Severe Thunderstorm Warning 82, NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
500 AM CDT MON APR 11 2005

.DISCUSSION...NEAR VERTICALLY STACKED LOW POSITIONED OVER KANSAS
EARLY THIS MORNING. ASCENT INCREASING ACROSS THE REGION ASSOCIATED
WITH FEATURE RESULTING IN CONSIDERABLE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY. SEVERAL WARNINGS ALREADY ISSUED. WILL SEE A CONTINUED
UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH TODAY WITH A SEVERE THREAT
CONTINUING. RAIN CHANCES DIMINISH THIS EVENING AS LOW CONTINUES TO
MIGRATE EAST SENDING AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT OVER THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...CONSIDERABLE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CAN BE
EXPECTED OVER THE COASTAL WATERS TODAY IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT
APPROACHING THE REGION. RAIN CHANCES WILL DIMINISH BY EVENING...
WITH OUR MODERATE SOUTHERLY FLOW BECOMING NORTHWEST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      78  52  73  55  76 /  90   0   0   0   0
HOUSTON (IAH)              73  54  73  57  77 /  90   0   0   0   0
GALVESTON (GLS)            74  62  71  64  73 /  90   0   0   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

TX...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FROM 3 AM MONDAY UNTIL 11 AM MONDAY
      FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...BRAZORIA...CHAMBERS...FORT
      BEND...GALVESTON...HARRIS...HOUSTON...LIBERTY...
      MONTGOMERY...POLK...SAN JACINTO...TRINITY...WALKER...AND
      WALLER.

GM...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FROM 3 AM MONDAY UNTIL 11 AM MONDAY
      FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...GALVESTON BAY...AND WATERS FROM
      HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
800 AM CDT MON APR 11 2005

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-121200-
AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-BRAZOS-BURLESON-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND-GALVESTON-
GRIMES-HARRIS-HOUSTON-JACKSON-LIBERTY-MADISON-MATAGORDA-MONTGOMERY-
POLK-SAN JACINTO-TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-WASHINGTON-WHARTON-
800 AM CDT MON APR 11 2005

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED ACROSS
SOUTHEAST TEXAS THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS
SOUTHEAST TEXAS DURING THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY.
THIS SYSTEM WILL COMBINE WITH MOIST AND UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERIC
CONDITIONS TO PRODUCE THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY
RAINFALL.

THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL...WITH
DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ALSO POSSIBLE. THE SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT AREA IS EAST OF A LINE FROM CROCKETT TO HUNTSVILLE TO
COLUMBUS TO EDNA. THE TIME FRAME FOR THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE
FROM EARLY MORNING THROUGH ABOUT 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH TODAYS THUNDERSTORMS.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE 1 TO 2 INCHES THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...
WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE. HEAVY RAINFALL COULD
CAUSE FLOODING OF STREETS...FEEDER ROADS...UNDERPASSES...AND OTHER
LOW LYING SPOTS. MORE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN A FEW
LOCATIONS. MOTORISTS SHOULD USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING TODAY AND
AVOID AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.