECTION ABOVE THE BOUNDARY.
THINKING IS THAT SFC BASED STORMS WILL FIRE WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR
TWO ACROSS CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL KANSAS, WHERE DEEP MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE IS BEING MAXIMIZED. DO NOT THINK CONVERGENCE WILL BE
STRONG ENOUGH ALONG THE REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY TO FIRE STORMS THIS
AFTERNOON OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS. MLCAPES AROUND 2000 J/KG AND AREA
PROFILERS INDICATING AROUND 30KTS OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL YIELD
SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS, MAINLY BEFORE MIDNIGHT. WEAK
LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL LIKELY PRECLUDE TORNADOES, SO
DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. THINKING
THAT STORMS WILL HAVE A BETTER CHANCE OF SURVIVING THROUGH THE NIGHT
GENERALLY EAST OF THE TURNPIKE, WHERE COOLER MID-LEVEL TEMPS AND
DEEPER MOISTURE WILL RESIDE. STORMS WILL BE SLOW MOVING AND
BACKBUILD TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST, SO LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

AFTER A FEW MORNING STORMS OVER SOUTHERN COUNTIES, FRIDAY SHOULD BE
DRY AND COOLER. RETURNING MOISTURE ON FRIDAY NIGHT MAY SPARK SOME
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. COULD ALSO SEE HIGH PLAINS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACTIVITY SPREAD EAST-SOUTHEAST INTO WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT. PONDERED FOG POTENTIAL
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS, BUT DO NOT THINK
VISIBILITIES WILL DROP BELOW 3 MILES, HENCE MORE OF AN AVIATION
CONCERN. SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE WARM, BREEZY AND DRY. ANOTHER ROUND OF
WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT, AS
AFTERNOON HIGH PLAINS ACTIVITY COULD PUSH INTO MAINLY WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA, BEING AIDED BY AN INTENSIFYING
LOW-LEVEL JET.

SUNDAY COULD APPROACH THE CENTURY MARK ONCE AGAIN, AS COMPRESSIONAL
WARMING INCREASES AHEAD OF ANOTHER SOUTHWARD SAGGING FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. MODELS ARE HAVING SOME CONSISTENCY IN SAGGING THIS FRONT
SOUTH INTO THE FORECAST AREA BY SUNDAY NIGHT, AND LINGER IT THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT OR WEDNESDAY. THEREFORE, INSERTED SLIGHT CHANCE POPS
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. ECMWF HAS ONLY RECENTLY COME AROUND TO THE
GFS SOLUTION, SO WILL NOT ATTEMPT TO PINPOINT EXACT TIMES FOR
CONVECTION YET. MAY BE ANOTHER COOL DOWN BY MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK IF
GFS VERIFIES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    67  89  65  92 /  60  10  20  10
HUTCHINSON      66  88  65  93 /  60  10  30  10
NEWTON          66  88  64  92 /  60  10  20  10
ELDORADO        67  88  64  91 /  60  10  20  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   67  90  65  93 /  60  20  20  10
RUSSELL         63  87  65  94 /  20  10  30  10
GREAT BEND      64  88  65  94 /  40  10  30  10
SALINA          64  87  64  92 /  30  10  20  10
MCPHERSON       65  88  65  92 /  50  10  20  10
COFFEYVILLE     67  89  64  91 /  60  20  20  10
CHANUTE         67  87  64  90 /  60  20  20  10
IOLA            67  86  64  89 /  60  10  20  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER
563 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM FOR KINGMAN, SEDGWICK, BUTLER,
GREENWOOD, RENO, HARVEY, MARION, CHASE, BARTON, RICE, MCPHERSON,
ELLSWORTH AND SALINE.

&&

CARUSO/KLEINSASSER

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 30, 4:14 PM CDT, 1 hour 51 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
414 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2005

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-011200-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
414 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS BY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON, GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM
HILLSBORO TO MCPHERSON TO GREAT BEND. THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF HAIL TO GOLFBALL SIZE AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
WHILE WIND AND HAIL ARE THE BIGGEST THREATS, AN ISOLATED TORNADO
CANNOT BE RULED OUT THROUGH THIS EVENING, PRIMARILY NORTHEAST OF
WICHITA. DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, THE THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE MAY
BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND ESPECIALLY
SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS. THE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A DAMAGING
WIND AND LARGE HAIL THREAT, MAINLY BEFORE MIDNIGHT. SOME OF THE
STORMS MAY MOVE ACROSS THE SAME AREAS IN A REPETITIVE PATTERN,
RESULTING IN LOCALLY VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF KANSAS
THROUGH MID MORNING FRIDAY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN BE POSSIBLE
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT, MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT BOTH NIGHTS.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT, SPREADING FROM CENTRAL KANSAS INTO SOUTHEAST KANSAS. THE
THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT IS
HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE LOCATION OF THE FRONT. SIGNIFICANT CHANGES
TO THE FORECAST ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND, SO ANYONE
WITH OUTDOOR PLANS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR LATER OUTLOOKS AND
FORECASTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION, SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWOICT.HTM

HOWERTON/JMC/ADK

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 30, 4:59 PM CDT, 1 hour 6 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
459 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2005

KSZ053-302245-
CHASE-
459 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2005

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CHASE COUNTY...

AT 454 PM CDT...SATELLITE IMAGERY AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THUNDERSTORMS WERE RAPIDLY DEVELOPING
NEAR BURNS...OR 18 MILES NORTH OF EL DORADO...AND MOVING EAST AT 30
MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE, OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

KETCHAM

Local storm report, Jun 30, 5:10 PM CDT, 55 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
510 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0503 PM     HAIL             BUHLER                  38.14N 97.77W
06/30/2005  0.75 INCH        RENO               KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

LFW

Local storm report, Jun 30, 5:17 PM CDT, 48 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
517 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0513 PM     HAIL             NNW BUHLER              38.14N 97.77W
06/30/2005  1.00 INCH        RENO               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

LFW

Local storm report, Jun 30, 5:27 PM CDT, 38 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
527 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0520 PM     HAIL             7 E BUHLER              38.14N 97.64W
06/30/2005  0.75 INCH        HARVEY             KS   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

LFW

Local storm report, Jun 30, 5:41 PM CDT, 24 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
541 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0537 PM     HAIL             5 W HESSTON             38.14N 97.52W
06/30/2005  1.75 INCH        HARVEY             KS   PUBLIC

&&

LFW

Local storm report, Jun 30, 5:47 PM CDT, 18 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
547 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0546 PM     HAIL             HESSTON                 38.14N 97.43W
06/30/2005  0.88 INCH        HARVEY             KS   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

LFW

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wichita, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 29, 8:03 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Barton	23 min
Jun 29, 11:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Lincoln	34 min
Jun 30, 5:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Harvey, McPherson	46 min
Jun 30, 5:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Chase	41 min
Jun 30, 6:15 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	ICT	Greenwood	45 min
Jun 30, 6:44 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	ICT	Woodson	61 min
Jun 30, 6:55 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	ICT	Greenwood	20 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2005 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.