Tornado Warning 25, NWS Huntsville, AL

000 
WWUS54 KHUN 142203
SVSHUN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
403 PM CST MON NOV 14 2005

ALC079-142215-
/O.CON.KHUN.TO.W.0025.000000T0000Z-051114T2215Z/
LAWRENCE AL-
403 PM CST MON NOV 14 2005

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CST FOR LAWRENCE
COUNTY...

AT 359 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR LANDERSVILLE...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
  MT HOPE.
  LANDERSVILLE.
  MOULTON.

WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR...IT MEANS
THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY
ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOU
ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...MOVE INDOORS AND TO THE
LOWEST LEVEL OF THE BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF DRIVING...DO
NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER A HIGHWAY OVERPASS.

LAT...LON 3432 8752 3431 8712 3465 8712 3455 8747
      3449 8752

$$

27

000 
WWUS54 KHUN 142215
SVSHUN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
415 PM CST MON NOV 14 2005

ALC079-142225-
/O.EXP.KHUN.TO.W.0025.000000T0000Z-051114T2215Z/
LAWRENCE AL-
415 PM CST MON NOV 14 2005

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR LAWRENCE COUNTY HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE...

AT 415 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT
THE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE TORNADO WARNING HAD WEAKENED AND
NO LONGER APPEARED CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES. THEREFORE...THE
TORNADO WARNING FOR LAWRENCE COUNTY HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

HOWEVER...OTHER THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE COUNTY THAT MAY 
REQUIRE WARNINGS AT A MOMENTS NOTICE.

SO...STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA 
FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 3432 8752 3431 8712 3465 8712 3455 8747
      3449 8752

$$

KULA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
334 PM CST MON NOV 14 2005

.DISCUSSION...
AFTERNOON SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS LOW PRESSURE MOVING INTO SW MO WITH
WARM FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS CENTRAL AR THROUGH SOUTHERN TN. SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP TO THE SW OF THE FA AND TRACK
NEWD ACROSS NORTHERN AL AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TN. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS
SHOWS TROUGH AXIS MOVING INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. EXTENSIVE LOW
LEVEL CLOUD DECK HAS KEPT TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 60S TO NEAR 70
EVEN WITH WARM FRONT NORTH OF THE AREA. DEWPOINTS ARE GENERALLY IN
THE MID 60S ACROSS THE TN VALLEY WITH WINDS FROM THE SOUTH.

WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY LIFT NORTHWARD TONIGHT. MAIN
INSTABILITY CURRENTLY EXISTS TO OUR WEST ALONG THE WARM FRONT FROM
AR INTO WESTERN TN. A SECONDARY BOUNDARY APPEARS TO HAVE DEVELOPED
FROM CENTRAL MS EXTENDING INTO NORTHERN AL WHERE DECENT INSTABILITY
AND SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE PERSISTED. THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
BECOME MUCH BETTER DEVELOPED IN THIS AREA DURING THE PAST COUPLE
OF HOURS. THREAT WILL CONTINUE FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS AS
EVIDENCED BY SLIGHT RISK FOR ENTIRE AREA FROM SPC. THREAT WILL
BEGIN TO DIMINISH AS FRONT CONTINUES TO LIFT NORTHWARD. WITH
MOISTURE RICH AIRMASS IN PLACE AND INCREASING 85H WINDS...MAINLY
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS.

SURFACE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE DURING THE MORNING HOURS WITH
GUSTY WINDS CONTINUING INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON WEDNESDAY
AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. AN ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR
MUCH OF THIS TIMEFRAME...BUT WILL HOLD OFF FOR NOW AND LET LATER
SHIFTS EVALUATE.

COLD FRONT WILL BE DIVING SOUTHWARD TOWARDS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY
ON TUESDAY. UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO AMPLIFY OVER THE
CENTRAL US AND LIFT NEWD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. COLD FRONT
WILL BE APPROACHING NW AL BY THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS AS SFC LOW
LIFTS NE. MOISTURE RICH AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH PWATS
AROUND 1.5 IN AND DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S. INSTABILITY INCREASES
AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH HELICITY VALUES OVER 200 M2/S2. 85H WINDS
WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 50 KNOTS ALONG THE FRONT IN NW AL. THREAT
FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL EXIST ACROSS ENTIRE AREA WITH MODERATE
RISK FROM SPC ENCOMPASSING ALL OF THE AREA EXCEPT FOR EXTREME NE
AL. MAIN TIME FRAME FOR SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE DURING THE
EVENING HOURS WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING GUSTY TO DAMAGING WINDS
AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

FRONT WILL CLEAR ENTIRE AREA BY 12Z AS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
CONTINUES TO MOVE THROUGH THE MID MS AND OHIO VALLEYS. AN ISOLATED
SHOWER MAY LINGER THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN
AREAS AS UL TROUGH CONTINUES TO LIFT NE TOWARDS NEW ENGLAND.
STRONG COLD ADVECTION WILL SET UP BEHIND FROPA WITH LITTLE TEMP
RECOVERY EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD
IN FROM THE NORTH WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING SEVERAL DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK UNDER NORTHERLY
WINDS. SOUTHERLY WILL BEGIN TO RETURN BY THE WEEKEND AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS EASTWARD. THIS WILL HELP ENABLE DAYTIME TEMPS TO
RETURN TO NEAR NORMAL VALUES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
HUNTSVILLE    61  74  44  50 /  50  60  90  10
SHOALS        62  75  43  50 /  50  60  90  10
CULLMAN       62  74  45  51 /  50  60  90  10
FAYETTEVILLE  61  73  44  49 /  50  60  90  10
FORT PAYNE    60  72  47  50 /  50  50  90  20

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

24

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1238 PM CST MON NOV 14 2005

ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-150300-
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-MADISON-MORGAN-
MARSHALL-JACKSON-DE KALB-CULLMAN-MOORE-LINCOLN-FRANKLIN TN-
1238 PM CST MON NOV 14 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH ALABAMA AND PARTS OF
SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...(THROUGH TONIGHT)...

CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY
DOWNPOURS...WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.  AS A WARM FRONT MOVES NORTH OF THE REGION
THIS EVENING...MOST OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL SHIFT
NORTHWARD WITH TIME.  HOWEVER...A FEW OF THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING STORMS IN NORTHWEST ALABAMA COULD BECOME STRONG ALONG
AND NEAR THIS FRONT...CAPABLE OF WINDS GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL
HAIL. STORMS THAT MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THIS REGION WILL TEND TO
WEAKEN AS THEY REACH NORTHEAST ALABAMA AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...

...SEVERE WEATHER THREAT EXISTS LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

A SQUALL LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED ALONG A COLD
FRONT LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  THE STORMS WILL REACH FAR
NORTHWEST ALABAMA VERY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON...AND TRACK EASTWARD
THROUGH THE REST OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY DURING THE EVENING HOURS.

THE HIGHER SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS AND ISOLATED BRIEF TORNADOES.  HOWEVER...A FEW SUPERCELL
THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE SQUALL LINE AS
WELL...POSING A HIGHER THREAT OF TORNADOES.

WITH ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS...FLOODING IS NOT A BIG CONCERN.
HOWEVER...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADS AND DRY SURFACES.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCIES MAY REQUIRE ACTIVATION FOR
SEVERE WEATHER...MAINLY FOR NORTHWEST ALABAMA LATER TODAY.

THE ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL WILL
LIKELY BE REQUESTED FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.

KULA